Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belmont At The Big A
Wednesday - October 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-3   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $15.20 $9.20 153%
BAQ-4   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00  7 $5.40 $1.40 35%
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00  7-2 $3.45 $1.45 73%
    DD (1/3/4)-(7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-7 $20.10 $14.10 235%
BAQ-5   WIN (8/7/6/12/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $16.60 $6.60 66%
    DD (7/2)-(8/7/6/12/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00  7-2 $23.30 $13.30 133%
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(7/2)-(8/7/6/12/2) 30 $1.00 $30.00  1-7-2 $99.25 $69.25 231%
BAQ-6   EXA (3/6/10/8/5)-(3/6/10/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  10-5 $27.75 $7.75 39%
BAQ-7   PK4 (7/2)-(8/7/6/12/2)-(3/6/10/8/5)-(7/3/9/6) 200 $0.50 $100  7-2-10-2/3 $117.87 $17.87 18%
BAQ-8   WIN (8/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $9.30 $3.30 55%
    DD (7/3/9/6)-(8/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-1 $31.00 $19.00 158%
    PK3 (3/6/10/8/5)-(7/3/9/6)-(8/1/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00  10-3-1 $75.75 $15.75 26%
BAQ-9   DD (8/1/5)-(6/1/11/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-6 $14.80 $2.80 23%
    PK3 (7/3/9/6)-(8/1/5)-(6/1/11/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00  3-1-6 $112.25 $64.25 134%
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:23 :464 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  TWO'S A CROWD 7 1 2½ 2½   1nk 11¼ (ryan s)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 3.00  
7  RETAIL MAN 5 2 1½ 1½   2nk 21¼ (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50 32% 2.10 7.00 P
6  MAD BANKER 4 3 31½ 32½   33½ 32½ (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 28.75  
8  ONE WITHEVERYTHING 6 6 42 43   46 47½ (mcpeek kenne)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 10.00 13.70  
3  BLUE EIGHTY FIVE 2 5 77 56   58 57¾ (mott william )FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 0.75  
5  PAPA DO PAPA DO 3 4 53½ 68½   611½ 613½ (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 112 6.00 20% 4.10 8.50  
1  SOLO IN PARIS 1 7 67 79½   713½ 717¼ (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 119 30.00 19% 4.10 21.00  
SCR  MORQ               (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
SCR  TAPORICAL               (moysey chelsey )DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:36
See original race card.
:224 :461 :58     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PRINTRACK 4 3 11½ 13   11 11¼ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 4.50 1.80  
7  FLINT RIDGE 6 4 64 23   21 21¼ (rodriguez gust)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 5.00 5% 17.30 1.80 P
4  CAJUN CASANOVA 3 2 21½ 33   32 32¼ (d'alessandro)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00 62% 0.60 4.60 S
6  SHIVAREE (GB) 5 1 32½ 43½   42 42¾ (david a)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.50 7.20  
2  FLAMINGO HAWK 1 5 43½ 56   55½ 54½ (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 16.10  
3  BEACHWALKER 2 6 54 68   68 67 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00 10% 9.30 6.70  
SCR  CHATEAU               (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.00    
SCR  NOLO CONTESTO               (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 3.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:102 1:223   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGGREGATION 1 3 1nk 11 11½ 11½ 11½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 27% 2.70 6.60 W
7  SHADOW DRAGON 7 1 41 43 42½ 32 21½ (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 1.80 1.40  
2  THRILL OF IT 2 5 2nk 21 21½ 21½ 31¾ (terranova joh)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 4.40  
3  COLLOQUY 3 4 3½ 32 31½ 42½ 45 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 124 4.00 21% 3.80 3.05  
5  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES 5 7 711 79 76 56½ 55¼ (duggan p)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00 32.25  
6  BIG BOBBY 6 2 53 54½ 54½ 67 69¼ (arenas marce)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 12.00 16.70  
4  MARKET ALERT 4 6 65 65 65½ 710½ 721½ (baker charl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 15% 5.60 6.70  
 
BAQ-4   10/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:221 :443 1:092     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GOOD SAM 5 2 41½ 31½   2nk 13½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 37% 1.70 1.70 W
2  THREE RIVERS 2 4 21 2½   1nk 23½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 1.40 27% 2.60 0.60 P
3  INTO HAPPINESS 3 5 513½ 513½   48½ 310¾ (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 124 4.50 7.30  
1  LADY MILAGRO 1 3 11 1½   38 415½ (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 14.50  
5  STARSHIP DEFIANT 4 1 31½ 43½   515½ 523¼ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 126 12.00 34.50  
SCR  CAIRO SUGAR               (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 20.00    
SCR  HYDRA               (toscano john)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC13 FIRM Miss Grillo Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:24 :50 1:142 1:38   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HARD TO JUSTIFY 1 2 21½ 21 2nk 1½ 1½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 7.30 W
  (by JUSTIFY out of INSTANT REFLEX by QUALITY ROAD)
3  LIFE'S AN AUDIBLE 2 1 32½ 32 52¼ 33 2½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 12.70  
  (by AUDIBLE out of CATKINS by DATA LINK)
11  WHIMSICALLY 10 5 42½ 42 31½ 2½ 31½ (devaux cher)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00 59.75  
  (by UNCLE MO out of COMING ATTRACTION by TAPIT)
8  GALA BRAND 7 9 107¾ 116¾ 116¾ 65 44¼ (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 39% 1.60 2.60  
  (by VIOLENCE out of OLORDA by LORD OF ENGLAND)
7  MEMORIALIZE 6 7 63¾ 63¼ 63¼ 75¼ 55 (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 26% 2.90 2.80  
  (by KARAKONTIE out of SMART EMMA by SMART STRIKE)
4  GOLD LIGHTNING 3 6 53½ 53 42 54 65¼ (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00 5.50  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ACTING CLASS by NOACTOR)
10  LATER DARLING 9 11 118 105¾ 83¾ 85¾ 76¾ (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 25.00  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of FROYO STAR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
9  SIERRA SKY 8 10 86¼ 85¼ 105¼ 107¼ 87¼ (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 21.40  
  (by UNCLE MO out of SKY GIRL by CLASSIC ACCOUNT)
12  STEEL LUTE 11 8 96¼ 95¼ 94¾ 117¾ 97¼ (brown c)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00 6% 15.10 19.30  
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of ADLER by UNUSUAL HEAT)
5  DANCING SPIRIT 4 3 74¼ 73¾ 73¼ 96¾ 108¼ (rice adam)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 22.10  
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of DANCING SPARKS by JUMP START)
6  CAMILA T (IRE) 5 4 11½ 11 1nk 44 118½ (avila carl)OLIVERO A 120 6.00 8% 12.10 7.60  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of JUST IMAGINING by WAR FRONT)
SCR  APPELLATE               (pletcher to)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LEIGH COURT by GRAND SLAM)
 
BAQ-6   10/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:111 1:233   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SKATE TO HEAVEN 10 3 4¾ 4¾ 3½ 11½ 15¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 18% 4.50 1.95 W
5  DADS GOOD RUNNER 5 5 72¼ 72¼ 41½ 42 25¾ (fisher)MARAGH RAMSAY 117 15.00 5% 19.00 10.90 P
7  STRONG LIGHT 7 7 94¼ 83¼ 52½ 54 35¾ (younghans willi)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 24.25  
8  EL DE CHIMI 8 2 3.2 2nk 2nk 21½ 46¼ (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 6.00 14% 6.40 7.20  
6  DEE'S SPEEDSTRE 6 1 2nk 1nk 1nk 31½ 57¼ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 23% 3.30 2.20  
3  PROVEN HOPE 3 8 51¾ 51¼ 75 65 69 (barrera osca)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.00 25% 3.00 4.30  
1  SCOTTO 1 9 83¾ 93¾ 97¾ 711 717¾ (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 20.00 86.00  
2  BREAK THE ICE 2 6 61¾ 61¼ 87½ 811½ 819¼ (hennig m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 21.00  
4  PAPI ON ICE 4 10 105¼ 105¾ 109¾ 1013½ 924½ (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 124 20.00 43.25  
9  COLPO D'ORO 9 4 1nk 3½ 64½ 912½ 1024¾ (ryan derek)RIVERA R 113 12.00 27.75  
 
BAQ-7   10/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC13 GOOD Pilgrim Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:113 1:362   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AGATE ROAD 2 8 78 77½ 75 33½ 11¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 30% 2.30 2.45 W
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of YELLOW AGATE by GEMOLOGIST)
8  FULMINEO 7 6 66 66 64½ 44 21¼ (delacour arnau)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 8.00  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of STARR OF QUALITY by FIRST DUDE)
1  LIAM'S JOURNEY 1 1 55 55 42 22½ 31½ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 19.20 DH
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of LOUGH DERG by LEMON DROP KID)
9  SPIRIT PRINCE 8 4 11½ 12 11 12½ 31½ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 11% 8.10 4.90 S
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of DOTTIE'S SPIRIT by CURLIN)
7  TRIPLE ESPRESSO 6 7 810 89 87½ 87 54¼ (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 118 4.00 38% 1.60 3.80  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of NATURAL RUSH by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  B D SAINTS 4 3 44 44 53½ 76½ 65 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 13.80  
  (by LAOBAN out of WINSANITY by TAPIZAR)
4  TIFAREEH 3 5 32½ 32 21 55 75½ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00 3.80  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of AZM by TAPIT)
6  GET SPOOLED 5 2 21½ 22 31 66½ 87 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
  (by HARD SPUN out of CUCCIDATI by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  TROPANDHAGEN               (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of ALL DAY LAWN by BLUEGRASS CAT)
 
BAQ-8   10/04/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:111 1:354   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZZY IN THE SKY 1 1 11 11 1nk 16 19¾ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 23% 3.30 3.65 W
2  FIRELINE 2 4 32 32 43 38½ 29¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00 1.95  
5  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY 5 2 21 21 2nk 26 39¾ (barrera oscar )ORTIZ L 126 8.00 5% 19.00 9.00 S
4  FROSTY O TOOLE 4 5 52½ 42 56 49½ 410 (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00 38.00  
3  ANATOLIAN 3 6 63½ 65½ 67 614 517 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 7.10  
8  TOUGH STREET 7 3 42½ 52½ 32½ 513½ 618½ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 126 2.00 47% 1.10 1.85  
7  MIRANDA'S ROCKY 6 7 74½ 77 710½ 717½ 721¾ (orseno joseph )RENDON JAIRO 120 10.00 22.40  
SCR  PRETTI XTREME               (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:112 1:232   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  I'M VERY BUSY 6 4 43 42½ 4¾ 1nk 14½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 53% 0.90 1.40 W
1  FREDO 1 1 1nk 1nk 1nk 33½ 24½ (sano antoni)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.00 13% 6.80 3.75 P
4  CAPTURE THE FLAG 4 8 86¾ 64½ 62¾ 44 35 (mcgaughey clau)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 4.40  
8  BE OF COURAGE 8 10 108¼ 86 51¾ 54¼ 46 (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
11  RUSE 10 5 32 31½ 2nk 2nk 58¾ (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 10% 9.00 13.70  
2  HEATHGUARD 2 9 97¾ 96¼ 95¼ 69¼ 69¾ (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 30.00 87.50  
7  YACOWLEF (IRE) 7 6 65 75 84¾ 79¾ 711 (sisterson jack)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 6.40  
9  FIGHTER IN THE WIN 9 7 54 53 73¾ 1012¼ 815¾ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 ★ 22.10  
3  SELL SOMETHING 3 3 76½ 106¾ 105¾ 911¾ 916 (de horaci)ORTIZ JR 122 12.00 24.00  
5  NARCISO DALI 5 2 2nk 2nk 3½ 810¾ 1016¼ (chichakly ami)MARTIN MATTIE 111 30.00 ######  
SCR  BAD TO THE BONES               (mott i)RIDER TBA 124 3.00    
SCR  LAFITTE'S FLEET               (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.80    
SCR  SKYLANDER               (trites a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.00    
SCR  VICTORS VALIANT               (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 30.00    
 
BAQ-10   10/04/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 5:53
See original race card.
:231 :464 :584     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  WOKE UP QUICK 10 1 1½ 11   11½ 1¼ (morley thomas)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 8.00 8.30  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of LILLY MARIE by BERNARDINI)
1  BIG PRANKSTER 8 2 51¾ 43   31½ 2¼ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00 23% 3.40 4.10 P
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BIG THRILL by BIG DRAMA)
8  AZ U CHASE ME 6 9 98¾ 56   54 31½ (jimenez jos)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00 60.75  
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of GIRLABOUTOWN by A.P. INDY)
7  NANO MAN 5 4 2½ 31½   21½ 41¾ (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 26% 2.80 2.60  
  (by SOLOMINI out of MY SILENT PRESENT by SILENT NAME)
9  PRICE IS TRUTH 7 3 41½ 21   42 53 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 21% 3.70 4.70  
  (by UNION RAGS out of LOVE TRAIN by FULL PARTNER)
3  ROB THE BANK 2 8 84¾ 66½   64¼ 64½ (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 3.45  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of NATURAL MIST by EMCEE)
2  SORORITY PRANK 1 6 31½ 77   75¼ 75¾ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 8% 12.30 7.80  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of FORGET IT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  DRINKING SOLO 4 7 62¾ 811   812¼ 812½ (falcone ro)RIVERA R 114 20.00 5% 19.00 39.50  
  (by SOLOMINI out of BRINGYOUROWNBOTTLE by STAY THIRSTY)
5  SAVAGE SPIRIT 3 10 1014¾ 1022½   1016¾ 913½ (albertrani )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 21.30  
  (by ACCELERATE out of SCAT'S LASSIE by SCAT DADDY)
10  MITHRIDATES 9 5 72¾ 912½   916¼ 1020½ (chichakly ami)MARTIN MATTIE 112 30.00 60.75  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of GOIAS by HARD SPUN)
SCR  FRATELLINO               (romero rafa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of KIMBERLY JEAN by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  INSTAMATIC               (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SEATTLE'S BEST by SEATTLE DANCER)
SCR  KHADULLAH               (rodriguez )RIVERA R 114 10.00    
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of MIDWAY MUSIC by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  SCORE THE ROCK               (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of HEAVENLY SCORE by EVEN THE SCORE)
SCR  SET               (motion graha)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of THREE AM TOUR by STRATEGIC PRINCE)
SCR  WONDER WONDERLAND               (romero rafael)RUIZ ELISEO 114 30.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of GENTLE GALE by STORM CAT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.