Handicappers' Racing Form
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Belmont At The Big A
Wednesday - October 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
BAQ-1   Win (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-2   Win (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-3   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-4   Win (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-5   Win (8/7/6/12/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-6   Win (3/6/10/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-7   Win (7/3/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-8   Win (8/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-9   Win (6/1/11/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-10   Win (7/1/9/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
BAQ-1   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLO IN PARIS         (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 119 30.00 19% 4.10    
SCR  MORQ         (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
3  BLUE EIGHTY FIVE Aug23 Aug11 Jun23     (mott i)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00    
SCR  TAPORICAL Aug30 Aug03 Jul15 Jun28   (moysey e)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
5  PAPA DO PAPA DO         (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 112 6.00 20% 4.10    
6  MAD BANKER Aug11         (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00    
7  RETAIL MAN         (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50 32% 2.10    
8  ONE WITHEVERYTHING Aug18         (mcpeek kenneth)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 10.00    
9  TWO'S A CROWD Sep10 Aug20       (ryan s)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHATEAU Jul30 Jul12 Jul02 May04 Apr23 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.00    
SCR  NOLO CONTESTO Sep22 Aug24 Jul22 Jun21 Jun11 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 3.00    
2  FLAMINGO HAWK Sep16 Aug19 Jul02 May19 Mar26 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00    
3  BEACHWALKER Aug05 Jul05 May15 May01 Apr05 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 123 6.00 10% 9.30    
4  CAJUN CASANOVA Aug16 Jul10 Jun19 May15 Apr05 (d'alessandro r)CASTELLANO J 123 4.00 62% 0.60    
5  PRINTRACK Aug30 Aug04 Jul23 Jun24 Jun04 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 4.50    
6  SHIVAREE (GB) Sep16 Dec22 Dec10 Oct01 Aug13 (david a)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.50    
7  FLINT RIDGE Sep04 Jul26 May12 Apr16 Feb21 (rodriguez gustav)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 5.00 5% 17.30    
 
BAQ-3   10/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGGREGATION Aug23 May11 Jul18 May30 Apr16 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
2  THRILL OF IT Aug23 Jul23 Jun22 Apr30 Mar24 (terranova john )ORTIZ JR 122 3.50    
3  COLLOQUY Jul28 Jul03 May13 Apr13 Mar24 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
4  MARKET ALERT Jul23 May27 May14 Apr16 Mar19 (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 15% 5.60    
5  BOSSMAKINBOSSMOVES Sep03 Aug02 Jun23 May28 Dec08 (duggan p)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 12.00    
6  BIG BOBBY Aug24 Jul07 Oct30 Sep24 Aug26 (arenas marcelo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 12.00    
7  SHADOW DRAGON Aug02 Jul07 Jun03 Apr08 Mar04 (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 1.80    
 
BAQ-4   10/04/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:38
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY MILAGRO Aug11 Jul15 Jun16 May12 Apr16 (martin f)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
2  THREE RIVERS Aug16 Jun24       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 1.40 27% 2.60    
3  INTO HAPPINESS Aug09 Jul13 Jun23 Apr21 Apr08 (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.50    
SCR  CAIRO SUGAR Jul24 Jul02 Jun21 May26 Mar18 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 20.00    
5  STARSHIP DEFIANT Sep02 Aug16 Aug06 Jun10 May05 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 126 12.00    
SCR  HYDRA Aug25 Jul28 Jun24 May12 Apr07 (toscano t)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00    
7  GOOD SAM Jul29 Jun15 Nov06 Oct02   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 1.60 37% 1.70    
 
BAQ-5   10/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC13 FIRM Miss Grillo Purse ($200K) 2 F PT- 3:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  APPELLATE Sep03 Jul23       (pletcher todd)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 15.00    
2  HARD TO JUSTIFY Jul23         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  LIFE'S AN AUDIBLE Sep02 Jul30       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
4  GOLD LIGHTNING Aug31         (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00    
5  DANCING SPIRIT Aug30 Aug13 Jul17     (rice adam)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00    
6  CAMILA T (IRE) Aug19         (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 120 6.00 8% 12.10    
7  MEMORIALIZE Aug20 Jul20       (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 26% 2.90    
8  GALA BRAND Aug31 Aug03       (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
9  SIERRA SKY Sep03         (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
10  LATER DARLING Sep03 Aug06       (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
11  WHIMSICALLY Sep02 Jul09       (devaux cherie)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
12  STEEL LUTE Aug20         (brown c)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00 6% 15.10    
 
BAQ-6   10/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCOTTO Sep14 Sep01 Aug10 Jul07 Jun24 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 122 20.00    
2  BREAK THE ICE Aug16 Jul22 May19 Apr29 Mar24 (hennig mar)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
3  PROVEN HOPE Sep09 Aug13 Jul29 May14 Apr15 (barrera oscar )CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
4  PAPI ON ICE Aug10 Jul19 Jun24 Jun01 May06 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 124 20.00    
5  DADS GOOD RUNNER Sep17 Jul07 Jun23 Jun11 May20 (fisher linda)RUIZ ELISEO 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  DEE'S SPEEDSTRE Sep06 Jul19 Apr29 Apr08 Mar31 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 23% 3.30    
7  STRONG LIGHT Sep14 Sep01 Aug16 Jul22 Jul09 (younghans william)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00    
8  EL DE CHIMI Sep09 Aug30 Jul01 Mar06 Jan03 (avila carlos)OLIVERO A 118 6.00 14% 6.40    
9  COLPO D'ORO Sep03 Apr14 Apr07 Nov20   (ryan s)RIVERA R 113 12.00    
10  SKATE TO HEAVEN Aug10 Jul08 Jun10 Jul04 Apr16 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
 
BAQ-7   10/04/2023 5610ft TURF RC13 GOOD Pilgrim Purse ($200K) 2 ALL PT- 4:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIAM'S JOURNEY Sep10 Jul30       (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
SCR  TROPANDHAGEN Sep30 Sep03       (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
3  AGATE ROAD Sep02 Aug05       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
4  TIFAREEH Sep03 Aug06       (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00    
5  B D SAINTS Sep17 Aug23 Aug03 Jul14   (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
6  GET SPOOLED Aug31 Aug03       (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  TRIPLE ESPRESSO Sep09         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 38% 1.60    
8  FULMINEO Sep02 Jul26       (delacour arnaud)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00    
9  SPIRIT PRINCE Aug31 Jul22       (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 11% 8.10    
 
BAQ-8   10/04/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZZY IN THE SKY Aug30 Nov25 Oct28 Sep23 Aug25 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 23% 3.30    
2  FIRELINE Aug19 Jul01 May18 Nov04 Oct02 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 4.00    
3  ANATOLIAN Aug25 Jul26 Jul04 Jun01 Apr21 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00    
4  FROSTY O TOOLE Aug12 Jun09 Apr08 Mar08 Feb04 (dini mike)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00    
5  KNOW IT ALL AUDREY Aug09 Jul20 May26 Apr30 Apr21 (barrera s)ORTIZ L 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRETTI XTREME Aug30 Jul20 Apr07 Mar05 Jan28 (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 122 6.00    
7  MIRANDA'S ROCKY Aug22 Jul22 Jun18 Apr30 Feb02 (orseno f)RENDON JAIRO 120 10.00    
8  TOUGH STREET Aug30 Jul29 May18 Mar25 Mar03 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 126 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
BAQ-9   10/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FREDO Sep02 Jul28 Jun09 May14 Apr22 (sano antonio)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.00 13% 6.80    
2  HEATHGUARD Sep02 Mar26 Mar16 Feb18   (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 30.00    
3  SELL SOMETHING Aug05 Jul02 Jun10 May14 Apr16 (de horacio)ORTIZ JR 122 12.00    
4  CAPTURE THE FLAG Aug05 Jul30       (mcgaughey claude)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
5  NARCISO DALI Aug30 Aug13 Jan07 Dec01 Nov20 (chichakly amira)MARTIN MATTIE 111 30.00    
6  I'M VERY BUSY Sep02 Jul22 Nov04 Oct02 Aug13 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
7  YACOWLEF (IRE) Sep01         (sisterson jack)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
8  BE OF COURAGE Sep17 Aug27 Jul04 Jun09 May19 (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  FIGHTER IN THE WIN Jun24 May27 May04 Nov27 Oct21 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  VICTORS VALIANT Sep11 Oct03 Sep13 Aug25 Jul30 (bedard alan)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 30.00    
11  RUSE Sep02 Aug05 Jul03 Jun17 Sep15 (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  BAD TO THE BONES Sep02 Aug05 Jul01 May28 May03 (mott i)RIDER TBA 124 3.00    
SCR  LAFITTE'S FLEET Sep02 Aug19 Jul26 Jun15 May21 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.80    
SCR  SKYLANDER Sep16 Aug26 Jul03 Jun09 May11 (trites l)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.00    
 
BAQ-10   10/04/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 5:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG PRANKSTER         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  INSTAMATIC Aug24 Jul27       (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 119 2.00    
2  SORORITY PRANK Sep04         (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 8% 12.30    
3  ROB THE BANK Aug24         (brown r)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
SCR  SET         (motion graham)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 6.00    
5  SAVAGE SPIRIT Aug18 Jul27       (albertrani th)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
6  DRINKING SOLO Aug11         (falcone robe)RIVERA R 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  NANO MAN Sep03         (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 26% 2.80    
8  AZ U CHASE ME Sep04         (jimenez jose )MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
9  PRICE IS TRUTH Aug24 Jul27       (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 21% 3.70    
10  MITHRIDATES Aug24 Jul28 Jul15     (chichakly amira)MARTIN MATTIE 112 30.00    
11  WOKE UP QUICK Sep04         (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
SCR  FRATELLINO Sep21         (romero rafael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 15.00    
SCR  WONDER WONDERLAND         (romero rafael)RUIZ ELISEO 114 30.00    
SCR  SCORE THE ROCK Aug24         (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00    
SCR  KHADULLAH Sep04 Aug18 Jul16 Jun23 May28 (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 114 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.