Handicappers' Race Results
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Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - September 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
BAQ-1   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $10.00  
BAQ-2   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $6.30  
BAQ-3   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $8.90  
BAQ-4   Win (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $26.00 $26.00 20.00
BAQ-5   Win (6/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
BAQ-6   Win (6/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $8.30 $8.30 0.30
BAQ-7   Win (8/1/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $7.00 $7.00  
BAQ-8   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $2.90 $2.90  
BAQ-9   Win (7/5/6/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 0 $194.50  
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   09/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:222 :461 1:101     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SHAKY PANTS 4 1 2½ 21   12 13¼ (sharp joe)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 2.50 4.00  
6  NEW YORK STRONG 6 2 33½ 32   35 23¼ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.20 50% 1.00 0.90 P
3  WAR STRIDE 3 3 1½ 11   22 33½ (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 121 15.00 11.20  
1  TREBLE CLEF 1 5 58 56   612 416½ (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 13% 6.70 2.80  
5  PARTY WITH SMARTY 5 4 44½ 43½   511 516¾ (gutierrez james)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00 22.40  
2  MOON FROLIC 2 6 610½ 67   411 6100 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 10% 9.40 10.70  
 
BAQ-2   09/17/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
See original race card.
:224 :453 :571     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KERRY 3 4 31½ 31½   2nk 1¼ (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 2.15  
5  MASTEROF THE TUNES 5 6 73¾ 73½   61 2¼ (lee joseph)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 8.60  
6  IM JUST KIDDIN 6 5 52 52   3.2 3¼ (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 35% 1.80 2.90 S
1  ITSAKEYPER 1 7 63½ 63   71½ 41½ (albertrani th)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 5.00 5.90  
7  THEODORA GRACE 7 1 41½ 41½   5¾ 51¾ (klesaris rob)RIVERA R 117 12.00 25.00  
2  GET THE CANDY 2 2 1½ 1½   1nk 62½ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50 29% 2.50 4.60  
4  FONTANAFREDDA 4 3 2½ 2½   4¾ 74¼ (bond jam)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 6% 15.60 5.30  
SCR  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN               (walder r)CASTELLANO J 124 2.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:111 1:232   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MESSIDOR (IRE) 1 4 59 58½ 53 1nk 1nk (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 122 4.50 ★ 3.45  
4  ADAAY IN ASIA (GB) 2 6 46½ 45½ 42½ 2nk 2nk (clement christoph)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 13.30  
6  FAVOR 5 3 34 33 31½ 41½ 31½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 4.40  
5  TRAFFIC SONG 3 2 21 21 2½ 52 48 (toner j)ORTIZ L 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
7  OK HONEY 6 5 612½ 611 69 610 514¼ (chichakly ami)MARTINEZ R 122 50.00 45.25  
1  FAITH IN HUMANITY (FR) 4 1 11 11 1½ 3½ 614¾ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 124 0.60 69% 0.50 0.70  
SCR  BALPOOL               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
SCR  GERRYMANDER               (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 0.60    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 2.00    
SCR  TAKNTOTHECLEANERS               (west w)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 10.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 2:39
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RINGY DINGY 6 1 41¼ 32   1nk 11¾ (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00 5% 19.00 12.00 W
8  VALUE AREA 8 4 3.2 11   2nk 21¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 21% 3.90 5.70 P
1A  CATHERINE WHEEL 2 3 51¼ 42½   35½ 32½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.20 59% 0.70 0.30  
1  MARTINGALE 1 6 62¼ 65   57½ 47½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.20 ★ 0.30  
5  MATAGORA BAY 5 2 1nk 21   46 58¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 ★ 23.00  
4  MONTEGO BAY (IRE) 4 5 2nk 53½   610½ 614¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 10.00  
7  ALTHENA 7 7 76¾ 87½   714½ 720 (paragallo jenn)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 50.00 58.75  
3  WAKE UP LAUREN 3 8 87¾ 77   817½ 824¼ (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 13.30  
SCR  AUDACIOUS               (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:133 1:37   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  B D SAINTS 6 5 1½ 11 11½ 14½ 14¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 34% 1.90 2.40 W
7  EZ ROLL 7 7 65½ 74¼ 52¾ 24½ 24¾ (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00 17.70  
1  ERIC FROM MIAMI 1 8 98 95¼ 106 108 38¼ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 8.50 S
9  VIN SANTO 9 9 108½ 105¾ 95 87¾ 48¼ (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 119 4.50 ★ 6.40  
4  DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY 4 10 88 85¼ 84¾ 77¾ 58½ (paragallo jenn)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 20.00 77.00  
10  BENZODINI 10 4 2½ 21 21½ 35 68¾ (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 12.80  
3  FROZEN FOUR 3 3 76½ 54 64¼ 46½ 79½ (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 20% 4.00 2.90  
5  CHARGING FAST 5 2 55 64 74¼ 98 89½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 25% 3.10 3.50  
2  DILLON 2 1 32 32½ 42½ 56½ 99½ (schettino do)RIVERA R 114 20.00 56.25  
8  A KNIGHT'S COURAGE 8 6 42½ 43 32½ 66¾ 1010¼ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 37.75  
SCR  KING FREUD               (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00    
SCR  PATRONAGE               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
SCR  SCOOP THE POT               (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
SCR  SEBASTIANTHE FIRST               (delgado h)LUZZI J 119 8.00    
SCR  SPECIALAGENTJONSON               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:113 1:233   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  QUALITY G 6 8 75 77½ 53 1nk 11¼ (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 58% 0.70 3.15 W
1  EXTREME ACCESS 1 1 32 32½ 31½ 2nk 21¼ (falcone robe)RIVERA R 115 10.00 9.70  
9  MIRACLE MIKE 9 10 1010¾ 1011½ 107¾ 53¾ 32½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 4.00  
5  WILLINTORISKITALL 5 4 54½ 56½ 63½ 4¾ 43¼ (d'angelo fr)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 11% 8.50 6.10  
4  KINGFISH STEVENS 4 3 11 11½ 11 3.2 54 (kantarmaci mertka)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00 8% 12.00 3.85  
11  FRONT MAN 10 9 87½ 99½ 96¾ 64¾ 65¾ (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00 15.60  
3  BRICCO 3 5 97¾ 88½ 76 85¾ 77¾ (bond james)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 5% 19.00 25.00  
2  LORD GATLING 2 2 65 66½ 86½ 96¼ 810¼ (pringle )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00 86.25  
7  MISTER ABARRIO 7 7 43 43½ 43 106¾ 910½ (atras rob)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 ★ 6.30  
8  CARLIN CLAN 8 6 21 21½ 21 75¾ 1010½ (falcone n)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00 13.40  
SCR  ADDICTED TO YOU               (sciacca ga)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 30.00    
SCR  BLAME D RULE MAKER               (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
SCR  FREDO               (sano antonio)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.00    
SCR  MUDVILLE NINE               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
SCR  SKI PATROL               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
SCR  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB)               (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50    
 
BAQ-7   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOVING PICTURES 1 3 32½ 52   51¼ 11½ (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 116 4.50 9% 9.80 2.50 W
7  MAKAR 6 7 53¼ 41½   31 21½ (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 5% 19.00 5.60 P
8  HATCH (GB) 7 5 63¾ 63   61¾ 32¼ (martin f)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.40 61% 0.60 1.40 S
2  EXCESS DEMAND 2 2 2nk 2½   41 42¼ (potts wayn)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00 21.30  
9  KBCYA LATER 8 4 42¾ 31   2½ 53½ (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 8% 11.20 4.40  
6  DADS GOOD RUNNER 5 8 85¾ 77   75¼ 64¼ (fisher linda)MARTINEZ R 123 30.00 25.75  
5  SARATOGA BANKER 4 1 1nk 1½   1½ 75¾ (dini mik)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 19.50  
3  M B'S MUNNING 3 6 75¼ 87½   813¼ 817¼ (potts wayne)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00 28.50  
SCR  HYPER SPEED               (englehart jerem)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
 
BAQ-8   09/17/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:252 :51 1:153 1:384   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FILM STAR 3 1 11 11 11 13½ 16¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.40 38% 1.60 0.45 W
7  CONSTITUTIONLAWYER 5 4 42 41½ 21 23½ 26¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 7.00  
4  IRON WORKS 4 2 21 21 31 37½ 38¼ (pletcher t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 33% 2.00 5.20 S
2  WILD BANKER 2 5 52½ 52½ 53 410½ 412¼ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 4.50  
1  SOUTHERN DISTRICT 1 3 31 31 42½ 513 515¼ (de horac)RIVERA R 117 15.00 19.30  
SCR  COSTA TERRA               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.00    
SCR  LAUGHING BOY               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 20.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:23 :482 1:131 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GIRAMONTE 3 1 2nk 11½ 11½ 1½ 1½ (gyarmati leah)MARTINEZ R 122 50.00 96.25  
12  P MONEY 12 2 1nk 21½ 21½ 2½ 2½ (klesaris rob)RIVERA R 113 20.00 53.00  
8  SHINSUN 8 12 1111¾ 108¼ 97¼ 75¼ 31 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 8.10  
1  TIMBUKTU 1 8 89¼ 86¾ 76¼ 64¾ 41 (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 11% 8.20 3.20  
4  BARREL OF QUESTS 4 6 33½ 43½ 32½ 32½ 51½ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00 5% 19.00 53.25  
11  BE OF COURAGE 11 9 1011¼ 129¾ 1210½ 106¼ 62 (pregman jr)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 3.40  
7  LACHAISE 7 4 67¾ 55 54 54½ 73 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 27% 2.70 3.60  
9  MORETHANAFEELING 9 3 43¾ 33½ 42½ 42½ 83¼ (servis tyler)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 27.75  
2  SONIC SPEED 2 7 99¾ 97¾ 107½ 96¼ 93¼ (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 10.30  
6  WHISTLER'S HONOR 6 10 78¼ 76¾ 86¼ 116¾ 103½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 14% 6.20 9.30  
10  NOBLE HUNTSMAN 10 11 1211¾ 119¼ 118 127¾ 115¾ (friedman mitchell)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00 55.00  
5  BOURBON CHASE 5 5 56¼ 65¼ 64¼ 85¾ 1210 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 24% 3.20 7.50  
SCR  ACHILLES HEEL               (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 117 8.00    
SCR  MR. KRINGLE               (terranova p)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00    
SCR  SELL SOMETHING               (sciacca gary)LEZCANO JOSE 122 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.