Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - September 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(6/2/4)-(1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(1/5)-(1/8/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/5)-(1/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(1/8/6)-(6/5/3/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/6)-(1/8/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/6)-(1/8/6/5)-(1/8/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/8/6)-(6/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6)-(6/5/3/1)-(6/5/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (6/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/3/1)-(6/5/3/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/3/1)-(6/5/3/9/1)-(6/5/3/9/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/3/1)-(6/5/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3/1)-(6/5/4/3)-(8/1/9/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (6/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/4/3)-(6/5/4/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/5/4/3)-(6/5/4/7/3)-(6/5/4/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/5/4/3)-(8/1/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/4/3)-(8/1/9/7)-(3/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (8/1/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/9/7)-(8/1/9/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/9/7)-(8/1/9/7)-(8/1/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/9/7)-(3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/1/9/7)-(3/4)-(7/5/6/1/4) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/4)-(7/5/6/1/4) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (7/5/6/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/1/4)-(7/5/6/1/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/1/4)-(7/5/6/1/4)-(7/5/6/1/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   09/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TREBLE CLEF         (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 13% 6.70    
  (by ARROGATE out of UNO DUO by MACHO UNO)
2  MOON FROLIC         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 10% 9.40    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of FASHIONABLE FROLIC by OLD FASHIONED)
3  WAR STRIDE Aug11         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 121 15.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of MUDREQAH by SEEKING THE GOLD)
4  SHAKY PANTS Aug20 Sep24       (sharp joe)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 2.50    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of LA SOUL by PERFECT SOUL (IRE))
5  PARTY WITH SMARTY Aug26 Aug04 Jul15     (gutierrez james)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of GHOST MAGI by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  NEW YORK STRONG         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.20 50% 1.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FASHION WEEK by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
BAQ-2   09/17/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITSAKEYPER Aug31 Jul23 Jun16 May12 Apr19 (albertrani )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 5.00    
2  GET THE CANDY Aug26 Jun24 May27 Apr22 Oct15 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
3  KERRY Aug27 Jul29 Jun24 Mar29 Aug21 (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
4  FONTANAFREDDA Jul23 May07 Apr16 Nov17 Oct15 (bond j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 6% 15.60    
5  MASTEROF THE TUNES Aug31 Jul19 Jun25 May14 Apr22 (lee joseph)ORTIZ L 124 6.00    
6  IM JUST KIDDIN Aug16 Jul19 Jun24 May29 Apr22 (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
7  THEODORA GRACE Oct20 Sep16 Aug12 Jun26 May14 (klesaris r)RIVERA R 117 12.00    
SCR  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Aug20 Jul20 May14 Apr25 Mar31 (walder peter)CASTELLANO J 124 2.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FAITH IN HUMANITY (FR) Mar04 Sep18 Aug25 Jul24   (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 124 0.60 69% 0.50    
SCR  GERRYMANDER Aug19 Jul19 Jun24 May06 Apr07 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 0.60    
2  MESSIDOR (IRE) Jul13 Jun09 May07 Nov20 Oct22 (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  TAKNTOTHECLEANERS Aug10 Jul01 May29 Mar10 Dec28 (west ethan )ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 10.00    
4  ADAAY IN ASIA (GB) Aug02 Jul03 Jun03     (clement christo)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00    
5  TRAFFIC SONG Aug02 May20 Mar25 Jan29 Dec29 (toner j)ORTIZ L 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  FAVOR Aug19 Jul19 Dec09 Jul14 May20 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00    
7  OK HONEY Sep01 Aug03 Jul26 Jul07 Jun16 (chichakly ami)OLVER MADISON 122 50.00    
SCR  BALPOOL Jul01 May19 Apr29 Apr07 Mar10 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY Jun24 Jun16 May26 Apr16 Mar25 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 2.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 2:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARTINGALE         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.20 ★    
  (by CURLIN out of SI SI TEQUILA by YES IT'S TRUE)
1A  CATHERINE WHEEL Aug20         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.20 59% 0.70    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SUCCEEDING by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  AUDACIOUS         (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of VERACITY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  WAKE UP LAUREN         (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of WEB O' GOLD by HARD SPUN)
4  MONTEGO BAY (IRE)         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ALWAYS ON MY MIND by CONGRATS)
5  MATAGORA BAY         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 ★    
  (by BERNARDINI out of SKY WALK by SKYWALKER)
6  RINGY DINGY Jul30         (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of WIND CAPER by TOUCH GOLD)
7  ALTHENA Aug30 Aug13       (paragallo je)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 50.00    
  (by BLAME out of STARLESS NIGHT by GRAND SLAM)
8  VALUE AREA Aug06         (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 4.00 21% 3.90    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HER SMILE by INCLUDE)
 
BAQ-5   09/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ERIC FROM MIAMI Aug18 Jul28       (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of BERNADINE by BLASE)
2  DILLON Aug03         (schettino )RIVERA R 114 20.00    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of COLORFULL SEATTLE by AIRDRIE APACHE)
3  FROZEN FOUR Aug18 Aug03       (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 20% 4.00    
  (by FROSTED out of DIVINE LUCK by LUCKY NORTH)
4  DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY         (paragallo je)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 20.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of CHARMING EMMY by SKY MESA)
5  CHARGING FAST         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 25% 3.10    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  B D SAINTS Aug23 Aug03 Jul14     (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by LAOBAN out of WINSANITY by TAPIZAR)
7  EZ ROLL Aug23 Jul28       (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
  (by ENTICED out of DADDYSNEVERREADY by SCAT DADDY)
8  A KNIGHT'S COURAGE Aug18 Aug03 Jul16 Jun23   (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SOIGNE by INCLUDE)
9  VIN SANTO Sep02         (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 119 4.50 ★    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of CARAGH QUEEN by HARD SPUN)
10  BENZODINI Aug23         (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of KARAKORUM ELEKTRA by FREUD)
SCR  SCOOP THE POT Aug03         (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of KITTY MADDNES by COURAGEOUS CAT)
SCR  SPECIALAGENTJONSON Aug03 Jul07       (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
  (by KLIMT out of ALB by PULPIT)
SCR  SEBASTIANTHE FIRST Aug24         (delgado h)LUZZI J 119 8.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of HOT SPARK by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  PATRONAGE Aug24         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of BELLA CARA by TRICKY CREEK)
SCR  KING FREUD Aug24         (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00    
  (by FREUD out of FOLLOW MY LUCK by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
BAQ-6   09/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXTREME ACCESS Aug11 May27 May14 Apr07 Feb24 (falcone ro)RIVERA R 115 10.00    
2  LORD GATLING Aug03 Jul01 May13 Apr16 Mar26 (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00    
3  BRICCO May28 May14 Apr16 Nov05 Jul22 (bond jam)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  KINGFISH STEVENS Aug10 Jul13 Jul01 May20 Apr16 (kantarmaci mert)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00 8% 12.00    
5  WILLINTORISKITALL Aug17 Jul20 Jun11 May05   (d'angelo jose )ORTIZ L 118 4.50 11% 8.50    
6  QUALITY G Jul26 Jun10 Jun26 May29 May05 (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 58% 0.70    
7  MISTER ABARRIO Jul28 Jun25 Jun04 Mar22 Feb23 (atras rob)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 ★    
8  CARLIN CLAN Jun11 May27 Apr15 Mar03 Feb04 (falcone robert)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00    
9  MIRACLE MIKE Aug27 Aug10 Jul01 May13 Mar26 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
SCR  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB) Jul26 Oct29 Aug25 Jun25 Apr15 (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50    
11  FRONT MAN Aug16 Jul13 Jun17 Oct23 Sep30 (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00    
SCR  BLAME D RULE MAKER Aug19 Jun04 Apr15 Feb25 Jan07 (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
SCR  FREDO Sep02 Jul28 Jun09 May14 Apr22 (sano antoni)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.00    
SCR  SKI PATROL Sep03 Jul28 May06 Mar17 Jan29 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
SCR  ADDICTED TO YOU Jul26 Jun25 May26 Apr22 Dec02 (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 30.00    
SCR  MUDVILLE NINE Aug20 Jul30 Jun01 Apr14 Mar18 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOVING PICTURES Aug31 Aug10 Jul07 May26 May20 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 116 4.50 9% 9.80    
2  EXCESS DEMAND Sep01 Jul29 Jul19 Jun23 May13 (potts wa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
3  M B'S MUNNING Aug25 Aug13 Nov11     (potts wayne)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
SCR  HYPER SPEED Aug15 Jul24 Jun21 May23 Apr27 (englehart jer)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
5  SARATOGA BANKER Feb20 Jan15 Dec17 Nov17 Oct22 (dini m)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
6  DADS GOOD RUNNER Jul07 Jun23 Jun11 May20 Apr29 (fisher lind)MARTINEZ R 123 30.00    
7  MAKAR Jul07 Jun09 Apr23 Mar04 Nov17 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  HATCH (GB) Sep01 Jul29 Jun23 May21 May05 (martin carlos)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.40 61% 0.60    
9  KBCYA LATER Jul29 Oct09 Sep08 Aug14 Jul21 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 8% 11.20    
 
BAQ-8   09/17/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOUTHERN DISTRICT Aug22 Jul08 May29 May06 Mar19 (de hor)RIVERA R 117 15.00    
2  WILD BANKER Aug02 Jun11 May11 Apr14 Mar10 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
3  FILM STAR Sep03 Aug13 Jul16 Jul01 May21 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.40 38% 1.60    
4  IRON WORKS Jun09 Apr30 Mar12 Apr09 Feb04 (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  COSTA TERRA Aug18 Aug09 Jul21 Jul01 May13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.00    
SCR  LAUGHING BOY Sep06 Aug04 Jul02 Jun04 Apr30 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 20.00    
7  CONSTITUTIONLAWYER Jul21 May21 Apr07 Nov19 Oct22 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMBUKTU Aug03 Jul01 May11 Apr13 Feb26 (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 11% 8.20    
2  SONIC SPEED Aug27 Jul14 Jun22 May28 Dec16 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00    
3  GIRAMONTE May26 Jan21 Jan01 Nov26 Nov05 (gyarmati le)MARTINEZ R 122 50.00    
4  BARREL OF QUESTS Jul02 Jun10 May19 Apr08 Sep04 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  BOURBON CHASE Aug18 Jul21 May11 Apr01 Jan28 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 24% 3.20    
6  WHISTLER'S HONOR Aug27 Jul02 Jul15 May30   (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 14% 6.20    
7  LACHAISE Jun25 Jun03 Oct02 Aug04   (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
8  SHINSUN Aug16 Jul01 May11 Oct29 Aug17 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
9  MORETHANAFEELING Aug09 Jul03 May29 May11 Mar26 (servis tyler)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
10  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Aug27 Aug05 Jul28 Jul02 Jun09 (friedman mitche)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
11  BE OF COURAGE Aug27 Jul04 Jun09 May19 Apr15 (pregman j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
12  P MONEY Aug03 Jan27 Dec30     (klesaris r)RIVERA R 113 20.00    
SCR  MR. KRINGLE Aug03 Jun09 May14 Apr13 Feb12 (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00    
SCR  SELL SOMETHING Aug05 Jul02 Jun10 May14 Apr16 (sciacca gary)LEZCANO JOSE 122 30.00    
SCR  ACHILLES HEEL Aug16 Jul22 Jul03 May11 Apr20 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 117 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.