Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - September 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-2   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-3   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-4   Win (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-5   Win (6/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-6   Win (6/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-7   Win (8/1/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-8   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-9   Win (7/5/6/1/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   09/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TREBLE CLEF         (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 13% 6.70    
MOON FROLIC         (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00 10% 9.40    
WAR STRIDE Aug11         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 121 15.00    
SHAKY PANTS Aug20 Sep24       (sharp joe)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 2.50    
PARTY WITH SMARTY Aug26 Aug04 Jul15     (gutierrez james)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00    
NEW YORK STRONG         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.20 50% 1.00    
 
BAQ-2   09/17/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITSAKEYPER Aug31 Jul23 Jun16 May12 Apr19 (albertrani th)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 5.00    
GET THE CANDY Aug26 Jun24 May27 Apr22 Oct15 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50 29% 2.50    
KERRY Aug27 Jul29 Jun24 Mar29 Aug21 (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
FONTANAFREDDA Jul23 May07 Apr16 Nov17 Oct15 (bond jam)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 6% 15.60    
MASTEROF THE TUNES Aug31 Jul19 Jun25 May14 Apr22 (lee joseph)ORTIZ L 124 6.00    
IM JUST KIDDIN Aug16 Jul19 Jun24 May29 Apr22 (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
THEODORA GRACE Oct20 Sep16 Aug12 Jun26 May14 (klesaris rob)RIVERA R 117 12.00    
SCR  SUE ELLEN MISHKIN Aug20 Jul20 May14 Apr25 Mar31 (walder r)CASTELLANO J 124 2.00    
 
BAQ-3   09/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FAITH IN HUMANITY (FR) Mar04 Sep18 Aug25 Jul24   (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 124 0.60 69% 0.50    
SCR  GERRYMANDER Aug19 Jul19 Jun24 May06 Apr07 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 122 0.60    
MESSIDOR (IRE) Jul13 Jun09 May07 Nov20 Oct22 (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 122 4.50    
SCR  TAKNTOTHECLEANERS Aug10 Jul01 May29 Mar10 Dec28 (west w)ALVARADO JUNIOR 126 10.00    
ADAAY IN ASIA (GB) Aug02 Jul03 Jun03     (clement christoph)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00    
TRAFFIC SONG Aug02 May20 Mar25 Jan29 Dec29 (toner j)ORTIZ L 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
FAVOR Aug19 Jul19 Dec09 Jul14 May20 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00    
OK HONEY Sep01 Aug03 Jul26 Jul07 Jun16 (chichakly amira)OLVER MADISON 122 50.00    
SCR  BALPOOL Jul01 May19 Apr29 Apr07 Mar10 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
SCR  MOVIE MOXY Jun24 Jun16 May26 Apr16 Mar25 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 2.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 2:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARTINGALE         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.20    
1A  CATHERINE WHEEL Aug20         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.20 59% 0.70    
SCR  AUDACIOUS         (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00    
WAKE UP LAUREN         (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00    
MONTEGO BAY (IRE)         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
MATAGORA BAY         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00    
RINGY DINGY Jul30         (gargan danny)DAVIS KATIE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
ALTHENA Aug30 Aug13       (paragallo jenn)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 50.00    
VALUE AREA Aug06         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 21% 3.90    
 
BAQ-5   09/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ERIC FROM MIAMI Aug18 Jul28       (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
DILLON Aug03         (schettino do)RIVERA R 114 20.00    
FROZEN FOUR Aug18 Aug03       (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 20% 4.00    
DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY         (paragallo jenn)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 20.00    
CHARGING FAST         (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 3.50 25% 3.10    
B D SAINTS Aug23 Aug03 Jul14     (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 3.00 34% 1.90    
EZ ROLL Aug23 Jul28       (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 119 12.00    
A KNIGHT'S COURAGE Aug18 Aug03 Jul16 Jun23   (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
VIN SANTO Sep02         (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 119 4.50    
10  BENZODINI Aug23         (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
SCR  SCOOP THE POT Aug03         (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
SCR  SPECIALAGENTJONSON Aug03 Jul07       (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
SCR  SEBASTIANTHE FIRST Aug24         (delgado h)LUZZI J 119 8.00    
SCR  PATRONAGE Aug24         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50    
SCR  KING FREUD Aug24         (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 12.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/17/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXTREME ACCESS Aug11 May27 May14 Apr07 Feb24 (falcone robe)RIVERA R 115 10.00    
LORD GATLING Aug03 Jul01 May13 Apr16 Mar26 (pringle )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00    
BRICCO May28 May14 Apr16 Nov05 Jul22 (bond james)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
KINGFISH STEVENS Aug10 Jul13 Jul01 May20 Apr16 (kantarmaci mertka)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00 8% 12.00    
WILLINTORISKITALL Aug17 Jul20 Jun11 May05   (d'angelo fr)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 11% 8.50    
QUALITY G Jul26 Jun10 Jun26 May29 May05 (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 58% 0.70    
MISTER ABARRIO Jul28 Jun25 Jun04 Mar22 Feb23 (atras rob)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00    
CARLIN CLAN Jun11 May27 Apr15 Mar03 Feb04 (falcone n)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 12.00    
MIRACLE MIKE Aug27 Aug10 Jul01 May13 Mar26 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
SCR  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB) Jul26 Oct29 Aug25 Jun25 Apr15 (hennig mark)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.50    
11  FRONT MAN Aug16 Jul13 Jun17 Oct23 Sep30 (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00    
SCR  BLAME D RULE MAKER Aug19 Jun04 Apr15 Feb25 Jan07 (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
SCR  FREDO Sep02 Jul28 Jun09 May14 Apr22 (sano antonio)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.00    
SCR  SKI PATROL Sep03 Jul28 May06 Mar17 Jan29 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
SCR  ADDICTED TO YOU Jul26 Jun25 May26 Apr22 Dec02 (sciacca ga)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 30.00    
SCR  MUDVILLE NINE Aug20 Jul30 Jun01 Apr14 Mar18 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 118 8.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOVING PICTURES Aug31 Aug10 Jul07 May26 May20 (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 116 4.50 9% 9.80    
EXCESS DEMAND Sep01 Jul29 Jul19 Jun23 May13 (potts wayn)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 12.00    
M B'S MUNNING Aug25 Aug13 Nov11     (potts wayne)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 15.00    
SCR  HYPER SPEED Aug15 Jul24 Jun21 May23 Apr27 (englehart jerem)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
SARATOGA BANKER Feb20 Jan15 Dec17 Nov17 Oct22 (dini mik)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
DADS GOOD RUNNER Jul07 Jun23 Jun11 May20 Apr29 (fisher linda)MARTINEZ R 123 30.00    
MAKAR Jul07 Jun09 Apr23 Mar04 Nov17 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
HATCH (GB) Sep01 Jul29 Jun23 May21 May05 (martin f)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.40 61% 0.60    
KBCYA LATER Jul29 Oct09 Sep08 Aug14 Jul21 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 8% 11.20    
 
BAQ-8   09/17/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUTHERN DISTRICT Aug22 Jul08 May29 May06 Mar19 (de horac)RIVERA R 117 15.00    
WILD BANKER Aug02 Jun11 May11 Apr14 Mar10 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
FILM STAR Sep03 Aug13 Jul16 Jul01 May21 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 1.40 38% 1.60    
IRON WORKS Jun09 Apr30 Mar12 Apr09 Feb04 (pletcher t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 5.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  COSTA TERRA Aug18 Aug09 Jul21 Jul01 May13 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.00    
SCR  LAUGHING BOY Sep06 Aug04 Jul02 Jun04 Apr30 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 20.00    
CONSTITUTIONLAWYER Jul21 May21 Apr07 Nov19 Oct22 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 6.00    
 
BAQ-9   09/17/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMBUKTU Aug03 Jul01 May11 Apr13 Feb26 (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 11% 8.20    
SONIC SPEED Aug27 Jul14 Jun22 May28 Dec16 (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00    
GIRAMONTE May26 Jan21 Jan01 Nov26 Nov05 (gyarmati leah)MARTINEZ R 122 50.00    
BARREL OF QUESTS Jul02 Jun10 May19 Apr08 Sep04 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
BOURBON CHASE Aug18 Jul21 May11 Apr01 Jan28 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 24% 3.20    
WHISTLER'S HONOR Aug27 Jul02 Jul15 May30   (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 6.00 14% 6.20    
LACHAISE Jun25 Jun03 Oct02 Aug04   (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
SHINSUN Aug16 Jul01 May11 Oct29 Aug17 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00    
MORETHANAFEELING Aug09 Jul03 May29 May11 Mar26 (servis tyler)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
10  NOBLE HUNTSMAN Aug27 Aug05 Jul28 Jul02 Jun09 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
11  BE OF COURAGE Aug27 Jul04 Jun09 May19 Apr15 (pregman jr)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
12  P MONEY Aug03 Jan27 Dec30     (klesaris rob)RIVERA R 113 20.00    
SCR  MR. KRINGLE Aug03 Jun09 May14 Apr13 Feb12 (terranova p)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00    
SCR  SELL SOMETHING Aug05 Jul02 Jun10 May14 Apr16 (sciacca gary)LEZCANO JOSE 122 30.00    
SCR  ACHILLES HEEL Aug16 Jul22 Jul03 May11 Apr20 (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 117 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.