The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $10.20 -6.00
    Exacta (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 7-6 2 0 $9.90 -6.00
    Trifecta (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 7-6-4 3 0 $32.00 -3.00
BAQ-2   Win (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
    Exacta (6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-7 2 1 $9.40 $9.40 3.40
    Trifecta (6/7/2)-(6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 6-7-5 3 0 $51.00 -3.00
    Daily Double (6/3/1)-(6/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 7-6 2 0 $15.20 -9.00
BAQ-3   Win (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $9.10 $9.10 3.10
    Exacta (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-2 2 0 $26.50 -6.00
    Trifecta (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 6-2-1 3 0 $55.62 -3.00
    Daily Double (6/7/2)-(5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 6-6 2 1 $15.80 $15.80 6.80
    Pick Three (6/3/1)-(6/7/2)-(5/1/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 7-6-6 3 0 $70.50 -27.00
BAQ-4   Win (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $17.20 -4.00
    Exacta (6/3)-(6/7/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 2-3 2 0 $34.75 -4.00
    Trifecta (6/3)-(6/7/3)-(6/7/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 2-3-8 3 0 $71.62 -2.00
    Daily Double (5/1/6)-(6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-2 2 0 $55.50 -6.00
    Pick Three (6/7/2)-(5/1/6)-(6/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 6-6-2 3 0 $137.25 -18.00
BAQ-5   Win (6/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $13.00 $13.00 5.00
    Exacta (6/7/2/5)-(6/7/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-1 2 0 $30.25 -12.00
    Trifecta (6/7/2/5)-(6/7/2/5)-(6/7/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 2-1-3 3 0 $64.25 -12.00
    Daily Double (6/3)-(6/7/2/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 2-2 2 0 $52.75 -8.00
    Pick Three (5/1/6)-(6/3)-(6/7/2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 6-2-2 3 0 $282.50 -24.00
BAQ-6   Win (7/2/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -3.20
    Exacta (7/2/8/10)-(7/2/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-6 2 0 $13.70 -12.00
    Trifecta (7/2/8/10)-(7/2/8/10)-(7/2/8/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 7-6-2 3 0 $18.50 -12.00
    Daily Double (6/7/2/5)-(7/2/8/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 2-7 2 1 $13.50 $13.50 -2.50
    Pick Three (6/3)-(6/7/2/5)-(7/2/8/10) 32 $1.00 $32.00 2-2-7 3 0 $106.25 -32.00
BAQ-7   Win (7/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $19.40 -6.00
    Exacta (7/3/8)-(7/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-3 2 0 $39.50 -6.00
    Trifecta (7/3/8)-(7/3/8)-(7/3/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-3-1 3 0 $62.50 -3.00
    Daily Double (7/2/8/10)-(7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-2 2 0 $28.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (6/7/2/5)-(7/2/8/10)-(7/3/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 2-7-2 3 0 $167.75 -48.00
BAQ-8   Win (6/10/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -2.40
    Exacta (6/10/1/3)-(6/10/1/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 1-6 2 1 $6.40 $6.40 -9.60
    Trifecta (6/10/1/3)-(6/10/1/3/2)-(6/10/1/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 1-6-3 3 1 $30.25 $30.25 6.25
    Daily Double (7/3/8)-(6/10/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-1 2 0 $29.25 -12.00
    Pick Three (7/2/8/10)-(7/3/8)-(6/10/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 7-2-1 3 0 $74.50 -48.00
BAQ-9   Win (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
    Exacta (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-3 2 1 $26.00 $26.00 20.00
    Trifecta (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 6-3-7 3 0 $56.12 -3.00
    Daily Double (6/10/1/3)-(6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 1-6 2 1 $4.45 $4.45 -7.55
    Pick Three (7/3/8)-(6/10/1/3)-(6/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 2-1-6 3 0 $87.75 -36.00
BAQ-10   Win (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $9.10 -6.00
    Exacta (6/7/3)-(6/7/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-10 2 0 $31.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (6/7/3)-(6/7/5/8/3)-(6/7/5/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 5-10-6 3 0 $43.87 -18.00
    Daily Double (6/1/3)-(6/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 6-5 2 0 $13.00 -9.00
    Pick Three (6/10/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/7/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 1-6-5 3 0 $24.10 -36.00

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
:224 :46 1:102     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIVATE DESIRE 7 2 11 1½   1nk 1(pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 119 4.00 4.10  
HURRICANE NELSON 6 1 21 2½   2nk 2(clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 44% 1.30 1.10 P
HEARTENED 4 7 67 612   611¾ 312¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 18.90  
IGNITE THE LIGHT 2 3 43 58   410½ 413½ (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 14.50  
COMMANDER OF TRUTH 3 6 32 35   38 514½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 17% 4.80 3.45  
BOUNTEOUS 5 4 7 716½   714¾ 617¾ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 10.30  
HEDGE THE RISK 1 5 5 4   510¾ 719½ (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 16% 5.30 9.10  
 
BAQ-2   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:36
:222 :461 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VICTORIOUS WAVE 6 2 32 31   1½ 11 (englehart chris)ORTIZ L 123 1.80 30% 2.30 2.60 W
OCEAN'S RESERVE 7 4 5 53   42 21 (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 123 1.60 27% 2.70 2.45 P
KOOL KATHMANDU 5 1 2½ 2½   2½ 3(baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 8.30  
CAPONE 4 3 4 4   53 4(dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 5.30  
BEZOS 1 5 1½ 1½   32 5(fisher lin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 30.00 27.25  
SUGAR GRAY LEONARD 2 6 6 6   67 6(dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 22% 3.50 2.70  
LEDDY 3 7 78 7   77(goberdhan chandr)RICHARDS G 121 20.00 15.70  
 
BAQ-3   09/16/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
:234 :473 1:113 1:344   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RHIANNON 6 2 2 21 2nk 117 (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 10% 9.10 3.55 W
AKAYLA (IRE) 2 3 33 43 4 327 (brown c)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 3.50  
WAR PRINCESS 1 1 1 11 1nk 239 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 28% 2.60 5.40 S
VANISHED 5 4 4 3 3 48 411¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 36% 1.80 4.20  
AFRICAN WATERS 4 6 7 7 7 510 511¾ (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 3.15  
PIPPI LONGSTOCKING 7 7 66 6 67 711 612 (mott i)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 15.30  
MISS OUR HERO 3 5 54 55 56 611 716 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00 8.50  
SCR  RAYYA VALENTINE               (summers chad)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
:223 :462 1:112     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIR SHOW 1 6 4 3   31 12 (rodriguez rudy)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00 7.60  
QUICKFLASH 2 3 2nk 2nk   2½ 22 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00 3.65 P
POPPY'S PRIDE 6 4 1nk 1nk   1½ 32 (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 4.00 4.80  
FLAMINGO HAWK 5 5 6 6   65 44 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50 2.70  
PRINCE JAMES 4 1 5 42   55(jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 2.00 4.50  
BUSTIN SHOUT 3 2 32 5   46(levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 60% 0.70 3.15  
SCR  JOKER BOY               (jacobson david)DAVIS KATIE 123 2.00    
SCR  NEVER EARLY               (englehart jeffr)OLVER MADISON 116 10.00    
SCR  WINNING DRIVE               (kantarmaci)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/16/2023 7260ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
:244 :492 1:144 1:394 2:042 2:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATCH THAT PARTY 2 888 89 8 71(maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.50 22% 3.50 5.50 W
CYBER NINJA 1 65 5 6 6 52(mott i)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 3.90  
ROYAL SPIRIT 3 221 2 2 1nk 3(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00 6.40  
LAUREL VALLEY 8 111 1 1 2nk 4(maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00 28.50  
HOLD THE SALSA 4 33 3 3 44 42 5(lugovich lisa)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00 22.60  
SCRAMBLE 7 55 6 46 34 36(tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 27% 2.80 3.50  
RAMBLIN' WRECK 6 776 7 5 63 75 (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 28% 2.60 1.60  
BEE MAJOR 5 44 43 5 7 816¼ 825¼ (de horac)RIVERA R 117 15.00 5% 19.00 34.75  
SCR  PADDINGTON               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80    
 
BAQ-6   09/16/2023 3960ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 3:42
:221 :453 :573     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVER SO SWEET (IRE) 6 3 1½ 1   11¾ (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.80 30% 2.30 1.40 W
AGRA 5 9 78 7   32¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 10.10  
MITOLE MAGIC 2 2 34 3   233 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 29% 2.40 2.20 S
DON'T SAY IT 8 6 5 54   44(cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 16.00  
WAY TO BE MARIE 3 8 8 8   611 57 (atras rob)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 29.25  
VILLI OLENTO 1 7 67 64   567 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 34.50  
MAYFLY 7 5 44 43   711½ 714 (clement christop)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 20% 4.10 7.60  
LA PICASITA 4 4 910 912   816½ 815¼ (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00 38.25  
10  PROGENY 9 1 2½ 2   917 919¾ (weaver george)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
SCR  NATURAL FACT               (pregman j)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 30.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
:231 :463 1:121 1:251   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SKYLANDER 2 6 4 41 4 1nk 14 (trites l)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 8.70  
WARRIOR RICHARD 3 5 6 5 5 524 (falcone robert )ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 16% 5.40 2.90 P
THUNDERIAN 1 7 7 75 7 434 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 6.40  
KUNSHAN BRIDGE 6 3 3½ 3½ 2nk 2nk 4(rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 48% 1.10 2.65  
AMERICAN LAW 7 4 2nk 1nk 1nk 3.2 5(brown r)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 12% 7.40 5.30  
ARREBATO 4 1 5 63 6 66(chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 30.25  
RIDE UP 5 2 1nk 2nk 31 7724½ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 3.20  
SCR  MEMPHIS               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
:222 :454 1:10     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DURANTE 9 3 1 1   115 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.50 13% 6.80 1.80 W
VITTORIO 5 6 2 2   225 (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 42% 1.40 3.60 P
CASTLE CHAOS 2 10 1013 910½   613 3(falcone robe)RIVERA R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.90 S
EMERALD FOREST 4 7 77 6   511½ 4(kantarmaci)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 50.00  
SEVEN NATION ARMY 8 5 53 42   310 512¾ (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00 6.70  
TOPS THE CHART 6 4 4 3   411 613¾ (duarte j)CASTELLANO J 122 20.00 31.00  
JAKE ROCKS 3 8 66 78   714½ 714½ (schettino dominic)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00 19.80  
TWENTY FOUR MAMBA 1 9 88 8   815½ 815 (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00 13.40  
10  KING ANGELO 10 1 32 54   916½ 920¼ (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 124 4.50 21% 3.70 3.15  
SHIVAREE 7 2 9 1011   1019½ 1020¾ (david a)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 38.75  
SCR  NOLO CONTESTO               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 2.50    
 
BAQ-9   09/16/2023 7260ft TURF FIRM Fasig-Tipton Jockey Club Oaks Purse ($350K) 3 F PT- 5:21
:241 :473 1:132 1:384 2:044 2:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ETERNAL HOPE (IRE) 6 712½ 723½ 725 718 42 1¼ (appleby charles)SPENCER P 122 1.00 41% 1.40 1.00 W
NEECIE MARIE 3 59 521½ 522½ 617 52¼ (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 122 12.00 15% 5.90 14.70 P
SPEIRLING BEAG (IRE) 7 610½ 622 623 516½ 32 3(motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 6.80  
HIGHLAND GRACE 5 4420½ 421½ 315 21 43 (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00 3.45  
QUARREL 2 24 212 215 211 11 5(ribaudo j)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 16.00  
STEPHANIE'S CHARM 4 14 112 115 111 6613 (jimenez jose )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 30.00 52.50  
LAST CALL 1 37 319½ 321 415½ 7726 (attard kevin)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 19% 4.30 3.80  
 
BAQ-10   09/16/2023 3960ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 5:53
:23 :47 :582     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSIE JEEKS 5 2 1½ 11   14 1(brown c)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 3.55  
10  BEETS 10 10 7 5   24 2(mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 5.60  
INTO STARS 6 1 2½ 31   34 3(cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 64% 0.60 2.05 S
STREET VIEW 8 4 4 4   44(weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 5.40  
NADOWESSI (IRE) 7 7 53 63   58 5(morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 12% 7.60 4.30  
ARCHIVIST 1 8 8 74   712½ 615¼ (chichak)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00 66.00  
THAT'STHEFACTJACK 9 3 6 8   813½ 717½ (schettino dominic)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 32.00  
DAISY'S ANGEL 4 6 10 97   915½ 819¼ (miceli mic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 40.00  
TAP THE KEG 2 5 3 21   611½ 920 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 32.75  
KING'S DAUGHTER 3 9 9 10   1016½ 1023¼ (duarte j)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00 5% 19.00 16.40  
SCR  VALUE AREA               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.