Handicappers' Race Results
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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
BAQ-1   Win (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $10.20  
BAQ-2   Win (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
BAQ-3   Win (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $9.10 $9.10 3.10
BAQ-4   Win (6/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $17.20  
BAQ-5   Win (6/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $13.00 $13.00 5.00
BAQ-6   Win (7/2/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
BAQ-7   Win (7/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $19.40  
BAQ-8   Win (6/10/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  
BAQ-9   Win (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
BAQ-10   Win (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $9.10  
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:102     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PRIVATE DESIRE 7 2 11 1½   1nk 11¼ (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 119 4.00 4.10  
6  HURRICANE NELSON 6 1 21 2½   2nk 21¼ (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 44% 1.30 1.10 P
4  HEARTENED 4 7 67 612   611¾ 312¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 18.90  
2  IGNITE THE LIGHT 2 3 43 58   410½ 413½ (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 14.50  
3  COMMANDER OF TRUTH 3 6 32 35   38 514½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 17% 4.80 3.45  
5  BOUNTEOUS (IRE) 5 4 77½ 716½   714¾ 617¾ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 10.30  
1  HEDGE THE RISK 1 5 53½ 46½   510¾ 719½ (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 16% 5.30 9.10  
 
BAQ-2   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:36
See original race card.
:222 :461 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  VICTORIOUS WAVE 6 2 32 31   1½ 11 (englehart chris)ORTIZ L 123 1.80 30% 2.30 2.60 W
7  OCEAN'S RESERVE 7 4 54½ 53   42 21 (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 123 1.60 27% 2.70 2.45 P
5  KOOL KATHMANDU 5 1 2½ 2½   2½ 31½ (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 8.30  
4  CAPONE 4 3 43½ 42½   53 44½ (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 5.30  
1  BEZOS 1 5 1½ 1½   32 56¼ (fisher lin)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 30.00 27.25  
2  SUGAR GRAY LEONARD 2 6 67½ 64½   67 68¾ (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 22% 3.50 2.70  
3  LEDDY 3 7 78 78½   79½ 79¼ (goberdhan chandr)RICHARDS G 121 20.00 15.70  
 
BAQ-3   09/16/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:113 1:344   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RHIANNON 6 2 21½ 21 2nk 14½ 17 (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 10% 9.10 3.55 W
2  AKAYLA (IRE) 2 3 33 43 45½ 37½ 27 (brown c)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 3.50  
1  WAR PRINCESS 1 1 11½ 11 1nk 24½ 39 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 28% 2.60 5.40 S
5  VANISHED 5 4 43½ 32½ 32½ 48 411¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 36% 1.80 4.20  
4  AFRICAN WATERS 4 6 76½ 76½ 77½ 510 511¾ (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 3.15  
7  PIPPI LONGSTOCKING 7 7 66 65½ 67 711 612 (mott i)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 15.30  
3  MISS OUR HERO 3 5 54 55 56 611 716 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00 8.50  
SCR  RAYYA VALENTINE               (summers chad)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
 
BAQ-4   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:223 :462 1:112     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AIR SHOW 1 6 42¼ 31½   31 12 (rodriguez rudy)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00 7.60  
3  QUICKFLASH 2 3 2nk 2nk   2½ 22 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00 3.65 P
8  POPPY'S PRIDE 6 4 1nk 1nk   1½ 32 (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 4.00 4.80  
7  FLAMINGO HAWK 5 5 65¾ 66¼   65 44 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50 ★ 2.70  
1  PRINCE JAMES 4 1 52¾ 42   52½ 54¼ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 2.00 4.50  
6  BUSTIN SHOUT 3 2 32 52¼   42½ 65¾ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 60% 0.70 3.15  
SCR  JOKER BOY               (jacobson david)DAVIS KATIE 123 2.00    
SCR  NEVER EARLY               (englehart jeffr)OLVER MADISON 116 10.00    
SCR  WINNING DRIVE               (kantarmaci)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/16/2023 7260ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:244 :492 1:144 1:394 2:042 2:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CATCH THAT PARTY 2 87½ 88 89 87¼ 73¼ 11¾ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.50 22% 3.50 5.50 W
1  CYBER NINJA 1 65 54½ 67½ 65¾ 52½ 21¾ (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 3.90  
3  ROYAL SPIRIT 3 22½ 21 21½ 21½ 1nk 32¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00 6.40  
8  LAUREL VALLEY 8 12½ 11 11½ 11½ 2nk 42¾ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00 28.50  
4  HOLD THE SALSA 4 33 31½ 34½ 44 42 53¾ (lugovich lisa)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00 22.60  
7  SCRAMBLE 7 55 64½ 46 34 31½ 64½ (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 27% 2.80 3.50  
6  RAMBLIN' WRECK 6 75½ 76 77½ 55½ 63 75 (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 28% 2.60 1.60  
5  BEE MAJOR 5 44 43 56½ 76¼ 816¼ 825¼ (de horac)RIVERA R 117 15.00 5% 19.00 34.75  
SCR  PADDINGTON               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80    
 
BAQ-6   09/16/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 3:42
See original race card.
:221 :453 :573     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  EVER SO SWEET (IRE) 6 3 1½ 11½   13½ 1¾ (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.80 30% 2.30 1.40 W
6  AGRA 5 9 78 74½   33½ 2¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 10.10  
2  MITOLE MAGIC 2 2 34 32½   23½ 33 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 29% 2.40 2.20 S
9  DON'T SAY IT 8 6 56½ 54   45½ 43½ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 16.00  
3  WAY TO BE MARIE 3 8 89½ 88½   611 57 (atras rob)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 29.25  
1  VILLI OLENTO 1 7 67 64   56½ 67 (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 34.50  
8  MAYFLY 7 5 44 43   711½ 714 (clement christop)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 20% 4.10 7.60  
5  LA PICASITA 4 4 910 912   816½ 815¼ (antonucci jena)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00 38.25  
10  PROGENY 9 1 2½ 21½   917 919¾ (weaver george)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
SCR  NATURAL FACT               (pregman j)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 30.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:121 1:251   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SKYLANDER 2 6 41½ 41 41¼ 1nk 14 (trites l)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 8.70  
3  WARRIOR RICHARD 3 5 62¾ 52½ 52¼ 52¼ 24 (falcone robert )ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 16% 5.40 2.90 P
1  THUNDERIAN 1 7 76¾ 75 74¼ 42¼ 34 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 6.40  
7  KUNSHAN BRIDGE 6 3 3½ 3½ 2nk 2nk 44½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 48% 1.10 2.65  
8  AMERICAN LAW 7 4 2nk 1nk 1nk 3.2 54¾ (brown r)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 12% 7.40 5.30  
5  ARREBATO 4 1 52½ 63 63¼ 63¼ 68¾ (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 30.25  
6  RIDE UP 5 2 1nk 2nk 31 78¼ 724½ (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 3.20  
SCR  MEMPHIS               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:10     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DURANTE 9 3 11½ 11½   15½ 15 (jacobson david)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.50 13% 6.80 1.80 W
6  VITTORIO 5 6 21½ 21½   25½ 25 (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 42% 1.40 3.60 P
3  CASTLE CHAOS 2 10 1013 910½   613 38¼ (falcone robe)RIVERA R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.90 S
5  EMERALD FOREST 4 7 77 65½   511½ 49½ (kantarmaci)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 50.00  
9  SEVEN NATION ARMY 8 5 53 42   310 512¾ (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00 6.70  
7  TOPS THE CHART 6 4 42½ 31½   411 613¾ (duarte j)CASTELLANO J 122 20.00 31.00  
4  JAKE ROCKS 3 8 66 78   714½ 714½ (schettino dominic)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00 19.80  
2  TWENTY FOUR MAMBA 1 9 88 88½   815½ 815 (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00 ★ 13.40  
10  KING ANGELO 10 1 32 54   916½ 920¼ (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 124 4.50 21% 3.70 3.15  
8  SHIVAREE (GB) 7 2 98½ 1011   1019½ 1020¾ (david a)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 38.75  
SCR  NOLO CONTESTO               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 2.50    
 
BAQ-9   09/16/2023 7260ft TURF RC12 FIRM Fasig-Tipton Jockey Club Oaks Purse ($350K) 3 F PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:132 1:384 2:044 2:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ETERNAL HOPE (IRE) 6 712½ 723½ 725 718 42 1¼ (appleby charles)SPENCER P 122 1.00 41% 1.40 1.00 W
3  NEECIE MARIE 3 59 521½ 522½ 617 52¼ 2¼ (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 122 12.00 15% 5.90 14.70 P
7  SPEIRLING BEAG (IRE) 7 610½ 622 623 516½ 32 31¼ (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 6.80  
5  HIGHLAND GRACE 5 48½ 420½ 421½ 315 21 43 (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00 3.45  
2  QUARREL 2 24 212 215 211 11 54½ (ribaudo j)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 16.00  
4  STEPHANIE'S CHARM 4 14 112 115 111 63¼ 613 (jimenez jose )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 30.00 52.50  
1  LAST CALL (IRE) 1 37 319½ 321 415½ 76¼ 726 (attard kevin)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 19% 4.30 3.80  
 
BAQ-10   09/16/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 5:53
See original race card.
:23 :47 :582     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ROSIE JEEKS 5 2 1½ 11   14 13¼ (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 ★ 3.55  
10  BEETS 10 10 73¾ 52½   24 23¼ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 5.60  
6  INTO STARS 6 1 2½ 31   34 35½ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 64% 0.60 2.05 S
8  STREET VIEW 8 4 41½ 41½   44½ 46¼ (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 ★ 5.40  
7  NADOWESSI (IRE) 7 7 53 63   58 59½ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 12% 7.60 4.30  
1  ARCHIVIST 1 8 84¼ 74   712½ 615¼ (chichak)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00 66.00  
9  THAT'STHEFACTJACK 9 3 63¼ 84½   813½ 717½ (schettino dominic)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 32.00  
4  DAISY'S ANGEL 4 6 105¼ 97   915½ 819¼ (miceli mic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 40.00  
2  TAP THE KEG 2 5 31½ 21   611½ 920 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 32.75  
3  KING'S DAUGHTER 3 9 95¼ 107½   1016½ 1023¼ (duarte j)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00 5% 19.00 16.40  
SCR  VALUE AREA               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.