Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-2   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.20 $1.20 20%
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-7 $9.40 $3.40 57%
BAQ-3   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $9.10 $3.10 52%
    DD (6/7/2)-(5/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-6 $15.80 $6.80 76%
BAQ-5   WIN (6/7/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $13.00 $5.00 63%
BAQ-8   TRI (6/10/1/3)-(6/10/1/3/2)-(6/10/1/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00  1-6-3 $30.25 $6.25 26%
BAQ-9   EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3 $26.00 $20.00 333%
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 1:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PRIVATE DESIRE   (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00 4.10  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of BRAHMS CAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
6  HURRICANE NELSON   (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 44% 1.30 1.10 P
  (by KHOZAN out of FRENCH POLITICS by POLITICAL FORCE)
4  HEARTENED   (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 5.00 18.90  
  (by STREET BOSS out of RARE FIND by BERNARDINI)
2  IGNITE THE LIGHT   (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 14.50  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BY THE LIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
3  COMMANDER OF TRUTH   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 17% 4.80 3.45  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of JUNGLE TALE by LION HEART)
5  BOUNTEOUS (IRE)   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 10.30  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HAIL by TAPIT)
1  HEDGE THE RISK   (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 16% 5.30 9.10  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of REVERED by IN REALITY (GB))
 
BAQ-2   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:36
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  VICTORIOUS WAVE   (englehart chri)ORTIZ L 123 1.80 30% 2.30 2.60 W
7  OCEAN'S RESERVE   (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 123 1.60 27% 2.70 2.45 P
5  KOOL KATHMANDU   (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 8.30  
4  CAPONE   (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 5.30  
1  BEZOS   (fisher l)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 30.00 27.25  
2  SUGAR GRAY LEONARD   (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 22% 3.50 2.70  
3  LEDDY   (goberdhan chan)RICHARDS G 121 20.00 15.70  
 
BAQ-3   09/16/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RHIANNON   (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 10% 9.10 3.55 W
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of AUNTIE JOY by UNCLE MO)
2  AKAYLA (IRE)   (brown c)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 3.50  
  (by UNKNOWN out of POST PERFECTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
1  WAR PRINCESS   (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 124 4.50 28% 2.60 5.40 S
  (by WAR FRONT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  VANISHED   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 36% 1.80 4.20  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ELUSIVE PEARL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  AFRICAN WATERS   (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 3.15  
  (by WAR FRONT out of VAULCLUSE by A.P. INDY)
7  PIPPI LONGSTOCKING   (mott william )FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 15.30  
  (by FRANKEL (GB) out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  MISS OUR HERO   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00 8.50  
  (by TAPIT out of MARKET MAGIC by AFTER MARKET)
SCR  RAYYA VALENTINE   (summers chad)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of RAYYA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
 
BAQ-4   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:38
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AIR SHOW   (rodriguez ru)CASTELLANO J 123 10.00 7.60  
3  QUICKFLASH   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00 3.65 P
8  POPPY'S PRIDE   (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 4.00 4.80  
7  FLAMINGO HAWK   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50 ★ 2.70  
1  PRINCE JAMES   (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 2.00 4.50  
6  BUSTIN SHOUT   (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 60% 0.70 3.15  
SCR  JOKER BOY   (jacobson david)DAVIS KATIE 123 2.00    
SCR  NEVER EARLY   (englehart jef)OLVER MADISON 116 10.00    
SCR  WINNING DRIVE   (kantarma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00    
 
BAQ-5   09/16/2023 7260ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CATCH THAT PARTY   (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.50 22% 3.50 5.50 W
1  CYBER NINJA   (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 3.90  
3  ROYAL SPIRIT   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 5.00 6.40  
8  LAUREL VALLEY   (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 20.00 28.50  
4  HOLD THE SALSA   (lugovich li)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00 22.60  
7  SCRAMBLE   (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 27% 2.80 3.50  
6  RAMBLIN' WRECK   (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 28% 2.60 1.60  
5  BEE MAJOR   (de hor)RIVERA R 117 15.00 5% 19.00 34.75  
SCR  PADDINGTON   (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 118 1.80    
 
BAQ-6   09/16/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 3:42
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  EVER SO SWEET (IRE)   (cox h)CARMOUCHE K 119 1.80 30% 2.30 1.40 W
  (by CALYX out of SHINE by JIMMY CREED)
6  AGRA   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 10.10  
  (by BLAME out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  MITOLE MAGIC   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 29% 2.40 2.20 S
  (by MITOLE out of BLAKE'S MAGIC by BERNSTEIN)
9  DON'T SAY IT   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 16.00  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of FOREVER DISCREET by BERNARDINI)
3  WAY TO BE MARIE   (atras ro)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 29.25  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of WOMAN OF THE WORLD by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
1  VILLI OLENTO   (englehart chris)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 34.50  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of GILDED SPLINTERS by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
8  MAYFLY   (clement christ)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 20% 4.10 7.60  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of CRYSTAL MOONLIGHT by NEW APPROACH (IRE))
5  LA PICASITA   (antonucci je)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00 38.25  
  (by MUNNINGS out of PICARDIA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
10  PROGENY   (weaver george)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 5% 19.00 7.40  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of CABBAGE KEY by A.P. INDY)
SCR  NATURAL FACT   (pregman john)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 30.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MIZZEN OUT by MIZZEN MAST)
 
BAQ-7   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:14
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SKYLANDER   (trites a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 8.00 8.70  
3  WARRIOR RICHARD   (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 16% 5.40 2.90 P
1  THUNDERIAN   (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00 6.40  
7  KUNSHAN BRIDGE   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 48% 1.10 2.65  
8  AMERICAN LAW   (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 12% 7.40 5.30  
5  ARREBATO   (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 30.25  
6  RIDE UP   (morley thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.50 3.20  
SCR  MEMPHIS   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
 
BAQ-8   09/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  DURANTE   (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.50 13% 6.80 1.80 W
6  VITTORIO   (mott i)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 42% 1.40 3.60 P
3  CASTLE CHAOS   (falcone ro)RIVERA R 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.90 S
5  EMERALD FOREST   (kantarma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 50.00  
9  SEVEN NATION ARMY   (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00 6.70  
7  TOPS THE CHART   (duarte jorge)CASTELLANO J 122 20.00 31.00  
4  JAKE ROCKS   (schettino domin)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00 19.80  
2  TWENTY FOUR MAMBA   (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00 ★ 13.40  
10  KING ANGELO   (abreu r)ORTIZ JR 124 4.50 21% 3.70 3.15  
8  SHIVAREE (GB)   (david a)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 38.75  
SCR  NOLO CONTESTO   (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 2.50    
 
BAQ-9   09/16/2023 7260ft TURF RC12 FIRM Fasig-Tipton Jockey Club Oaks Invitational Purse ($350K) 3 F PT- 5:21
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ETERNAL HOPE (IRE)   (appleby charles)SPENCER P 122 1.00 41% 1.40 1.00 W
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  NEECIE MARIE   (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 122 12.00 15% 5.90 14.70 P
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of LODE LADY by POSSE)
7  SPEIRLING BEAG (IRE)   (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 122 5.00 6.80  
  (by UNKNOWN out of STARSCAPE by GHOSTZAPPER)
5  HIGHLAND GRACE   (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00 3.45  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of CAROLINE THOMAS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  QUARREL   (ribaudo robert)ORTIZ L 122 8.00 16.00  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PROMOTIONAL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
4  STEPHANIE'S CHARM   (jimenez jos)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 30.00 52.50  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of VOYELLE by BROKEN VOW)
1  LAST CALL (IRE)   (attard kevin)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 19% 4.30 3.80  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
BAQ-10   09/16/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 5:53
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ROSIE JEEKS   (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 ★ 3.55  
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of REMINGTON ROSE by TAKE CHARGE INDY)
10  BEETS   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 5.60  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BERNARDINIS ARROW by BERNARDINI)
6  INTO STARS   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 64% 0.60 2.05 S
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of STAR BILLING by DYNAFORMER)
8  STREET VIEW   (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 ★ 5.40  
  (by STREET BOSS out of VIEW by VICE REGENT)
7  NADOWESSI (IRE)   (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 12% 7.60 4.30  
  (by SIOUX NATION out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
1  ARCHIVIST   (chich)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00 66.00  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of A TRUE PUSSYCAT by YES IT'S TRUE)
9  THAT'STHEFACTJACK   (schettino domin)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 32.00  
  (by THE FACTOR out of CHI OMEGA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  DAISY'S ANGEL   (miceli m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 40.00  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of QUIERO GANAR by LASTING APPROVAL)
2  TAP THE KEG   (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 32.75  
  (by TAPITURE out of KEY IS TO WIN by DIXIE UNION)
3  KING'S DAUGHTER   (duarte)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00 5% 19.00 16.40  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of ACQUANT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  VALUE AREA   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 2.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HER SMILE by INCLUDE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.