Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (2/5/12/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $6.50 $6.50  
BAQ-2   Win (2/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
BAQ-3   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.50 $4.50  
BAQ-4   Win (7/9/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $6.70  
BAQ-5   Win (2/8/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $6.50  
BAQ-6   Win (4/8/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $13.80 $13.80 5.80
BAQ-7   Win (10/3/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $25.40  
BAQ-8   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $37.80  
BAQ-9   Win (10/8/12/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $10.80 $10.80 2.80

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:241 :493 1:143 1:39   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED BURGUNDY 2 5 11 12 13 13 1hd (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 46% 1.20 2.25 W
DIVIDEND RECAP 1 12 6 5 56 33 2hd (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 7.80  
10  NAUGHTY DESTINY 10 2 53 6 68 45 3¾ (clement christop)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 15.10  
FAST AND FRISKY 3 7 4 32 23 23 4 (abreu r)OLVER MADISON 112 15.00 29.75  
CALLING AN AUDIBLE 7 10 11 11 1211¼ 68 54 (barker edwar)RIVERA R 114 20.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
COACH SESSA 5 8 10 10 8 8 6 (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 27% 2.70 4.50  
PRETTY UP 4 11 12 12 1111¼ 119 7 (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 11.40  
STARSINTHECITY 9 6 7 76 7 9 8 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
12  SHE IS ALL BUSINES 12 4 8 8 9 7 9 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
SNARKY 6 1 21 22 3 5 1010¾ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00 24.75  
11  PRACTICAL ROYALTY 11 3 3 44 46 10 1112 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 31.00  
SARATOGA SMOKESHOW 8 9 9 9 1010¾ 1214 1216¼ (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00 36.50  
SCR  BERTRILLE               (brown r)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 20.00    
SCR  BOSSY JEANS               (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00    
SCR  DOLOMITE               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.00    
SCR  MUNNY GRAB               (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:08
See original race card.
:223 :462 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTER HUMOR ME 7 2 2 2   1½ 1 (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.50 24% 3.20 1.70 W
FOXY CARA 1 7 5 54   43 2 (friedman mitche)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00 16% 5.40 4.60 P
CUPRITE 3 4 1 1   2½ 3 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 12.00 39.00  
BUSSIA 9 5 4 3   31 4 (bond harold )RIVERA R 116 12.00 22.70  
MONETARY MONARCH 4 9 8 76   65 54 (lugovich)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00 18.80  
TERESA 8 3 7 88   77 6 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 16.90  
SWEET LIBERTY 5 1 6 4   54 7 (quick patr)DAVIS A 121 20.00 28.50  
MALU 2 6 3 65   8 89 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.00 27% 2.70 2.25  
ISLAND ROSE 6 8 9 911½   910½ 912½ (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 5.00 13% 6.60 6.30  
 
BAQ-3   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:223 :452 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD JOURNEY 2 4 54 42   21 1hd (mott i)ORTIZ L 125 2.00 30% 2.40 1.25 W
HE'SMYHONEYBADGER 5 1 2½ 2½   11 2hd (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 2.50 19% 4.20 2.05 P
1A  BUSINESS MODEL 6 3 66 6   55 3 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80 4.70  
KING ANGELO 3 5 32 32   4 45 (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 6.00  
EASTERN BAY 4 6 43 5   6 5 (ginter ray)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00 11% 8.10 34.25  
ANDIAMO A FIRENZE 1 2 1½ 1½   32 610 (david a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 11.80  
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 1.80    
 
BAQ-4   10/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:241 :494 1:141 1:26   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTINAMILLIONYEARS (IRE) 5 10 10 105 8 3 1 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 2.35  
LE BEAU 8 2 3 3 3½ 2nk 2 (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 21% 3.80 3.80 P
10  RIVIERE 9 1 11 1nk 2nk 1nk 3 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 9.50 S
I'M A SURE THING 1 6 53 5 42 43 4 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 10% 8.60 4.50  
REMIND (IRE) 4 7 96 95 7 7 5 (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 33.00  
MADAKET'S ARROW 7 3 6 4 5 5 6 (weaver george)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 37.75  
TACITURN 2 8 74 6 6 8 78 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 18.80  
SHE WILL DANCE (IRE) 3 5 4 84 9 98 8 (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 20.00 34.00  
PUT THE CRAZY AWAY 10 4 21 2nk 1nk 6 911 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 10.00 23.90  
YOU ONLY LIVE ONCE 6 9 8 7 10 1016 1034¾ (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.00 46% 1.20 3.25  
SCR  DREAMING OF MO               (martin carlos)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
SCR  I'M GLAD (IRE)               (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 124 10.00    
SCR  MISS OUR HERO               (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50    
SCR  VANISHED               (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 120 1.20    
 
BAQ-5   10/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:104 1:233   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD VICTORY 9 6 52 7 610½ 44 1 (dutrow richard )OLVER MADISON 115 4.00 2.25  
HAMMERIN AAMER 6 8 41 3½ 1½ 1½ 2 (falcone n)LUZZI J 124 8.00 5% 19.00 8.70 P
1A  DONTBELATE 8 2 2nk 1nk 2½ 2½ 33 (persaud randi)RUIZ ELISEO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 4.50 S
PIT BOSS 3 3 1nk 2nk 3 3 4 (bernardini g)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00 21.40  
JOKER BOY 7 1 3½ 4 4 5 59 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 14% 6.30 8.50  
DIXIE DRAWL 5 7 7 6 711½ 7 6 (ginter jr)DAVIS DYLAN 124 12.00 28.00  
SALTO DE TIGRE 2 4 6 54 58 67 7 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 1.20 59% 0.70 2.05  
GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS 4 9 911¼ 813¼ 814 811 810¾ (baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00 9.60  
JUMPSTER 1 5 810¼ 916¼ 921 915½ 914¼ (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00 4.50  
SCR  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY               (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20    
SCR  CAERUS               (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 122 20.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/12/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:222 :451 :564     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY THE MUSIC 7 2 2½ 2nk   1 1¾ (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 10% 8.90 5.90 W
LOON CRY 3 11 12 11   5 2¾ (clement christop)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 60% 0.70 1.00 P
KERRY 1 7 32 31   2 3 (sharp joe)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 4.80  
GEORGEES SPIRIT 4 10 85 8   65 4 (abreu jorge )RIVERA R 115 20.00 73.00  
LOST MY SOCK 8 4 74 5   43 5 (ryan s)ORTIZ JR 123 5.00 9% 9.90 8.60  
13  FONTANAFREDDA 12 6 11 10   88 66 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 22.50  
SWEET DUTCHESS 5 12 10 9   11 78 (mott i)DAVIS KATIE 123 12.00 5% 19.00 39.50  
DEKANTER 2 8 42 43   77 88 (abreu r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 18.00  
12  FREE TO ROAM 11 9 63 7   109 9 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 120 30.00 ######  
10  PRIVATE CREDIT 9 3 5 6   9 10 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 9.70  
FLEETFOOTED 6 1 1½ 1nk   33 11 (sharp joe)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00 31.00  
11  CAIRONI 10 5 9 1210¾   1214¼ 1212½ (miceli mic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 30.00 98.00  
SCR  ADELIESE'S SMILE               (jimenez l)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
SCR  GIVE ME KISSES               (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.50    
SCR  OBRIGADA               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.00    
SCR  POET'S WOODS               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:233 :49 1:123 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP IT UP 4 5 32 32 3 2½ 13 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 11.70  
LADY JASMINE 7 4 2½ 21 21 1½ 23 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 6.90 P
SISTER NELL 5 10 12 12 118 7 3 (jimenez jo)DAVIS A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 88.25 S
FROM HELLO 1 9 6 74 54 53 4 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00 7.50  
12  NIGHTSABER (GB) 11 1 42 4 43 3 5 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 16.70  
ANILEATE 8 11 11 106 86 9 6 (ferraro w)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 9.30  
10  RHEAUME 9 3 8 11 9 64 7 (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.50 64% 0.60 1.65  
SARATOGA CHROME 6 8 10 9 129 10 86 (brown r)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00 6.50  
EXCEPT TEMPTATION 2 12 7 64 6 8 9 (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 7% 12.70 13.70  
13  PIMENOVA 12 2 53 53 7 11 1011¼ (falcone robert)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 15.00 44.00  
11  JUDGEMENT TIME 10 7 9 8 107 12 1112¼ (thompson r)RUIZ ELISEO 117 30.00 ######  
MOULY 3 6 1½ 11 11 4 1212½ (duggan p)ORTIZ L 122 12.00 9.20  
SCR  FROSTY INVASION               (schettino do)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:221 :452 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTAINSDAUGHTER 6 1 4 4¾   1 1¾ (cash russell)RIVERA R 120 15.00 17.90  
ROSEBUG 3 4 5 6   2 2¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 1.20 46% 1.20 0.80 P
RACHEL'S ROCK 1 3 2nk 2nk   4 32 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 125 12.00 9% 10.40 5.30 S
SELF ISOLATION 4 2 1nk 1nk   3 4 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 4.00 19% 4.20 5.60  
MOSIENKO 2 6 6 5   5 5 (lalman dennis)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 3.55  
HEY MAMALUKE 5 5 3.2 3.2   6 612 (farro pa)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 10.00 16.60  
SCR  DREAMING OF SNOW               (bennett gerald)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/12/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:22 :453 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  OKALOOSA 10 2 4 42   11 1nk (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 59% 0.70 4.40 W
SCHERZANDO 5 9 8 6   21 2nk (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 4.50 1.55 P
BUSTINO SANTINO 8 7 5 5   31 3 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 13% 6.90 9.20 S
TWIRLING VINE 4 6 7 7   43 4 (lugovich l)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00 14.80  
11  EGYPTIAN QUEST 11 4 98 9   75 5 (crook-demasi ka)SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00 16.50 DH
12  KY THIRTY WON 12 5 64 8   64 5 (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 5.00 5% 19.00 5.40 DH
KERN RIVER 6 3 3 32   8 7 (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00 43.75  
SCARAMANGA (IRE) 7 1 2½ 21   5 88 (breen j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00 5% 19.00 17.40  
LOOKIN' TO WIN 3 10 1010 10   9 9 (sciacca gary)RIVERA R 116 30.00 46.25  
WHISKEY AND WINE 2 8 1½ 11   10 1017¼ (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 7.00  
KID EMERALD 1 12 1218 1114¾   11100 11100 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 30.00 64.25  
PROUD ALUMNUS 9 11 1111½ 1214¾   12100 12100 (winney melvin)RUIZ ELISEO 116 50.00 ######  
SCR  BEARY FUNNY               (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50    
SCR  FRIDAY I'M IN LOVE               (bond harold )RIVERA R 116 8.00    
SCR  KENTUCKY JOKER               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 121 3.50    
SCR  REFUAH               (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.