Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-6   WIN (4/8/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $13.80 $5.80 73%
    EXA (4/8/9/6)-(4/8/9/10/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  8-4 $19.60 $3.60 23%
BAQ-9   WIN (10/8/12/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  10 $10.80 $2.80 35%
    TRI (10/8/12/7)-(10/8/12/5/7)-(10/8/12/5/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00  10-5-8 $32.50 $8.50 35%

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:241 :493 1:143 1:39   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED BURGUNDY 2 5 11 12 13 13 1hd (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 46% 1.20 2.25 W
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of PARC MONCEAU by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
DIVIDEND RECAP 1 12 6 5 56 33 2hd (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 7.80  
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of RESTRUCTURE by BLAME)
10  NAUGHTY DESTINY 10 2 53 6 68 45 3¾ (clement christ)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 15.10  
  (by DESTIN out of MO JUSTICE by LEMON DROP KID)
FAST AND FRISKY 3 7 4 32 23 23 4 (abreu r)OLVER MADISON 112 15.00 29.75  
  (by SOLOMINI out of IMPISHNESS by INTO MISCHIEF)
CALLING AN AUDIBLE 7 10 11 11 1211¼ 68 54 (barker edw)RIVERA R 114 20.00 5% 19.00 21.50  
  (by AUDIBLE out of RACHEL'S TEMPER by FLATTER)
COACH SESSA 5 8 10 10 8 8 6 (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 27% 2.70 4.50  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of HOPE SO by BODEMEISTER)
PRETTY UP 4 11 12 12 1111¼ 119 7 (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00 11.40  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of DANCING FOR GLORY by EXCHANGE RATE)
STARSINTHECITY 9 6 7 76 7 9 8 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of OUT OF ORBIT by MALIBU MOON)
12  SHE IS ALL BUSINES 12 4 8 8 9 7 9 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of ELUSIVE RUMOUR by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SNARKY 6 1 21 22 3 5 1010¾ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00 24.75  
  (by REDESDALE out of ELBA'S FIRST by TIZ WONDERFUL)
11  PRACTICAL ROYALTY 11 3 3 44 46 10 1112 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 31.00  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of YANQUEE REIGN by YANKEE VICTOR)
SARATOGA SMOKESHOW 8 9 9 9 1010¾ 1214 1216¼ (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00 36.50  
  (by DESTIN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  BERTRILLE               (brown bruce )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 20.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SILLY SISTER by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  BOSSY JEANS               (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of IN THE JEANS by UNION RAGS)
SCR  DOLOMITE               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of SUNSET RIDGE by ALGORITHMS)
SCR  MUNNY GRAB               (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ANOTHER WORLD by CARR DE NASKRA)
 
BAQ-2   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:08
See original race card.
:223 :462 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETTER HUMOR ME 7 2 2 2   1½ 1 (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.50 24% 3.20 1.70 W
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of BETTER YOU THAN ME by BERNARDINI)
FOXY CARA 1 7 5 54   43 2 (friedman mitc)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00 16% 5.40 4.60 P
  (by MASTERY out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
CUPRITE 3 4 1 1   2½ 3 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 12.00 39.00  
  (by REDESDALE out of MURNA BEE BAAAD by BIG BROWN)
BUSSIA 9 5 4 3   31 4 (bond harol)RIVERA R 116 12.00 22.70  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of LISINI by GRAND SLAM)
MONETARY MONARCH 4 9 8 76   65 54 (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00 18.80  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of HER MAJESTY'S OWN by BELONG TO ME)
TERESA 8 3 7 88   77 6 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 16.90  
  (by HONORABLE DILLON out of TUPUNGATO by CATIENUS)
SWEET LIBERTY 5 1 6 4   54 7 (quick pa)DAVIS A 121 20.00 28.50  
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of LIBERTY FUZE by MASS MEDIA)
MALU 2 6 3 65   8 89 (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.00 27% 2.70 2.25  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of LEVETTA by VIOLENCE)
ISLAND ROSE 6 8 9 911½   910½ 912½ (baker charl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 5.00 13% 6.60 6.30  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of REAL CLEVER TRICK by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
BAQ-3   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:223 :452 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD JOURNEY 2 4 54 42   21 1hd (mott i)ORTIZ L 125 2.00 30% 2.40 1.25 W
HE'SMYHONEYBADGER 5 1 2½ 2½   11 2hd (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 2.50 19% 4.20 2.05 P
1A  BUSINESS MODEL 6 3 66 6   55 3 (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80 4.70  
KING ANGELO 3 5 32 32   4 45 (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 6.00  
EASTERN BAY 4 6 43 5   6 5 (ginter r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00 11% 8.10 34.25  
ANDIAMO A FIRENZE 1 2 1½ 1½   32 610 (david carlos )FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 11.80  
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN               (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 1.80    
 
BAQ-4   10/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:241 :494 1:141 1:26   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOTINAMILLIONYEARS (IRE) 5 10 10 105 8 3 1 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 2.35  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of DANCING SHOES by DANEHILL)
LE BEAU 8 2 3 3 3½ 2nk 2 (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 21% 3.80 3.80 P
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MORTGAGE THE HOUSE by CHESTER HOUSE)
10  RIVIERE 9 1 11 1nk 2nk 1nk 3 (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 9.50 S
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of JULIE'S JEWELRY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
I'M A SURE THING 1 6 53 5 42 43 4 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 10% 8.60 4.50  
  (by LE HAVRE out of SEA OF BLUE by MIDSHIPMAN)
REMIND (IRE) 4 7 96 95 7 7 5 (antonacci phili)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 33.00  
  (by U S NAVY FLAG out of QUEEN ISEULT by CAMELOT (GB))
MADAKET'S ARROW 7 3 6 4 5 5 6 (weaver geor)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 5% 19.00 37.75  
  (by THE FACTOR out of ALMASHOOQA by DUBAWI (IRE))
TACITURN 2 8 74 6 6 8 78 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 18.80  
  (by TAPIT out of TABARIN by EL PRADO (IRE))
SHE WILL DANCE (IRE) 3 5 4 84 9 98 8 (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 20.00 34.00  
  (by UNKNOWN out of EVIDENTLY by SMART STRIKE)
PUT THE CRAZY AWAY 10 4 21 2nk 1nk 6 911 (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 120 10.00 23.90  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MONTANA NATIVE by YES IT'S TRUE)
YOU ONLY LIVE ONCE 6 9 8 7 10 1016 1034¾ (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.00 46% 1.20 3.25  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  DREAMING OF MO               (martin carl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of DREAMING OF YOU by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
SCR  I'M GLAD (IRE)               (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 124 10.00    
  (by KINGMAN (GB) out of KAMAKURA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  MISS OUR HERO               (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50    
  (by TAPIT out of MARKET MAGIC by AFTER MARKET)
SCR  VANISHED               (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 120 1.20    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ELUSIVE PEARL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
BAQ-5   10/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:104 1:233   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD VICTORY 9 6 52 7 610½ 44 1 (dutrow richar)OLVER MADISON 115 4.00 2.25  
HAMMERIN AAMER 6 8 41 3½ 1½ 1½ 2 (falcone robert)LUZZI J 124 8.00 5% 19.00 8.70 P
1A  DONTBELATE 8 2 2nk 1nk 2½ 2½ 33 (persaud randi)RUIZ ELISEO 119 6.00 5% 19.00 4.50 S
PIT BOSS 3 3 1nk 2nk 3 3 4 (bernardini juan)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00 21.40  
JOKER BOY 7 1 3½ 4 4 5 59 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 14% 6.30 8.50  
DIXIE DRAWL 5 7 7 6 711½ 7 6 (ginter raymond )DAVIS DYLAN 124 12.00 28.00  
SALTO DE TIGRE 2 4 6 54 58 67 7 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 1.20 59% 0.70 2.05  
GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS 4 9 911¼ 813¼ 814 811 810¾ (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00 9.60  
JUMPSTER 1 5 810¼ 916¼ 921 915½ 914¼ (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00 4.50  
SCR  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY               (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20    
SCR  CAERUS               (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 122 20.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/12/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:222 :451 :564     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY THE MUSIC 7 2 2½ 2nk   1 1¾ (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 10% 8.90 5.90 W
LOON CRY 3 11 12 11   5 2¾ (clement christ)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 60% 0.70 1.00 P
KERRY 1 7 32 31   2 3 (sharp joe)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 4.80  
GEORGEES SPIRIT 4 10 85 8   65 4 (abreu jorg)RIVERA R 115 20.00 73.00  
LOST MY SOCK 8 4 74 5   43 5 (ryan s)ORTIZ JR 123 5.00 9% 9.90 8.60  
13  FONTANAFREDDA 12 6 11 10   88 66 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 22.50  
SWEET DUTCHESS 5 12 10 9   11 78 (mott i)DAVIS KATIE 123 12.00 5% 19.00 39.50  
DEKANTER 2 8 42 43   77 88 (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00 18.00  
12  FREE TO ROAM 11 9 63 7   109 9 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 120 30.00 ######  
10  PRIVATE CREDIT 9 3 5 6   9 10 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 9.70  
FLEETFOOTED 6 1 1½ 1nk   33 11 (sharp joe)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00 31.00  
11  CAIRONI 10 5 9 1210¾   1214¼ 1212½ (miceli m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 30.00 98.00  
SCR  ADELIESE'S SMILE               (jimenez jose )FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
SCR  GIVE ME KISSES               (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.50    
SCR  OBRIGADA               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.00    
SCR  POET'S WOODS               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:233 :49 1:123 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP IT UP 4 5 32 32 3 2½ 13 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 11.70  
LADY JASMINE 7 4 2½ 21 21 1½ 23 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 6.90 P
SISTER NELL 5 10 12 12 118 7 3 (jimenez )DAVIS A 122 20.00 5% 19.00 88.25 S
FROM HELLO 1 9 6 74 54 53 4 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00 7.50  
12  NIGHTSABER (GB) 11 1 42 4 43 3 5 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 16.70  
ANILEATE 8 11 11 106 86 9 6 (ferraro james)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 9.30  
10  RHEAUME 9 3 8 11 9 64 7 (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.50 64% 0.60 1.65  
SARATOGA CHROME 6 8 10 9 129 10 86 (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 122 5.00 6.50  
EXCEPT TEMPTATION 2 12 7 64 6 8 9 (albertrani thom)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 7% 12.70 13.70  
13  PIMENOVA 12 2 53 53 7 11 1011¼ (falcone robe)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 15.00 44.00  
11  JUDGEMENT TIME 10 7 9 8 107 12 1112¼ (thompson glenn )RUIZ ELISEO 117 30.00 ######  
MOULY 3 6 1½ 11 11 4 1212½ (duggan p)ORTIZ L 122 12.00 9.20  
SCR  FROSTY INVASION               (schettino )RIVERA R 119 20.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:221 :452 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTAINSDAUGHTER 6 1 4 4¾   1 1¾ (cash russe)RIVERA R 120 15.00 17.90  
ROSEBUG 3 4 5 6   2 2¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 1.20 46% 1.20 0.80 P
RACHEL'S ROCK 1 3 2nk 2nk   4 32 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 125 12.00 9% 10.40 5.30 S
SELF ISOLATION 4 2 1nk 1nk   3 4 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 4.00 19% 4.20 5.60  
MOSIENKO 2 6 6 5   5 5 (lalman dennis)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 3.55  
HEY MAMALUKE 5 5 3.2 3.2   6 612 (farro )MARAGH RAMSAY 125 10.00 16.60  
SCR  DREAMING OF SNOW               (bennett gera)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/12/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:22 :453 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  OKALOOSA 10 2 4 42   11 1nk (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 59% 0.70 4.40 W
  (by DESTIN out of CAPRIANA by STREET BOSS)
SCHERZANDO 5 9 8 6   21 2nk (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 4.50 1.55 P
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of FLEET STREAK by MORE THAN READY)
BUSTINO SANTINO 8 7 5 5   31 3 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 13% 6.90 9.20 S
  (by BUSTIN STONES out of AMULAY by IT'S NO JOKE)
TWIRLING VINE 4 6 7 7   43 4 (lugovich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00 14.80  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of OENOPHILE by PULPIT)
11  EGYPTIAN QUEST 11 4 98 9   75 5 (crook-demasi )SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00 16.50 DH
  (by NYQUIST out of EGYPTIAN MAGIC by ESKENDEREYA)
12  KY THIRTY WON 12 5 64 8   64 5 (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 121 5.00 5% 19.00 5.40 DH
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MISS VIGILANCE by WAR PASS)
KERN RIVER 6 3 3 32   8 7 (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00 43.75  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of ZAMQUICK by POMEROY)
SCARAMANGA (IRE) 7 1 2½ 21   5 88 (breen kelly)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00 5% 19.00 17.40  
  (by MUNNINGS out of JUDY'S CHANCE by FIRST DUDE)
LOOKIN' TO WIN 3 10 1010 10   9 9 (sciacca ga)RIVERA R 116 30.00 46.25  
  (by FREUD out of CARIBBEAN GIRL by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
WHISKEY AND WINE 2 8 1½ 11   10 1017¼ (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 7.00  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BRANDY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
KID EMERALD 1 12 1218 1114¾   11100 11100 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 30.00 64.25  
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of THREE EMERALDS by THREE WONDERS)
PROUD ALUMNUS 9 11 1111½ 1214¾   12100 12100 (winney melvin)RUIZ ELISEO 116 50.00 ######  
  (by LAOBAN out of VOLMOOSE by VOLPONI)
SCR  BEARY FUNNY               (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BEARS MEASURE by TIZNOW)
SCR  FRIDAY I'M IN LOVE               (bond harol)RIVERA R 116 8.00    
  (by WEEKEND HIDEAWAY out of SATURDAY BLISS by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
SCR  KENTUCKY JOKER               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 121 3.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of LISVERNANE by ARCH)
SCR  REFUAH               (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of SMITTEN CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.