Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (2/5/12/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-2   Win (2/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-3   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-4   Win (7/9/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-5   Win (2/8/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-6   Win (4/8/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-7   Win (10/3/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-8   Win (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-9   Win (10/8/12/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   10/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVIDEND RECAP         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
RED BURGUNDY Sep04 Aug09       (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.00 46% 1.20    
FAST AND FRISKY Sep28 Aug27       (abreu r)OLVER MADISON 112 15.00    
PRETTY UP Sep15 Aug10       (rodriguez rud)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 12.00    
COACH SESSA Sep02 Aug02       (russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
SNARKY Sep01 Aug10       (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 15.00    
CALLING AN AUDIBLE         (barker edwar)RIVERA R 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
SARATOGA SMOKESHOW Jul26         (martin car)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00    
STARSINTHECITY         (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  NAUGHTY DESTINY         (clement christop)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
11  PRACTICAL ROYALTY         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00    
12  SHE IS ALL BUSINES Sep15         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOSSY JEANS Sep15 Aug16 Jun29     (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00    
SCR  BERTRILLE Sep15 Aug16 Jul19     (brown r)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 20.00    
SCR  MUNNY GRAB Sep01         (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00    
SCR  DOLOMITE Sep01         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOXY CARA Sep24 Aug27 Aug12 Jul15 Jun25 (friedman mitche)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00 16% 5.40    
MALU         (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 3.00 27% 2.70    
CUPRITE         (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 12.00    
MONETARY MONARCH         (lugovich)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00    
SWEET LIBERTY Sep03 Aug12 Jul15 Jan27 Jan14 (quick patr)DAVIS A 121 20.00    
ISLAND ROSE Jul15         (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 5.00 13% 6.60    
BETTER HUMOR ME Aug12         (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.50 24% 3.20    
TERESA Aug10         (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00    
BUSSIA Jul22         (bond harold )RIVERA R 116 12.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BUSINESS MODEL Sep30 Aug13 Jul08 Jun15 May21 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 123 1.80    
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN Sep29 Aug11 Jul23 May27 May13 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 1.80    
ANDIAMO A FIRENZE Sep02 Jul23 May12 Mar19 Feb11 (david a)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
BOLD JOURNEY Aug26 Jul29 Jun09 May13 Apr08 (mott i)ORTIZ L 125 2.00 30% 2.40    
KING ANGELO Sep16 Jul28 May20 Mar30 Feb18 (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00    
EASTERN BAY Sep30 Aug25 Aug03 Jul08 Apr15 (ginter ray)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00 11% 8.10    
HE'SMYHONEYBADGER Sep15 Aug13 Jun30 May14 Mar18 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
BAQ-4   10/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUT THE CRAZY AWAY Sep15         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 120 10.00    
SCR  I'M GLAD (IRE) Sep22 Aug25 Aug18 May12 Apr09 (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 124 10.00    
I'M A SURE THING Feb19 Jan22 Dec03     (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 10% 8.60    
TACITURN Aug30 Jul15       (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
SHE WILL DANCE (IRE) Aug30         (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 20.00    
REMIND (IRE)         (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
NOTINAMILLIONYEARS (IRE) Aug17         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50    
YOU ONLY LIVE ONCE Sep21         (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
MADAKET'S ARROW Sep21 Aug11 Jul22 May27   (weaver george)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
LE BEAU Sep09 Mar11 Feb05     (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 21% 3.80    
10  RIVIERE Sep02 Jul30 Jun10     (weaver george)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00    
SCR  DREAMING OF MO Sep21         (martin carlos)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 15.00    
SCR  VANISHED Sep16 Jul15 Jun10 May13   (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 120 1.20    
SCR  MISS OUR HERO Sep16 Aug18       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.50    
 
BAQ-5   10/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMPSTER Aug06 Jun03 May20 May05 Apr29 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 6.00    
1A  DONTBELATE Aug05 Jul19 May18 Apr28 Apr01 (persaud randi)RUIZ ELISEO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
SALTO DE TIGRE Oct04 Aug18 Aug02 Jul20 Jun18 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 1.20 59% 0.70    
SCR  ALLABOUTTHEMONEY Sep09 Sep01 Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 (jacobson david)ORTIZ JR 124 1.20    
PIT BOSS Oct05 Aug29 Aug02 Jul13 Jun25 (bernardini g)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00    
SCR  CAERUS Oct05 Aug31 Aug23 Apr20 Mar26 (lucas bonnie)RENDON JAIRO 122 20.00    
GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS Aug06 Jul19 Jun24 Jun03 May04 (baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00    
DIXIE DRAWL Sep08 Aug27 Aug19 Jul16 Jun18 (ginter jr)DAVIS DYLAN 124 12.00    
HAMMERIN AAMER Sep03 Aug06 May04 Apr14 Mar25 (falcone n)LUZZI J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
JOKER BOY Sep28 Sep21 Aug30 Aug16 May20 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 8.00 14% 6.30    
BOLD VICTORY Jul13 Jun13 Apr12 Feb26 Jan29 (dutrow richard )OLVER MADISON 115 4.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/12/2023 3960ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KERRY Sep17 Aug27 Jul29 Jun24 Mar29 (sharp joe)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00    
SCR  POET'S WOODS Aug18 Jul09 Apr30 Sep24 Sep02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 15.00    
DEKANTER Sep14 Jul19 Jun03 Apr15 Mar16 (abreu r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 8.00    
LOON CRY Aug31 Aug07 Jul08 May27 May04 (clement christop)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 60% 0.70    
GEORGEES SPIRIT Sep14 Aug19 Apr27 Nov05 Oct01 (abreu jorge )RIVERA R 115 20.00    
SWEET DUTCHESS Aug25 Jul09 Jun03 Apr23 Apr02 (mott i)DAVIS KATIE 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
FLEETFOOTED Sep14 Jul19 May29 Apr22 Oct08 (sharp joe)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00    
PLAY THE MUSIC Sep14 Aug18 Nov05 Oct09 Sep05 (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 10% 8.90    
LOST MY SOCK Sep02 Aug18 Aug03 Jul02 Jun04 (ryan s)ORTIZ JR 123 5.00 9% 9.90    
10  PRIVATE CREDIT Sep13 Aug05 Nov27 Sep02 Aug04 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00    
11  CAIRONI Aug16 Jun03 Apr08 Jan28 Jan07 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 123 30.00    
12  FREE TO ROAM Sep04 Aug20 Jul02 Jun03 Mar30 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 120 30.00    
13  FONTANAFREDDA Sep17 Jul23 May07 Apr16 Nov17 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00    
SCR  ADELIESE'S SMILE Jul08 Jun23 Feb04 Jan05 Dec18 (jimenez l)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00    
SCR  GIVE ME KISSES Dec30 Nov20       (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 120 2.50    
SCR  OBRIGADA Oct07 Jul30 Jul13 Jun10 May20 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 3.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROM HELLO Aug20 Jul15 Jun11 May12 Apr21 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 118 10.00    
SCR  FROSTY INVASION Jul27 Jul02 May28 Apr14 Mar12 (schettino do)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
EXCEPT TEMPTATION Sep03 Jul09 Jun11 May12 Mar11 (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 7% 12.70    
MOULY Sep03 Oct08 Sep24 Sep04 Jun30 (duggan p)ORTIZ L 122 12.00    
TAP IT UP Jul27 Jun22 Jun02 May14 Apr16 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
SISTER NELL Sep03 Aug05 Jul27 Jul02 Apr21 (jimenez jo)DAVIS A 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SARATOGA CHROME Sep22 Sep04 Aug23 Jul29 Jul15 (brown r)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00    
LADY JASMINE Aug12 Jul27 Jul15 Jun25 May29 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
ANILEATE Sep03 Aug11 Jul27 Jun11 May18 (ferraro w)SILVERA RUBEN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  RHEAUME Aug12 Jun25 Jun01 Aug05 Jul10 (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.50 64% 0.60    
11  JUDGEMENT TIME Sep16 Aug18 Aug05 Jun30 Jun02 (thompson r)RUIZ ELISEO 117 30.00    
12  NIGHTSABER (GB) Jul03 Jun02 May14 Apr20 Jan22 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
13  PIMENOVA Sep16 Aug19 Jul13 Jun15 Apr22 (falcone robert)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 15.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RACHEL'S ROCK Sep17 May18 Mar22 Jun17 May22 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 125 12.00 9% 10.40    
MOSIENKO Aug19 Jul20 Jun16 May14 Mar25 (lalman dennis)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50    
ROSEBUG Jul21 Jun16 May12 Jan27 Mar19 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 1.20 46% 1.20    
SELF ISOLATION Sep10 Aug06 Jul01 Jun16 May28 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 125 4.00 19% 4.20    
HEY MAMALUKE Jun26 May28 May08 Mar18 Feb15 (farro pa)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 10.00    
SCR  DREAMING OF SNOW Mar26 Mar11 Feb11 Jan14 Dec17 (bennett gerald)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00    
CAPTAINSDAUGHTER Sep02 Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 May20 (cash russell)RIVERA R 120 15.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/12/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KID EMERALD Jul03 May29 Oct21 Sep23   (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 121 30.00    
WHISKEY AND WINE Aug03 Jul14 Feb25 Nov12   (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00    
LOOKIN' TO WIN Jul07         (sciacca gary)RIVERA R 116 30.00    
TWIRLING VINE Aug17 Jul07 Jun09 Oct20   (lugovich l)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00    
SCHERZANDO Sep04 Jul14 Jun25 May29 May05 (sciacca gary)CASTELLANO J 124 4.50    
KERN RIVER Aug19 Jul08 May20     (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 121 15.00    
SCARAMANGA (IRE) Sep04 Feb26 Jan07 Dec03   (breen j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
BUSTINO SANTINO Sep04 Aug02 Jan07 Dec17 Nov12 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 121 6.00 13% 6.90    
PROUD ALUMNUS         (winney melvin)RUIZ ELISEO 116 50.00    
10  OKALOOSA Sep04 Aug19       (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 59% 0.70    
11  EGYPTIAN QUEST Jul14         (crook-demasi ka)SILVERA RUBEN 121 8.00    
12  KY THIRTY WON         (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KENTUCKY JOKER Jun25 Mar04 Jan28 Dec31 Nov19 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 121 3.50    
SCR  FRIDAY I'M IN LOVE Aug02         (bond harold )RIVERA R 116 8.00    
SCR  REFUAH Aug27 Aug09 Jul04 Jun09 May20 (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00    
SCR  BEARY FUNNY Aug27         (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.