The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Delaware Park
Friday - September 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

DEL-1   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $14.60 $14.60 8.60
DEL-2   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $18.60 -6.00
DEL-3   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 0.40
DEL-4   Win (1/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -2.80
DEL-5   Win (9/11/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $14.80 -6.00
DEL-6   Win (7/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $31.60 -8.00
DEL-7   Win (10/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $9.20 -8.00
DEL-8   Win (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -1.20

Simulator Race results

 
DEL-1   09/29/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-12:30
:222 :472 1:004     1:074   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. ROGER 3 2 2nk 1nk   13 1¾ (avila carl)SOSA LAUREANO 117 10.00 16% 5.20 6.30 W
VEGAS PLAYBOY 4 5 54 4   23 2¾ (sacco gregor)SANCHEZ J 121 3.00 2.60  
CATCHHIMANDFREEHIM 1 6 615 610   633 (rigattieri john)MENA E 121 6.00 5% 19.00 15.90 S
NATURE OFTHE BEAST 6 1 43 54   54(sullivan el)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 8.00 7.40  
MO EH HENNESSY 2 4 1nk 2nk   34 56 (simone v)GOMEZ KEVIN 121 4.00 9.30  
AIR KENNEY 5 3 32 3   4610¼ (sweezey kent)TROTMAN KEIMAR 121 1.60 46% 1.20 0.90  
SCR  EL GRAN SEBAS               (machado antoni)ARROYO S 121 10.00    
 
DEL-2   09/29/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
:232 :464 1:131     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOP AND SCOTCH 1 3 32 44 1½ 14 1(ramirez a)MENA E 117 10.00 8.30  
GUILLAUME 4 5 6 67 5 36 2(allen ferris)CEDENO CAROL 120 4.00 16% 5.20 4.60 P
KING OF DREAMS 2 2 4 32 2½ 24 3(avila carlos)CENTENO E 120 1.20 42% 1.40 1.30 S
MISTER WINSTON 5 4 12 12 3 410 418 (caban)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 5.00 2.30  
KIDYOUNOT 6 6 5 5 6 512½ 519 (moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 122 5.00 7.60  
CLAW 3 1 22 22 45 613 626¾ (bailon her)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 8.00 16% 5.20 11.20  
SCR  CURLIN'S THRILL               (simone michael )TREJOS JOSEPH 118 15.00    
 
DEL-3   09/29/2023 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
:221 :454       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EGO MAN 1 3 42 4   11 1(ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 125 6.00 18% 4.70 1.20 W
COLONEL BOWMAN 4 4 32 31   31 2(jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.20 55% 0.80 0.60 P
SHACKS WAY 2 1 1½ 2nk   21 3(compton greg)CEDENO CAROL 121 6.00 10.10  
NICHIREN 3 2 2½ 1nk   43 410¾ (russell brittany )GOMEZ KEVIN 123 8.00 15.20  
SCR  SILARDI               (sweezey kent)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 2.50    
SCR  SLIPPIN JIMMY               (moysey e)HIRALDO JOHN 121 12.00    
SCR  LUCCI               (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 125 4.50    
SCR  LIVE FIRE               (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 121 12.00    
SCR  WILD BEHAVIOR               (magee kieron)CEDENO CAROL 123 2.50    
SCR  BABY BOOMER               (ward dan)JUAREZ NIK 121 4.00    
SCR  BAM BAM BLU               (mcburney patrick)MARIN SAMUEL 125 3.00    
 
DEL-4   09/29/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 2 F PT- 2:00
:224 :48 1:004     1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EDEN'S GIGI 1 2 1nk 1½   12 1(russell brittany )GOMEZ KEVIN 115 1.80 17% 4.80 1.60 W
FACE IT ALONE 5 7 32 3   22 2(rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 119 8.00 23.00  
RITZ ON BROADWAY 6 1 43 4   35 3(potts wayne)MARIN SAMUEL 119 3.50 4.20  
NOSY 7 6 6 67   610 413¾ (houghton thomas)CONNER TYLER 119 10.00 13% 6.70 12.20  
AMORICA 3 3 57 5   59 515½ (pecoraro anthony)HIRALDO JOHN 119 8.00 4.30  
HIPATIA 4 8 7 78   713 617¼ (d'angelo jose )ARROYO S 119 10.00 13% 6.70 3.40  
BOBBI TWO STEPS 2 5 2nk 2½   47 719¼ (simoff andrew)TROTMAN KEIMAR 119 4.50 15% 5.80 13.80  
SPRUCE RUN 8 4 814¾ 816   819 827¼ (strauss bev)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 117 10.00 24.70  
 
DEL-5   09/29/2023 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
:232 :481 1:141 1:422   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEACE FIRE 3 2 5 52 3 1nk 1(ramirez jos)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 20.00 6.40  
SAVE YOUR TEARS 6 6 6 4 1nk 2nk 2(pino michael)SANCHEZ J 120 5.00 54% 0.80 0.60 P
11  WINE IN THE DARK 7 5 3 31 2nk 34 311 (hendriks ri)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 16% 5.20 7.00 S
DUSTED 1 1 42 6 5 410 420¾ (lucas bonnie)MARIN SAMUEL 123 20.00 14.00  
MAGNOLIA ROAD 4 7 7 75 6 612 526¾ (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 123 12.00 5% 19.00 27.90  
DIVINE PROMISE 5 4 2½ 1nk 4 510½ 629¼ (wagner karin)CONNER TYLER 123 12.00 7.70  
HOT BOTTOM GIRL 2 3 1½ 2nk 713¾ 723 753½ (kelly blake)ARROYO S 123 4.00 6.70  
SCR  FORTUNE TELLER               (brion keri)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 10.00    
SCR  ONE CLEAR MOMENT               (gorham e)MENA E 120 20.00    
SCR  PANTHER COMMAND               (nixon justin)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 20.00    
SCR  PRALINE PECAN               (rawles alcina)MENA E 123 20.00    
SCR  RACING               (carrascojr vic)ARROYO S 120 4.50    
SCR  SULTRY SKY               (manchio robe)ROWLAND MADELINE 123 20.00    
SCR  WICKED KITTEN               (allen ferris)CEDENO CAROL 120 15.00    
 
DEL-6   09/29/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
:24 :48 1:132     1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE SICARII 5 4 3 4 4 2nk 1¼ (neilson wallac)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 3.50 14.80  
DOIN'ITTHERIGHTWAY 6 3 4 31 1nk 1nk 2¼ (simone michael)ARROYO S 124 12.00 2.00  
WHAT'S TO BLAME 7 8 66 63 32 43(ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 118 2.00 49% 1.10 3.10 S
CHRIS AND DAVE 8 7 2½ 2½ 2nk 34(graci kimbe)RODRIGUEZ R 122 10.00 10% 9.40 2.90  
MIRACLE SILVER 2 2 52 5 7 57 511 (nazario pedro)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 4.50 13% 6.70 5.90  
LIFESPAN 3 6 8 77 54 6613 (ramirez jos)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 8.00 14.10  
FEARLESS FLY 4 5 7 8 8 811¼ 718½ (sanchez-pinero )ALICEA JEREMY 111 8.00 69.80  
ARTISTIC REASON 1 1 1½ 1½ 6 711 823¼ (troxell e)MENA E 120 8.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
 
DEL-7   09/29/2023 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:30
:234 :482 1:142 1:414   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOGAN'S RUNNER 1 2 52 5 2½ 16 1(castillo miche)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 12.00 3.60  
10  SILENT MODE 7 6 8 7 66 38 2(saville niall)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 1.60 63% 0.60 4.40 P
MORALES LITTLE KID 4 3 2½ 21 1½ 26 311¼ (nazario ped)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 20.00 5% 19.00 5.60 S
PRINCIPE 3 1 64 6 5 5412½ (sanchez-pinero )TREJOS JOSEPH 124 10.00 11.70  
GRUNION 2 10 10 8 77 610½ 514¾ (yovanovich donald)GOMEZ KEVIN 124 5.00 5% 19.00 6.50  
12  MY BIG DRAMA 8 5 4 4 3 48 615 (rigattieri john)HIRALDO JOHN 124 10.00 35.90  
13  LT'S JACKNTHEBOX 9 7 7 1011¾ 913½ 713½ 715½ (mosco robert)MOYA F 124 12.00 4.80  
MAD DOCTOR 5 9 9 9 812 919½ 823 (lugovich l)MENA E 124 20.00 66.70  
14  KING JOEY 10 8 1½ 11 4 817½ 926½ (woodit josep)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00 27.70  
MINTENON 6 4 3½ 31 1015½ 1034½ 1070 (carrascojr vic)ARROYO S 124 3.50 12% 7.60 4.10  
SCR  BALI RIDDIM               (richards marv)ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 117 12.00    
SCR  FACTUM LOVE STYLE               (nicholson ju)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 10.00    
SCR  HENDERSON               (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 124 12.00    
SCR  PHOTO COPY               (mcdermott se)SANCHEZ J 124 4.50    
 
DEL-8   09/29/2023 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
:213 :46 :583     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAND MANNER 6 1 21 21   2nk 1(gorham e)MENA E 123 1.60 27% 2.60 1.40 W
SIMPSON BAY 3 4 11 11   1nk 2(robertson mc)GALLARDO EDUARDO 123 12.00 17% 4.90 2.00 P
MR. COWBOY BRADLEY 5 2 56 5   43(deiter kelly )ZAPLITNY SKYLAR 116 5.00 21.90  
ONEHANDSOMEDUDE 2 5 31 3   35 410¾ (simoff and)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 3.50 25% 3.00 8.10  
SILVER R 1 6 6 6   5511¾ (luqueno giovanni)HIRALDO JOHN 123 10.00 6.80  
TAPATERM 4 7 723½ 720½   713½ 615½ (gayle webste)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 8.00 6.10  
LUCKILY LEYTON 7 3 42 4   611½ 720¼ (castillo mich)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 8.00 18.80  
SCR  DAGDA               (saville niall)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.