Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $15.40 $9.40 157%
BAQ-2   DD (6/4/1)-(1/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-1 $14.10 $5.10 57%
BAQ-5   SFT (8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6) 24 $0.10 $2.40  8-7-3-6 $8.45 $6.05 252%
BAQ-7   EXA (5/6/7/10)-(5/6/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-5 $12.50 $0.50 4%
BAQ-9   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $6.60 $0.60 10%
    DD (6/8/5/7)-(2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-4 $12.80 $0.80 7%
    PK4 (6/2/3)-(5/6/7/10)-(6/8/5/7)-(2/4/1) 144 $0.50 $72.00  6-7-7-4 $79.75 $7.75 11%
    PK5 (8/7/3/6)-(6/2/3)-(5/6/7/10)-(6/8/5/7)-(2/4/1) 576 $0.50 $288  8-6-7-7-4 $291.50 $3.50 1%
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:22 :444 :572     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CARESS 3 3 21½ 21½   11 1½ (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 19% 4.20 6.70 W
  (by CONNECT out of FUN AFFAIR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  CANDY LOVER 2 4 43 42½   31½ 2½ (devaux cherie)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 5.90  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TAURASI by MINESHAFT)
4  BENTO 5 2 11½ 11½   21 33½ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 21% 3.70 4.10 S
  (by TAPIT out of CAROLYN'S CAT by FORESTRY)
6  BEFORE YOU GO GO 7 1 32 31½   43 45¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 39% 1.50 1.15  
  (by MITOLE out of WAKE ME UP by ACT OF WAR)
1  TRUE MYTH 1 6 715 715½   711 59½ (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 ★ 6.70  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CAN'T EXPLAIN by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  EXPERIMENTAL 4 5 69½ 611½   59 69¾ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 4.50  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TRIAL AND ERROR by UNCLE MO)
5  PLAY GOOD PAY GOOD 6 7 56 59   69 711½ (dutrow richar)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 10.20  
  (by CONGRATS out of RACYN WITH GRACYN by VICTORY GALLOP)
 
BAQ-2   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:08
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:112 1:241   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHASING DAYLIGHT 1 4 1½ 11 11 11½ 11½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.20 47% 1.10 0.30 W
4  SHIGEKO 3 5 41½ 31 31½ 21½ 21½ (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 9% 10.30 7.10 P
5  SHOOPTHEREITIS 4 1 2½ 21 21 31½ 35 (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 9.60  
2  JOEY THE FISH 2 6 610½ 611½ 611½ 57 47 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 118 30.00 41.75  
6  K D KAKES 5 2 31 42 42½ 43½ 59¾ (falcone ro)RIVERA R 115 4.00 7.00  
7  JOEYBIGNOSE 6 3 52½ 53½ 56½ 67¼ 612¼ (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 6.00 10% 8.90 14.00  
SCR  ALTERINA               (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/05/2023 7260ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LIBRETTO (IRE) 6 11 11½ 11½ 11 15½ 11½ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 3.55  
  (by UNKNOWN out of LOPERA by MONSUN (GER))
4  TAWARET 4 107 97¾ 911 107¼ 57 21½ (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 21% 3.90 2.35 P
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of TAPAS by SKY CLASSIC)
9  DARK POOL 9 42½ 44½ 47 43 46 34½ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 8% 11.20 16.80 S
  (by COLLECTED out of CHESTNUT GROVE by STREET CRY (IRE))
8  ANNA LUCIA 8 21 21½ 21½ 21 25½ 45¾ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 11.60  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LIRA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  STARTS NOW 2 32 33½ 33 31½ 36 56¼ (kantarmaci mer)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 7% 13.60 7.20  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of VERY FUNNY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
1  ABSOLUTE CONTROL (FR) 1 85½ 76½ 79 85½ 612 69¾ (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 4.60  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  NAA DUDETTE 10 96½ 108¼ 1011¼ 97 916 713¾ (falcone ro)RIVERA R 115 15.00 5% 19.00 51.00  
  (by FIRST DUDE out of NAA by REPENT)
5  MACHIAVELLIQUE 5 75½ 86¾ 810 75 714 813¾ (albertrani )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00 27.75  
  (by HONOR CODE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
3  WHY WASTE WORDS 3 54 65½ 68 64½ 815 913¾ (bond j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 44% 1.30 5.10  
  (by BERNARDINI out of THE ROAD NOT TAKEN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) 7 64½ 55½ 58 54½ 1018 1017 (metivier richar)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 36.00  
  (by KODIAC out of EAVESDROP by PHONE TRICK)
SCR  RAPID MISS TAPIT               (potts wa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
  (by TAPIT out of MAGICAL DREAM by DOUG'S MY DOC)
 
BAQ-4   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:222 :46 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BERLONE 2 2 1½ 1nk   14 16¾ (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 114 5.00 2.80  
4  BARGAINING POWER 4 1 31½ 31   34 26¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 1.60 28% 2.50 1.70 P
5  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER 5 4 53 53½   46 37 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.50 22% 3.50 6.20 S
3  LITTLE SKIPPY 3 3 2½ 2nk   24 49½ (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 121 4.00 4.40  
7  MOTIVO 7 5 42½ 42½   56½ 59½ (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 4.30  
1  GOLDEN PURCHASE 1 7 75½ 66½   610½ 613¼ (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 20.00 68.50  
6  LOUIE'S HEAT 6 6 63½ 79   716½ 723¾ (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 13% 6.60 25.75  
 
BAQ-5   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:10 1:223   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  TWO THIRTY FIVE 8 1 11½ 11 13 13 13 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 124 1.80 60% 0.70 1.70 W
7  DURKIN'S CALL 7 6 57 42 23 23 23 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 7% 12.40 1.45 P
3  COOL QUARTET 3 4 46½ 53½ 38½ 38 34½ (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.50 7% 13.90 4.80 S
6  DATESFREEDOM 6 7 68½ 64 49½ 410½ 49½ (delauro edward )CARMOUCHE K 124 15.00 5% 19.00 46.50  
4  HANG TIGHT 4 5 78½ 76½ 715 516½ 514 (romero jes)RIVERA R 119 15.00 50.25  
2  PIT BOSS 2 2 32½ 32 612 718 619¼ (bernardini )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 7.90  
1  LIFE AND LIGHT 1 3 21½ 21 511½ 617½ 721¼ (pringle edmun)CASTILLO AMIN 118 20.00 33.25  
5  CAERUS 5 8 810½ 87½ 817 820 821¼ (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00 13.10  
 
BAQ-6   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:22 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SOLO'S FURY 6 3 21 2½   1½ 12 (englehart jer)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 49% 1.10 1.40 W
  (by SOLOMINI out of LITERARY LADY by BIRDSTONE)
1  SLAMMIN GOLD 1 2 11 1½   2½ 22 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 6.40  
  (by TAPIT out of BAR OF GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  SIX FORTYFIVE 4 6 42½ 34   35½ 34¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 ★ 7.40 S
  (by LAOBAN out of ARISTRA by AFLEET ALEX)
2  BRICK AMBUSH 2 8 713½ 515   512 45½ (gargan danny)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 27% 2.70 3.40  
  (by LAOBAN out of STEVE'S PHILLY by TALE OF EKATI)
9  HAIR ON FIRE 9 4 53½ 410   411½ 510½ (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 ★ 7.20  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DEPUTY CURES BLUES by WAR DEPUTY)
10  BLUE MARBLE 10 5 68½ 618   618 614¾ (mcburney)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00 40.25  
  (by ACCELERATE out of AVENDESORA by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
7  CURLIN'S HUSTLE 7 7 915½ 819½   822 718½ (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 22.70  
  (by SOLOMINI out of SILVER HUSTLER by POLITICAL FORCE)
3  JEFFERSONS OCEAN 3 9 814½ 719   721 819¾ (friedman mitche)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 5% 19.00 70.75  
  (by WEST COAST out of CARAMEAWAY by LAWYER RON)
8  GOD LAUGHS 8 10 1016 1021   927 929 (baker charl)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 38.50  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TALKING TREASURE by CATIENUS)
5  WINWOOD 5 1 31 920   1037 1068½ (david carlos )ORTIZ JR 119 10.00 12.80  
  (by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR out of WV MOUNTAIN MOMMA by MORE THAN READY)
 
BAQ-7   10/05/2023 3960ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :46 :573     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KING JAMES (IRE) 6 3 53½ 42   22 1hd (summers chad)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.50 9% 10.40 2.40 W
5  CHARGING 4 5 11½ 1½   12 2hd (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 120 3.00 42% 1.40 2.95 P
2  WAR TERMINATOR 2 6 33 31½   42½ 32¼ (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00 12.60  
8  VOLKERT 7 1 21½ 2½   32 42¾ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 7.40  
4  BUCKORTWO 3 7 75¼ 53½   55½ 53¼ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 8.90  
6  SAINTHOODFORBRIAN 5 9 97¼ 86½   77 64½ (klesaris steve)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 23% 3.40 5.20  
1  OCTOPUS 1 8 87¼ 64½   66 74¾ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 12.00    
9  MAJESTIC JOHNSON 8 4 65 75½   811 813½ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 5.30  
10  BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) 9 2 43 97   916 917¼ (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00 5% 19.00 26.75  
SCR  FIGHT FIERCELY               (rodriguez )RIVERA R 115 8.00    
SCR  GOT THUNDER               (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 12.00    
SCR  HAPPY CAT               (duarte jorge )FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50    
SCR  HE'S GOT IT               (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 20.00    
SCR  KUNSHAN BRIDGE               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 4.00    
SCR  TENEBRIS               (wilson f)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 15.00    
SCR  VETERANS BEACH               (ward dan)RIVERA R 118 12.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:23 :452 1:10 1:223   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PORTAGE 7 3 1nk 2nk 1½ 13 1¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 26% 2.80 2.65 W
4  TONED UP 3 8 77¼ 78¾ 44 23 2¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 12.00 29.50  
6  CUPID'S HEART 5 9 87¾ 88¾ 54½ 44½ 32¾ (levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 41% 1.40 2.40 S
7  MONGOLIAN PANTHER 6 2 31 32 32½ 34 45¼ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
5  SWEET MYSTERY 4 4 63¼ 66¾ 64½ 66 56 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 8% 11.40 10.70  
1  FANCY AZTECA 2 5 2nk 1nk 2½ 55½ 611½ (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 10.40  
9  SA FORADADA 8 1 52¾ 45½ 79½ 710 714½ (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 122 12.00 17.50  
10  MIA BEA STAR 9 6 912¾ 914¾ 814½ 811 818¼ (persaud rand)CASTELLANO J 124 20.00 27.75  
2  PURE PAULINE 1 7 42½ 55¾ 922½ 923 964¾ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 2.95  
SCR  GOOD PENNY               (camejo j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 6.00    
SCR  ICHIBAN               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:23 :49 1:132 1:38   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  VINCE THE PRINCE 4 2 1nk 11 11 11½ 11½ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 5% 19.00 2.30 W
5  CATTANI 5 3 41½ 42 41½ 21½ 21½ (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 36.00  
10  JUST FOR LUCK (AUS) 10 8 83¾ 63 52½ 34 32¾ (asmussen ste)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 ★ 7.60 S
2  YOUR MISSION 2 10 94¾ 95 95¾ 85¾ 44 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 69% 0.40 1.90  
7  CASH BAIL 7 9 105¾ 84½ 84¼ 75¼ 54¾ (meadow e)USKE S 124 20.00 47.25  
1  SILENT RUNNING 1 1 62¾ 74 62¾ 44½ 64¾ (bond harol)RIVERA R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 25.00  
8  WAFLR 8 5 52½ 53 73¼ 65 75¼ (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00 16.90  
9  HARI 9 6 3½ 31½ 31 55 89½ (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 5.50  
6  ENGLISH STORM 6 4 2nk 21 21 98¾ 912¾ (giangiulio mic)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 ★ 6.80  
3  TESTA DURA 3 7 73¾ 106 1015¾ 1020¾ 1025¾ (chichakly ami)MARTIN MATTIE 113 30.00 83.00  
SCR  AULA               (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50    
SCR  CHULLIGAN               (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
SCR  HE'S A LUCKY GUY               (brion keri)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00    
SCR  HERONEANDONLY               (goodwin ga)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 30.00    
SCR  PRIX DE WEST               (mott i)RIDER TBA 120 10.00    
SCR  REFUAH               (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.