Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $15.40 $9.40 157%
BAQ-2   DD (6/4/1)-(1/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-1 $14.10 $5.10 57%
BAQ-5   SFT (8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6)-(8/7/3/6) 24 $0.10 $2.40  8-7-3-6 $8.45 $6.05 252%
BAQ-7   EXA (5/6/7/10)-(5/6/7/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-5 $12.50 $0.50 4%
BAQ-9   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $6.60 $0.60 10%
    DD (6/8/5/7)-(2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-4 $12.80 $0.80 7%
    PK4 (6/2/3)-(5/6/7/10)-(6/8/5/7)-(2/4/1) 144 $0.50 $72.00  6-7-7-4 $79.75 $7.75 11%
    PK5 (8/7/3/6)-(6/2/3)-(5/6/7/10)-(6/8/5/7)-(2/4/1) 576 $0.50 $288  8-6-7-7-4 $291.50 $3.50 1%

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT-12:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CARESS   (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 19% 4.20 6.70 W
  (by CONNECT out of FUN AFFAIR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
CANDY LOVER   (devaux cherie)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 5.90  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TAURASI by MINESHAFT)
BENTO   (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 21% 3.70 4.10 S
  (by TAPIT out of CAROLYN'S CAT by FORESTRY)
BEFORE YOU GO GO   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 39% 1.50 1.15  
  (by MITOLE out of WAKE ME UP by ACT OF WAR)
TRUE MYTH   (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 6.70  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CAN'T EXPLAIN by NOT FOR LOVE)
EXPERIMENTAL   (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 4.50  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of TRIAL AND ERROR by UNCLE MO)
PLAY GOOD PAY GOOD   (dutrow richar)VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 10.20  
  (by CONGRATS out of RACYN WITH GRACYN by VICTORY GALLOP)
 
BAQ-2   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASING DAYLIGHT   (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.20 47% 1.10 0.30 W
SHIGEKO   (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 9% 10.30 7.10 P
SHOOPTHEREITIS   (englehart jerem)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 9.60  
JOEY THE FISH   (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 118 30.00 41.75  
K D KAKES   (falcone ro)RIVERA R 115 4.00 7.00  
JOEYBIGNOSE   (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 6.00 10% 8.90 14.00  
SCR  ALTERINA   (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/05/2023 7260ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBRETTO (IRE)   (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 3.55  
  (by UNKNOWN out of LOPERA by MONSUN (GER))
TAWARET   (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 21% 3.90 2.35 P
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of TAPAS by SKY CLASSIC)
DARK POOL   (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 8% 11.20 16.80 S
  (by COLLECTED out of CHESTNUT GROVE by STREET CRY (IRE))
ANNA LUCIA   (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 11.60  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LIRA by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
STARTS NOW   (kantarmaci mer)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 7% 13.60 7.20  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of VERY FUNNY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
ABSOLUTE CONTROL (FR)   (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 4.60  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
10  NAA DUDETTE   (falcone ro)RIVERA R 115 15.00 5% 19.00 51.00  
  (by FIRST DUDE out of NAA by REPENT)
MACHIAVELLIQUE   (albertrani )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00 27.75  
  (by HONOR CODE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
WHY WASTE WORDS   (bond j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 44% 1.30 5.10  
  (by BERNARDINI out of THE ROAD NOT TAKEN by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE)   (metivier richar)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 36.00  
  (by KODIAC out of EAVESDROP by PHONE TRICK)
SCR  RAPID MISS TAPIT   (potts wa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
  (by TAPIT out of MAGICAL DREAM by DOUG'S MY DOC)
 
BAQ-4   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERLONE   (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 114 5.00 2.80  
BARGAINING POWER   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 1.60 28% 2.50 1.70 P
DUKE OF GLOUCESTER   (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.50 22% 3.50 6.20 S
LITTLE SKIPPY   (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 121 4.00 4.40  
MOTIVO   (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 4.30  
GOLDEN PURCHASE   (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 20.00 68.50  
LOUIE'S HEAT   (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 13% 6.60 25.75  
 
BAQ-5   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO THIRTY FIVE   (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 124 1.80 60% 0.70 1.70 W
DURKIN'S CALL   (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 7% 12.40 1.45 P
COOL QUARTET   (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.50 7% 13.90 4.80 S
DATESFREEDOM   (delauro edward )CARMOUCHE K 124 15.00 5% 19.00 46.50  
HANG TIGHT   (romero jes)RIVERA R 119 15.00 50.25  
PIT BOSS   (bernardini )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 7.90  
LIFE AND LIGHT   (pringle edmun)CASTILLO AMIN 118 20.00 33.25  
CAERUS   (lucas bo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00 13.10  
 
BAQ-6   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLO'S FURY   (englehart jer)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 49% 1.10 1.40 W
  (by SOLOMINI out of LITERARY LADY by BIRDSTONE)
SLAMMIN GOLD   (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 6.40  
  (by TAPIT out of BAR OF GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SIX FORTYFIVE   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 7.40 S
  (by LAOBAN out of ARISTRA by AFLEET ALEX)
BRICK AMBUSH   (gargan danny)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 27% 2.70 3.40  
  (by LAOBAN out of STEVE'S PHILLY by TALE OF EKATI)
HAIR ON FIRE   (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 7.20  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DEPUTY CURES BLUES by WAR DEPUTY)
10  BLUE MARBLE   (mcburney)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00 40.25  
  (by ACCELERATE out of AVENDESORA by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
CURLIN'S HUSTLE   (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 22.70  
  (by SOLOMINI out of SILVER HUSTLER by POLITICAL FORCE)
JEFFERSONS OCEAN   (friedman mitche)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 5% 19.00 70.75  
  (by WEST COAST out of CARAMEAWAY by LAWYER RON)
GOD LAUGHS   (baker charl)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 38.50  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of TALKING TREASURE by CATIENUS)
WINWOOD   (david carlos )ORTIZ JR 119 10.00 12.80  
  (by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR out of WV MOUNTAIN MOMMA by MORE THAN READY)
 
BAQ-7   10/05/2023 3960ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING JAMES (IRE)   (summers chad)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.50 9% 10.40 2.40 W
CHARGING   (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 120 3.00 42% 1.40 2.95 P
WAR TERMINATOR   (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00 12.60  
VOLKERT   (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 7.40  
BUCKORTWO   (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 8.90  
SAINTHOODFORBRIAN   (klesaris steve)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 23% 3.40 5.20  
OCTOPUS   (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 12.00    
MAJESTIC JOHNSON   (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 5.30  
10  BUILT TO LAST (BRZ)   (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00 5% 19.00 26.75  
SCR  FIGHT FIERCELY   (rodriguez )RIVERA R 115 8.00    
SCR  GOT THUNDER   (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 12.00    
SCR  HAPPY CAT   (duarte jorge )FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50    
SCR  HE'S GOT IT   (abreu jorge)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 20.00    
SCR  KUNSHAN BRIDGE   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 4.00    
SCR  TENEBRIS   (wilson f)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 15.00    
SCR  VETERANS BEACH   (ward dan)RIVERA R 118 12.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PORTAGE   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 26% 2.80 2.65 W
TONED UP   (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 12.00 29.50  
CUPID'S HEART   (levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 41% 1.40 2.40 S
MONGOLIAN PANTHER   (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
SWEET MYSTERY   (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 8% 11.40 10.70  
FANCY AZTECA   (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 10.40  
SA FORADADA   (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 122 12.00 17.50  
10  MIA BEA STAR   (persaud rand)CASTELLANO J 124 20.00 27.75  
PURE PAULINE   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 2.95  
SCR  GOOD PENNY   (camejo j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 6.00    
SCR  ICHIBAN   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINCE THE PRINCE   (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 5% 19.00 2.30 W
CATTANI   (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 36.00  
10  JUST FOR LUCK (AUS)   (asmussen ste)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 7.60 S
YOUR MISSION   (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 69% 0.40 1.90  
CASH BAIL   (meadow e)USKE S 124 20.00 47.25  
SILENT RUNNING   (bond harol)RIVERA R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 25.00  
WAFLR   (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00 16.90  
HARI   (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 5.50  
ENGLISH STORM   (giangiulio mic)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 6.80  
TESTA DURA   (chichakly ami)MARTIN MATTIE 113 30.00 83.00  
SCR  AULA   (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50    
SCR  CHULLIGAN   (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
SCR  HE'S A LUCKY GUY   (brion keri)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00    
SCR  HERONEANDONLY   (goodwin ga)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 30.00    
SCR  PRIX DE WEST   (mott i)RIDER TBA 120 10.00    
SCR  REFUAH   (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 1.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.