Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Thursday - October 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $15.40 $15.40 9.40
BAQ-2   Win (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
BAQ-3   Win (3/4/9/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 0 $9.10  
BAQ-4   Win (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $7.60  
BAQ-5   Win (8/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
BAQ-6   Win (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
BAQ-7   Win (5/6/7/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.80 $6.80  
BAQ-8   Win (6/8/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $7.30 $7.30  
BAQ-9   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 0.60

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:22 :444 :572     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CARESS 3 3 2 2   11 1½ (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 119 3.00 19% 4.20 6.70 W
CANDY LOVER 2 4 43 4   3 2½ (devaux cherie)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 5.90  
BENTO 5 2 1 1   21 3 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 21% 3.70 4.10 S
BEFORE YOU GO GO 7 1 32 3   43 4 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 39% 1.50 1.15  
TRUE MYTH 1 6 715 715½   711 5 (terranova p)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 6.70  
EXPERIMENTAL 4 5 6 611½   59 6 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 4.00 4.50  
PLAY GOOD PAY GOOD 6 7 56 59   69 711½ (dutrow richard )VELAZQUEZ R 119 6.00 10.20  
 
BAQ-2   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:08
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:112 1:241   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASING DAYLIGHT 1 4 1½ 11 11 1 1 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.20 47% 1.10 0.30 W
SHIGEKO 3 5 4 31 3 2 2 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 9% 10.30 7.10 P
SHOOPTHEREITIS 4 1 2½ 21 21 3 35 (englehart jeremia)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.50 9.60  
JOEY THE FISH 2 6 610½ 611½ 611½ 57 47 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 118 30.00 41.75  
K D KAKES 5 2 31 42 4 4 5 (falcone robe)RIVERA R 115 4.00 7.00  
JOEYBIGNOSE 6 3 5 5 5 6 612¼ (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 6.00 10% 8.90 14.00  
SCR  ALTERINA               (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 120 8.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/05/2023 7260ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIBRETTO (IRE) 6 11 1 1 11 1 1 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 124 4.00 3.55  
TAWARET 4 107 9 911 10 57 2 (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 2.50 21% 3.90 2.35 P
DARK POOL 9 4 4 47 43 46 3 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 120 10.00 8% 11.20 16.80 S
ANNA LUCIA 8 21 2 2 21 2 4 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 11.60  
STARTS NOW 2 32 3 33 3 36 5 (kantarmaci mertk)ORTIZ L 120 8.00 7% 13.60 7.20  
ABSOLUTE CONTROL (FR) 1 8 7 79 8 612 6 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 4.60  
10  NAA DUDETTE 10 9 10 1011¼ 97 916 713¾ (falcone robe)RIVERA R 115 15.00 5% 19.00 51.00  
MACHIAVELLIQUE 5 7 8 810 75 714 813¾ (albertrani th)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00 27.75  
WHY WASTE WORDS 3 54 6 68 6 815 913¾ (bond jam)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 44% 1.30 5.10  
ADDRESSABLE MARKET (IRE) 7 6 5 58 5 1018 1017 (metivier richard)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 36.00  
SCR  RAPID MISS TAPIT               (potts wayn)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 30.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:222 :46 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERLONE 2 2 1½ 1nk   14 1 (david a)OLVER MADISON 114 5.00 2.80  
BARGAINING POWER 4 1 3 31   34 2 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 1.60 28% 2.50 1.70 P
DUKE OF GLOUCESTER 5 4 53 5   46 37 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 3.50 22% 3.50 6.20 S
LITTLE SKIPPY 3 3 2½ 2nk   24 4 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 121 4.00 4.40  
MOTIVO 7 5 4 4   5 5 (dutrow e)DAVIS DYLAN 121 6.00 4.30  
GOLDEN PURCHASE 1 7 7 6   610½ 613¼ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 20.00 68.50  
LOUIE'S HEAT 6 6 6 79   716½ 723¾ (walder pet)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 13% 6.60 25.75  
 
BAQ-5   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:10 1:223   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO THIRTY FIVE 8 1 1 11 13 13 13 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 124 1.80 60% 0.70 1.70 W
DURKIN'S CALL 7 6 57 42 23 23 23 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 2.50 7% 12.40 1.45 P
COOL QUARTET 3 4 4 5 3 38 3 (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 3.50 7% 13.90 4.80 S
DATESFREEDOM 6 7 6 64 4 410½ 4 (delauro j)CARMOUCHE K 124 15.00 5% 19.00 46.50  
HANG TIGHT 4 5 7 7 715 516½ 514 (romero jesus)RIVERA R 119 15.00 50.25  
PIT BOSS 2 2 3 32 612 718 619¼ (bernardini ju)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 7.90  
LIFE AND LIGHT 1 3 2 21 511½ 617½ 721¼ (pringle edmund)CASTILLO AMIN 118 20.00 33.25  
CAERUS 5 8 810½ 8 817 820 821¼ (lucas bonn)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 10.00 13.10  
 
BAQ-6   10/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:22 :454 :582     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLO'S FURY 6 3 21 2½   1½ 12 (englehart jerem)VELAZQUEZ R 119 3.00 49% 1.10 1.40 W
SLAMMIN GOLD 1 2 11 1½   2½ 22 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 6.40  
SIX FORTYFIVE 4 6 4 34   3 3 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.00 7.40 S
BRICK AMBUSH 2 8 713½ 515   512 4 (gargan danny)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 27% 2.70 3.40  
HAIR ON FIRE 9 4 5 410   411½ 510½ (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 119 12.00 7.20  
10  BLUE MARBLE 10 5 6 618   618 614¾ (mcburney p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 20.00 40.25  
CURLIN'S HUSTLE 7 7 915½ 819½   822 718½ (hills a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 22.70  
JEFFERSONS OCEAN 3 9 814½ 719   721 819¾ (friedman mitchell)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 5% 19.00 70.75  
GOD LAUGHS 8 10 1016 1021   927 929 (baker charlto)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 38.50  
WINWOOD 5 1 31 920   1037 1068½ (david a)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00 12.80  
 
BAQ-7   10/05/2023 3960ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:224 :46 :573     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING JAMES (IRE) 6 3 5 42   22 1hd (summers chad)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 4.50 9% 10.40 2.40 W
CHARGING 4 5 1 1½   12 2hd (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 3.00 42% 1.40 2.95 P
WAR TERMINATOR 2 6 33 3   4 3 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00 12.60  
VOLKERT 7 1 2 2½   32 4 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00 7.40  
BUCKORTWO 3 7 7 5   5 5 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 123 10.00 8.90  
SAINTHOODFORBRIAN 5 9 9 8   77 6 (klesaris steve)ORTIZ L 123 3.50 23% 3.40 5.20  
OCTOPUS 1 8 8 6   66 7 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 12.00    
MAJESTIC JOHNSON 8 4 65 7   811 813½ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 5.30  
10  BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) 9 2 43 97   916 917¼ (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 12.00 5% 19.00 26.75  
SCR  FIGHT FIERCELY               (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 115 8.00    
SCR  GOT THUNDER               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 123 12.00    
SCR  HAPPY CAT               (duarte jr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50    
SCR  HE'S GOT IT               (abreu r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 20.00    
SCR  KUNSHAN BRIDGE               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 4.00    
SCR  TENEBRIS               (wilson fai)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 15.00    
SCR  VETERANS BEACH               (ward dan)RIVERA R 118 12.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/05/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:23 :452 1:10 1:223   1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PORTAGE 7 3 1nk 2nk 1½ 13 1¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.00 26% 2.80 2.65 W
TONED UP 3 8 7 7 44 23 2¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 12.00 29.50  
CUPID'S HEART 5 9 8 8 5 4 3 (levine bruce)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 41% 1.40 2.40 S
MONGOLIAN PANTHER 6 2 31 32 3 34 4 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
SWEET MYSTERY 4 4 6 6 6 66 56 (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 8% 11.40 10.70  
FANCY AZTECA 2 5 2nk 1nk 2½ 5 611½ (dutrow e)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 10.40  
SA FORADADA 8 1 5 4 7 710 714½ (dutrow richard )FRANCO MANUEL 122 12.00 17.50  
10  MIA BEA STAR 9 6 912¾ 914¾ 814½ 811 818¼ (persaud randi)CASTELLANO J 124 20.00 27.75  
PURE PAULINE 1 7 4 5 922½ 923 964¾ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 2.95  
SCR  GOOD PENNY               (camejo jos)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 6.00    
SCR  ICHIBAN               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 8.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/05/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:23 :49 1:132 1:38   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINCE THE PRINCE 4 2 1nk 11 11 1 1 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 5% 19.00 2.30 W
CATTANI 5 3 4 42 4 2 2 (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00 36.00  
10  JUST FOR LUCK (AUS) 10 8 8 63 5 34 3 (asmussen steve)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 7.60 S
YOUR MISSION 2 10 9 95 9 8 44 (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 3.50 69% 0.40 1.90  
CASH BAIL 7 9 10 8 8 7 5 (meadow e)USKE S 124 20.00 47.25  
SILENT RUNNING 1 1 6 74 6 4 6 (bond harold )RIVERA R 119 12.00 5% 19.00 25.00  
WAFLR 8 5 5 53 7 65 7 (donk david)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 10.00 16.90  
HARI 9 6 3½ 3 31 55 8 (mott i)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 5.50  
ENGLISH STORM 6 4 2nk 21 21 9 912¾ (giangiulio miche)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 6.80  
TESTA DURA 3 7 7 106 1015¾ 1020¾ 1025¾ (chichakly amira)MARTIN MATTIE 113 30.00 83.00  
SCR  AULA               (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50    
SCR  CHULLIGAN               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00    
SCR  HE'S A LUCKY GUY               (brion keri)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00    
SCR  HERONEANDONLY               (goodwin gabr)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 117 30.00    
SCR  PRIX DE WEST               (mott i)RIDER TBA 120 10.00    
SCR  REFUAH               (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 1.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.