Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - September 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-4   EXA (6/1)-(6/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00  6-2 $4.55 $0.55 14%
BAQ-5   EXA (1/16/3/2)-(1/16/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  16-3 $29.75 $17.75 148%
    TRI (1/16/3/2)-(1/16/3/2)-(1/16/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  16-3-1 $59.87 $47.87 399%
BAQ-6   WIN (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $11.20 $5.20 87%
    EXA (7/8/4)-(7/8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  7-4 $22.90 $16.90 282%
    DD (1/16/3/2)-(7/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  16-7 $24.50 $12.50 104%
    PK3 (6/1)-(1/16/3/2)-(7/8/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00  6-16-7 $27.25 $3.25 14%
BAQ-7   DD (7/8/4)-(7/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-8 $23.50 $11.50 96%
BAQ-8   TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-2-7 $6.50 $3.50 117%

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   09/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:112 1:232   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REVOLVING CREDIT 1 3 1nk 1½ 12 1 1 (brown c)ORTIZ L 120 0.80 40% 1.50 0.40 W
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of TWITTER PIE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
PARIS STYLE (FR) 4 1 31 3 3 2 2 (mcpeek kenn)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.50 3.55  
  (by UNKNOWN out of MESEIKA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
RAYYA VALENTINE 5 4 2nk 2½ 22 39 310½ (summer)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00 31.50  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of RAYYA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
DUKE GIRLS 3 2 5 5 5 512½ 414 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 14.90  
  (by STREET SENSE out of GOLD MEDALIST by SLEW O' GOLD)
VIVID DREAMS 2 5 42 4 43 411 514¾ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 28% 2.50 4.50  
  (by ARROGATE out of SISTER SUPERIOR by PULPIT)
SCR  MAGICAL SONG               (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50    
  (by TAPIT out of SONGBIRD by TALC)
 
BAQ-2   09/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Joseph Purse ($125K) 2 F PT- 1:36
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:103     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARA'S TIME 1 1 1½ 11   1 1 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00 22.50  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of ZINDRA by MACHO UNO)
CALDWELL LUVS GOLD 3 5 55 56   2 2 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 0.80 63% 0.60 0.95 P
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SNOW by QUALITY ROAD)
MY MANE SQUEEZE 5 4 3 32   45 3 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 13% 6.50 1.35 S
  (by AUDIBLE out of IN SPITE OF MAMA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
MY SHEA D LADY 2 3 2½ 21   35 4 (david carlo)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 9.20  
  (by SOLOMINI out of LADYBERG by TEUFLESBERG)
NICKY JOLENE 4 2 43 45   523 575½ (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 7.30  
  (by SOLOMINI out of MORE THAN LOVE by MORE THAN READY)
 
BAQ-3   09/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:123 1:243   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  NOLITA 4 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 1nk 1¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 0.80 56% 0.80 0.50 W
  (by LAOBAN out of NICOLE'S MISS EL by ELTISH)
NORTH END LADY 1 3 41 4 2½ 2nk 2¾ (tagg barclay)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 5.20  
  (by VIOLENCE out of TURNING TIDE by MULA GULA)
11  FOXY CARA 5 1 3½ 31 31 3 3 (friedman mit)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 22% 3.50 4.20 S
  (by MASTERY out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SHE'S A NATURAL 2 5 5 52 4 46 4 (sciacca )GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00 25.25  
  (by BAL A BALI out of BARGAINING TABLE by BROTHER DEREK)
SAINTE CHAPELLE 3 4 2½ 2½ 55 514 530 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 5.80  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of DIVINE LUCK by LUCKY NORTH)
SCR  SPLASHY               (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
  (by FLATTER out of SAVVY SASSY by STREET SENSE)
SCR  SHINE MY TIARA               (baker charl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of STORM THE TOWER by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  LADY LAOBAN               (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 120 4.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of LA MOUSSE by VISION AND VERSE)
SCR  KRYSTALHEIR               (coffey m)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of ARELLA PRINCESS by LIMEHOUSE)
SCR  STARTS NOW               (kantarmaci me)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of VERY FUNNY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  ARISAEMA               (abreu r)ORTIZ L 124 3.00    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of MEIANN by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
BAQ-4   09/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:39
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:113 1:24   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTIN BAY 6 3 2½ 3.2 1 12 1 (abreu fernand)ORTIZ JR 126 0.80 73% 0.40 0.50 W
APRIL ANTICS 2 2 4 5¾ 2 22 2 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 3.90 P
TEMPERMENTAL 5 6 52 6 33 35 3 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 7.80  
OK HONEY 1 5 6 2nk 45 5 412 (chichakly a)MARTINEZ R 122 8.00 5% 19.00 13.70  
FREDDYMO FACTOR 3 1 31 1nk 5 4 512 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 15.00 15.30  
DUFRESNE 4 4 1½ 4¼ 6 610½ 616¾ (barrera os)RIVERA R 117 8.00 9.90  
 
BAQ-5   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
See original race card.
:222 :453 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
16  MAJESTIC RETURN 9 2 1 1   15 1 (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 25% 3.10 1.55 W
SOLIB 3 7 4 43   4 2 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 21% 3.70 13.00 P
WEEKEND RAGS 1 6 3 2   25 3 (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 27% 2.70 5.00 S
11  SIKUM 7 1 75 77   59 410 (camejo jos)RIVERA R 119 6.00 10.40  
15  CARBON 8 3 2 56   6 510¼ (younghans wi)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00 14.40  
ROBYN AND ELI 6 5 64 6   7 610¼ (abreu fernando)DAVIS KATIE 122 30.00 55.00  
SANDY'S GARDEN 2 9 53 3   35 710½ (lee joseph)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 15.00 5% 19.00 2.70  
MONROE 4 4 87 810½   812¼ 811½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 12.00 8.60  
JACKSON AVENUE 5 8 98 911½   913¼ 913¼ (breed ro)DAVIS A 124 50.00 43.25  
SCR  BUSTIN BULLET               (miceli micha)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00    
SCR  FANCYPANTS JULIANA               (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
SCR  MADDIE'S GRACE               (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00    
SCR  ROYAL DANCER               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00    
SCR  SPOOKY LADY               (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 124 8.00    
SCR  THREE GIRLS               (begg ben)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
SCR  U SHOULD B DANCING               (rodriguez ru)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00    
 
BAQ-6   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:223 :462 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLFUL DESIRE 6 3 3½ 1½   1 14 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50 34% 1.90 4.60 W
VAX 3 5 4 44   45 24 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 12% 7.40 2.40 P
DANSEUR D'ORO 4 2 2nk 2½   2 34 (morey william )ORTIZ L 120 4.50 2.55  
SHASI 2 4 6 7   68 4 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00 23.30  
LUNA LOCA 1 7 7 5   56 57 (arenas marce)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 15.00 13.60  
DREAMAWAYSEVEN 7 1 1nk 3½   33 6 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50 29% 2.50 2.85  
PERFECT SENORITA 5 6 5 6   7100 7100 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 118 12.00 13.30  
SCR  HOWZYOURCASHFLOW               (rodriguez )RIVERA R 115 3.00    
 
BAQ-7   09/24/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:13 1:374   1:502   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BANK FRENZY 8 2 1 15 13 14 15 (lewis l)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40 26% 2.90 1.40 W
BOYS CODE 1 6 610½ 7 4 34 25 (dixon li)DAVIS A 118 15.00 25.00  
UNCLE MARTY 4 1 2 35 35 24 36 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 15.00 6.30  
AMEDEUS MUSIC 2 7 56 25 23 4 46 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 4.60  
JACKSON HEIGHTS 7 8 811¾ 6 66 510½ 514¼ (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.00 33% 2.00 2.60  
ACH DU LIEBER 6 4 46 5 78 614½ 615¾ (breed jr)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00 5% 19.00 38.75  
SUPREME BEING 5 5 710¾ 811¾ 811 716½ 723¼ (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 12.00 33.25  
HERE'S WALDO 3 3 34 4 5 821½ 830¼ (lucas bonnie)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 18% 4.70 9.10  
 
BAQ-8   09/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Bertram Purse ($125K) 2 ALL PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:104     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL GRANDE O 3 3 1½ 1   16 1 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 1.60 43% 1.30 0.70 W
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of RAINBOW'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
AGGELOS THE GREAT 2 2 33 3   26 2 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 9% 10.30 7.10 P
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SPRITELY by TOUCH GOLD)
BONNE CHANCE 6 5 44 45   412½ 310¼ (levine bruce)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 23% 3.40 6.60 S
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of UMAN CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SKYLER'S STARSHIP 4 6 65 614   516½ 415¼ (terranova jo)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00 6.60  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of DOROTHY'S AURORA by SIMON PURE)
DETECTIVE TOM 5 1 2½ 2   311½ 517 (asmussen steven)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 3.95  
  (by THE FACTOR out of ROMAN CERES by ROMAN RULER)
RANGER BLUE 1 4 55 511   628½ 633 (tasso mark)FRATES D 120 20.00 32.25  
  (by MICROMANAGE out of SINGLE MALT FEMALE by SKIP TO THE STONE)
SCR  TRUST FUND               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MO SAVINGS by UNCLE MO)
 
BAQ-9   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:222 :452 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  SPUN AND WON 6 2 32 32   31 1hd (duarte jorge )ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 20% 4.00 1.95 W
LEGENDS CAN'T DIE 1 4 1½ 1½   11 2hd (weaver geor)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.50 3.75  
12  MY HARBORS DREAM 4 3 2½ 2½   21 32 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.00 3.60  
11  H P MOON 3 5 4 46   44 4 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 8.00 18% 4.60 2.70  
13  EMERALD FOREST 5 1 5 5   5 54 (kantarma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 13.10  
LUCKY CURLIN 2 6 6 610   66 6 (abreu fernando)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 17% 4.80 10.30  
SCR  OXYMORE               (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50    
SCR  RUN CURTIS RUN               (maker michael )ORTIZ L 122 4.50    
SCR  SENBEI               (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
SCR  FLUID SITUATION               (terranov)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00    
SCR  FAUCI               (antonacci phi)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
SCR  DETROIT CITY               (sisterson j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00    
SCR  COMEDY TOWN               (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00    
SCR  VACATION DANCE               (kimmel john )CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
SCR  ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00    
SCR  CHEWING GUM               (mott william )VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.