Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - September 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-2   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-3   Win (10/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-4   Win (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-5   Win (1/16/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-6   Win (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-7   Win (7/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-8   Win (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-9   Win (14/11/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   09/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REVOLVING CREDIT Aug18 Jul20       (brown c)ORTIZ L 120 0.80 40% 1.50    
VIVID DREAMS Aug18 Jul21 Nov04     (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 28% 2.50    
DUKE GIRLS Jul29 Jun30 May13     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
PARIS STYLE (FR) Aug30 Aug18 Jul15 Apr07   (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.50    
RAYYA VALENTINE Aug18         (summers )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 12.00    
SCR  MAGICAL SONG Aug18 Mar17 Dec31 Nov04   (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 120 3.50    
 
BAQ-2   09/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Joseph Purse ($125K) 2 F PT- 1:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARA'S TIME Aug27 Jun23       (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
MY SHEA D LADY Aug27 Jul01       (david carlos )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00    
CALDWELL LUVS GOLD Aug27 Jul27       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 0.80 63% 0.60    
NICKY JOLENE Jul09 Jun15       (falcone robert )ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
MY MANE SQUEEZE Sep01 Aug10       (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.80 13% 6.50    
 
BAQ-3   09/24/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHINE MY TIARA Jul29 Jul03       (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 20.00    
SCR  ARISAEMA Jul13 Jun01 Apr15 Feb12 Oct29 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 124 3.00    
SCR  LADY LAOBAN Aug27 Jul29 Jun03 Apr08   (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00    
SCR  SPLASHY Jul29 Jul03 May21 Apr06 Nov19 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
NORTH END LADY Aug27 Jul29 Jun17 May21   (tagg barclay)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
SHE'S A NATURAL Sep14 Jul29 Jul03 Jun01 May05 (sciacca ga)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00    
SAINTE CHAPELLE         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00    
SCR  STARTS NOW Jul29 Jun17 Apr15 Nov18 Oct28 (kantarmaci mert)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00    
SCR  KRYSTALHEIR Aug27 Jul15 May21 Mar18 Feb11 (coffey mar)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
10  NOLITA Aug12 Jun16       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 0.80 56% 0.80    
11  FOXY CARA Aug27 Aug12 Jul15 Jun25 May21 (friedman mitch)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
BAQ-4   09/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OK HONEY Sep17 Sep01 Aug03 Jul26 Jul07 (chichakly ami)MARTINEZ R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
APRIL ANTICS Aug23 Jul26 Jul03 Jun04 Apr23 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50    
FREDDYMO FACTOR Aug14 Jul25 Jul04 Jun11 May29 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 15.00    
DUFRESNE Aug06 Jul19 May28 May04 Dec04 (barrera osca)RIVERA R 117 8.00    
TEMPERMENTAL Aug11 Aug03 Jun16 May29 Apr28 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00    
BUSTIN BAY Aug24 Jul13 Jun01 May04 Apr02 (abreu fernando)ORTIZ JR 126 0.80 73% 0.40    
 
BAQ-5   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEEKEND RAGS Aug27 Jul08 Jun10 Apr08 Jan14 (abreu r)DAVIS DYLAN 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
SANDY'S GARDEN Sep02 Jul29 Jun21 May23 Jul04 (lee joseph)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SOLIB Aug12 Jul15 Jun10 May18 Oct20 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00 21% 3.70    
MONROE May14 Mar17 Feb11     (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 12.00    
SCR  ROYAL DANCER Jul08 Jun10 Apr22 Oct23 Sep17 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00    
SCR  THREE GIRLS Jul23 Dec24 Oct28 Sep05   (begg bentl)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00    
SCR  MADDIE'S GRACE Jul19 May18 Apr22 Nov19 Aug24 (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 8.00    
JACKSON AVENUE Aug22 Aug08 Jul16 Jun06 May15 (breed rona)DAVIS A 124 50.00    
ROBYN AND ELI Sep02 Aug12 Jul08 Jun15 May05 (abreu fernando)DAVIS KATIE 122 30.00    
SCR  BUSTIN BULLET Aug27 Jun22 May18 Apr28 Nov19 (miceli michael)GEROUX FLORENT 122 12.00    
11  SIKUM Aug27 Jul29 Jul08 Jun27 May14 (camejo jose )RIVERA R 119 6.00    
SCR  U SHOULD B DANCING Aug27 Aug06 Jun10 May14 Apr22 (rodriguez rudy)CASTELLANO J 124 6.00    
SCR  FANCYPANTS JULIANA Jul04 Jun05 Sep30 Jul28   (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
SCR  SPOOKY LADY Sep04 Jul22 Jun03 Apr22 Mar12 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 124 8.00    
15  CARBON Aug09 Jul30 Jul13 Jun16 May20 (younghans will)CASTELLANO J 124 10.00    
16  MAJESTIC RETURN Sep02 Jul09 May14 Apr16 Mar11 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 25% 3.10    
 
BAQ-6   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 3 F PT- 3:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOWZYOURCASHFLOW Sep15 Mar03 Jan12     (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 115 3.00    
LUNA LOCA Aug18 Jul02 May20 Apr28 Mar17 (arenas marcelo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 15.00    
SHASI Apr08 Mar12 Feb02 Jan12   (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 10.00    
VAX Aug25 Jul02 May20 Feb17 Jan27 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 12% 7.40    
DANSEUR D'ORO Aug27 Jul26 Jul10 Jun15 May21 (morey e)ORTIZ L 120 4.50    
PERFECT SENORITA May18 Apr28 Mar19     (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 118 12.00    
WILLFUL DESIRE Aug26 Aug18 Jul29 Jun25 May29 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 4.50 34% 1.90    
DREAMAWAYSEVEN Jul04 Apr28 Mar30 Mar17   (englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.50 29% 2.50    
 
BAQ-7   09/24/2023 5940ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOYS CODE Aug31 Aug16 Jul22 Jul10 Jun27 (dixon lind)DAVIS A 118 15.00    
AMEDEUS MUSIC Aug01 Jul08 May29 May13 Mar24 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 6.00    
HERE'S WALDO Sep14 Aug16 Aug02 Jul20 Jun14 (lucas bonnie)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 18% 4.70    
UNCLE MARTY Aug30 May05 Apr07 Nov13 Sep29 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 15.00    
SUPREME BEING Sep05 Jul26 Jun27 Jun18 May31 (st uriah)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 12.00    
ACH DU LIEBER Aug31 Aug16 Jul28 Jul18 Jun28 (breed jr)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
JACKSON HEIGHTS Aug27 Jul28 May29 Dec17 Oct30 (noda orlando)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.00 33% 2.00    
BANK FRENZY Aug31 Apr22 Mar16 Jan29 Dec24 (lewis l)ORTIZ JR 118 1.40 26% 2.90    
 
BAQ-8   09/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Bertram Purse ($125K) 2 ALL PT- 4:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RANGER BLUE Sep04 Aug17       (tasso mark)FRATES D 120 20.00    
AGGELOS THE GREAT Sep14 Jul28       (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 9% 10.30    
EL GRANDE O Aug27 Aug18 Jul07 Jun16 May28 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 1.60 43% 1.30    
SKYLER'S STARSHIP Aug23 Jul07       (terranova john)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00    
SCR  TRUST FUND Aug27 Aug11       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00    
DETECTIVE TOM Aug24         (asmussen m)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
BONNE CHANCE Sep04         (levine bruce)LEZCANO JOSE 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
 
BAQ-9   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEGENDS CAN'T DIE Mar04 Jan14 Dec22 Oct23 Aug28 (weaver george)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 3.50    
SCR  SENBEI Aug24 Jul07 May29 Nov12 Sep30 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50    
SCR  OXYMORE Aug24 Nov04 Sep17 Aug19 Jul01 (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50    
SCR  RUN CURTIS RUN Nov25 Oct23 Sep10 Jul17 Jun05 (maker j)ORTIZ L 122 4.50    
SCR  DETROIT CITY Sep13 Aug26 Apr21 Mar11 Feb19 (sisterson jac)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00    
SCR  FLUID SITUATION Aug24 Jul28 May04 Feb18 Jan20 (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 10.00    
SCR  FAUCI Aug24 Jul28 Oct27 Sep02 Jul29 (antonacci phili)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
LUCKY CURLIN Jul20 Jul04 May06 Apr01 Feb26 (abreu fernando)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 17% 4.80    
SCR  VACATION DANCE Sep01 Aug17 Jul20 Jun18 May20 (kimmel c)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
SCR  ARTEMUS CITYLIMITS Aug24 Jun21 May20 Apr08 Nov05 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 6.00    
SCR  COMEDY TOWN Aug17 Jul28 Jun01 Apr13 Sep24 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00    
SCR  CHEWING GUM Sep03 Jul26 Nov25 Oct01 Sep10 (mott i)VELAZQUEZ R 122 6.00    
11  H P MOON Aug13 May20 Mar18 Mar04 Jan22 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 8.00 18% 4.60    
12  MY HARBORS DREAM Sep09 Aug26 Aug17 Jul29 Jun25 (jacobson david)RIDER TBA 124 4.00    
13  EMERALD FOREST Sep16 Jul14 Jun15 Apr01 Feb04 (kantarmaci mertkan)RIDER TBA 122 15.00    
14  SPUN AND WON Sep03 Jul14 Jun06 May02 Feb25 (duarte jr)RIDER TBA 122 3.50 20% 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.