Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (8/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $7.80 $1.80 30%
BAQ-4   WIN (2/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $9.60 $1.60 20%
BAQ-8   WIN (6/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $11.80 $3.80 48%
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 2 ALL PT-12:05
See original race card.
:22 :452 1:104     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUANARE 1 7 31½ 33½   1nk 11¾ (dutrow rich)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 5% 18.00 2.90 W
5  ALWAYS DIALED 4 5 2nk 13   2nk 21¾ (giddings)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 13.30  
6  BADLANDS RULER 5 3 42 23   33½ 33½ (brown bruce)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50 8.00  
8  CROWN THAT SAINT 7 1 63½ 59½   512½ 413½ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 70% 0.40 1.40  
3  COWBOY LUKE 3 4 1nk 44   49½ 516 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 5.60  
7  TWENTYEIGHTTOTHREE 6 2 74½ 713   616½ 616¼ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 8.00  
2  RUDY RUDY RUDY 2 6 53 612   718½ 723¼ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 119 6.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
SCR  UNCLE EDDIE               (contessa gar)CASTELLANO J 119 4.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/07/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT-12:36
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:113 1:364   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MAMA'S GOLD 3 1 13½ 13 14½ 15½ 14¼ (summer)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 12.10  
4  STRAPPED 4 5 66 65¾ 67 36½ 24¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50 3.60  
1  WARRIOR RICHARD 1 3 33½ 54¼ 45 25½ 34¾ (falcone rober)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 27% 2.70 1.25 S
7  ACHILLES HEEL 7 6 55 23 24½ 46½ 47¾ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 124 12.00 17.10  
5  GUT FEELING 5 4 44½ 44 56 510½ 511¼ (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 48% 1.10 2.60  
6  ARREBATO 6 2 23½ 33 34½ 615 619½ (chatterpaul n)CASTILLO AMIN 120 20.00 42.00  
2  SOUTH STREET 2 7 77½ 75¾ 78½ 717 720¼ (noda orlan)RIVERA R 117 10.00 5% 19.00 8.70  
SCR  WHAT'S UP DOC               (ginter r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 4.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/07/2023 7260ft TURF RC12 YIELDING Waya Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:251 :512 1:171 1:43 2:073 2:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MCKULICK (GB) 3 32 32 34 32 21 12 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 0.60 63% 0.60 0.40 W
  (by UNKNOWN out of ASTRELLE by MAKFI (GB))
1  IDEA GENERATION (IRE) 1 12 12 13 11 11 22 (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 10.50  
  (by UNKNOWN out of KNOCKNAGREE by GALILEO (ARG))
6  SISTER OTOOLE 4 43½ 43½ 45 43½ 34½ 34¼ (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 13% 6.50 8.30 S
  (by UNKNOWN out of O' TOOLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  PARNAC (FR) 2 22 22 23 21 47½ 412½ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 126 5.00 2.45  
  (by UNKNOWN out of PASSING BURG by SAGEBURG (IRE))
SCR  MOVIE MOXY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 0.80    
  (by STREET SENSE out of CASTING DIRECTOR by BERNARDINI)
SCR  PEAK POPULARITY               (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PERAZZI by THORN DANCE)
SCR  PERSONAL BEST               (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 126 8.00    
  (by TAPIT out of WAR FLAG by WAR FRONT)
SCR  ROMAGNA MIA (GB)               (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of WASHINGTON BLUE by RIP VAN WINKLE (IRE))
 
BAQ-4   10/07/2023 7920ft TURF RC14 YIELDING Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:153 1:41 2:062 2:324   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WAR LIKE GODDESS 2 610½ 615½ 622½ 414 24½ 14½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.00 39% 1.60 3.80 W
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MISTY NORTH by NORTHERN IDOL)
6  SOLDIER RISING (GB) 6 813 817 724½ 717 49 24½ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 126 5.00 8.70  
  (by UNKNOWN out of SAHRAWI by PIVOTAL (GB))
1  SO HIGH (GB) 1 15½ 112½ 119 112 14½ 35½ (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 50.00 90.00  
  (by UNKNOWN out of FUGITIVE ANGEL by ALPHABET SOUP)
4  REBEL'S ROMANCE (IRE) 4 37½ 313½ 320 212 37 45¾ (appleby cha)BUICK T 126 1.80 21% 3.80 0.55  
  (by DUBAWI out of MINIDRESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  STONE AGE (IRE) 7 59½ 515 521½ 514½ 611 57¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 5.00 19% 4.40 7.40  
  (by GALILEO out of BONANZA CREEK by HUNTERS BAY)
3  GRAND SONATA 3 48 413½ 421 615½ 510 67¾ (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 126 30.00 25.75  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of A. P. SONATA by A.P. INDY)
5  PIONEERING SPIRIT 5 25½ 212½ 219 313 714 718¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 8.00 17.10  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of FOUNDATION SPIRIT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  ASTRONAUT 8 711 716½ 825 832 829 837 (albertrani thom)CARMOUCHE K 126 10.00 5% 19.00 41.25  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ARMANDA by ACATENANGO)
 
BAQ-5   10/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC14 SLOPPY Frizette Purse ($400K) 2 F PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:131 1:251   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JUST F Y I 5 3 32 32½ 1nk 12 13¾ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.00 4.80  
  (by JUSTIFY out of STAR ACT by STREET CRY (IRE))
4  CENTRAL AVENUE 4 6 64½ 64½ 55 45 23¾ (stidham mich)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 18.60  
  (by STREET SENSE out of CENTRING by A.P. INDY)
2  LIFE TALK 2 5 43 43 31 22 34¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 32% 2.10 1.90 S
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TOUCHY FEELY by BROAD BRUSH)
6  EMERY 6 1 21 21 41½ 34½ 45¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 32% 2.10 1.05  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ATHENA by STREET SENSE)
1  IRISH MAXIMA 1 2 11 11 2nk 57½ 515¼ (servis c)RENDON JAIRO 120 4.50 15% 5.90 7.80  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PALACE PIER by OUT OF PLACE)
3  PRINCESS INDY 3 4 53 53½ 615 617½ 623¾ (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 15.00 27.00  
  (by LORD NELSON out of BONITA MIA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
 
BAQ-6   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC12 SLOPPY Belmont Turf Sprint Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:222 :452 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TODAY'S FLAVOR 6 3 11 11   11 1½ (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 6% 15.50 1.40 W
  (by LAOBAN out of EVANGELICAL by DEVIL'S BAG)
9  THIN WHITE DUKE 7 2 42 31½   21 2½ (donk david)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00 6.90  
  (by DOMINUS out of ABERDEEN ALLEY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
10  WIT 8 6 74½ 55   53½ 31 (pletcher tod)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 3.10  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of NUMERO D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  ALOGON 2 4 31½ 42   32 41¾ (allard edward )ADORNO ABNER 124 8.00 52% 0.90 21.00  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of SCAMPER by SCAT DADDY)
11  DANCING BUCK 9 1 21 21   43 55¼ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 13% 6.50 8.90  
  (by WAR DANCER out of FRIVOLOUS BUCK by CATIENUS)
6  PIRATE RICK 5 9 63 65   66 69¾ (ginter raym)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 20.00 4.80  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DADDY LOVES GOLD by SCAT DADDY)
2  ALEXIS S 1 7 95¼ 911   99 713¾ (moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 122 50.00 52.50  
  (by MOHAYMEN out of TERFAASHAH by DAAHER)
5  EAMONN 4 8 84¾ 88   88½ 813¾ (orseno joseph)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00 19.20  
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of SUPER ESPRESSO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  YES AND YES 3 5 53 75½   78 914½ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00 47.75  
  (by SIDNEY'S CANDY out of ABERDEEN ALLEY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  BIG INVASION               (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50    
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of CURLS IN PLACE by CURLIN)
SCR  FAUCI               (antonacci phili)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  NOTHING BETTER               (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 120 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ONE TRUE LOVE by DUKE OF MARMALADE)
 
BAQ-7   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:223 :46 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ROYAL POPPY 4 3 21 2nk   1nk 11½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 9.90  
3  WHITE CHOCOLATE 3 2 11 1nk   2nk 21½ (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 23% 3.30 1.35 P
1  SECURITY CODE 1 5 31½ 45   45¾ 35½ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 13.40  
2  I'MHAVINGAMOMENT 2 6 63½ 34½   35½ 46¼ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.00 45% 1.20 3.50  
8  OBRIGADA 8 4 42 56½   58¾ 58¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 7% 14.30 2.80  
7  APROPOS 7 1 52½ 67½   69¾ 610½ (toner j)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
6  CUPIDS GIRL 6 7 75 78½   711¾ 714 (ryerson james)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00 48.50  
5  TRIPLE P 5 8 85 89   813¾ 816 (jones edua)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 50.00 82.00  
 
BAQ-8   10/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC14 SLOPPY Champagne Purse ($500K) 2 ALL PT- 3:46
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:102 1:23   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TIMBERLAKE 3 6 52 31½ 21½ 1½ 14¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 21% 3.90 4.90 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PIN UP by TAPIT)
4  GENERAL PARTNER 4 3 1½ 1½ 11½ 2½ 24¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 4.50  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of FLEETING HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  DANCING GROOM 2 7 85½ 88½ 68½ 47 310½ (sano antoni)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00 37.25  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SNOW DANCER by BERNARDINI)
7  GOLD SWEEP 7 2 31 42 47 36½ 413 (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 20% 3.90 8.60  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of WONDER BREW by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
1  AIR CAV 1 8 74½ 76½ 79 67½ 515¼ (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 57.50  
  (by MITOLE out of IN A CLOUD by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
5  EL GRANDE O 5 4 41½ 52 57½ 77¾ 616¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 9% 9.50 20.90  
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of RAINBOW'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  FIERCENESS 6 5 62 62½ 35 57 720¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20 22% 3.50 0.55  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of NONNA BELLA by STAY THIRSTY)
8  SWEET SODDY J 8 1 2½ 2½ 815 817¾ 837¾ (ginter r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 50.00 ######  
  (by BEE JERSEY out of SWEET RHAPSODY by BRING THE HEAT)
 
BAQ-9   10/07/2023 7260ft DIRT RC12 SLOPPY Jockey Club Derby Invitational Purse ($500K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:124 1:374   2:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  LOST ARK 5 21 21½ 21 1nk 11½ 1¾ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 3.85  
  (by VIOLENCE out of MARION RAVENWOOD by A.P. INDY)
6  CLASSIC CATCH 3 56 55 32 31½ 32 2¾ (pletcher tod)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 12% 7.00 1.30 P
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of MOON CATCHER by MALIBU MOON)
4  FEARLESS SOLDIER 1 11 11½ 11 2nk 21½ 34 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 15% 5.80 3.30 S
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HESSIE'S GIRL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  DATAMAN 2 32 32 42 42 43½ 44 (motion gr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 5.30  
  (by TAPIT out of SOLDATA by MARIA'S MON)
7  ANGLOPHILE 4 43 43 52½ 514 518½ 545¼ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00 5.10  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of TRUSTMORE LOVEMORE by KITTEN'S JOY)
SCR  FARADAY               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DYNAIRE by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  MEASURED TIME (GB)               (appleby cha)BUICK T 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
  (by UNKNOWN out of MINIDRESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  MONDEGO (GB)               (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of FREE REIN by UNBRIDLED)
SCR  WEBSLINGER               (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 122 3.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of ARANA by HARD SPUN)
 
BAQ-10   10/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:103     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FRAT PACK 8 3 2nk 1nk   11½ 13¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 63% 0.60 0.95 W
4  SKYLANDER 3 4 51¾ 41¾   32½ 23¼ (trites a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00 44.75  
11  OCEAN'S RESERVE 10 2 3.2 3.2   21½ 34 (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 ★ 10.50 S
5  MAKER'S CANDY 4 6 41¼ 62¼   55½ 46½ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 7% 12.40 2.90  
1  TWELTH MAN 7 5 62¼ 51¾   66 58¾ (nevin mich)RIVERA R 118 6.00 6% 14.90 5.60  
8  BAD TO THE BONES 5 8 85¼ 76¼   77 68¾ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 123 12.00 11.50  
2  LAFITTE'S FLEET 1 9 96¼ 911¼   88 79¼ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 21.20  
1A  FULL MOON MADNESS 9 1 1nk 2nk   44½ 811¾ (nevin miche)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 ★ 5.60  
3  LEDDY 2 10 108¼ 1011½   1010½ 912 (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 30.00 98.75  
9  CICCIOBELLO 6 7 72¼ 86¾   910 1013 (ryan s)CANNON DECLAN 123 12.00 30.50  
SCR  CAPONE               (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00    
SCR  SHAKY PANTS               (sharp joe)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
 
BAQ-11   10/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:122 1:253   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CANT KEEP ME DOWN 1 4 3½ 1nk 11 13 14¾ (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00 3.00  
14  BON ADIEU 5 1 41 4¾ 21 23 24¾ (rodriguez )RIVERA R 117 2.50 31% 2.20 2.50 P
12  ROMAN GODDESS 3 3 1½ 2nk 32 37 39¼ (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 1.60  
11  RUSSIARUSSIARUSSIA 2 5 55 52¼ 44 49 411¾ (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 124 20.00 8.60  
13  GHOSTLY GIRL 4 2 2½ 3½ 54½ 512 517 (toscano john)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 33% 2.10 4.60  
SCR  MISS KRISTY               (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
SCR  MISS SAN GABRIEL               (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00    
SCR  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY               (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
SCR  MISCREANT               (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00    
SCR  FROM HELLO               (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
SCR  DONTMESSWITHTESS               (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00    
SCR  THUNDARA               (antonacci phili)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
SCR  BERNT AGAIN               (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50    
SCR  DIAMOND STATUS               (martin carlos)ORTIZ JR 124 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.