Handicappers' Race Results
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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 07, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
BAQ-1   Win (8/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 1.80
BAQ-2   Win (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $26.20  
BAQ-3   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
BAQ-4   Win (2/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $9.60 $9.60 1.60
BAQ-5   Win (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $11.60  
BAQ-6   Win (3/11/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.80 $4.80  
BAQ-7   Win (2/3/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $21.80  
BAQ-8   Win (6/3/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $11.80 $11.80 3.80
BAQ-9   Win (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 0 $9.70  
BAQ-10   Win (10/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $3.90 $3.90  
BAQ-11   Win (13/14) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $8.00  
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   10/07/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 2 ALL PT-12:05
See original race card.
:22 :452 1:104     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUANARE 1 7 31½ 33½   1nk 11¾ (dutrow richar)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 5% 18.00 2.90 W
5  ALWAYS DIALED 4 5 2nk 13   2nk 21¾ (giddings m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 13.30  
6  BADLANDS RULER 5 3 42 23   33½ 33½ (brown r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 4.50 8.00  
8  CROWN THAT SAINT 7 1 63½ 59½   512½ 413½ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 70% 0.40 1.40  
3  COWBOY LUKE 3 4 1nk 44   49½ 516 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 5.60  
7  TWENTYEIGHTTOTHREE 6 2 74½ 713   616½ 616¼ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 8.00  
2  RUDY RUDY RUDY 2 6 53 612   718½ 723¼ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 119 6.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
SCR  UNCLE EDDIE               (contessa gary )CASTELLANO J 119 4.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/07/2023 5940ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT-12:36
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:113 1:364   1:501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MAMA'S GOLD 3 1 13½ 13 14½ 15½ 14¼ (summers )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 10.00 12.10  
4  STRAPPED 4 5 66 65¾ 67 36½ 24¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50 3.60  
1  WARRIOR RICHARD 1 3 33½ 54¼ 45 25½ 34¾ (falcone robert )ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 27% 2.70 1.25 S
7  ACHILLES HEEL 7 6 55 23 24½ 46½ 47¾ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 124 12.00 17.10  
5  GUT FEELING 5 4 44½ 44 56 510½ 511¼ (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 48% 1.10 2.60  
6  ARREBATO 6 2 23½ 33 34½ 615 619½ (chatterpaul nai)CASTILLO AMIN 120 20.00 42.00  
2  SOUTH STREET 2 7 77½ 75¾ 78½ 717 720¼ (noda orlando)RIVERA R 117 10.00 5% 19.00 8.70  
SCR  WHAT'S UP DOC               (ginter ray)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 4.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/07/2023 7260ft TURF RC12 YIELDING Waya Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:251 :512 1:171 1:43 2:073 2:201   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MCKULICK (GB) 3 32 32 34 32 21 12 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 0.60 63% 0.60 0.40 W
1  IDEA GENERATION (IRE) 1 12 12 13 11 11 22 (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 10.50  
6  SISTER OTOOLE 4 43½ 43½ 45 43½ 34½ 34¼ (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 13% 6.50 8.30 S
3  PARNAC (FR) 2 22 22 23 21 47½ 412½ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 126 5.00 2.45  
SCR  MOVIE MOXY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 0.80    
SCR  PEAK POPULARITY               (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.00    
SCR  PERSONAL BEST               (mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 126 8.00    
SCR  ROMAGNA MIA (GB)               (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/07/2023 7920ft TURF RC14 YIELDING Joe Hirsch Turf Classic Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:153 1:41 2:062 2:324   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WAR LIKE GODDESS 2 610½ 615½ 622½ 414 24½ 14½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.00 39% 1.60 3.80 W
6  SOLDIER RISING (GB) 6 813 817 724½ 717 49 24½ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 126 5.00 8.70  
1  SO HIGH (GB) 1 15½ 112½ 119 112 14½ 35½ (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 50.00 90.00  
4  REBEL'S ROMANCE (IRE) 4 37½ 313½ 320 212 37 45¾ (appleby charl)BUICK T 126 1.80 21% 3.80 0.55  
7  STONE AGE (IRE) 7 59½ 515 521½ 514½ 611 57¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 126 5.00 19% 4.40 7.40  
3  GRAND SONATA 3 48 413½ 421 615½ 510 67¾ (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 126 30.00 25.75  
5  PIONEERING SPIRIT 5 25½ 212½ 219 313 714 718¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 126 8.00 17.10  
8  ASTRONAUT 8 711 716½ 825 832 829 837 (albertrani thomas)CARMOUCHE K 126 10.00 5% 19.00 41.25  
 
BAQ-5   10/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC14 SLOPPY Frizette Purse ($400K) 2 F PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:131 1:251   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JUST F Y I 5 3 32 32½ 1nk 12 13¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 3.00 4.80  
4  CENTRAL AVENUE 4 6 64½ 64½ 55 45 23¾ (stidham michae)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 18.60  
2  LIFE TALK 2 5 43 43 31 22 34¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 32% 2.10 1.90 S
6  EMERY 6 1 21 21 41½ 34½ 45¼ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.00 32% 2.10 1.05  
1  IRISH MAXIMA 1 2 11 11 2nk 57½ 515¼ (servis c)RENDON JAIRO 120 4.50 15% 5.90 7.80  
3  PRINCESS INDY 3 4 53 53½ 615 617½ 623¾ (gonzalez claudio)TORRES JOMAR 120 15.00 27.00  
 
BAQ-6   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC12 SLOPPY Belmont Turf Sprint Purse ($200K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:222 :452 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  TODAY'S FLAVOR 6 3 11 11   11 1½ (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 6% 15.50 1.40 W
9  THIN WHITE DUKE 7 2 42 31½   21 2½ (donk david)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00 6.90  
10  WIT 8 6 74½ 55   53½ 31 (pletcher todd )GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 3.10  
3  ALOGON 2 4 31½ 42   32 41¾ (allard t)ADORNO ABNER 124 8.00 52% 0.90 21.00  
11  DANCING BUCK 9 1 21 21   43 55¼ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 120 6.00 13% 6.50 8.90  
6  PIRATE RICK 5 9 63 65   66 69¾ (ginter raymon)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 20.00 4.80  
2  ALEXIS S 1 7 95¼ 911   99 713¾ (moreno-barban lea)BEATO INOEL 122 50.00 52.50  
5  EAMONN 4 8 84¾ 88   88½ 813¾ (orseno f)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00 19.20  
4  YES AND YES 3 5 53 75½   78 914½ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00 47.75  
SCR  BIG INVASION               (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50    
SCR  FAUCI               (antonacci philip)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
SCR  NOTHING BETTER               (duarte jr)RENDON JAIRO 120 10.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/07/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:223 :46 :573     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ROYAL POPPY 4 3 21 2nk   1nk 11½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 9.90  
3  WHITE CHOCOLATE 3 2 11 1nk   2nk 21½ (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50 23% 3.30 1.35 P
1  SECURITY CODE 1 5 31½ 45   45¾ 35½ (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 13.40  
2  I'MHAVINGAMOMENT 2 6 63½ 34½   35½ 46¼ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 2.00 45% 1.20 3.50  
8  OBRIGADA 8 4 42 56½   58¾ 58¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 7% 14.30 2.80  
7  APROPOS 7 1 52½ 67½   69¾ 610½ (toner j)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
6  CUPIDS GIRL 6 7 75 78½   711¾ 714 (ryerson t)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00 48.50  
5  TRIPLE P 5 8 85 89   813¾ 816 (jones eduard)MITCHELL RICHARD 123 50.00 82.00  
 
BAQ-8   10/07/2023 5280ft DIRT RC14 SLOPPY Champagne Purse ($500K) 2 ALL PT- 3:46
See original race card.
:222 :452 1:102 1:23   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TIMBERLAKE 3 6 52 31½ 21½ 1½ 14¼ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 21% 3.90 4.90 W
4  GENERAL PARTNER 4 3 1½ 1½ 11½ 2½ 24¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 4.50  
2  DANCING GROOM 2 7 85½ 88½ 68½ 47 310½ (sano antonio)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 20.00 37.25  
7  GOLD SWEEP 7 2 31 42 47 36½ 413 (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 20% 3.90 8.60  
1  AIR CAV 1 8 74½ 76½ 79 67½ 515¼ (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 57.50  
5  EL GRANDE O 5 4 41½ 52 57½ 77¾ 616¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 9% 9.50 20.90  
6  FIERCENESS 6 5 62 62½ 35 57 720¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 1.20 22% 3.50 0.55  
8  SWEET SODDY J 8 1 2½ 2½ 815 817¾ 837¾ (ginter ray)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 50.00 ######  
 
BAQ-9   10/07/2023 7260ft DIRT RC12 SLOPPY Jockey Club Derby Invitational Purse ($500K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:124 1:374   2:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  LOST ARK 5 21 21½ 21 1nk 11½ 1¾ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 122 15.00 3.85  
6  CLASSIC CATCH 3 56 55 32 31½ 32 2¾ (pletcher todd )GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 12% 7.00 1.30 P
4  FEARLESS SOLDIER 1 11 11½ 11 2nk 21½ 34 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00 15% 5.80 3.30 S
5  DATAMAN 2 32 32 42 42 43½ 44 (motion grah)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 5.30  
7  ANGLOPHILE 4 43 43 52½ 514 518½ 545¼ (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00 5.10  
SCR  FARADAY               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00    
SCR  MEASURED TIME (GB)               (appleby charl)BUICK T 122 2.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  MONDEGO (GB)               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 10.00    
SCR  WEBSLINGER               (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 122 3.50    
 
BAQ-10   10/07/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:103     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FRAT PACK 8 3 2nk 1nk   11½ 13¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 2.00 63% 0.60 0.95 W
4  SKYLANDER 3 4 51¾ 41¾   32½ 23¼ (trites l)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 12.00 44.75  
11  OCEAN'S RESERVE 10 2 3.2 3.2   21½ 34 (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 ★ 10.50 S
5  MAKER'S CANDY 4 6 41¼ 62¼   55½ 46½ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 7% 12.40 2.90  
1  TWELTH MAN 7 5 62¼ 51¾   66 58¾ (nevin michel)RIVERA R 118 6.00 6% 14.90 5.60  
8  BAD TO THE BONES 5 8 85¼ 76¼   77 68¾ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 123 12.00 11.50  
2  LAFITTE'S FLEET 1 9 96¼ 911¼   88 79¼ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 21.20  
1A  FULL MOON MADNESS 9 1 1nk 2nk   44½ 811¾ (nevin michell)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 ★ 5.60  
3  LEDDY 2 10 108¼ 1011½   1010½ 912 (goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 30.00 98.75  
9  CICCIOBELLO 6 7 72¼ 86¾   910 1013 (ryan s)CANNON DECLAN 123 12.00 30.50  
SCR  CAPONE               (dutrow e)DAVIS DYLAN 123 15.00    
SCR  SHAKY PANTS               (sharp joe)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
 
BAQ-11   10/07/2023 5610ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
See original race card.
:232 :464 1:122 1:253   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CANT KEEP ME DOWN 1 4 3½ 1nk 11 13 14¾ (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 12.00 3.00  
14  BON ADIEU 5 1 41 4¾ 21 23 24¾ (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 117 2.50 31% 2.20 2.50 P
12  ROMAN GODDESS 3 3 1½ 2nk 32 37 39¼ (rice linda)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.80 1.60  
11  RUSSIARUSSIARUSSIA 2 5 55 52¼ 44 49 411¾ (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 124 20.00 8.60  
13  GHOSTLY GIRL 4 2 2½ 3½ 54½ 512 517 (toscano t)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 33% 2.10 4.60  
SCR  MISS KRISTY               (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
SCR  MISS SAN GABRIEL               (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00    
SCR  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY               (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
SCR  MISCREANT               (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00    
SCR  FROM HELLO               (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
SCR  DONTMESSWITHTESS               (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00    
SCR  THUNDARA               (antonacci philip)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
SCR  BERNT AGAIN               (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.50    
SCR  DIAMOND STATUS               (martin f)ORTIZ JR 124 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.