Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Penn National
Friday - September 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-2   DD (1/3/7)-(5/7/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00  1-5 $22.20 $4.20 23%
PEN-3   WIN (5/2/7/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $19.20 $9.20 92%
    DD (5/7/4)-(5/2/7/8/10) 15 $2.00 $30.00  5-10 $102.00 $72.00 240%
    PK3 (1/3/7)-(5/7/4)-(5/2/7/8/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50  1-5-10 $115.70 $93.20 414%
PEN-4   DD (5/2/7/8/10)-(4/6/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00  10-4 $52.60 $22.60 75%
    PK3 (5/7/4)-(5/2/7/8/10)-(4/6/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50  1/3/5-10-4/7 $63.95 $41.45 184%
    PK4 (1/3/7)-(5/7/4)-(5/2/7/8/10)-(4/6/1) 135 $0.50 $67.50  1/2/11-1/3/5-10-4/7 $155.10 $87.60 130%
PEN-7   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $8.40 $2.40 40%
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   09/15/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:22 :441       :56   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NITRO TIME 1 6 1½ 1½   11 1¼ (comi w)AGUILAR M 118 3.00 60% 0.70 2.00 W
3  LIVE FIRE 2 5 42 32½   21 2¼ (mcclellan c)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 13% 6.70 2.10 P
4  TAP EM 3 8 74 44½   44 32 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 4.90  
9  KHAKI JACK 8 2 2½ 2½   34 43½ (kulp brando)INIRIO J 120 5.00 ★ 6.10  
5  STANHOPE 4 7 86 87¾   58 55½ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 14.20  
6  SPIKES SHIRL 5 4 52½ 65½   68¼ 67¾ (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 8.00 22.10  
10  NAUTICAL NATURE 9 1 31½ 54½   79¼ 78¼ (ippolito ma)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 50.00 44.60  
8  MY BLUE EYES 7 3 64 77½   814¼ 817¼ (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 15.00 36.10  
7  U KANT WHIP IT 6 9 910 914¾   923¼ 928½ (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
SCR  NICK THE CARDSHARK               (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
SCR  STEVETHEVANDRIVER               (brown keith)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 15.00    
 
PEN-2   09/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:093 1:214   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SPIRITUAL KING 3 1 11 11 11½ 14 13¼ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 36% 1.80 1.90 W
6  NICK PAPAGIORGIO 4 3 52¾ 65¼ 64¼ 45 23¼ (vega richard)RANGEL JOEZER 120 4.00 3.60  
4  SACHMO 2 5 42½ 43 32½ 24 34¾ (salvaggio jr)CORA D 122 5.00 10% 9.30 11.70 S
8  COLBALOAF 6 6 62¾ 53¼ 42½ 35 46¾ (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 2.10  
7  DYNAMITE KARMA 5 4 31 33 52¾ 65¾ 58 (fields kevin)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 28% 2.50 8.20  
2  PAPAL LAW 1 2 21 21 21½ 55¼ 69½ (wolfe j)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 8.00 5.60  
SCR  CARGO SHIP               (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
SCR  DAMIR               (machado antonio)MENA E 120 8.00    
 
PEN-3   09/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:222 :47       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  REBEL INVASION 10 5 2½ 21   15 11¼ (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 8.60 W
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of REBEL ROSEMARY by COASTAL STORM)
6  CIRCLE P 6 6 44½ 37   25 21¼ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 119 15.00 9.90  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of QUIET INFERNO by QUIET AMERICAN)
2  MUSIC BOX DANCER 2 8 76¼ 79¾   38 36½ (houghton th)INIRIO J 119 3.00 28% 2.60 17.90 S
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of SILHOUTTE ISLAND by PATTON)
8  INTERRUPTER 8 10 99¼ 913¼   512 47½ (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 119 4.50 5% 19.00 2.70  
  (by TAPITURE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  DRAMA KEY 9 9 1013¼ 1014¼   715 510½ (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 119 15.00 25.20  
  (by BAHAMIAN SQUALL out of IMPERIAL CODE by IMPERIALISM)
3  PENTATONIC 3 1 55 58   613 611½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 10.00 34.80  
  (by WEIGELIA out of HARMONIC MISS by SUBORDINATION)
7  SONG OF THE EAST 7 7 65¼ 47   411 712 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 119 8.00 12% 7.60 7.60  
  (by WELL SPELLED out of VOICE OF THE EAST by MISBAH)
1  HOLD MY BEER BRO 1 3 34½ 69½   817 814¾ (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 8.00 7.50  
  (by AIROFORCE out of QUALITY SILVER by EUROSILVER)
4  CHASIN' WHISKEY 4 4 87¼ 810¼   927 921½ (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 6.00 5.30  
  (by CROWN OF THORNS out of WHISKEY ROSE by DON'T GET MAD)
5  PTERODACTYL 5 2 1½ 11   10100 10100 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 4.00 35% 1.90 3.20  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of KICK IT DEEP by SKY MESA)
 
PEN-4   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:28
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HOT FUDGE WARRIOR 4 1 1½ 11½   14½ 14¼ (beattie m)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 33% 2.00 1.20 W
8  ARROGANTE 7 5 44 44   24½ 24¼ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 10.00 14.40  
6  MORGANS COVE 6 6 66 55   47½ 36 (geist david)INIRIO J 118 8.00 32% 2.10 10.40 S
1  STASSI 1 3 2½ 31½   36 48 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 6.00 7% 13.20 4.20  
2  MORE RANSOM 2 4 54½ 65¼   68 58½ (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 3.90  
5  UNION FOLLY 5 2 3½ 21½   57½ 612 (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 124 4.00 6.70  
3  OUT OF AMMO 3 7 712 715¼   720 726 (mcclellan e)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 5.00 10.80  
SCR  OLIVIA DEE               (martin jr)AGUILAR M 124 10.00    
 
PEN-5   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CERTAIN JUSTICE 2 8 65¾ 52   31½ 1½ (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 11.30  
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of UNPLUGGED by UNTUTTABLE)
7  WILD VINE 7 3 54¼ 2nk   11 2½ (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.60 59% 0.70 0.60 P
  (by RED VINE out of PRASLIN by EVEN THE SCORE)
3  BEJUCO 3 1 1nk 1nk   21 32¼ (carpio erin)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00 13.00  
  (by RED VINE out of ROMAN RENEGADE by ROMAN RULER)
4  ZAMBONI WARRIOR 4 5 44¼ 31   42½ 42¾ (kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 9% 9.90 3.70  
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of BLUE HEN HOCKEY by NOBLE'S PROMISE)
5  BOOK RUNNER 5 7 811¼ 86¾   58½ 57¼ (salinas jose)CORA D 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.30  
  (by MINESHAFT out of SHE'S HOT STUFF by NOT FOR LOVE)
6  NORTHERN VIRGINIA 6 6 77¾ 76½   610 613½ (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 12.00 61.70  
  (by NORTHERN AFLEET out of RUN PATTY RUN by AISLE)
1  Z MYSTIQUE 1 4 2nk 41½   710½ 719¾ (mcclellan e)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 6.00 16.50  
  (by XIXIXI out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  ON THE CHILL 8 2 3.2 62½   813½ 822¾ (crook-dem)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 10% 9.00 9.30  
  (by WINCHILL out of ON THE HASSLE by ORB)
 
PEN-6   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:26
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  POCOPSON STATION 3 4 44½ 44   33 1¾ (ippoli)SMITH DANIEL 114 12.00 25.10  
2  WENTZ 2 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 2¾ (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 2.00 62% 0.60 0.30 P
7  JIMMY THE KID 5 3 3½ 2nk   2½ 31¼ (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 124 10.00 4.10  
1  COAST TO COAST 1 2 2nk 31   46 49 (sinnefia pa)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 4.00 11% 7.90 3.40  
5  SHOWER THE PEOPLE 4 5 514½ 518   526 533½ (salinas jose)CORA D 124 30.00 31.20  
SCR  BOYS OF QUEENS               (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 5.00    
SCR  ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT               (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00    
SCR  FIRE DOWN BELOW               (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00    
 
PEN-7   09/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:133 1:393   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CAJUN OCCASION 6 3 31½ 31 21 13½ 18½ (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 118 2.00 33% 2.10 3.20 W
2  SPINNING MUSICIAN 2 2 11 1½ 11 23½ 28½ (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 2.00  
1  WONDER WATER 1 4 44 67½ 68½ 58½ 310 (sillaman ric)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 5.00  
3  BLUEBERRY MASH 3 6 66½ 56 44 45½ 410½ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 26% 2.90 2.80  
5  MERCURY TEN 5 1 21 2½ 31½ 35½ 511 (shuman ma)HERNANDEZ A 118 5.00 11% 8.20 6.20  
4  SWEEPIN HARD 4 5 54 46 57½ 68¾ 612 (jacklin theod)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 12.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.