The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Penn National
Friday - September 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 0.00
    Exacta (1/3/7)-(1/3/9/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 1-3 2 1 $14.00 $14.00 -4.00
    Trifecta (1/3/7)-(1/3/9/7)-(1/3/9/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 1-3-4 3 0 $22.80 -18.00
PEN-2   Win (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -0.20
    Exacta (5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 5-6 2 0 $25.60 -12.00
    Trifecta (5/7/4)-(5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-6-4 3 0 $55.00 -6.00
    Daily Double (1/3/7)-(5/7/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 1-5 2 1 $22.20 $22.20 4.20
PEN-3   Win (5/2/7/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $19.20 $19.20 9.20
    Exacta (5/2/7/8/10)-(5/2/7/8/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00 10-6 2 0 $207.20 -40.00
    Trifecta (5/2/7/8/10)-(5/2/7/8/10)-(5/2/7/8/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 10-6-2 3 0 $667.30 -60.00
    Daily Double (5/7/4)-(5/2/7/8/10) 15 $2.00 $30.00 5-10 2 1 $102.00 $102.00 72.00
    Pick Three (1/3/7)-(5/7/4)-(5/2/7/8/10) 45 $0.50 $22.50 1-5-10 3 1 $115.70 $115.70 93.20
PEN-4   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
    Exacta (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-8 2 0 $42.20 -12.00
    Trifecta (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-8-6 3 0 $122.30 -6.00
    Daily Double (5/2/7/8/10)-(4/6/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00 10-4 2 1 $52.60 $52.60 22.60
    Pick Three (5/7/4)-(5/2/7/8/10)-(4/6/1) 45 $0.50 $22.50 1/3/5-10-4/7 3 1 $63.95 $63.95 41.45
PEN-5   Win (7/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $24.60 -8.00
    Exacta (7/8/4/5)-(7/8/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 2-7 2 0 $73.20 -24.00
    Trifecta (7/8/4/5)-(7/8/4/5)-(7/8/4/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 2-7-3 3 0 $165.80 -24.00
    Daily Double (4/6/1)-(7/8/4/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-2 2 0 $77.80 -24.00
    Pick Three (5/2/7/8/10)-(4/6/1)-(7/8/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 10-4/7-2 3 0 $217.35 -30.00
PEN-6   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $52.20 -4.00
    Exacta (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4-2 2 0 $115.80 -4.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 4-2-7 3 0 $134.80 0.00
    Daily Double (7/8/4/5)-(2/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 2-4 2 0 $119.40 -16.00
    Pick Three (4/6/1)-(7/8/4/5)-(2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 4/7-2-4 3 0 $147.80 -12.00
PEN-7   Win (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 2.40
    Exacta (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-2 2 0 $27.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-2-1 3 0 $46.40 -6.00
    Daily Double (2/1)-(6/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 4-6 2 0 $244.80 -12.00
    Pick Three (7/8/4/5)-(2/1)-(6/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 2-4-6 3 0 $286.45 -12.00

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   09/15/2023 3300ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
:22 :441       :56   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NITRO TIME 1 6 1½ 1½   11 1¼ (comi w)AGUILAR M 118 3.00 60% 0.70 2.00 W
LIVE FIRE 2 5 42 3   21 2¼ (mcclellan c)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 13% 6.70 2.10 P
TAP EM 3 8 74 4   44 32 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 4.90  
KHAKI JACK 8 2 2½ 2½   34 4(kulp brandon )INIRIO J 120 5.00 6.10  
STANHOPE 4 7 86 8   58 5(lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 14.20  
SPIKES SHIRL 5 4 5 6   66(ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 8.00 22.10  
10  NAUTICAL NATURE 9 1 3 5   77(ippolito mark)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 50.00 44.60  
MY BLUE EYES 7 3 64 7   814¼ 817¼ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 15.00 36.10  
U KANT WHIP IT 6 9 910 914¾   923¼ 928½ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
SCR  NICK THE CARDSHARK               (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
SCR  STEVETHEVANDRIVER               (brown a)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 15.00    
 
PEN-2   09/15/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
:23 :461 1:093 1:214   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRITUAL KING 3 1 11 11 1 14 1(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 36% 1.80 1.90 W
NICK PAPAGIORGIO 4 3 5 6 6 45 2(vega richard)RANGEL JOEZER 120 4.00 3.60  
SACHMO 2 5 4 43 3 24 3(salvaggio jr)CORA D 122 5.00 10% 9.30 11.70 S
COLBALOAF 6 6 6 5 4 35 4(salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 2.10  
DYNAMITE KARMA 5 4 31 33 5 658 (fields kevin)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 28% 2.50 8.20  
PAPAL LAW 1 2 21 21 2 56(wolfe jr)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 8.00 5.60  
SCR  CARGO SHIP               (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
SCR  DAMIR               (machado antonio)MENA E 120 8.00    
 
PEN-3   09/15/2023 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 4:58
:222 :47       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  REBEL INVASION 10 5 2½ 21   15 1(albright george)TUNON JORDANO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 8.60 W
CIRCLE P 6 6 4 37   25 2(stites w)CHIAPPE R 119 15.00 9.90  
MUSIC BOX DANCER 2 8 7 7   38 3(houghton thom)INIRIO J 119 3.00 28% 2.60 17.90 S
INTERRUPTER 8 10 9 913¼   512 4(salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 119 4.50 5% 19.00 2.70  
DRAMA KEY 9 9 1013¼ 1014¼   715 510½ (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 119 15.00 25.20  
PENTATONIC 3 1 55 58   613 611½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 10.00 34.80  
SONG OF THE EAST 7 7 6 47   411 712 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 119 8.00 12% 7.60 7.60  
HOLD MY BEER BRO 1 3 3 6   817 814¾ (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 8.00 7.50  
CHASIN' WHISKEY 4 4 8 810¼   927 921½ (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 6.00 5.30  
PTERODACTYL 5 2 1½ 11   10100 10100 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 4.00 35% 1.90 3.20  
 
PEN-4   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:28
:224 :463 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT FUDGE WARRIOR 4 1 1½ 1   11(beattie m)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 33% 2.00 1.20 W
ARROGANTE 7 5 44 44   22(moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 10.00 14.40  
MORGANS COVE 6 6 66 55   436 (geist w)INIRIO J 118 8.00 32% 2.10 10.40 S
STASSI 1 3 2½ 3   36 48 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 6.00 7% 13.20 4.20  
MORE RANSOM 2 4 5 6   68 5(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 3.90  
UNION FOLLY 5 2 3½ 2   5612 (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 124 4.00 6.70  
OUT OF AMMO 3 7 712 715¼   720 726 (mcclellan eri)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 5.00 10.80  
SCR  OLIVIA DEE               (martin jr)AGUILAR M 124 10.00    
 
PEN-5   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
:223 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CERTAIN JUSTICE 2 8 6 52   31½ (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 11.30  
WILD VINE 7 3 5 2nk   11 2½ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.60 59% 0.70 0.60 P
BEJUCO 3 1 1nk 1nk   21 3(carpio erin)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00 13.00  
ZAMBONI WARRIOR 4 5 4 31   44(kulp brandon )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 9% 9.90 3.70  
BOOK RUNNER 5 7 811¼ 8   55(salinas jose)CORA D 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.30  
NORTHERN VIRGINIA 6 6 7 7   610 613½ (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 12.00 61.70  
Z MYSTIQUE 1 4 2nk 4   710½ 719¾ (mcclellan eri)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 6.00 16.50  
ON THE CHILL 8 2 3.2 6   813½ 822¾ (crook-demas)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 10% 9.00 9.30  
 
PEN-6   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:26
:223 :462 :592     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POCOPSON STATION 3 4 4 44   33 1¾ (ippolito)SMITH DANIEL 114 12.00 25.10  
WENTZ 2 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 2¾ (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 2.00 62% 0.60 0.30 P
JIMMY THE KID 5 3 3½ 2nk   2½ 3(martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 124 10.00 4.10  
COAST TO COAST 1 2 2nk 31   46 49 (sinnefia paul)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 4.00 11% 7.90 3.40  
SHOWER THE PEOPLE 4 5 514½ 518   526 533½ (salinas jose)CORA D 124 30.00 31.20  
SCR  BOYS OF QUEENS               (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 5.00    
SCR  ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT               (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00    
SCR  FIRE DOWN BELOW               (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00    
 
PEN-7   09/15/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
:242 :483 1:133 1:393   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN OCCASION 6 3 3 31 21 11(salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 118 2.00 33% 2.10 3.20 W
SPINNING MUSICIAN 2 2 11 1½ 11 22(beattie tod)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 2.00  
WONDER WATER 1 4 44 6 6 5310 (sillaman richa)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 5.00  
BLUEBERRY MASH 3 6 6 56 44 4410½ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 26% 2.90 2.80  
MERCURY TEN 5 1 21 2½ 3 3511 (shuman mark)HERNANDEZ A 118 5.00 11% 8.20 6.20  
SWEEPIN HARD 4 5 54 46 5 6612 (jacklin theodor)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 12.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.