Handicappers' Race Results
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Penn National
Friday - September 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
PEN-1   Win (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
PEN-2   Win (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
PEN-3   Win (5/2/7/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $19.20 $19.20 9.20
PEN-4   Win (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
PEN-5   Win (7/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $24.60  
PEN-6   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $52.20  
PEN-7   Win (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 2.40
Simulator Race results
 
PEN-1   09/15/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:22 :441       :56   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NITRO TIME 1 6 1½ 1½   11 1¼ (comi w)AGUILAR M 118 3.00 60% 0.70 2.00 W
3  LIVE FIRE 2 5 42 32½   21 2¼ (mcclellan c)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 13% 6.70 2.10 P
4  TAP EM 3 8 74 44½   44 32 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 4.90  
9  KHAKI JACK 8 2 2½ 2½   34 43½ (kulp brandon )INIRIO J 120 5.00 ★ 6.10  
5  STANHOPE 4 7 86 87¾   58 55½ (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 14.20  
6  SPIKES SHIRL 5 4 52½ 65½   68¼ 67¾ (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 8.00 22.10  
10  NAUTICAL NATURE 9 1 31½ 54½   79¼ 78¼ (ippolito mark)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 50.00 44.60  
8  MY BLUE EYES 7 3 64 77½   814¼ 817¼ (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 15.00 36.10  
7  U KANT WHIP IT 6 9 910 914¾   923¼ 928½ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00 9.00  
SCR  NICK THE CARDSHARK               (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
SCR  STEVETHEVANDRIVER               (brown a)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 15.00    
 
PEN-2   09/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:093 1:214   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SPIRITUAL KING 3 1 11 11 11½ 14 13¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 36% 1.80 1.90 W
6  NICK PAPAGIORGIO 4 3 52¾ 65¼ 64¼ 45 23¼ (vega richard)RANGEL JOEZER 120 4.00 3.60  
4  SACHMO 2 5 42½ 43 32½ 24 34¾ (salvaggio jr)CORA D 122 5.00 10% 9.30 11.70 S
8  COLBALOAF 6 6 62¾ 53¼ 42½ 35 46¾ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00 2.10  
7  DYNAMITE KARMA 5 4 31 33 52¾ 65¾ 58 (fields kevin)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 28% 2.50 8.20  
2  PAPAL LAW 1 2 21 21 21½ 55¼ 69½ (wolfe jr)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 8.00 5.60  
SCR  CARGO SHIP               (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
SCR  DAMIR               (machado antonio)MENA E 120 8.00    
 
PEN-3   09/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 4:58
See original race card.
:222 :47       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  REBEL INVASION 10 5 2½ 21   15 11¼ (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 8.60 W
6  CIRCLE P 6 6 44½ 37   25 21¼ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 119 15.00 9.90  
2  MUSIC BOX DANCER 2 8 76¼ 79¾   38 36½ (houghton thom)INIRIO J 119 3.00 28% 2.60 17.90 S
8  INTERRUPTER 8 10 99¼ 913¼   512 47½ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 119 4.50 5% 19.00 2.70  
9  DRAMA KEY 9 9 1013¼ 1014¼   715 510½ (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 119 15.00 25.20  
3  PENTATONIC 3 1 55 58   613 611½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 119 10.00 34.80  
7  SONG OF THE EAST 7 7 65¼ 47   411 712 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 119 8.00 12% 7.60 7.60  
1  HOLD MY BEER BRO 1 3 34½ 69½   817 814¾ (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 8.00 7.50  
4  CHASIN' WHISKEY 4 4 87¼ 810¼   927 921½ (houghton thomas)CORA D 119 6.00 5.30  
5  PTERODACTYL 5 2 1½ 11   10100 10100 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 4.00 35% 1.90 3.20  
 
PEN-4   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:28
See original race card.
:224 :463 :59     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HOT FUDGE WARRIOR 4 1 1½ 11½   14½ 14¼ (beattie m)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 33% 2.00 1.20 W
8  ARROGANTE 7 5 44 44   24½ 24¼ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 118 10.00 14.40  
6  MORGANS COVE 6 6 66 55   47½ 36 (geist w)INIRIO J 118 8.00 32% 2.10 10.40 S
1  STASSI 1 3 2½ 31½   36 48 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 6.00 7% 13.20 4.20  
2  MORE RANSOM 2 4 54½ 65¼   68 58½ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50 3.90  
5  UNION FOLLY 5 2 3½ 21½   57½ 612 (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 124 4.00 6.70  
3  OUT OF AMMO 3 7 712 715¼   720 726 (mcclellan eri)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 5.00 10.80  
SCR  OLIVIA DEE               (martin jr)AGUILAR M 124 10.00    
 
PEN-5   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:57
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CERTAIN JUSTICE 2 8 65¾ 52   31½ 1½ (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 11.30  
7  WILD VINE 7 3 54¼ 2nk   11 2½ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.60 59% 0.70 0.60 P
3  BEJUCO 3 1 1nk 1nk   21 32¼ (carpio erin)CHIAPPE R 122 8.00 13.00  
4  ZAMBONI WARRIOR 4 5 44¼ 31   42½ 42¾ (kulp brandon )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 9% 9.90 3.70  
5  BOOK RUNNER 5 7 811¼ 86¾   58½ 57¼ (salinas jose)CORA D 122 10.00 5% 19.00 17.30  
6  NORTHERN VIRGINIA 6 6 77¾ 76½   610 613½ (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 12.00 61.70  
1  Z MYSTIQUE 1 4 2nk 41½   710½ 719¾ (mcclellan eri)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 6.00 16.50  
8  ON THE CHILL 8 2 3.2 62½   813½ 822¾ (crook-demas)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 10% 9.00 9.30  
 
PEN-6   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:26
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  POCOPSON STATION 3 4 44½ 44   33 1¾ (ippolito)SMITH DANIEL 114 12.00 25.10  
2  WENTZ 2 1 1nk 1nk   1½ 2¾ (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 2.00 62% 0.60 0.30 P
7  JIMMY THE KID 5 3 3½ 2nk   2½ 31¼ (martin r)RODRIGUEZ E 124 10.00 4.10  
1  COAST TO COAST 1 2 2nk 31   46 49 (sinnefia paul)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 4.00 11% 7.90 3.40  
5  SHOWER THE PEOPLE 4 5 514½ 518   526 533½ (salinas jose)CORA D 124 30.00 31.20  
SCR  BOYS OF QUEENS               (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 5.00    
SCR  ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT               (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00    
SCR  FIRE DOWN BELOW               (albright amy)TUNON JORDANO 124 8.00    
 
PEN-7   09/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:133 1:393   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CAJUN OCCASION 6 3 31½ 31 21 13½ 18½ (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 118 2.00 33% 2.10 3.20 W
2  SPINNING MUSICIAN 2 2 11 1½ 11 23½ 28½ (beattie tod)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 2.00  
1  WONDER WATER 1 4 44 67½ 68½ 58½ 310 (sillaman richa)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 5.00  
3  BLUEBERRY MASH 3 6 66½ 56 44 45½ 410½ (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 2.50 26% 2.90 2.80  
5  MERCURY TEN 5 1 21 2½ 31½ 35½ 511 (shuman mark)HERNANDEZ A 118 5.00 11% 8.20 6.20  
4  SWEEPIN HARD 4 5 54 46 57½ 68¾ 612 (jacklin theodor)TUNON JORDANO 120 8.00 12.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.