Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (6/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $14.80 $6.80 85%
BAQ-2   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $6.30 $2.30 58%
    DD (6/7/5/3)-(3/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00  5-3 $17.60 $9.60 120%
BAQ-3   DD (3/5)-(5/3/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00  3-1 $8.50 $0.50 6%
    PK3 (6/7/5/3)-(3/5)-(5/3/1/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00  5-3-1 $39.75 $7.75 24%
BAQ-4   TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  6-2-3 $3.95 $0.95 32%
BAQ-6   EXA (11/3/5/6)-(11/3/5/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  11-6 $28.00 $12.00 75%
    TRI (11/3/5/6)-(11/3/5/1/6)-(11/3/5/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  11-6-5 $48.62 $24.62 103%
    SFT (11/3/5/6)-(11/3/5/1/6)-(11/3/5/1/6)-(11/3/5/1/6) 96 $0.10 $9.60  11-6-5-3 $26.10 $16.50 172%
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   10/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:222 :453 1:113     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LA GROTTE 5 3 312½ 41½   1nk 11 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 121 4.50 8% 11.90 6.40 W
2  TOOSHAY 2 8 818½ 87½   41¼ 21 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 121 8.00 14.50  
4  GRACEFUL 4 7 614½ 63   51¾ 33¾ (friedman)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00 50.50  
6  BEST COAST 6 5 715½ 52   3.2 45 (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 43% 1.30 5.10 DH
7  NEGRA GATA 7 1 2½ 2½   2nk 45 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50 28% 2.60 2.10 DH
3  SCHERZER 3 4 1½ 1½   67¼ 619½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00 25.00  
8  BE BEST 8 2 413½ 31½   77¾ 723¼ (terranova john)ORTIZ L 121 4.50 3.55  
1  DON'T TELL AMY 1 6 514½ 77   812¾ 831¼ (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 6.00 3.25  
 
BAQ-2   10/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Gio Ponti Purse ($135K) 3 ALL PT- 1:08
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:113 1:232   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NORTHERN INVADER 3 3 2nk 11½ 11 13½ 11 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 1.60 44% 1.30 2.15 W
  (by COLLECTED out of ANDROEAH by ARCH)
4  OHANA HONOR 4 5 54½ 54½ 53 23½ 21 (mcgaughey claud)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 9.20  
  (by HONOR CODE out of SPACY TRACY by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  BAT FLIP 2 4 31 32½ 31½ 45½ 38 (pletcher todd )LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 16.30  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of KRAZY KATHY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
1  CITY FEVER 1 1 1nk 21½ 21 35 48 (trombetta mi)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 3.90  
  (by UNKNOWN out of COOL FLAME by DIXIE UNION)
5  APPRAISE (IRE) 5 2 41½ 43 42½ 56½ 58¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 31% 2.20 0.90  
  (by UNKNOWN out of CHAMPAGNE OR WATER by CAPTAIN RIO)
SCR  ARMY TIMES               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of PAID UP SUBSCRIBER by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
BAQ-3   10/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:112 1:242   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARIAH'S FORTUNE 1 6 61¼ 41¼ 2nk 12 12½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 7% 12.90 2.25 W
5  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 5 9 99¾ 911¼ 66½ 45½ 22½ (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50 38% 1.60 1.90 P
3  ITS COLD IN DEHERE 3 8 72¼ 74¼ 44½ 35 34 (toscano john )SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.50 30% 2.30 5.10 S
4  ALPINE QUEEN 4 7 4¾ 2nk 1nk 22 46¼ (schettino )RIVERA R 117 6.00 7.80  
9  LINNY KATE 9 4 51¼ 52¾ 55½ 57½ 58½ (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.00 5.40  
7  TRADE SECRET 7 3 2nk 31 34 68 610¼ (pringl)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00 66.00  
2  VALLARAND 2 5 82¾ 87¼ 89 710 711¼ (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 20.00 69.25  
6  GAME THEORY 6 1 1nk 1nk 78½ 816½ 829¾ (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
8  WAIT A MINUTE 8 2 3½ 62¾ 919 923½ 953¾ (englehart jeffr)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 49.50  
 
BAQ-4   10/06/2023 5940ft TURF RC11 FIRM Ashley Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:13 1:363   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SPIRIT OF ST LOUIS 5 5 42½ 42 31 1½ 11¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.60 29% 2.40 1.45 W
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of KHANCORD KID by LEMON DROP KID)
2  JERRY THE NIPPER 2 1 21 2½ 2nk 2½ 21¼ (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 124 4.00 15% 5.90 4.80 P
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of AQUA REGIA by GOLD MERIDIAN)
3  CITY MAN 3 3 64½ 63½ 52¾ 32 31½ (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 1.20 33% 2.10 0.95 S
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of CITY SCAMPER by CITY ZIP)
4  BARRAGE 4 4 53½ 53 63¼ 44½ 44¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 23.10  
  (by WAR DANCER out of NOTACHARLIE'SANGEL by FAPPIE'S NOTEBOOK)
1  KINGDOM ON PAWS 1 2 31½ 31½ 41¼ 57 59 (potts wa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 30.00 90.75  
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of BEAR SHE GOES by BERNARDINI)
7  UN OJO 6 6 11 1½ 1nk 68½ 616 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00 15.10  
  (by LAOBAN out of RISK A CHANCE by A.P. INDY)
SCR  BORN DANCER               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 20.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of ARGUABLY by SKY MESA)
 
BAQ-5   10/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:23 :452 1:093     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  FORCED RANKING 6 3 3½ 1½   12 13¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 44% 1.30 0.80 W
9  AMERICAN LAW 8 2 2½ 2½   22 23¾ (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 8% 11.40 6.20 P
4  GIROOVIN 4 6 52 53½   46 35¼ (falcone ro)RIVERA R 115 6.00 4.50  
3  KUNSHAN BRIDGE 3 4 1½ 3½   35 47 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 11% 7.80 6.90  
1  FIGHT FIERCELY 1 7 41½ 64½   610 510½ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00 24.75  
5  BORN A GAMBLER 5 5 62½ 43   59½ 611¾ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00 11% 7.80 17.50  
2  DISAPPEARANCE 2 8 815 820   830 743 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 43.75  
8  BIG VENEZUELA 7 1 73 75   720 848¼ (wilson fait)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00 10.70  
SCR  BROOKLYN DIAMONDS               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50    
 
BAQ-6   10/06/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:131 1:372   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  EMPIRE ATTRACTION 10 8 2nk 1½ 2½ 2nk 1hd (gargan dann)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.00 37% 1.70 1.75 W
6  CARPE'S DREAM 6 3 1nk 2½ 1½ 1nk 2hd (diprima gre)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 24.25 P
5  ARUBA (IRE) 5 6 84¾ 76 63 35½ 33¼ (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 124 4.00 11% 8.10 3.20 S
3  FORWARDLY 3 2 63¾ 65½ 74 57½ 44 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 32% 2.20 4.00  
9  LUCKY LUCKY LUKE 8 9 95¾ 87 88 910¼ 56½ (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00 18.50  
4  MAMA BANNED ME 4 10 107¼ 109½ 99 810¼ 68¼ (follett norman)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 79.50  
10  INTO IT 9 7 41¼ 41½ 42½ 47 78¾ (dutrow r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 8.80  
1  FORWARD MOVE (IRE) 1 1 74¾ 97½ 1012 1011¾ 810¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 ★ 5.40  
7  NO REGARD 7 4 52¾ 54½ 53 68½ 910½ (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 39.00  
2  ABLETON 2 5 31 31 31 710 1012½ (bond harol)RIVERA R 117 20.00 82.75  
SCR  ADDICTED TO YOU               (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00    
SCR  BARREL OF QUESTS               (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00    
SCR  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50    
SCR  MISTER ABARRIO               (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
SCR  ZAPRUDER               (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:101 1:23   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  DRUM ROLL PLEASE 9 4 3½ 4¾ 1½ 1½ 12 (cox h)CASTELLANO J 119 2.00 ★ 1.05  
  (by HARD SPUN out of IMPLY by E DUBAI)
5  HUNT BALL (IRE) 5 5 52½ 51¾ 41 2½ 22 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 57% 0.70 2.40 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DANCE CARD by TAPIT)
4  PENTATHLON 4 1 2nk 2nk 3½ 31 33¾ (mcgaughey )RIVERA R 114 12.00 21.10  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of PARADE by TAPIT)
1  HOULTON 1 7 84¼ 62¾ 54½ 55 45½ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 23.20  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of KATHRYN THE WISE by UNCLE MO)
8  ENLIGHTEN 8 2 1nk 3.2 2½ 44 59¼ (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 4.00 17% 5.10 4.90  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LEGAL TENDER by JUDGE T C)
7  DIGITAL OPS 7 3 73¾ 96¾ 79½ 69 612½ (brown c)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 17.50  
  (by NYQUIST out of FLORA DORA by FIRST DUDE)
6  UNIQUE INSIGHT 6 6 63½ 75¾ 810½ 711½ 714¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 11.30  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of RAUCOUS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  HAMILTON'S WAY 2 8 95¾ 86¾ 911 913 817¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 68.25  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of GO NONI GO by GET STORMY)
3  TRUCKER 3 9 41½ 1nk 65½ 812 920¼ (mott i)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 69.75  
  (by FLATTER out of BLIND COPY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
 
BAQ-8   10/06/2023 3960ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:23 :46 :573     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  LADY MIA (FR) 8 1 11 11   11 1¾ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 37% 1.70 2.10 W
3  BUSTIN BULLET 3 4 53 62¾   42½ 2¾ (miceli michael)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00 14.70  
2  SPOOKY LADY 2 5 21 41½   21 31¼ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00 4.50  
1  LINARITE 1 9 97¾ 85¼   53½ 41¾ (donk david)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 30% 2.40 3.35  
7  LATEST EDITION 7 7 63¼ 51¾   32 52¾ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00 15.10  
5  TRY IT AGAIN 5 8 85¾ 73¾   74 65½ (rodriguez )RIVERA R 118 20.00 36.75  
4  SARATOGA GAZE 4 3 41½ 21   64 710 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 7.80  
9  MADDIE'S GRACE 9 2 31 31   85½ 810 (kimmel)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 9.10  
6  THREE GIRLS 6 6 74¾ 97¼   910½ 915 (begg james )ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00 9% 9.60 9.10  
 
BAQ-9   10/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:132 1:252   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CLEAR VISION 4 2 31½ 31½ 41½ 1½ 13 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 3.75  
5  MAXWELL ESQUIRE 5 5 52½ 52 52½ 3½ 23 (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00 38.25  
10  LANDBISCUIT 9 6 42 41½ 2nk 41 33¾ (brown bruce )CASTELLANO J 122 12.00 7.70  
8  NOLO CONTESTO 7 4 21 2½ 1nk 2½ 43¾ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 10.00 ★ 24.50  
3  HIGH TIDE 3 9 98½ 95¾ 94¾ 82¾ 54 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.40  
9  EYES ON TARGET 8 7 74 63 63 52 64¾ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 64% 0.60 5.30  
1  ORIGINAL 1 8 88 85¼ 84¼ 62¼ 75 (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 6.80  
2  KLICKITAT 2 3 63½ 73¼ 74 72¾ 85¾ (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 26.50  
7  PRINCIPLED STAND (GB) 6 1 11 1½ 3½ 98¾ 923¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 11% 8.10 2.90  
SCR  BRAZILLIONAIRE               (englehart j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00    
 
BAQ-10   10/06/2023 6270ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:122 1:371   1:562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WINTERS LION 5 6 69½ 612½ 611½ 64½ 1½ (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 35.75  
1  MISTICAL CURLIN 1 3 21½ 22 23 21 2½ (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.00 12% 7.40 6.70 P
2  DRAKE'S PASSAGE 2 2 32½ 43½ 44½ 31 3½ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 55% 0.80 0.45 S
8  SUERTE 6 1 11½ 12 13 11 4¾ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 12.10  
6  SIGNATOR 4 5 43½ 33½ 34 52 52¾ (mcgaughey cl)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 9% 10.00 5.60  
3  PADDINGTON 3 4 54 56½ 55 41½ 63½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 7.10  
SCR  COMPLETE AGENDA               (baker charl)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00    
SCR  QUALITY CHIC               (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
 
BAQ-11   10/06/2023 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:53
See original race card.
:231 :463 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MIM 3 6 52½ 41½   2nk 11¼ (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00 33% 2.10 2.45 W
8  GALATRONA 7 3 31 31½   1nk 21¼ (bond harol)RIVERA R 116 12.00 15.90  
7  STONE OF DESTINY 6 5 63½ 65   54 34½ (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 12.20  
12  GOTHAM GRAY 9 1 21 21   43 44½ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 ★ 7.40  
9  DANCE WITH ME BABE 8 2 11 11   31 54¾ (barrera oscar )ORTIZ L 121 5.00 16% 5.40 1.80  
5  FOLLOW THE FED 4 7 75 79   77½ 65¼ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00 5% 19.00 37.50  
2  RED BUTTERFLY 2 4 42 54½   65 76 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 28% 2.60 4.10  
6  UNHOLY 5 9 96½ 810   89½ 88 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00 15.70  
1  DRAMATIC EFFECT 1 8 85½ 911   910½ 99¼ (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 30.00 61.25  
SCR  BENEVOLENTLY               (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 30.00    
SCR  JENNY WATERBAGS               (levine)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00    
SCR  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH               (reynolds pa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
SCR  PUREST PERFORMANCE               (pregman jr)USKE S 121 20.00    
SCR  RULER OF THE NIGHT               (englehart je)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 20.00    
SCR  SUGAR AND SPEIGHTS               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 4.50    
SCR  TWO REDHEADS               (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.