The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (6/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $14.80 $14.80 6.80
BAQ-2   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $6.30 $6.30 2.30
BAQ-3   Win (5/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.50 $6.50 -1.50
BAQ-4   Win (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.90 $4.90 -1.10
BAQ-5   Win (6/3/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 -4.40
BAQ-6   Win (11/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $5.50 $5.50 -2.50
BAQ-7   Win (5/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $4.10 -6.00
BAQ-8   Win (8/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 -1.80
BAQ-9   Win (9/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $9.50 -6.00
BAQ-10   Win (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $73.50 -6.00
BAQ-11   Win (3/2/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.90 $6.90 -1.10

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/06/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
:222 :453 1:113     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA GROTTE 5 3 312½ 4   1nk 11 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 121 4.50 8% 11.90 6.40 W
TOOSHAY 2 8 818½ 8   421 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 121 8.00 14.50  
GRACEFUL 4 7 614½ 63   53(friedman m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00 50.50  
BEST COAST 6 5 715½ 52   3.2 45 (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 43% 1.30 5.10 DH
NEGRA GATA 7 1 2½ 2½   2nk 45 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50 28% 2.60 2.10 DH
SCHERZER 3 4 1½ 1½   6619½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00 25.00  
BE BEST 8 2 413½ 3   7723¼ (terranova p)ORTIZ L 121 4.50 3.55  
DON'T TELL AMY 1 6 514½ 77   812¾ 831¼ (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 6.00 3.25  
 
BAQ-2   10/06/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Gio Ponti Purse ($135K) 3 ALL PT- 1:08
:234 :473 1:113 1:232   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN INVADER 3 3 2nk 1 11 111 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 1.60 44% 1.30 2.15 W
OHANA HONOR 4 5 5 5 53 221 (mcgaughey claude )CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 9.20  
BAT FLIP 2 4 31 3 3 438 (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 16.30  
CITY FEVER 1 1 1nk 2 21 35 48 (trombetta mich)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 3.90  
APPRAISE (IRE) 5 2 4 43 4 55(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 31% 2.20 0.90  
SCR  ARMY TIMES               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60    
 
BAQ-3   10/06/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
:23 :454 1:112 1:242   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARIAH'S FORTUNE 1 6 6 4 2nk 12 1(atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 7% 12.90 2.25 W
SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN 5 9 9 911¼ 6 42(giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50 38% 1.60 1.90 P
ITS COLD IN DEHERE 3 8 7 7 4 35 34 (toscano t)SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.50 30% 2.30 5.10 S
ALPINE QUEEN 4 7 4¾ 2nk 1nk 22 4(schettino do)RIVERA R 117 6.00 7.80  
LINNY KATE 9 4 5 5 5 55(noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.00 5.40  
TRADE SECRET 7 3 2nk 31 34 68 610¼ (pringle )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00 66.00  
VALLARAND 2 5 8 8 89 710 711¼ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 20.00 69.25  
GAME THEORY 6 1 1nk 1nk 7 816½ 829¾ (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
WAIT A MINUTE 8 2 3½ 6 919 923½ 953¾ (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00 49.50  
 
BAQ-4   10/06/2023 5940ft TURF FIRM Ashley Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
:232 :481 1:13 1:363   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPIRIT OF ST LOUIS 5 5 4 42 31 1½ 1(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.60 29% 2.40 1.45 W
JERRY THE NIPPER 2 1 21 2½ 2nk 2½ 2(pletcher a)ORTIZ L 124 4.00 15% 5.90 4.80 P
CITY MAN 3 3 6 6 5 32 3(clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 1.20 33% 2.10 0.95 S
BARRAGE 4 4 5 53 6 44(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00 23.10  
KINGDOM ON PAWS 1 2 3 3 4 57 59 (potts wayn)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 30.00 90.75  
UN OJO 6 6 11 1½ 1nk 6616 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00 15.10  
SCR  BORN DANCER               (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 20.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/06/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
:23 :452 1:093     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORCED RANKING 6 3 3½ 1½   12 1(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 44% 1.30 0.80 W
AMERICAN LAW 8 2 2½ 2½   22 2(brown r)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 8% 11.40 6.20 P
GIROOVIN 4 6 52 5   46 3(falcone robe)RIVERA R 115 6.00 4.50  
KUNSHAN BRIDGE 3 4 1½ 3½   35 47 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 11% 7.80 6.90  
FIGHT FIERCELY 1 7 4 6   610 510½ (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00 24.75  
BORN A GAMBLER 5 5 6 43   5611¾ (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00 11% 7.80 17.50  
DISAPPEARANCE 2 8 815 820   830 743 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 43.75  
BIG VENEZUELA 7 1 73 75   720 848¼ (wilson faith)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00 10.70  
SCR  BROOKLYN DIAMONDS               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50    
 
BAQ-6   10/06/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
:24 :491 1:131 1:372   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  EMPIRE ATTRACTION 10 8 2nk 1½ 2½ 2nk 1hd (gargan danny)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.00 37% 1.70 1.75 W
CARPE'S DREAM 6 3 1nk 2½ 1½ 1nk 2hd (diprima grego)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00 24.25 P
ARUBA 5 6 8 76 63 33(abreu r)CASTELLANO J 124 4.00 11% 8.10 3.20 S
FORWARDLY 3 2 6 6 74 544 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 32% 2.20 4.00  
LUCKY LUCKY LUKE 8 9 9 87 88 910¼ 5(maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00 18.50  
MAMA BANNED ME 4 10 10 10 99 810¼ 6(follett norman)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 79.50  
10  INTO IT 9 7 4 4 4 47 7(dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 8.80  
FORWARD MOVE 1 1 7 9 1012 1011¾ 810¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 5.40  
NO REGARD 7 4 5 5 53 6910½ (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 39.00  
ABLETON 2 5 31 31 31 710 1012½ (bond harold )RIVERA R 117 20.00 82.75  
SCR  ADDICTED TO YOU               (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00    
SCR  BARREL OF QUESTS               (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00    
SCR  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50    
SCR  MISTER ABARRIO               (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
SCR  ZAPRUDER               (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/06/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:48
:224 :452 1:101 1:23   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRUM ROLL PLEASE 9 4 3½ 4¾ 1½ 1½ 12 (cox h)CASTELLANO J 119 2.00 1.05  
HUNT BALL 5 5 5 5 41 2½ 22 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 57% 0.70 2.40 P
PENTATHLON 4 1 2nk 2nk 3½ 31 3(mcgaughey cl)RIVERA R 114 12.00 21.10  
HOULTON 1 7 8 6 5 55 4(maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 23.20  
ENLIGHTEN 8 2 1nk 3.2 2½ 44 5(pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 17% 5.10 4.90  
DIGITAL OPS 7 3 7 9 7 69 612½ (brown c)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 17.50  
UNIQUE INSIGHT 6 6 6 7 810½ 711½ 714¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 11.30  
HAMILTON'S WAY 2 8 9 8 911 913 817¾ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00 68.25  
TRUCKER 3 9 4 1nk 6 812 920¼ (mott i)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 69.75  
 
BAQ-8   10/06/2023 3960ft TURF FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
:23 :46 :573     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY MIA (FR) 8 1 11 11   11 1¾ (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 37% 1.70 2.10 W
BUSTIN BULLET 3 4 53 6   42¾ (miceli michael)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00 14.70  
SPOOKY LADY 2 5 21 4   21 3(rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00 4.50  
LINARITE 1 9 9 8   54(donk david)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 30% 2.40 3.35  
LATEST EDITION 7 7 6 5   32 5(morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00 15.10  
TRY IT AGAIN 5 8 8 7   74 6(rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 118 20.00 36.75  
SARATOGA GAZE 4 3 4 21   64 710 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00 7.80  
MADDIE'S GRACE 9 2 31 31   8810 (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00 9.10  
THREE GIRLS 6 6 7 9   910½ 915 (begg be)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00 9% 9.60 9.10  
 
BAQ-9   10/06/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
:241 :484 1:132 1:252   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEAR VISION 4 2 3 3 4 1½ 13 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 3.75  
MAXWELL ESQUIRE 5 5 5 52 5 3½ 23 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00 38.25  
10  LANDBISCUIT 9 6 42 4 2nk 41 3(brown r)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00 7.70  
NOLO CONTESTO 7 4 21 2½ 1nk 2½ 4(jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 10.00 24.50  
HIGH TIDE 3 9 9 9 9 854 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 5% 19.00 3.40  
EYES ON TARGET 8 7 74 63 63 52 6(rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 64% 0.60 5.30  
ORIGINAL 1 8 88 8 8 675 (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 6.80  
KLICKITAT 2 3 6 7 74 78(rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 26.50  
PRINCIPLED STAND (GB) 6 1 11 1½ 3½ 9923¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 11% 8.10 2.90  
SCR  BRAZILLIONAIRE               (englehart jer)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00    
 
BAQ-10   10/06/2023 6270ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
:24 :482 1:122 1:371   1:562   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WINTERS LION 5 6 6 612½ 611½ 61½ (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 35.75  
MISTICAL CURLIN 1 3 2 22 23 21 2½ (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.00 12% 7.40 6.70 P
DRAKE'S PASSAGE 2 2 3 4 4 31 3½ (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 55% 0.80 0.45 S
SUERTE 6 1 1 12 13 11 4¾ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 12.10  
SIGNATOR 4 5 4 3 34 52 5(mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 9% 10.00 5.60  
PADDINGTON 3 4 54 5 55 46(rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 7.10  
SCR  COMPLETE AGENDA               (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00    
SCR  QUALITY CHIC               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
 
BAQ-11   10/06/2023 3960ft TURF FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:53
:231 :463 :583     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIM 3 6 5 4   2nk 1(miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00 33% 2.10 2.45 W
GALATRONA 7 3 31 3   1nk 2(bond harold )RIVERA R 116 12.00 15.90  
STONE OF DESTINY 6 5 6 65   54 3(donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 12.20  
12  GOTHAM GRAY 9 1 21 21   43 4(clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 7.40  
DANCE WITH ME BABE 8 2 11 11   31 5(barrera s)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 16% 5.40 1.80  
FOLLOW THE FED 4 7 75 79   76(rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00 5% 19.00 37.50  
RED BUTTERFLY 2 4 42 5   65 76 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 28% 2.60 4.10  
UNHOLY 5 9 9 810   888 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00 15.70  
DRAMATIC EFFECT 1 8 8 911   910½ 9(henry nevill)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 30.00 61.25  
SCR  BENEVOLENTLY               (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 30.00    
SCR  JENNY WATERBAGS               (levine b)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00    
SCR  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH               (reynolds patr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00    
SCR  PUREST PERFORMANCE               (pregman jr)USKE S 121 20.00    
SCR  RULER OF THE NIGHT               (englehart jeff)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 20.00    
SCR  SUGAR AND SPEIGHTS               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 4.50    
SCR  TWO REDHEADS               (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.