Handicappers' Racing Form
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Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
BAQ-1   Win (6/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-2   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-3   Win (5/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-4   Win (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-5   Win (6/3/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-6   Win (11/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-7   Win (5/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-8   Win (8/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-9   Win (9/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-10   Win (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-11   Win (3/2/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
BAQ-1   10/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T TELL AMY Aug16 Jul07 Feb19 Dec18 Oct23 (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 6.00    
2  TOOSHAY Aug16 Jun03 May14 Apr30 Mar17 (contessa c)DAVIS KATIE 121 8.00    
3  SCHERZER Sep03 May12       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  GRACEFUL Aug16 Jul29 Jun02 May26 Apr28 (friedman mitchell)RUIZ ELISEO 116 15.00    
5  LA GROTTE Mar17 Feb19 Jan15 Dec04 Oct23 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 121 4.50 8% 11.90    
6  BEST COAST Jul29 Jun11       (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
7  NEGRA GATA Aug23 Aug06 Jul06 Jun03 Mar31 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
8  BE BEST Aug12 Jul02 May05 Mar11   (terranova p)ORTIZ L 121 4.50    
 
BAQ-2   10/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Gio Ponti Purse ($135K) 3 ALL PT- 1:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY FEVER Aug13 Jul15       (trombetta mich)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00    
2  BAT FLIP Sep09 Aug11 Nov26 Oct23 Sep24 (pletcher a)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
3  NORTHERN INVADER Aug12 Jul01 Jun04 May06   (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 1.60 44% 1.30    
4  OHANA HONOR Sep09 Aug03 Jun03 Apr13 Mar04 (mcgaughey claude )CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00    
5  APPRAISE (IRE) Aug11 Jul08 Sep17 Aug19 Jul22 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 31% 2.20    
SCR  ARMY TIMES Aug22 Jul22 Jun10 Mar26   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60    
 
BAQ-3   10/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARIAH'S FORTUNE Jul20 Jul04 May26 Apr27 Mar26 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.00 7% 12.90    
2  VALLARAND Sep11 Aug24 Jul02 Jun22 Jun02 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 117 20.00    
3  ITS COLD IN DEHERE Aug16 Aug03 Jun02 Mar31 Mar24 (toscano t)SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.50 30% 2.30    
4  ALPINE QUEEN Aug20 May07 Apr06 Mar10 Feb09 (schettino do)RIVERA R 117 6.00    
5  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Aug16 Aug03 Jun16 Apr30 Apr21 (giangiulio michel)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
6  GAME THEORY Jul27 Jun16 Jun02 May18 May07 (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  TRADE SECRET Aug03 Jun22 May18 Apr20 Mar24 (pringle )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00    
8  WAIT A MINUTE Apr29 Apr15 Jan27 Jan13   (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS KATIE 122 15.00    
9  LINNY KATE Aug19 Jul23 Jul16 Jun23 Jun03 (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/06/2023 5940ft TURF RC11 FIRM Ashley Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINGDOM ON PAWS Sep09 Aug10 Jul23 Jun10 Oct30 (potts wayn)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 30.00    
2  JERRY THE NIPPER Aug27 Jul30 Jul03 May29 Nov19 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 124 4.00 15% 5.90    
3  CITY MAN Aug27 May29 May06 Jan28 Dec31 (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 1.20 33% 2.10    
4  BARRAGE Aug17 Jun23 May28 Jan28 Dec16 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 12.00    
SCR  BORN DANCER Aug27 Jun23 Oct21 Aug17 Jul09 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 122 20.00    
6  SPIRIT OF ST LOUIS Aug27 Jul20 Jun10 Apr06 Feb17 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 1.60 29% 2.40    
7  UN OJO Sep10 Aug02 Jan19 Dec31 Apr02 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 12.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/06/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIGHT FIERCELY Sep01 Aug20 Jul16 Jun11 May04 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
2  DISAPPEARANCE Aug31 Jul04 Jun10 May06   (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
3  KUNSHAN BRIDGE Sep16 Aug31 Aug17 May26 Mar18 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 11% 7.80    
4  GIROOVIN Aug31 Aug17 Jul16 Jun11 Apr16 (falcone robe)RIVERA R 115 6.00    
5  BORN A GAMBLER Sep03 Jul13 Jun25 Jun04 May14 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 123 12.00 11% 7.80    
6  FORCED RANKING Sep01         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  BROOKLYN DIAMONDS Sep22 Sep01 Jun15 Apr30 Feb24 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 3.50    
8  BIG VENEZUELA Aug17 Aug03 Jul01 May28 May14 (wilson faith)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 15.00    
9  AMERICAN LAW Sep16 Sep01 Jul22 Jun10 May06 (brown r)CASTELLANO J 123 8.00 8% 11.40    
 
BAQ-6   10/06/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($30K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORWARD MOVE (IRE) Aug17 Aug06 Jun25     (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 ★    
2  ABLETON Nov05 Oct06 Aug18 Jun17 May13 (bond harold )RIVERA R 117 20.00    
3  FORWARDLY Jul01 Dec24 Oct26 Sep05 Jul27 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
4  MAMA BANNED ME Aug16 Jul26 Jul20 Jun15 May13 (follett norman)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00    
5  ARUBA (IRE) Jul28 Jul08 May05 Mar25 Jan22 (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 124 4.00 11% 8.10    
6  CARPE'S DREAM Jul29 Jul08 Jun09 Oct16 Sep17 (diprima grego)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  NO REGARD Aug03 Jul09 Jun04 May19 Apr22 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00    
SCR  BILLY'S GOT ISSUES Jul26 Jun15 May14 Mar25 Mar04 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50    
9  LUCKY LUCKY LUKE Aug16 Jul28 Jul03 Jun18 May06 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 120 15.00    
10  INTO IT Aug23 Jun17 Apr08 Mar18 Jan28 (dutrow ric)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00    
11  EMPIRE ATTRACTION Sep03 Jun18 May20 Apr27 Mar05 (gargan danny)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  ADDICTED TO YOU Jul26 Jun25 May26 Apr22 Dec02 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 15.00    
SCR  BARREL OF QUESTS Sep17 Jul02 Jun10 May19 Apr08 (donk david)RUIZ ELISEO 117 8.00    
SCR  MISTER ABARRIO Sep17 Jul28 Jun25 Jun04 Mar22 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00    
SCR  ZAPRUDER Sep21 Aug06 Jul03 Jun01 Dec17 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 120 10.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOULTON Aug19 Jul29       (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00    
2  HAMILTON'S WAY Sep01 Aug05       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  TRUCKER Jul22         (mott i)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
4  PENTATHLON Aug05         (mcgaughey cl)RIVERA R 114 12.00    
5  HUNT BALL (IRE) Aug19         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.50 57% 0.70    
6  UNIQUE INSIGHT         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00    
7  DIGITAL OPS         (brown c)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
8  ENLIGHTEN Sep02         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 17% 5.10    
9  DRUM ROLL PLEASE Sep01 Jul29       (cox h)CASTELLANO J 119 2.00 ★    
 
BAQ-8   10/06/2023 3960ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINARITE Aug27 Aug11 Jul13 Jun24 Jun02 (donk david)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 30% 2.40    
2  SPOOKY LADY Sep04 Jul22 Jun03 Apr22 Mar12 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 4.00    
3  BUSTIN BULLET Aug27 Jun22 May18 Apr28 Nov19 (miceli michael)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00    
4  SARATOGA GAZE Aug27 Jul13 May28 Apr22 Mar26 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  TRY IT AGAIN Jul27 Jun22 Jun16 May21 Apr23 (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 118 20.00    
6  THREE GIRLS Jul23 Dec24 Oct28 Sep05   (begg be)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 5.00 9% 9.60    
7  LATEST EDITION Aug12 Sep30 Aug12 Jun26 May30 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00    
8  LADY MIA (FR) Sep14         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
9  MADDIE'S GRACE Jul19 May18 Apr22 Nov19 Aug24 (kimmel j)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 6.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/06/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($32K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORIGINAL Jun04 Feb05 Jan18 Dec30 Oct27 (dutrow e)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
2  KLICKITAT Sep15 Jul27 Jun17 May14 Nov18 (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00    
3  HIGH TIDE Aug25 Jul27 Jun04 Jul14 May13 (atras rob)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CLEAR VISION Sep13 Jul07 May27 Sep03 Aug04 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00    
5  MAXWELL ESQUIRE Sep28 Aug19 Jul26 Jul07 Jun15 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 122 15.00    
SCR  BRAZILLIONAIRE Sep13 Aug02 Jul01 May30 Dec04 (englehart jer)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00    
7  PRINCIPLED STAND (GB) Sep04 Dec22 Jul21 Jun23 May13 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 11% 8.10    
8  NOLO CONTESTO Sep22 Aug24 Jul22 Jun21 Jun11 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 10.00 ★    
9  EYES ON TARGET Jul27 Jun18 Apr15 Mar04 Jan01 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 3.50 64% 0.60    
10  LANDBISCUIT Sep02 Aug25 Jul27 Jun17 May20 (brown r)CASTELLANO J 122 12.00    
 
BAQ-10   10/06/2023 6270ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTICAL CURLIN Aug26 Aug12 Jul04 May20 Apr08 (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 4.00 12% 7.40    
2  DRAKE'S PASSAGE Aug27 Jul03 Dec08 Nov13 Oct16 (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.60 55% 0.80    
3  PADDINGTON Aug18 Jul22 Jun29 May27   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 5.00    
SCR  COMPLETE AGENDA Aug24 Jul16 May21 Apr23 Mar31 (baker charlto)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 15.00    
SCR  QUALITY CHIC Sep28 Sep14 Aug20 Jun25 May28 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 6.00    
6  SIGNATOR Aug30 Aug05 Oct14 Sep16   (mcgaughey clau)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 9% 10.00    
7  WINTERS LION Aug30 Jul01 May27 Apr22 Mar04 (sharp joe)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
8  SUERTE Aug26 Aug10 May24 Apr21 Mar22 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00    
 
BAQ-11   10/06/2023 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRAMATIC EFFECT Jul29         (henry nevi)DAVIS A 124 30.00    
2  RED BUTTERFLY Aug16 Jul23 Jun15 Nov27 Oct28 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 28% 2.60    
3  MIM Sep03 Aug12 Jul15 Jun16 Oct08 (miceli michael)LEZCANO JOSE 121 3.00 33% 2.10    
SCR  SUGAR AND SPEIGHTS         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 4.50    
5  FOLLOW THE FED Sep03 Aug04 Jul13 Jun15 May13 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  UNHOLY Sep15 Jul02 May21     (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00    
7  STONE OF DESTINY Aug04 Jul13 Jun17     (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00    
8  GALATRONA Aug16 May27 Apr08 Sep30   (bond harold )RIVERA R 116 12.00    
9  DANCE WITH ME BABE Jul23 Jun24 May18 Apr22 Sep30 (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  JENNY WATERBAGS         (levine b)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00    
SCR  MO DAMORNINGGROUCH Jul23 Jun24 May13 Oct09 Sep03 (reynolds patrick )RUIZ ELISEO 119 10.00    
12  GOTHAM GRAY Jul23 May18 Apr14 Mar11   (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  BENEVOLENTLY Jul29 Aug04 Jul04     (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 30.00    
SCR  PUREST PERFORMANCE Jun24 May18       (pregman jr)USKE S 121 20.00    
SCR  RULER OF THE NIGHT Aug29 Jun26 Jun05 May08 Apr25 (englehart jeff)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 20.00    
SCR  TWO REDHEADS Feb12 Jan19 Dec09 Nov05   (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.