Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-1   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.10 $1.10 18%
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-1 $17.10 $11.10 185%
BAQ-3   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $10.20 $4.20 70%
BAQ-5   WIN (2/10/8/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  11 $20.00 $10.00 100%
    EXA (2/10/8/11/7)-(2/10/8/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  11-8 $46.75 $26.75 134%
    DD (1/2/6)-(2/10/8/11/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00  2-11 $25.75 $10.75 72%
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(1/2/6)-(2/10/8/11/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00  6-2-11 $68.75 $23.75 53%
BAQ-9   WIN (8/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $10.60 $2.60 33%

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANDAGATE   (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 22% 3.60 2.55 W
  (by ARROGATE out of KITTY PANDA by SKY MESA)
MAMA'S MIDDIE   (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50 32% 2.10 3.55 P
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MAMA KNOWS BEST by SKY MESA)
IN A MINUTE   (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 20.60  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of TIME WARP by CAIRO PRINCE)
INONIT   (lugovich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50 8.00  
  (by INCLUDE out of GREGORIAN JEST by PHONE TRICK)
KHADULLAH   (rodriguez )RIVERA R 114 8.00 8.00  
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of MIDWAY MUSIC by BLUEGRASS CAT)
WISECRACKER   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 21% 3.70 1.75  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of G NOTE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
ARCO AUGUSTA   (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 5.00 14.10  
  (by ENTICED out of ARCHITECT by ARCH)
 
BAQ-2   10/13/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:08
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REAGAN'S FLAME   (devaux cherie)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 10.30  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MIZZEN DONALD by MIZZEN MAST)
LAMORNA   (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 46% 1.20 1.30 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of FREUDIE ANNE by FREUD)
TWISTED ROMANCE   (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 6.30 S
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MEETMEONLINE by LINE OF DAVID)
TROUBLED LUCK   (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 83.25  
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of BEGINNER'S LUCK by AWESOME AGAIN)
SALE LEASEBACK (IRE)   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 19% 4.30 3.10  
  (by UNKNOWN out of DREAMING TIME by GREEN DANCER)
10  SAVE US MELANIA   (gargan danny)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 11.70  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of WELLINGTON BEAUTY by FORESTRY)
ECHO LAKE   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of ON GOLDEN PAWN by TIZNOW)
CLASSIC CARA   (friedm)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00 53.50  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GEOGRAPHIC by EMPIRE MAKER)
DOROTHY'S DREAMS   (terranova j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 14% 6.40 27.75  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DYNAZAPER by GHOSTZAPPER)
JENAS MERCY   (brown bruc)RIVERA R 114 20.00 52.75  
  (by VIOLENCE out of STORMY ANTICS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
11  MADAM LEOTA   (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 114 15.00 76.00  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of LITTLE SWOON by YOU AND I)
12  LOVE RESTRAINED   (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 22.00  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of JOINT RETURN by INCLUDE)
SCR  GOLDEN GHOST (GB)   (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  MARCO T.   (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of YOU GO TO MY HEAD by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  WILDCAT FIRE   (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 112 10.00    
  (by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR out of DA WILDCAT GIRL by DA STOOPS)
SCR  Z TRAIN (IRE)   (dutrow anthony )CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50    
  (by CHURCHILL out of MNEMONIC ALEXANDER by KODIAC (GB))
 
BAQ-3   10/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLABORATION   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 14% 6.40 4.10 W
GOLDEN ROCKET   (farro pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 10.00  
MASTEROF THE TUNES   (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 3.90  
WATERVILLE   (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 7% 12.80 1.85  
STELLA MARS   (chatterpaul n)SILVERA RUBEN 122 5.00 6.40  
SWEETEST PRINCESS   (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 115 12.00 20.10  
ORANGE FREEZE   (morey william)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 53% 0.90 4.70  
 
BAQ-4   10/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOKING WAY   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 32% 2.10 1.15 W
TOMMY GUN   (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 2.30  
BIG SAVE   (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 15.60  
AMANI'S EAGLE   (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00 8.00  
ON THE COME UP   (farro )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00 17.80  
MOVING PICTURES   (rodriguez )RIVERA R 118 4.00 37% 1.70 4.60  
TRUEBELIEVE   (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 114 10.00 6% 14.60 34.25  
SCR  CHARGER   (rodriguez rudy )RUIZ ELISEO 116 4.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/13/2023 5940ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  HARRY HOOD   (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 7% 13.40 9.00 W
LORD FLINTSHIRE   (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 8% 10.80 3.75 P
FRONT MAN   (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00 31.00  
SONIC SPEED   (morley thoma)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00 13.20  
MIRACLE MIKE   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 40% 1.50 1.95  
THETHRILLOFVICTORY   (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 14.40  
JARREAU   (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 7% 13.70 7.30  
10  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB)   (hennig mark)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 16% 5.20 7.90  
BLAME D RULE MAKER   (duarte jorge )SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00 9.10  
12  ZAPRUDER   (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 20.00 29.00  
BLU GROTTO   (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00 70.75  
SCR  ACHILLES HEEL   (rodriguez )RIVERA R 119 30.00    
SCR  KING TSUNAMI   (wyatt j)LEZCANO JOSE 124 20.00    
SCR  KINGFISH STEVENS   (kantarmaci mert)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:16
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  WALLEY WORLD   (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 9.40  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of FORCED FAMILY FUN by UNCLE MO)
TOM COLLINS   (mcgaughey claud)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 30% 2.30 1.50 P
  (by FROSTED out of PARTY NOW by TIZNOW)
MIDNIGHT COUNCIL   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 4.60  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SMOOTH PERFORMER by BENCHMARK)
PRARIEDALE   (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 6.00 17% 5.00 8.90  
  (by UNCLE MO out of REMARKABLE MOON by LEMON DROP KID)
INHERENT PROMISE   (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 8.20  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of YEAR OF PROMISE by GIO PONTI)
11  FRED GEORGE (IRE)   (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 5% 18.90 25.50  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MESSAGE OF HOPE (IRE)   (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 16.90  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of REVERED by IN REALITY (GB))
DON VINO VICI   (schettino )RIVERA R 114 30.00 77.00  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of R NAJA by EXCHANGE RATE)
GOLDEN PLATE   (mcpeek kenne)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00 10% 9.40 24.50  
  (by TAPIT out of SHE'S DELIGHTFUL by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
GAME MISCONDUCT   (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 ######  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DANALAKE by FRIENDS LAKE)
ANCHISES   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 10.20  
  (by BLAME out of SNOOKI by EMPIRE MAKER)
12  ADMIRAL NIMITZ (GB)   (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 5% 18.90 13.70  
  (by UNKNOWN out of WAKE ISLAND by WAR FRONT)
SCR  BRITISH SEA   (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of PRINCESS ERINDELLE by DIVINE PARK)
SCR  DOWNING STREET   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of HIGH SO CI by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  OTELLO   (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 119 4.50    
  (by CURLIN out of ISABELLA SINGS by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  THE HERO CODE   (mcgaughey claude )RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
  (by TAPIT out of PHOTOGRAPH by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
BAQ-7   10/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VODKA MARDINI   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.50 53% 0.90 0.80 W
SCREAMING UNCLE   (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 16% 5.20 3.25 P
AULA   (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00 9.50  
GROWTH MINDSET   (bernardini)RIVERA R 119 20.00 38.00  
WHENLOVETAKESOVER   (lakeman and)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 6.00 10% 8.80 3.45  
NO SURRENDER   (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00 14.60  
SCR  LUCENCY   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 121 2.00    
SCR  REBEL RED (GB)   (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 121 10.00    
SCR  REFUAH   (walder r)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/13/2023 6600ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONSTITUTIONLAWYER   (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00 8.80  
GOOD SKATE   (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00 4.40  
COSTA TERRA   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.80 19% 4.20 0.95 S
IRON WORKS   (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.50 6.80  
MYSTIC NIGHT   (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
TONAL IMPACT   (reynolds pa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 3.00 50% 1.00 4.20  
 
BAQ-9   10/13/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CIGARETTE BOAT   (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 25% 2.90 4.30 W
  (by KANTHAROS out of DOUBLE CAST by BROKEN VOW)
FOREIGN INFLUENCE   (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 15.00 37.75  
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of GADGET QUEEN by FLYING WITH EAGLES)
ALEXIS ZORBA (GB)   (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 1.20 29% 2.50 0.65 S
  (by ZOUSTAR out of RUE CAMBON by BLAME)
HIGHLAND LORD   (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
  (by LORD NELSON out of KRISTI WITH A K by PETIONVILLE)
RINGSIDE   (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00 25% 3.00 19.20  
  (by CURLIN out of DASHING DEBBY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
VENGE   (ribaudo rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 116 20.00 59.25  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CLASSIC POINT by FLATTER)
10  IRON MAN JIMMY   (summer)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00 8.50  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of WITH INTENTION by REGAL INTENTION)
BORLETTI (IRE)   (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00 13.10  
  (by KODIAC out of PLANCHART by GIO PONTI)
TAP YOUR HEART   (chapman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00 57.25  
  (by TAPIT out of STEIDLE by PETIONVILLE)
SCR  LIGHT THE WAY   (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 3.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BY THE LIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  LOGIN REQUIRED   (nevin michelle)RIDER TBA 121 10.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of MISS FONTANA by CLASSIC ACCOUNT)
SCR  PARTY WITH SMARTY   (gutie)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 30.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of GHOST MAGI by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  WAR STRIDE   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.60    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of MUDREQAH by SEEKING THE GOLD)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.