Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.10 $1.10 18%
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-1 $17.10 $11.10 185%
BAQ-3   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $10.20 $4.20 70%
BAQ-5   WIN (2/10/8/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  11 $20.00 $10.00 100%
    EXA (2/10/8/11/7)-(2/10/8/11/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  11-8 $46.75 $26.75 134%
    DD (1/2/6)-(2/10/8/11/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00  2-11 $25.75 $10.75 72%
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(1/2/6)-(2/10/8/11/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00  6-2-11 $68.75 $23.75 53%
BAQ-9   WIN (8/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $10.60 $2.60 33%
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:124 1:253   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PANDAGATE 6 7 74 33½ 31½ 12 19 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 22% 3.60 2.55 W
  (by ARROGATE out of KITTY PANDA by SKY MESA)
1  MAMA'S MIDDIE 1 3 63½ 64¾ 48 49½ 29 (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50 32% 2.10 3.55 P
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MAMA KNOWS BEST by SKY MESA)
4  IN A MINUTE 4 4 21 22 2nk 22 311½ (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 20.60  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of TIME WARP by CAIRO PRINCE)
2  INONIT 2 2 53 54½ 59 514 417½ (lugovich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50 8.00  
  (by INCLUDE out of GREGORIAN JEST by PHONE TRICK)
7  KHADULLAH 7 1 11 12 1nk 35 517¾ (rodriguez )RIVERA R 114 8.00 8.00  
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of MIDWAY MUSIC by BLUEGRASS CAT)
3  WISECRACKER 3 6 43 43½ 69¼ 618 629¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 21% 3.70 1.75  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of G NOTE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  ARCO AUGUSTA 5 5 32½ 78¾ 717¼ 726 749¼ (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 5.00 14.10  
  (by ENTICED out of ARCHITECT by ARCH)
 
BAQ-2   10/13/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:08
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  REAGAN'S FLAME 9 7 2nk 1nk   11½ 1nk (devaux cherie)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 10.30  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MIZZEN DONALD by MIZZEN MAST)
1  LAMORNA 1 11 1212¼ 1110   56½ 2nk (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 46% 1.20 1.30 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of FREUDIE ANNE by FREUD)
2  TWISTED ROMANCE 2 8 64¾ 65¼   43 3½ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 ★ 6.30 S
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of MEETMEONLINE by LINE OF DAVID)
4  TROUBLED LUCK 4 1 32 33   32½ 42¾ (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 83.25  
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of BEGINNER'S LUCK by AWESOME AGAIN)
3  SALE LEASEBACK (IRE) 3 9 108¾ 88¼   77 55¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 19% 4.30 3.10  
  (by UNKNOWN out of DREAMING TIME by GREEN DANCER)
10  SAVE US MELANIA 10 4 1nk 2nk   21½ 65¾ (gargan danny)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 11.70  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of WELLINGTON BEAUTY by FORESTRY)
5  ECHO LAKE 5 2 86¼ 98¼   108¾ 76 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of ON GOLDEN PAWN by TIZNOW)
7  CLASSIC CARA 7 10 1110¾ 109¾   88½ 86¼ (friedm)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00 53.50  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GEOGRAPHIC by EMPIRE MAKER)
8  DOROTHY'S DREAMS 8 3 43 44   67 97½ (terranova j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 14% 6.40 27.75  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of DYNAZAPER by GHOSTZAPPER)
6  JENAS MERCY 6 6 74¾ 77¾   98¾ 1011 (brown bruc)RIVERA R 114 20.00 52.75  
  (by VIOLENCE out of STORMY ANTICS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
11  MADAM LEOTA 11 12 98¼ 1211   1210 1112¾ (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 114 15.00 76.00  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of LITTLE SWOON by YOU AND I)
12  LOVE RESTRAINED 12 5 53¼ 54¼   119 1219 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 22.00  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of JOINT RETURN by INCLUDE)
SCR  GOLDEN GHOST (GB)               (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  MARCO T.               (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of YOU GO TO MY HEAD by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  WILDCAT FIRE               (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 112 10.00    
  (by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR out of DA WILDCAT GIRL by DA STOOPS)
SCR  Z TRAIN (IRE)               (dutrow anthony )CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50    
  (by CHURCHILL out of MNEMONIC ALEXANDER by KODIAC (GB))
 
BAQ-3   10/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:122 1:241   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  COLLABORATION 6 1 22½ 23½ 21 1nk 1¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 14% 6.40 4.10 W
4  GOLDEN ROCKET 4 3 46 58 44 3½ 2¾ (farro pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 10.00  
2  MASTEROF THE TUNES 2 5 12½ 13½ 11 2nk 31½ (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 3.90  
7  WATERVILLE 7 2 68 79 76¾ 43 42½ (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 7% 12.80 1.85  
1  STELLA MARS 1 4 34 36 34 53¼ 52¾ (chatterpaul n)SILVERA RUBEN 122 5.00 6.40  
3  SWEETEST PRINCESS 3 7 56½ 47 56 65¼ 67½ (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 115 12.00 20.10  
5  ORANGE FREEZE 5 6 78 69 66¼ 75¾ 78½ (morey william)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 53% 0.90 4.70  
 
BAQ-4   10/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JOKING WAY 1 4 44½ 44   21½ 1½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 32% 2.10 1.15 W
7  TOMMY GUN 7 1 2nk 2½   11½ 2½ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 2.30  
3  BIG SAVE 2 7 56 56   55½ 31¾ (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 15.60  
5  AMANI'S EAGLE 5 3 32 33   31½ 41¾ (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00 8.00  
4  ON THE COME UP 3 2 1nk 1½   42 55 (farro )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00 17.80  
1  MOVING PICTURES 4 5 66½ 69½   610 65½ (rodriguez )RIVERA R 118 4.00 37% 1.70 4.60  
6  TRUEBELIEVE 6 6 77 711   715 715¼ (barrera oscar)CASTILLO AMIN 114 10.00 6% 14.60 34.25  
SCR  CHARGER               (rodriguez rudy )RUIZ ELISEO 116 4.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/13/2023 5940ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:233 :484 1:134 1:373   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  HARRY HOOD 9 5 43½ 43 32 1nk 1¾ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 7% 13.40 9.00 W
8  LORD FLINTSHIRE 6 3 32½ 32½ 42 41½ 2¾ (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 8% 10.80 3.75 P
9  FRONT MAN 7 2 21½ 21½ 21 2nk 31½ (kantarmaci mer)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00 31.00  
5  SONIC SPEED 3 4 55 54 63½ 83¾ 41½ (morley thoma)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00 13.20  
2  MIRACLE MIKE 1 7 77 86½ 84¾ 63 52¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 40% 1.50 1.95  
6  THETHRILLOFVICTORY 4 10 87 75½ 73¾ 52½ 62¾ (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 14.40  
7  JARREAU 5 6 65½ 64½ 53 73½ 72¾ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 7% 13.70 7.30  
10  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB) 8 1 11½ 11½ 11 31 83¼ (hennig mark)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 16% 5.20 7.90  
4  BLAME D RULE MAKER 2 11 98 97 96¼ 95¾ 93¾ (duarte jorge )SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00 9.10  
12  ZAPRUDER 10 9 1013 1010 108¼ 109¼ 1010½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 20.00 29.00  
1  BLU GROTTO 11 8 1118½ 1123 1133¼ 1149¼ 1166¾ (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00 70.75  
SCR  ACHILLES HEEL               (rodriguez )RIVERA R 119 30.00    
SCR  KING TSUNAMI               (wyatt j)LEZCANO JOSE 124 20.00    
SCR  KINGFISH STEVENS               (kantarmaci mert)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:234 :501 1:151 1:39   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  WALLEY WORLD 10 2 32½ 21½ 2½ 11 13 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 9.40  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of FORCED FAMILY FUN by UNCLE MO)
1  TOM COLLINS 1 3 43½ 54 53½ 43 23 (mcgaughey claud)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 30% 2.30 1.50 P
  (by FROSTED out of PARTY NOW by TIZNOW)
9  MIDNIGHT COUNCIL 9 6 53½ 43 32 21 33 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 4.60  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SMOOTH PERFORMER by BENCHMARK)
8  PRARIEDALE 8 12 1211½ 1116 1114½ 1110¼ 44½ (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 6.00 17% 5.00 8.90  
  (by UNCLE MO out of REMARKABLE MOON by LEMON DROP KID)
3  INHERENT PROMISE 3 9 98 98½ 87½ 76 55½ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 8.20  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of YEAR OF PROMISE by GIO PONTI)
11  FRED GEORGE (IRE) 11 1 12 11½ 1½ 32½ 66¾ (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 5% 18.90 25.50  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  MESSAGE OF HOPE (IRE) 5 11 108½ 1010 1011 98¼ 77 (dutrow richard )DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 16.90  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of REVERED by IN REALITY (GB))
6  DON VINO VICI 6 7 86½ 88 98½ 108¼ 87¾ (schettino )RIVERA R 114 30.00 77.00  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of R NAJA by EXCHANGE RATE)
2  GOLDEN PLATE 2 8 64½ 64½ 64 55 98¾ (mcpeek kenne)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00 10% 9.40 24.50  
  (by TAPIT out of SHE'S DELIGHTFUL by MISSION IMPAZIBLE)
7  GAME MISCONDUCT 7 4 22 32½ 42½ 65 109 (delauro )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 ######  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DANALAKE by FRIENDS LAKE)
4  ANCHISES 4 5 75 76 76½ 86¼ 1110½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 10.20  
  (by BLAME out of SNOOKI by EMPIRE MAKER)
12  ADMIRAL NIMITZ (GB) 12 10 119½ 1216½ 1226½ 1235¼ 1244 (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 5% 18.90 13.70  
  (by UNKNOWN out of WAKE ISLAND by WAR FRONT)
SCR  BRITISH SEA               (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of PRINCESS ERINDELLE by DIVINE PARK)
SCR  DOWNING STREET               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of HIGH SO CI by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  OTELLO               (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 119 4.50    
  (by CURLIN out of ISABELLA SINGS by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  THE HERO CODE               (mcgaughey claude )RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
  (by TAPIT out of PHOTOGRAPH by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
BAQ-7   10/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:104     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VODKA MARDINI 2 1 1½ 11½   16½ 12½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.50 53% 0.90 0.80 W
8  SCREAMING UNCLE 6 4 33 33½   26½ 22½ (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 16% 5.20 3.25 P
5  AULA 4 2 64½ 57½   38½ 36¼ (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00 9.50  
4  GROWTH MINDSET 3 5 43½ 44½   512 414¼ (bernardini)RIVERA R 119 20.00 38.00  
7  WHENLOVETAKESOVER 5 3 2½ 21½   411½ 516½ (lakeman and)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 6.00 10% 8.80 3.45  
1  NO SURRENDER 1 6 54 614½   626 633¾ (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00 14.60  
SCR  LUCENCY               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 121 2.00    
SCR  REBEL RED (GB)               (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 121 10.00    
SCR  REFUAH               (walder r)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/13/2023 6600ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:241 :494 1:141 1:382   2:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CONSTITUTIONLAWYER 5 31½ 32 42½ 1½ 11½ 11 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00 8.80  
2  GOOD SKATE 2 11 11 12 2½ 21½ 21 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00 4.40  
6  COSTA TERRA 6 42½ 43 32 32½ 34½ 34 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.80 19% 4.20 0.95 S
4  IRON WORKS 4 21 21 22 43 45 46¼ (pletcher)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.50 6.80  
3  MYSTIC NIGHT 3 64½ 55½ 56 59 512 516¼ (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
1  TONAL IMPACT 1 54 66 67 615 622 637¾ (reynolds pa)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 3.00 50% 1.00 4.20  
 
BAQ-9   10/13/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:22 :453 :571     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CIGARETTE BOAT 4 2 21½ 31½   21 11½ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 25% 2.90 4.30 W
  (by KANTHAROS out of DOUBLE CAST by BROKEN VOW)
4  FOREIGN INFLUENCE 3 7 63¾ 73   32 21½ (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 15.00 37.75  
  (by DECLARATION OF WAR out of GADGET QUEEN by FLYING WITH EAGLES)
8  ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) 7 1 11½ 1½   11 32 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 1.20 29% 2.50 0.65 S
  (by ZOUSTAR out of RUE CAMBON by BLAME)
2  HIGHLAND LORD 1 5 42½ 52½   53 45¼ (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
  (by LORD NELSON out of KRISTI WITH A K by PETIONVILLE)
1  RINGSIDE 8 3 52¾ 42   64 56 (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00 25% 3.00 19.20  
  (by CURLIN out of DASHING DEBBY by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  VENGE 5 9 85¾ 84   86 67¼ (ribaudo rob)MCCARTHY TREVOR 116 20.00 59.25  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of CLASSIC POINT by FLATTER)
10  IRON MAN JIMMY 9 6 73¾ 63   76 77¾ (summer)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00 8.50  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of WITH INTENTION by REGAL INTENTION)
3  BORLETTI (IRE) 2 4 31½ 2½   42½ 89 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00 13.10  
  (by KODIAC out of PLANCHART by GIO PONTI)
7  TAP YOUR HEART 6 8 96 96½   913 918¾ (chapman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00 57.25  
  (by TAPIT out of STEIDLE by PETIONVILLE)
SCR  LIGHT THE WAY               (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 3.50    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BY THE LIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  LOGIN REQUIRED               (nevin michelle)RIDER TBA 121 10.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of MISS FONTANA by CLASSIC ACCOUNT)
SCR  PARTY WITH SMARTY               (gutie)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 30.00    
  (by SMARTY JONES out of GHOST MAGI by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  WAR STRIDE               (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.60    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of MUDREQAH by SEEKING THE GOLD)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.