Handicappers' Race Results
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Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
BAQ-1   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $7.10 $7.10 1.10
BAQ-2   Win (1/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 0 $22.60  
BAQ-3   Win (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $10.20 $10.20 4.20
BAQ-4   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.30 $4.30  
BAQ-5   Win (2/10/8/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $20.00 $20.00 10.00
BAQ-6   Win (1/8/2/11/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 0 $20.80  
BAQ-7   Win (3/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
BAQ-8   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $19.60  
BAQ-9   Win (8/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $10.60 $10.60 2.60
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:124 1:253   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PANDAGATE 6 7 74 33½ 31½ 12 19 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 22% 3.60 2.55 W
1  MAMA'S MIDDIE 1 3 63½ 64¾ 48 49½ 29 (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50 32% 2.10 3.55 P
4  IN A MINUTE 4 4 21 22 2nk 22 311½ (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 20.60  
2  INONIT 2 2 53 54½ 59 514 417½ (lugovich l)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50 8.00  
7  KHADULLAH 7 1 11 12 1nk 35 517¾ (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 114 8.00 8.00  
3  WISECRACKER 3 6 43 43½ 69¼ 618 629¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 21% 3.70 1.75  
5  ARCO AUGUSTA 5 5 32½ 78¾ 717¼ 726 749¼ (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 5.00 14.10  
 
BAQ-2   10/13/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:08
See original race card.
:224 :461 :582     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  REAGAN'S FLAME 9 7 2nk 1nk   11½ 1nk (devaux cherie)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 10.30  
1  LAMORNA 1 11 1212¼ 1110   56½ 2nk (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 46% 1.20 1.30 P
2  TWISTED ROMANCE 2 8 64¾ 65¼   43 3½ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 ★ 6.30 S
4  TROUBLED LUCK 4 1 32 33   32½ 42¾ (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 83.25  
3  SALE LEASEBACK (IRE) 3 9 108¾ 88¼   77 55¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 19% 4.30 3.10  
10  SAVE US MELANIA 10 4 1nk 2nk   21½ 65¾ (gargan danny)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 11.70  
5  ECHO LAKE 5 2 86¼ 98¼   108¾ 76 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
7  CLASSIC CARA 7 10 1110¾ 109¾   88½ 86¼ (friedman)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00 53.50  
8  DOROTHY'S DREAMS 8 3 43 44   67 97½ (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 14% 6.40 27.75  
6  JENAS MERCY 6 6 74¾ 77¾   98¾ 1011 (brown bruce )RIVERA R 114 20.00 52.75  
11  MADAM LEOTA 11 12 98¼ 1211   1210 1112¾ (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 114 15.00 76.00  
12  LOVE RESTRAINED 12 5 53¼ 54¼   119 1219 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 22.00  
SCR  GOLDEN GHOST (GB)               (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
SCR  MARCO T.               (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50    
SCR  WILDCAT FIRE               (david a)OLVER MADISON 112 10.00    
SCR  Z TRAIN (IRE)               (dutrow w)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50    
 
BAQ-3   10/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:122 1:241   1:36   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  COLLABORATION 6 1 22½ 23½ 21 1nk 1¾ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 14% 6.40 4.10 W
4  GOLDEN ROCKET 4 3 46 58 44 3½ 2¾ (farro patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00 10.00  
2  MASTEROF THE TUNES 2 5 12½ 13½ 11 2nk 31½ (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50 3.90  
7  WATERVILLE 7 2 68 79 76¾ 43 42½ (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 7% 12.80 1.85  
1  STELLA MARS 1 4 34 36 34 53¼ 52¾ (chatterpaul nai)SILVERA RUBEN 122 5.00 6.40  
3  SWEETEST PRINCESS 3 7 56½ 47 56 65¼ 67½ (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 115 12.00 20.10  
5  ORANGE FREEZE 5 6 78 69 66¼ 75¾ 78½ (morey e)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 53% 0.90 4.70  
 
BAQ-4   10/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:223 :454 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JOKING WAY 1 4 44½ 44   21½ 1½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 32% 2.10 1.15 W
7  TOMMY GUN 7 1 2nk 2½   11½ 2½ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 2.30  
3  BIG SAVE 2 7 56 56   55½ 31¾ (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00 15.60  
5  AMANI'S EAGLE 5 3 32 33   31½ 41¾ (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00 8.00  
4  ON THE COME UP 3 2 1nk 1½   42 55 (farro pa)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00 17.80  
1  MOVING PICTURES 4 5 66½ 69½   610 65½ (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 118 4.00 37% 1.70 4.60  
6  TRUEBELIEVE 6 6 77 711   715 715¼ (barrera s)CASTILLO AMIN 114 10.00 6% 14.60 34.25  
SCR  CHARGER               (rodriguez r)RUIZ ELISEO 116 4.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/13/2023 5940ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:233 :484 1:134 1:373   1:492   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  HARRY HOOD 9 5 43½ 43 32 1nk 1¾ (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 7% 13.40 9.00 W
8  LORD FLINTSHIRE 6 3 32½ 32½ 42 41½ 2¾ (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 8% 10.80 3.75 P
9  FRONT MAN 7 2 21½ 21½ 21 2nk 31½ (kantarmaci mertk)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00 31.00  
5  SONIC SPEED 3 4 55 54 63½ 83¾ 41½ (morley thomas)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00 13.20  
2  MIRACLE MIKE 1 7 77 86½ 84¾ 63 52¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 40% 1.50 1.95  
6  THETHRILLOFVICTORY 4 10 87 75½ 73¾ 52½ 62¾ (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00 14.40  
7  JARREAU 5 6 65½ 64½ 53 73½ 72¾ (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 7% 13.70 7.30  
10  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB) 8 1 11½ 11½ 11 31 83¼ (hennig mark)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 16% 5.20 7.90  
4  BLAME D RULE MAKER 2 11 98 97 96¼ 95¾ 93¾ (duarte jr)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00 9.10  
12  ZAPRUDER 10 9 1013 1010 108¼ 109¼ 1010½ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 20.00 29.00  
1  BLU GROTTO 11 8 1118½ 1123 1133¼ 1149¼ 1166¾ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00 70.75  
SCR  ACHILLES HEEL               (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 119 30.00    
SCR  KING TSUNAMI               (wyatt j)LEZCANO JOSE 124 20.00    
SCR  KINGFISH STEVENS               (kantarmaci mertka)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:234 :501 1:151 1:39   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  WALLEY WORLD 10 2 32½ 21½ 2½ 11 13 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 9.40  
1  TOM COLLINS 1 3 43½ 54 53½ 43 23 (mcgaughey claude )CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 30% 2.30 1.50 P
9  MIDNIGHT COUNCIL 9 6 53½ 43 32 21 33 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 4.60  
8  PRARIEDALE 8 12 1211½ 1116 1114½ 1110¼ 44½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 17% 5.00 8.90  
3  INHERENT PROMISE 3 9 98 98½ 87½ 76 55½ (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 8.20  
11  FRED GEORGE (IRE) 11 1 12 11½ 1½ 32½ 66¾ (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 5% 18.90 25.50  
5  MESSAGE OF HOPE (IRE) 5 11 108½ 1010 1011 98¼ 77 (dutrow e)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 16.90  
6  DON VINO VICI 6 7 86½ 88 98½ 108¼ 87¾ (schettino do)RIVERA R 114 30.00 77.00  
2  GOLDEN PLATE 2 8 64½ 64½ 64 55 98¾ (mcpeek kenneth)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00 10% 9.40 24.50  
7  GAME MISCONDUCT 7 4 22 32½ 42½ 65 109 (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00 ######  
4  ANCHISES 4 5 75 76 76½ 86¼ 1110½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 10.20  
12  ADMIRAL NIMITZ (GB) 12 10 119½ 1216½ 1226½ 1235¼ 1244 (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 5% 18.90 13.70  
SCR  BRITISH SEA               (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00    
SCR  DOWNING STREET               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00    
SCR  OTELLO               (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 119 4.50    
SCR  THE HERO CODE               (mcgaughey ii)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:104     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  VODKA MARDINI 2 1 1½ 11½   16½ 12½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.50 53% 0.90 0.80 W
8  SCREAMING UNCLE 6 4 33 33½   26½ 22½ (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 16% 5.20 3.25 P
5  AULA 4 2 64½ 57½   38½ 36¼ (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00 9.50  
4  GROWTH MINDSET 3 5 43½ 44½   512 414¼ (bernardini j)RIVERA R 119 20.00 38.00  
7  WHENLOVETAKESOVER 5 3 2½ 21½   411½ 516½ (lakeman andre)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 6.00 10% 8.80 3.45  
1  NO SURRENDER 1 6 54 614½   626 633¾ (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00 14.60  
SCR  LUCENCY               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 2.00    
SCR  REBEL RED (GB)               (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00    
SCR  REFUAH               (walder r)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/13/2023 6600ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:241 :494 1:141 1:382   2:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CONSTITUTIONLAWYER 5 31½ 32 42½ 1½ 11½ 11 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00 8.80  
2  GOOD SKATE 2 11 11 12 2½ 21½ 21 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00 4.40  
6  COSTA TERRA 6 42½ 43 32 32½ 34½ 34 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.80 19% 4.20 0.95 S
4  IRON WORKS 4 21 21 22 43 45 46¼ (pletcher t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.50 6.80  
3  MYSTIC NIGHT 3 64½ 55½ 56 59 512 516¼ (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00 11.50  
1  TONAL IMPACT 1 54 66 67 615 622 637¾ (reynolds patr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 3.00 50% 1.00 4.20  
 
BAQ-9   10/13/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:22 :453 :571     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CIGARETTE BOAT 4 2 21½ 31½   21 11½ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 25% 2.90 4.30 W
4  FOREIGN INFLUENCE 3 7 63¾ 73   32 21½ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 15.00 37.75  
8  ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) 7 1 11½ 1½   11 32 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 1.20 29% 2.50 0.65 S
2  HIGHLAND LORD 1 5 42½ 52½   53 45¼ (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
1  RINGSIDE 8 3 52¾ 42   64 56 (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00 25% 3.00 19.20  
6  VENGE 5 9 85¾ 84   86 67¼ (ribaudo rober)MCCARTHY TREVOR 116 20.00 59.25  
10  IRON MAN JIMMY 9 6 73¾ 63   76 77¾ (summers )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00 8.50  
3  BORLETTI (IRE) 2 4 31½ 2½   42½ 89 (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00 13.10  
7  TAP YOUR HEART 6 8 96 96½   913 918¾ (chapman ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00 57.25  
SCR  LIGHT THE WAY               (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 3.50    
SCR  LOGIN REQUIRED               (nevin michelle)RIDER TBA 121 10.00    
SCR  PARTY WITH SMARTY               (gutierr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 30.00    
SCR  WAR STRIDE               (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.