Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Friday - October 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-2   Win (1/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-3   Win (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-4   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-5   Win (2/10/8/11/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-6   Win (1/8/2/11/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-7   Win (3/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-8   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-9   Win (8/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   10/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAMA'S MIDDIE Aug12 Jul16       (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
INONIT Aug11         (lugovich l)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 4.50    
WISECRACKER Sep04         (rice linda)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 21% 3.70    
IN A MINUTE Sep14         (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
ARCO AUGUSTA Sep04         (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 5.00    
PANDAGATE         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
KHADULLAH Sep04 Aug18 Jul16 Jun23 May28 (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 114 8.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/13/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAMORNA Aug20 Jul20       (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
TWISTED ROMANCE         (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
SALE LEASEBACK (IRE)         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 19% 4.30    
TROUBLED LUCK         (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
ECHO LAKE Aug13         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
JENAS MERCY         (brown bruce )RIVERA R 114 20.00    
CLASSIC CARA Oct01         (friedman)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 30.00    
DOROTHY'S DREAMS Aug31 Jul08       (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 14% 6.40    
REAGAN'S FLAME         (devaux cherie)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00    
10  SAVE US MELANIA         (gargan danny)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00    
11  MADAM LEOTA         (jimenez l)RUIZ ELISEO 114 15.00    
12  LOVE RESTRAINED         (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
SCR  GOLDEN GHOST (GB) Aug31 Aug06 Jun11     (casse mark)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
SCR  Z TRAIN (IRE) Sep02         (dutrow w)CARMOUCHE K 119 4.50    
SCR  MARCO T. Sep04 May11       (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50    
SCR  WILDCAT FIRE         (david a)OLVER MADISON 112 10.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STELLA MARS Sep14 Aug12 Jul09 Jun18 Apr28 (chatterpaul nai)SILVERA RUBEN 122 5.00    
MASTEROF THE TUNES Sep17 Aug31 Jul19 Jun25 May14 (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.50    
SWEETEST PRINCESS Oct01 Sep04 Aug11 Jul15 May29 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 115 12.00    
GOLDEN ROCKET Sep14 Aug27 Jul19 Jul04 Dec29 (farro patr)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 6.00    
ORANGE FREEZE Sep14 Aug16 Jul19 Jun23 May28 (morey e)FRANCO MANUEL 120 4.00 53% 0.90    
COLLABORATION Sep14 Aug16 Jul19 Jun25 May29 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 14% 6.40    
WATERVILLE Sep04 Aug12 Jul15 May29 Apr08 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 7% 12.80    
 
BAQ-4   10/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($14K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOVING PICTURES Sep17 Aug31 Aug10 Jul07 May26 (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 118 4.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  CHARGER Sep22 Jul16 Jun24 Jun11 Apr14 (rodriguez r)RUIZ ELISEO 116 4.00    
JOKING WAY Aug25 Jun15 Apr29 Mar05 Jan20 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
BIG SAVE Sep15 Apr16 Mar24 Feb23 Jan06 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 120 8.00    
ON THE COME UP Sep22 Aug27 Aug13 Jul08 Jun16 (farro pa)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00    
AMANI'S EAGLE Aug31 Aug10 Jun29 May26 May12 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00    
TRUEBELIEVE Sep16 Sep10 Jun02 Oct13 Aug18 (barrera s)OLVER MADISON 114 10.00 6% 14.60    
TOMMY GUN Oct02 Aug09 Jul15 Jun17 May14 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/13/2023 5940ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLU GROTTO Sep22 Jul03 May13 Feb17 Jan07 (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 30.00    
SCR  ACHILLES HEEL Oct07 Aug16 Jul22 Jul03 May11 (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 119 30.00    
MIRACLE MIKE Sep17 Aug27 Aug10 Jul01 May13 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  KINGFISH STEVENS Sep17 Aug10 Jul13 Jul01 May20 (kantarmaci mertka)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
BLAME D RULE MAKER Aug19 Jun04 Apr15 Feb25 Jan07 (duarte jr)SILVERA RUBEN 120 10.00    
SONIC SPEED Sep22 Sep17 Aug27 Jul14 Jun22 (morley thomas)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 8.00    
THETHRILLOFVICTORY Sep07 Aug03 Jun18 Jun03 May06 (maker michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 12.00    
JARREAU Sep03 Aug16 Jul16 Jun29 May13 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 7% 13.70    
LORD FLINTSHIRE Sep03 Aug16 Jun10 May14 Sep04 (brion keri)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 8% 10.80    
FRONT MAN Sep17 Aug16 Jul13 Jun17 Oct23 (kantarmaci mertk)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00    
10  ST. JOE LOUIS (GB) Jul26 Oct29 Aug25 Jun25 Apr15 (hennig mark)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 16% 5.20    
11  HARRY HOOD Sep03 Jul28 Jun22 May21 Mar12 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 7% 13.40    
12  ZAPRUDER Sep21 Aug06 Jul03 Jun01 Dec17 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 20.00    
SCR  KING TSUNAMI Aug31 Jul19 Jun02 Oct13 Sep10 (wyatt j)LEZCANO JOSE 124 20.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/13/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 ALL PT- 3:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOM COLLINS Sep02 Aug19       (mcgaughey claude )CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
GOLDEN PLATE Sep01         (mcpeek kenneth)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00 10% 9.40    
INHERENT PROMISE Aug25         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00    
ANCHISES Aug25 Jul21       (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
MESSAGE OF HOPE (IRE)         (dutrow e)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
DON VINO VICI Sep14 Aug10       (schettino do)RIVERA R 114 30.00    
GAME MISCONDUCT Aug10 Jul09       (delauro ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 30.00    
PRARIEDALE         (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 17% 5.00    
MIDNIGHT COUNCIL Sep03         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00    
10  WALLEY WORLD Sep02         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00    
11  FRED GEORGE (IRE)         (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 10.00 5% 18.90    
12  ADMIRAL NIMITZ (GB)         (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 5% 18.90    
SCR  BRITISH SEA Sep09 Jul14       (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 119 12.00    
SCR  OTELLO         (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 119 4.50    
SCR  DOWNING STREET         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00    
SCR  THE HERO CODE         (mcgaughey ii)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO SURRENDER         (rodrigue)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 20.00    
SCR  LUCENCY Jul21         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 121 2.00    
VODKA MARDINI Feb02 Jan08 Dec15 Nov18   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
GROWTH MINDSET Jan29 Dec17 Sep17 Aug13   (bernardini j)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
AULA Sep25 Jul26 Jul01 May19 Apr22 (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 121 12.00    
SCR  REFUAH Aug27 Aug09 Jul04 Jun09 May20 (walder r)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00    
WHENLOVETAKESOVER Sep28 Jul07 Jun03 Apr13 Mar04 (lakeman andre)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 6.00 10% 8.80    
SCREAMING UNCLE Aug31 Aug11 Jul02 May21   (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  REBEL RED (GB)         (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/13/2023 6600ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TONAL IMPACT Sep02 Jul08 Jun15 May28 Apr29 (reynolds patr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 3.00 50% 1.00    
GOOD SKATE Sep21 Aug23 Jul27 Jul01 Apr29 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 124 5.00    
MYSTIC NIGHT Sep21 Sep02 Aug03 Jun02 May13 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
IRON WORKS Sep17 Jun09 Apr30 Mar12 Apr09 (pletcher t)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 4.50    
CONSTITUTIONLAWYER Sep17 Jul21 May21 Apr07 Nov19 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 124 4.00    
COSTA TERRA Oct01 Aug18 Aug09 Jul21 Jul01 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 1.80 19% 4.20    
 
BAQ-9   10/13/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RINGSIDE Jul16 Mar11 Jan21     (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 121 10.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  LOGIN REQUIRED Feb11 Dec16 Nov06 Aug22   (nevin michelle)RIDER TBA 121 10.00    
HIGHLAND LORD Jan07         (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
BORLETTI (IRE) Sep04         (duggan p)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00    
FOREIGN INFLUENCE Aug17 Jul30 May29 May06 Mar26 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 15.00    
CIGARETTE BOAT Sep14 Sep02 Aug13 Jul15 Apr22 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 121 3.00 25% 2.90    
VENGE Jul01 May21 Apr21 Jan14 Dec16 (ribaudo j)RUIZ ELISEO 116 20.00    
TAP YOUR HEART         (chapman ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 20.00    
ALEXIS ZORBA (GB) Sep04 Aug06 Jul22     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 1.20 29% 2.50    
SCR  PARTY WITH SMARTY Sep17 Aug26 Aug04 Jul15   (gutierr)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 30.00    
10  IRON MAN JIMMY Sep04 Oct13 Aug31     (summers )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 8.00    
SCR  LIGHT THE WAY Mar04 Jan21       (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 3.50    
SCR  WAR STRIDE Sep17 Aug11       (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.