Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BAQ-2   EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-3 $6.70 $0.70 12%
BAQ-4   TRI (2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4)-(2/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-6-2 $19.12 $7.12 59%
BAQ-9   EXA (8/3/6)-(8/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-8 $6.70 $0.70 12%
BAQ-10   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.20 $1.20 20%
    DD (8/3/6)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-2 $12.70 $3.70 41%
    PK3 (6/5/4)-(8/3/6)-(3/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00  6-3-2 $32.75 $5.75 21%
BAQ-11   WIN (4/8/5/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00  10 $28.40 $18.40 184%
    DD (3/2/4)-(4/8/5/9/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00  2-10 $50.00 $35.00 233%
    PK3 (8/3/6)-(3/2/4)-(4/8/5/9/10) 45 $1.00 $45.00  3-2-10 $130.00 $85.00 189%
    PK4 (6/5/4)-(8/3/6)-(3/2/4)-(4/8/5/9/10) 135 $0.50 $67.50  6-3-2-10 $164.75 $97.25 144%
    PK5 (5/3/9/2/6)-(6/5/4)-(8/3/6)-(3/2/4)-(4/8/5/9/10) 675 $0.50 $337  5-6-3-2-10 $380.00 $42.50 13%

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE OF TRUTH 5 1 42 31   11 1½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00 8.10  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LA VERDAD by YES IT'S TRUE)
REFUAH 3 4 5 5   4 2½ (walder pete)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 12% 7.30 5.20 P
  (by DAREDEVIL out of SMITTEN CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
BEARY FUNNY 1 5 3 4   31 32 (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.40 36% 1.80 1.10 S
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of BEARS MEASURE by TIZNOW)
FLYING IN STYLE 2 3 1½ 1nk   21 4 (baker char)RIVERA R 116 3.00 30% 2.30 4.20  
  (by BELLAMY ROAD out of LAUGHING FALCON by ALJABR)
VAUNTED 6 2 2½ 2nk   5 55 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.50 4.70  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DANCING FOR GLORY by EXCHANGE RATE)
ESCAPE KEY 4 6 66 68   6 612½ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 10.40  
  (by BAYERN out of U R KEY by ALBERT THE GREAT)
 
BAQ-2   10/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:12 1:241   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE REVENGER 5 1 11 11 11 12 1½ (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.00 19% 4.10 1.30 W
HAMMERIN AAMER 3 6 52 4 21 22 2½ (falcone robert)LUZZI J 124 1.80 34% 2.00 1.75 P
PIT BOSS 6 2 21 21 3 3 3 (bernardini )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.00 5.90  
MY FRIENDS BEER 4 4 3 52 4 47 4 (baker charlto)SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.50 16% 5.40 7.90  
JUMPSTER 1 5 610 612 610 610 57 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 20.00 25.25  
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE 2 3 4 3 54 5 6 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 6.00 8.30  
 
BAQ-3   10/28/2023 6270ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:123 1:371   1:552   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMESTOWN 1 1 5 4 3 21 1½ (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 9.00  
  (by LOPE DE VEGA out of OKEEHEELEE by DANSILI (GB))
SACRED RHYME 9 2 4 5 52 3 2½ (brown c)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 34% 2.00 4.30 P
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of FLIRT by HALOS AND HORNS)
WAR OFFICER 7 7 7 74 8 4 3 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 27% 2.70 1.10 S
  (by WAR FRONT out of CLAIRE DE LUNE by GALILEO)
TORIGO 5 4 1nk 2½ 2½ 11 4 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 6% 16.70 6.10  
  (by MUNNINGS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
THE JACKAL 3 6 9 85 7 5 5 (mcgaughey cla)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 13% 6.70 4.70  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SWEET ASSASSIN by TAPIT)
10  CASPIAN SEA (GB) 10 5 6 6 9 6 6 (joseph saffie )CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 42.00  
  (by UNKNOWN out of REGAL HEIRESS by REGAL RANSOM)
PUJOL 8 8 2nk 1½ 1½ 78 712¼ (henry nevi)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 50.00 95.75  
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of FANCY WORK by MIZZEN MAST)
ABSOLUTE CONTROL (FR) 2 3 3 3 4 89 814 (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 117 10.00 5% 19.00 17.60  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
ELEVATED CAUSEWAY 6 9 8 9 63 911 914¼ (noda orlando)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 69.50  
  (by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY out of POWDER N BLUSH by WAR CHANT)
COMANCHE PEAK (GB) 4 10 1016¾ 1025¼ 10100 10100 10100 (sciacc)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 54.00  
  (by FRANKEL out of WILD AT HEART by SLEW THE KNIGHT)
SCR  NOSTALGIC ONE               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MUTABAAHYIA by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
 
BAQ-4   10/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:10     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT 8 2 31 3½   3 1¾ (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 23% 3.40 1.85 W
SAGAMORE MISCHIEF 7 1 2nk 2nk   1½ 2¾ (chatterpaul n)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 13% 6.60 1.35 P
TETSU 5 4 65 5   53 3 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 1.00 32% 2.10 13.60 S
SCILLY CAY 4 3 42 42   42 4 (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 8.50  
1A  ROYAL TRYST 6 7 811 813¾   67 54 (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 118 8.00 5.60  
FLINT RIDGE 2 5 1nk 1nk   2½ 6 (rodriguez )RIVERA R 118 12.00 11% 8.30 10.50  
BIG BOBBY 3 8 7 7   7 7 (arenas marc)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 5.60  
LIFE AND LIGHT 1 6 53 6   8 8 (pringle edmun)OLVER MADISON 113 30.00 81.50  
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN               (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
See original race card.
:22 :45 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU LOOK COLD 5 5 6 69   45 1½ (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.50 2.35  
QUICK MUNNY 6 2 2½ 1½   14 2½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 5.00 23% 3.30 7.60 P
RACHEL'S ROCK 7 4 3 36   35 33 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 125 8.00 23% 3.40 3.80 S
LADY MILAGRO 4 1 1½ 2½   24 4 (martin car)RIVERA R 118 8.00 10.90  
TAMING THE TIGRESS 1 7 7 711½   6 5 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.00 5.50  
REMAIN ANONYMOUS 2 6 5 4   57 6 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00 13.60  
MORE THAN VOWS 3 3 44 5   7 714¼ (lynch a)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50 10% 8.90 2.75  
SCR  MALIBU MOONSHINE               (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:233 :484 1:133 1:252   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS SAN GABRIEL 3 3 11 1½ 1½ 11 1¼ (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 21% 3.80 2.30 W
ELLE EST FORTE 6 9 10 9 74 52 2¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50 9% 10.20 6.70 P
MISS KRISTY 8 10 97 7 85 6 3¼ (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 8.90  
10  TAP IT UP 10 7 4 42 31 21 4¾ (ryerson james)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 10.30  
DONTMESSWITHTESS 7 8 75 6 53 4 5 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 38% 1.60 2.65  
MISCREANT 1 2 86 10 9 8 63 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 124 10.00 12.20  
THUNDARA 4 5 5 52 6 7 7 (antonacci phili)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 9% 10.40 20.60  
DIAMOND STATUS 2 1 21 3 42 9 8 (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
NIGHTSABER (GB) 9 6 3 2½ 2½ 3 9 (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00 58.75  
MORE MANGO 5 4 63 8 10 10 1011½ (ferraro ja)RIVERA R 119 20.00 70.00  
SCR  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY               (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:122 1:353   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDISTRICTING (GB) 5 5 3 3 4 2nk 12 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.20 31% 2.20 0.45 W
QUALITY G 9 6 42 42 3½ 4¾ 22 (pletcher todd)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 13% 6.70 8.70 P
BE OF COURAGE 6 9 96 8 74 6 3 (pregman john )SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 26.25 S
10  CAPTURE THE FLAG 10 7 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 4 (mcgaughey c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 8.00  
SHADOWED (IRE) 4 4 64 6 52 5 5 (antonacci phili)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 25.00  
FIGHTER IN THE WIN 7 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 3.2 6 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00 47.00  
HEATHGUARD 1 1 5 53 63 7 7 (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 50.00 96.50  
RAMBLIN' WRECK 3 10 10 1010½ 9 8 86 (gargan danny)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 24% 3.10 5.90  
MY IMAGINATION 8 8 85 7 85 9 910¼ (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 15.00 44.00  
BRYCE CANYON 2 2 75 9 10 10 1010¾ (kelly blake)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00 9% 10.40 44.50  
SCR  BAD TO THE BONES               (mott i)RIDER TBA 124 6.00    
SCR  CAPONE               (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
SCR  DADDY KNOWS               (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 124 2.50    
SCR  FENWICK               (dutrow richard )CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00    
SCR  MISTICAL CURLIN               (rodriguez g)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 1.80    
 
BAQ-8   10/28/2023 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Mother Goose Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:13 1:364   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
XIGERA 6 2 21 21 21 1 1 (bauer phi)LEPAROUX R 122 1.20 31% 2.20 1.05 W
  (by NYQUIST out of ARGENT AFFAIR by BLACK TIE AFFAIR (IRE))
DEFINING PURPOSE 7 3 3 32 32 2 2 (mcpeek kenn)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 5.00 7.20  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DEFINING HOPE by STRONG HOPE)
OCCULT 5 6 57 55 5 3 3 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 24% 3.20 2.00 S
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MAGICAL FEELING by EMPIRE MAKER)
JULIA SHINING 3 5 7 79 67 4 47 (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 6.50  
  (by CURLIN out of DREAMING OF JULIA by A.P. INDY)
FOGGY NIGHT 1 4 4 4 43 613 516 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00 45.25  
  (by KHOZAN out of SETTLING SEAS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
UNDERVALUED ASSET 4 1 11 11 11 59 617 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 19% 4.30 14.10  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of HARD HEADED TEMPER by HARD SPUN)
PEAK POPULARITY 2 7 6 68 7 714 718¾ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00 33.25  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of PERAZZI by THORN DANCE)
 
BAQ-9   10/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Awad Purse ($135K) 2 ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:111 1:37   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOVE TO GOLD 3 5 5 516½ 514 2 1 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 16% 5.10 2.10 W
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BRANDY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SPIRIT PRINCE 6 4 24 28 27 1 2 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.60 48% 1.10 1.00 P
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of DOTTIE'S SPIRIT by CURLIN)
BLUE CREEK 4 6 613 620½ 617½ 5 3 (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 120 15.00 12.20  
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of GRANDMA FRAN by STREET BOSS)
INNATE (IRE) 1 3 37 315 312½ 4 4 (antonacci phili)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 5.80  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of LA NATUREL by SILVER FROST)
DANCING MISCHIEF 5 1 4 415½ 413 6 514½ (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00 8% 11.20 8.40  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SHOOP by UNCLE MO)
TROPANDHAGEN 2 2 14 18 17 3 615 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 17.20  
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of ALL DAY LAWN by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  BRITISH SEA               (maker michael)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of PRINCESS ERINDELLE by DIVINE PARK)
SCR  TWIRLING POINT               (thomas jonat)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of KITTEN'S POINT by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
BAQ-10   10/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC13 FAST Forty Niner Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
See original race card.
:231 :454 1:10 1:222   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERSO MISCHIEVOUS 2 5 21 2 2nk 1½ 1½ (cox brad )TORRES A 120 2.50 11% 7.90 2.60 W
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of EVER SO CLEVER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
DR ARDITO 5 4 66 611½ 6 54 2½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 6.00  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of DELIGHTFULLY SO by RARE BRICK)
ACCRETIVE 3 6 43 44 41 3½ 3½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 57% 0.80 1.60 S
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MALLORY STREET by STREET SENSE)
FILM STAR 4 3 3 3 3½ 41 4 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 10% 9.40 2.80  
  (by FLATTER out of REBELLE by HARD SPUN)
SWIFTSURE 6 1 11 1 1nk 2½ 5 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 14.10  
  (by UNCLE MO out of ISLAND SAINT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
BUSINESS MODEL 7 2 7 713 714½ 713 6 (jacobson david)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 26.25  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of INNOVATIVE IDEA by BERNARDINI)
DOUBLE CROWN 1 7 5 5 5 69 7 (ginter r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00 41.00  
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of TWO COLUMBUS by TWO PUNCH)
SCR  SYNTHESIS               (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 30.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of TRUST IN HOPE by BERNARDINI)
 
BAQ-11   10/28/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:221 :452 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CATSKILL HUMOR 9 5 3 3   3 1hd (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00 7% 12.90 13.20 W
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ATLANTIC DREAM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
NYXED 6 2 55 5   4 2hd (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 8.40  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of ZINZAY by SMART STRIKE)
OOLONG HAI (IRE) 7 1 22 21   2 3 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00 16% 5.20 26.25 S
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of SPRING GARDEN by CAPOTE)
MATERIAL WITNESS 2 3 12 11   1 4 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 3.95  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MORE THAN BEAUTY by MORE THAN READY)
LE BEAU 4 6 67 67   6 5 (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 121 4.00 22% 3.60 2.35  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MORTGAGE THE HOUSE by CHESTER HOUSE)
WISH LIST 5 10 99 1012½   9 6 (terranova j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 14% 6.20 8.20  
  (by ASTERN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  WORDS OF PRAISE 10 9 10 910   79 7 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00 26.25  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
RIVIERE 1 4 44 45   56 8 (weaver geor)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 5.00 9.20  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of JULIE'S JEWELRY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
LIGHTBULB MOMENT 3 8 78 79   8 9 (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00 12.30  
  (by ARROGATE out of SCARY NOT SCARED by MALIBU MOON)
KAREN'S BROOMSTICK 8 7 88 8   1010¾ 109 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 12% 7.50 5.00  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TOPIC by SPEAK)
SCR  IGUAZU (IRE)               (ward wes)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.