The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
BAQ-1   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $18.20 -6.00
BAQ-2   Win (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
BAQ-3   Win (9/7/3/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $20.00 -10.00
BAQ-4   Win (2/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.70 $5.70 -2.30
BAQ-5   Win (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $6.70 -6.00
BAQ-6   Win (7/3/6/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 -3.40
BAQ-7   Win (5/3/9/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $2.90 $2.90 -7.10
BAQ-8   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.10 $4.10 -1.90
BAQ-9   Win (8/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
BAQ-10   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
BAQ-11   Win (4/8/5/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $28.40 $28.40 18.40
Simulator Race results
 
BAQ-1   10/28/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
:223 :461 1:11     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PRINCE OF TRUTH 5 1 42 31   11 1½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00 8.10  
3  REFUAH 3 4 54½ 52½   41¼ 2½ (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 12% 7.30 5.20 P
1  BEARY FUNNY 1 5 31½ 41½   31 32 (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.40 36% 1.80 1.10 S
2  FLYING IN STYLE 2 3 1½ 1nk   21 42¾ (baker charlt)RIVERA R 116 3.00 30% 2.30 4.20  
6  VAUNTED 6 2 2½ 2nk   51¾ 55 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.50 4.70  
4  ESCAPE KEY 4 6 66 68   68¼ 612½ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00 10.40  
 
BAQ-2   10/28/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
:241 :474 1:12 1:241   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  THE REVENGER 5 1 11 11 11 12 1½ (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.00 19% 4.10 1.30 W
3  HAMMERIN AAMER 3 6 52 41½ 21 22 2½ (falcone n)LUZZI J 124 1.80 34% 2.00 1.75 P
6  PIT BOSS 6 2 21 21 31½ 34½ 31¼ (bernardini ju)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.00 5.90  
4  MY FRIENDS BEER 4 4 31½ 52 43½ 47 44¼ (baker charlton)SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.50 16% 5.40 7.90  
1  JUMPSTER 1 5 610 612 610 610 57 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 124 20.00 25.25  
2  CONTINENTAL DIVIDE 2 3 41½ 31½ 54 58½ 67½ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 6.00 8.30  
 
BAQ-3   10/28/2023 6270ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
:23 :473 1:123 1:371   1:552   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAMESTOWN 1 1 53¾ 42½ 31½ 21 1½ (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 9.00  
9  SACRED RHYME 9 2 41¾ 52½ 52 31½ 2½ (brown c)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 34% 2.00 4.30 P
7  WAR OFFICER 7 7 75¾ 74 83¾ 43½ 31¼ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 27% 2.70 1.10 S
5  TORIGO 5 4 1nk 2½ 2½ 11 41¼ (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 6% 16.70 6.10  
3  THE JACKAL 3 6 96¾ 85 73¼ 54½ 53¼ (mcgaughey claud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 13% 6.70 4.70  
10  CASPIAN SEA (GB) 10 5 64¾ 63½ 95¾ 67½ 67½ (joseph a)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 42.00  
8  PUJOL 8 8 2nk 1½ 1½ 78 712¼ (henry nevill)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 50.00 95.75  
2  ABSOLUTE CONTROL (FR) 2 3 31½ 31½ 41½ 89 814 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 117 10.00 5% 19.00 17.60  
6  ELEVATED CAUSEWAY 6 9 86¾ 95¼ 63 911 914¼ (noda orlando)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00 69.50  
4  COMANCHE PEAK (GB) 4 10 1016¾ 1025¼ 10100 10100 10100 (sciacca )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00 54.00  
SCR  NOSTALGIC ONE               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/28/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
:223 :453 1:10     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT 8 2 31 3½   31½ 1¾ (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 23% 3.40 1.85 W
6  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF 7 1 2nk 2nk   1½ 2¾ (chatterpaul nai)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 13% 6.60 1.35 P
2  TETSU 5 4 65 52¼   53 32½ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 1.00 32% 2.10 13.60 S
5  SCILLY CAY 4 3 42 42   42 43¾ (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00 8.50  
1A  ROYAL TRYST 6 7 811 813¾   67 54 (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 118 8.00 5.60  
4  FLINT RIDGE 2 5 1nk 1nk   2½ 64¼ (rodriguez gu)RIVERA R 118 12.00 11% 8.30 10.50  
1  BIG BOBBY 3 8 78½ 78¼   77½ 74½ (arenas marcel)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 5.60  
3  LIFE AND LIGHT 1 6 53 67¼   88½ 88½ (pringle edmund)OLVER MADISON 113 30.00 81.50  
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN               (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.00    
 
BAQ-5   10/28/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
:22 :45 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  YOU LOOK COLD 5 5 66½ 69   45 1½ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.50 2.35  
7  QUICK MUNNY 6 2 2½ 1½   14 2½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 5.00 23% 3.30 7.60 P
8  RACHEL'S ROCK 7 4 31½ 36   35 33 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 125 8.00 23% 3.40 3.80 S
5  LADY MILAGRO 4 1 1½ 2½   24 47½ (martin carlo)RIVERA R 118 8.00 10.90  
1  TAMING THE TIGRESS 1 7 78½ 711½   68½ 58¼ (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.00 5.50  
2  REMAIN ANONYMOUS 2 6 56½ 47½   57 68¼ (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00 13.60  
4  MORE THAN VOWS 3 3 44 58½   79½ 714¼ (lynch a)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50 10% 8.90 2.75  
SCR  MALIBU MOONSHINE               (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/28/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
:233 :484 1:133 1:252   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MISS SAN GABRIEL 3 3 11 1½ 1½ 11 1¼ (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 21% 3.80 2.30 W
6  ELLE EST FORTE 6 9 107½ 95¾ 74 52 2¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50 9% 10.20 6.70 P
8  MISS KRISTY 8 10 97 74½ 85 62¼ 3¼ (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 8.90  
10  TAP IT UP 10 7 42½ 42 31 21 4¾ (ryerson t)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 10.30  
7  DONTMESSWITHTESS 7 8 75 63½ 53 41½ 51¾ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 38% 1.60 2.65  
1  MISCREANT 1 2 86 106¼ 95½ 83¼ 63 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 124 10.00 12.20  
4  THUNDARA 4 5 52½ 52 63½ 72¾ 73¼ (antonacci philip)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 9% 10.40 20.60  
2  DIAMOND STATUS 2 1 21 31½ 42 93¾ 83½ (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 5% 19.00 5.70  
9  NIGHTSABER (GB) 9 6 31½ 2½ 2½ 31½ 93½ (de horaci)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00 58.75  
5  MORE MANGO 5 4 63 84¾ 106½ 109¾ 1011½ (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 119 20.00 70.00  
SCR  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY               (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/28/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
:234 :48 1:122 1:353   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  REDISTRICTING (GB) 5 5 31½ 31½ 41½ 2nk 12 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.20 31% 2.20 0.45 W
9  QUALITY G 9 6 42 42 3½ 4¾ 22 (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 13% 6.70 8.70 P
6  BE OF COURAGE 6 9 96 85½ 74 61¾ 32¼ (pregman jr)SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 26.25 S
10  CAPTURE THE FLAG 10 7 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 42¾ (mcgaughey cla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 8.00  
4  SHADOWED (IRE) 4 4 64 63½ 52 51¾ 53½ (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 25.00  
7  FIGHTER IN THE WIN 7 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 3.2 63¾ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00 47.00  
1  HEATHGUARD 1 1 53½ 53 63 72¾ 75¾ (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 50.00 96.50  
3  RAMBLIN' WRECK 3 10 109½ 1010½ 95½ 83¼ 86 (gargan danny)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 24% 3.10 5.90  
8  MY IMAGINATION 8 8 85 75½ 85 98¼ 910¼ (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 15.00 44.00  
2  BRYCE CANYON 2 2 75 97½ 109½ 108¾ 1010¾ (kelly blake)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00 9% 10.40 44.50  
SCR  BAD TO THE BONES               (mott i)RIDER TBA 124 6.00    
SCR  CAPONE               (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
SCR  DADDY KNOWS               (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 124 2.50    
SCR  FENWICK               (dutrow e)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00    
SCR  MISTICAL CURLIN               (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 1.80    
 
BAQ-8   10/28/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Mother Goose Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 3:48
:234 :482 1:13 1:364   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  XIGERA 6 2 21 21 21 12½ 13½ (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 122 1.20 31% 2.20 1.05 W
7  DEFINING PURPOSE 7 3 32½ 32 32 22½ 23½ (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 5.00 7.20  
5  OCCULT 5 6 57 55 53½ 33½ 34¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 24% 3.20 2.00 S
3  JULIA SHINING 3 5 79½ 79 67 48½ 47 (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 120 6.00 6.50  
1  FOGGY NIGHT 1 4 43½ 42½ 43 613 516 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00 45.25  
4  UNDERVALUED ASSET 4 1 11 11 11 59 617 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 19% 4.30 14.10  
2  PEAK POPULARITY 2 7 69½ 68 79½ 714 718¾ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00 33.25  
 
BAQ-9   10/28/2023 5610ft TURF FIRM Awad Purse ($135K) 2 ALL PT- 4:22
:224 :463 1:111 1:37   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MOVE TO GOLD 3 5 58½ 516½ 514 22½ 11¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 16% 5.10 2.10 W
8  SPIRIT PRINCE 6 4 24 28 27 12½ 21¼ (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.60 48% 1.10 1.00 P
4  BLUE CREEK 4 6 613 620½ 617½ 53¾ 34¼ (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 120 15.00 12.20  
1  INNATE (IRE) 1 3 37 315 312½ 43½ 46½ (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50 5.80  
6  DANCING MISCHIEF 5 1 47½ 415½ 413 68¾ 514½ (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00 8% 11.20 8.40  
2  TROPANDHAGEN 2 2 14 18 17 32½ 615 (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 17.20  
SCR  BRITISH SEA               (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00    
SCR  TWIRLING POINT               (thomas jonatha)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50    
 
BAQ-10   10/28/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Forty Niner Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
:231 :454 1:10 1:222   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  EVERSO MISCHIEVOUS 2 5 21 21½ 2nk 1½ 1½ (cox h)TORRES A 120 2.50 11% 7.90 2.60 W
5  DR ARDITO 5 4 66 611½ 66½ 54 2½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 6.00  
3  ACCRETIVE 3 6 43 44 41 3½ 3½ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 57% 0.80 1.60 S
4  FILM STAR 4 3 32½ 33½ 3½ 41 41¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 10% 9.40 2.80  
6  SWIFTSURE 6 1 11 11½ 1nk 2½ 52¼ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00 14.10  
7  BUSINESS MODEL 7 2 79½ 713 714½ 713 67¾ (jacobson david)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00 26.25  
1  DOUBLE CROWN 1 7 53½ 54½ 55½ 69 79¾ (ginter ray)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00 41.00  
SCR  SYNTHESIS               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 30.00    
 
BAQ-11   10/28/2023 3960ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
:221 :452 :571     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CATSKILL HUMOR 9 5 33½ 33½   32½ 1hd (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00 7% 12.90 13.20 W
7  NYXED 6 2 55 55½   44½ 2hd (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00 8.40  
8  OOLONG HAI (IRE) 7 1 22 21   22½ 32¼ (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00 16% 5.20 26.25 S
2  MATERIAL WITNESS 2 3 12 11   12½ 43½ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50 3.95  
4  LE BEAU 4 6 67 67   66½ 54¼ (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 121 4.00 22% 3.60 2.35  
5  WISH LIST 5 10 99 1012½   99¾ 64¾ (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 14% 6.20 8.20  
11  WORDS OF PRAISE 10 9 109½ 910   79 75¼ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00 26.25  
1  RIVIERE 1 4 44 45   56 85¼ (weaver george)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 5.00 9.20  
3  LIGHTBULB MOMENT 3 8 78 79   89¼ 96¼ (clement christoph)CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00 12.30  
9  KAREN'S BROOMSTICK 8 7 88 89½   1010¾ 109 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 12% 7.50 5.00  
SCR  IGUAZU (IRE)               (ward wesle)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.