Handicappers' Racing Form
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Belmont At The Big A
Saturday - October 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
BAQ-1   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-2   Win (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-3   Win (9/7/3/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-4   Win (2/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-5   Win (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-6   Win (7/3/6/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-7   Win (5/3/9/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
BAQ-8   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-9   Win (8/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-10   Win (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-11   Win (4/8/5/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
BAQ-1   10/28/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT-12:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEARY FUNNY Aug27         (donk david)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.40 36% 1.80    
2  FLYING IN STYLE Aug27 Aug02 Jun09     (baker charlt)RIVERA R 116 3.00 30% 2.30    
3  REFUAH Aug27 Aug09 Jul04 Jun09 May20 (walder peter )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 12% 7.30    
4  ESCAPE KEY         (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 121 8.00    
5  PRINCE OF TRUTH Sep04 Aug17       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00    
6  VAUNTED Sep04 Aug17 Jul21 Jun18 May19 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 121 4.50    
 
BAQ-2   10/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMPSTER Oct12 Aug06 Jun03 May20 May05 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 124 20.00    
2  CONTINENTAL DIVIDE Oct12 Jul27 Jun18 May05 Apr02 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 6.00    
3  HAMMERIN AAMER Oct12 Sep03 Aug06 May04 Apr14 (falcone n)LUZZI J 124 1.80 34% 2.00    
4  MY FRIENDS BEER Sep21 Aug10 Jun25 May27 Apr14 (baker charlton)SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.50 16% 5.40    
5  THE REVENGER Apr14 Mar18 Jan26 Dec29 Nov15 (englehart jeremia)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.00 19% 4.10    
6  PIT BOSS Oct12 Oct05 Aug29 Aug02 Jul13 (bernardini ju)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 4.00    
 
BAQ-3   10/28/2023 6270ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAMESTOWN Aug24 May06 Mar19 Feb04 Jan07 (tagg barclay)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
2  ABSOLUTE CONTROL (FR) Oct05 Aug30       (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  THE JACKAL Sep03 Aug13 Jul08     (mcgaughey claud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 6.00 13% 6.70    
4  COMANCHE PEAK (GB)         (sciacca )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 20.00    
5  TORIGO Sep09 Jul01 Oct02 Aug13   (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 120 4.00 6% 16.70    
6  ELEVATED CAUSEWAY Jul02 Jun04 May11 Apr15   (noda orlando)DAVIS KATIE 120 20.00    
7  WAR OFFICER Aug24 Jul30       (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
8  PUJOL         (henry nevill)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 50.00    
9  SACRED RHYME Aug24 Jul28 May14     (brown c)LEZCANO JOSE 120 3.50 34% 2.00    
10  CASPIAN SEA (GB) Sep10 Aug06       (joseph a)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00    
SCR  NOSTALGIC ONE Sep03 Jul28 Jul07 Dec10   (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/28/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BOBBY Oct15 Oct04 Aug24 Jul07 Oct30 (arenas marcel)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00    
1A  ROYAL TRYST Oct14 Sep04 Aug09 Jul23 Jun17 (arenas marcelo)RUIZ ELISEO 118 8.00    
2  TETSU Oct18 Aug18 Jul22 Jun23 May25 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 1.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  COLONEL BOWMAN Sep29 Aug11 Jul23 May27 May13 (jacobson david)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.00    
3  LIFE AND LIGHT Oct14 Oct05 Sep21 Jul21 Jul03 (pringle edmund)OLVER MADISON 113 30.00    
4  FLINT RIDGE Oct04 Sep04 Jul26 May12 Apr16 (rodriguez gu)RIVERA R 118 12.00 11% 8.30    
5  SCILLY CAY Sep04 Aug13 Jul23 Jun22 Jun04 (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00    
6  SAGAMORE MISCHIEF Sep04 Aug13 Jul08 Sep10 Aug20 (chatterpaul nai)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 13% 6.60    
7  MAGNOLIA MIDNIGHT Oct09 Sep03 Jul14 Apr15 Mar09 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50 23% 3.40    
 
BAQ-5   10/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($102K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAMING THE TIGRESS Jul27 Jun04 May28 May06 Mar17 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 3.00    
2  REMAIN ANONYMOUS Oct01 Aug21 Nov23 Sep25 Aug22 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 121 12.00    
SCR  MALIBU MOONSHINE Jul29 Feb05 Dec30 Dec03 Sep11 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
4  MORE THAN VOWS Sep16 Nov13 Sep23 Jul30 Jun11 (lynch a)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50 10% 8.90    
5  LADY MILAGRO Oct04 Aug11 Jul15 Jun16 May12 (martin carlo)RIVERA R 118 8.00    
6  YOU LOOK COLD Aug25 Jul29 May12 Mar31 Feb26 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 123 2.50    
7  QUICK MUNNY Sep17 Jul28 Jun23 May28 Apr29 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 5.00 23% 3.30    
8  RACHEL'S ROCK Oct12 Sep17 May18 Mar22 Jun17 (david a)RENDON JAIRO 125 8.00 23% 3.40    
 
BAQ-6   10/28/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISCREANT Sep03 Jul13 May11 Mar31 Mar01 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 124 10.00    
2  DIAMOND STATUS Sep03 Jul07 Jun02 May13 Apr15 (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  MISS SAN GABRIEL Aug18 Jul27 Jun03 Apr15 Jul13 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
4  THUNDARA Aug16 Jul13       (antonacci philip)DAVIS KATIE 120 10.00 9% 10.40    
5  MORE MANGO Sep22 Aug31 Aug02 Jul09 Jun18 (ferraro jame)RIVERA R 119 20.00    
6  ELLE EST FORTE Aug20 Jul26 May18 Apr16 Mar05 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50 9% 10.20    
7  DONTMESSWITHTESS Sep03 Jul09 Jun11 May12 Mar26 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
8  MISS KRISTY Sep03 Aug06 May18 Mar26 Feb17 (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00    
9  NIGHTSABER (GB) Oct12 Jul03 Jun02 May14 Apr20 (de horaci)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 20.00    
10  TAP IT UP Oct12 Jul27 Jun22 Jun02 May14 (ryerson t)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00    
SCR  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY Oct20 Aug20 Jul13 Jun17 Apr28 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEATHGUARD Oct04 Sep02 Mar26 Mar16 Feb18 (lerman s)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 50.00    
2  BRYCE CANYON Oct16 Sep09 Aug19 May28 Apr30 (kelly blake)CASTELLANO J 122 15.00 9% 10.40    
3  RAMBLIN' WRECK Sep16 Aug17 Jul20 Jun18 Dec17 (gargan danny)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.00 24% 3.10    
4  SHADOWED (IRE)         (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00    
5  REDISTRICTING (GB) Jul08 Jun03       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.20 31% 2.20    
6  BE OF COURAGE Oct04 Sep17 Aug27 Jul04 Jun09 (pregman jr)SILVERA RUBEN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  FIGHTER IN THE WIN Oct04 Jun24 May27 May04 Nov27 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00    
8  MY IMAGINATION Oct10 Sep23 Aug26 Jul10 Jun13 (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 15.00    
9  QUALITY G Sep17 Jul26 Jun10 Jun26 May29 (pletcher a)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 13% 6.70    
10  CAPTURE THE FLAG Oct04 Aug05 Jul30     (mcgaughey cla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00    
SCR  FENWICK Aug20 Jul08 Oct30 Oct01 Sep03 (dutrow e)CARMOUCHE K 124 10.00    
SCR  DADDY KNOWS Jun11 May11 Mar25 Feb26 Jan19 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 124 2.50    
SCR  MISTICAL CURLIN Oct06 Aug26 Aug12 Jul04 May20 (rodriguez gus)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 1.80    
SCR  BAD TO THE BONES Oct07 Sep02 Aug05 Jul01 May28 (mott i)RIDER TBA 124 6.00    
SCR  CAPONE Oct22 Sep16 Sep17 Aug13 Jul01 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 122 8.00    
 
BAQ-8   10/28/2023 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Mother Goose Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 3:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOGGY NIGHT Sep23 Aug22 Jul29 Jul01 Jun05 (reid e)LEZCANO JOSE 124 15.00    
2  PEAK POPULARITY Aug25 Jun29 Apr29 Mar26 Aug21 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 120 20.00    
3  JULIA SHINING Aug19 Apr07 Feb11 Dec03 Oct16 (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 120 6.00    
4  UNDERVALUED ASSET Oct01 Aug25 Jul22 May05 Mar04 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 8.00 19% 4.30    
5  OCCULT Sep23 Jul29 Jun09 Apr08 Jan14 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
6  XIGERA Sep23 Aug04 Jul01 Jun02 Nov04 (bauer phili)LEPAROUX R 122 1.20 31% 2.20    
7  DEFINING PURPOSE Sep23 Aug19 Jul08 May05 Apr07 (mcpeek kennet)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 5.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/28/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Awad Purse ($135K) 2 ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INNATE (IRE) Jun11 May28 May15 Apr02 Mar19 (antonacci philip)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.50    
2  TROPANDHAGEN Sep30 Sep03       (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
3  MOVE TO GOLD Aug31         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.50 16% 5.10    
4  BLUE CREEK Sep30 Sep09 Aug19 Aug03   (brion keri)BOYCE FOREST 120 15.00    
SCR  TWIRLING POINT Oct08 Sep02       (thomas jonatha)CASTELLANO J 120 3.50    
6  DANCING MISCHIEF Sep30 Aug18 Aug03 Jun16   (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 120 10.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  BRITISH SEA Sep09 Jul14       (maker j)SILVERA RUBEN 118 15.00    
8  SPIRIT PRINCE Oct04 Aug31 Jul22     (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 1.60 48% 1.10    
 
BAQ-10   10/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC13 FAST Forty Niner Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE CROWN Oct14 Sep10 Sep04 Aug25 Aug13 (ginter ray)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 12.00    
2  EVERSO MISCHIEVOUS Sep23 Aug05 Jun22 May06 Feb11 (cox h)TORRES A 120 2.50 11% 7.90    
3  ACCRETIVE Oct01 Sep02 Jul22 Aug27 Jul31 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 57% 0.80    
4  FILM STAR Oct01 Sep17 Sep03 Aug13 Jul16 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 10% 9.40    
5  DR ARDITO Sep23 Aug11 May29 May05 Feb20 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
6  SWIFTSURE Oct01 Sep04 Aug13 Jul09 Nov06 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 10.00    
7  BUSINESS MODEL Oct12 Sep30 Aug13 Jul08 Jun15 (jacobson david)DAVIS DYLAN 122 15.00    
SCR  SYNTHESIS Oct20 Sep15 Aug26 Jul29 Jul01 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 30.00    
 
BAQ-11   10/28/2023 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVIERE Oct12 Sep02 Jul30 Jun10   (weaver george)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 5.00    
2  MATERIAL WITNESS Sep21 Sep02 Jul30 Oct14   (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 3.50    
3  LIGHTBULB MOMENT Dec15         (clement christoph)CANCEL ERIC 121 12.00    
4  LE BEAU Oct12 Sep09 Mar11 Feb05   (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 121 4.00 22% 3.60    
5  WISH LIST Sep16         (terranova joh)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  IGUAZU (IRE) Aug23 Nov04 Sep14     (ward wesle)GOMEZ ANTONIO 121 8.00    
7  NYXED Sep21 Oct22 Oct01     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 10.00    
8  OOLONG HAI (IRE) Sep21 Jun10 Apr02 Mar05 Jan22 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 121 15.00 16% 5.20    
9  KAREN'S BROOMSTICK Sep03         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 6.00 12% 7.50    
10  CATSKILL HUMOR Sep21 Jul28 Oct22     (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 121 10.00 7% 12.90    
11  WORDS OF PRAISE Sep13 Aug28 Aug01 Jun23 May20 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.