The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $16.20 -6.00
BAQ-2   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $7.40 -4.00
BAQ-3   Win (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $7.10 $7.10 1.10
BAQ-4   Win (3/2/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $22.20 $22.20 14.20
BAQ-5   Win (12/13/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 12 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 1.40
BAQ-6   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
BAQ-7   Win (1/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -3.80
BAQ-8   Win (11/13) 2 $2.00 $4.00 13 1 1 $5.70 $5.70 1.70
BAQ-9   Win (2/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -5.20

Simulator Race results

 
BAQ-1   10/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
:23 :464 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE THE KICKER 3 1 1½ 1½   11(giddings mela)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 7.10  
DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY 4 2 2½ 2½   22(paragallo jennif)LUZZI J 119 6.00 12.90  
ROB THE BANK 2 3 4 42   33 35 (brown bruce )RIVERA R 114 4.00 10% 8.90 3.60 S
GOLDFIRE 1 5 5 612   610½ 49 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 21% 3.80 4.70  
RETAIL MAN 6 4 3½ 3   48 510 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.00 48% 1.10 1.15  
SWEPT 5 6 66 57   59 610½ (chapman james )CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 5.60  
SCR  CHARLES J               (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
 
BAQ-2   10/22/2023 5940ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:08
:244 :50 1:15 1:391   1:514   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOLD VICTORY 3 1 5 5 5 41hd (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00 2.70  
JUST CALL RAY 5 3 42 42 31 12 2hd (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 33% 2.10 1.05 P
HIGHER QUALITY 1 4 11 1½ 2nk 32 3¼ (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 6.00 3.90  
SIX PERCENT 2 5 21 2½ 1nk 22 4(kantarmaci mert)SILVERA RUBEN 124 3.50 4.50  
TOMMY BEE 4 2 32 31 4 55(noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 12.00 22% 3.50 18.10  
SCR  INVISIBLE WAR               (barrera oscar )CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
SCR  TREASURE TROVE               (ginter ray)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.50    
 
BAQ-3   10/22/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
:22 :452 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISTER J T 5 6 52 52   41(levine bruce)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 28% 2.50 2.55 W
MR PHIL 3 5 2½ 2nk   2nk 2(atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 18% 4.70 2.05 P
BLAKE B. 4 7 7 711   63(romero jesus)RIVERA R 116 30.00 55.00  
QUICKFLASH 6 2 41 3½   1nk 45 (reynolds p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00 6.70  
ENSIGN PARKER 2 4 1½ 1nk   3½ 5(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 3.65  
BOURBON'S HOPE 1 3 3½ 67   76(rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 23% 3.30 5.00  
STRIKING SPEED 7 1 6 4   57(potts wayne)LUZZI J 123 12.00 15.60  
SCR  PRINCE JAMES               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
SCR  WINNING DRIVE               (kantarmaci mert)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/22/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
:233 :472 1:124 1:251   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUKE OF GLOUCESTER 3 1 11 13 1 11(potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 33% 2.00 10.10 W
BOLT D'PLATA 2 2 5 65 55 22(terranova p)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 25% 3.10 1.00 P
BRAGGADOCIOUS 7 8 7 5 45 53(hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 124 4.00 4.00  
SIXWILLBERICH 9 6 3 3 2 34(giddings mela)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 6% 14.90 13.50  
COLLECT FROM IKE 4 4 21 23 33 45 58 (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00 5.50  
THE ELUSIVE DRWONG 6 9 911¼ 9 88 66(kimmel john )RIVERA R 115 10.00 37.50  
TIMO 1 3 8 87 9 7714 (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 14% 6.20 11.80  
FIRE BARON 5 5 6 75 6 8814 (paragallo jennif)LUZZI J 120 30.00 65.75  
ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE 8 7 4 44 7 912¼ 920¼ (serpe phil)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 10.00 13.30  
 
BAQ-5   10/22/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
:234 :472 1:13 1:251   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  LIBBAN 4 3 1½ 2nk 11 13 1(joseph a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 30% 2.30 2.70 W
LISA'S VISION 2 5 5 31 21 23 2(abreu r)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00 7.60  
SISTER BRIDGET (IRE) 1 6 2½ 1nk 3 39 312¼ (johnson cleveland)DAVIS KATIE 124 30.00 16.30  
11  ROYAL DAME 3 4 63 5 4 4413¾ (ward dan)RIVERA R 115 20.00 14.00  
13  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE 5 1 31 4 58 515 519¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 25% 2.90 2.10  
2B  THOUGHT EXPERIMENT 6 2 41 6 69 617 620 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 14% 6.10 1.75  
SCR  STARTUP MENTALITY (IRE)               (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
SCR  STEPHANIE'S CHARM               (jimenez l)SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00    
SCR  RHIANNON               (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60    
SCR  IN TIME (FR)               (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00    
SCR  FEATHERS (IRE)               (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 30.00    
SCR  DIAMOND HANDS               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 5.00    
SCR  SWOOP TO FINISH               (mott i)ORTIZ L 124 15.00    
SCR  ADELIESE'S SMILE               (jimenez l)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00    
SCR  ALLURING ANGEL (GB)               (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
 
BAQ-6   10/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
:23 :464 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOWZYOURCASHFLOW 3 2 1nk 2½   1½ 11 (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 115 4.00 38% 1.70 1.60 W
SOLIB 2 3 2nk 1½   2½ 21 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00 3.10  
EVERLYS GIRL 1 5 5 42   32 32 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.00 17% 4.70 6.10 S
PROUD FOOT 5 7 41 3   44(rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 12% 7.60 5.50  
CUPIDS GIRL 7 6 6 5   55(ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00 5.60  
DIAMOND COLLECTOR 4 4 7 6   65 6(potts wayne)LUZZI J 123 12.00 10.80  
ROJA LIGERA 6 1 3½ 77   79 712½ (follett norman)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00 25.00  
SCR  KISSES FOR EMILY               (linder louis )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00    
SCR  TRY IT AGAIN               (rodriguez r)RUIZ ELISEO 118 4.00    
SCR  WESTERN LANE               (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50    
 
BAQ-7   10/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:221 :454 :574     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME NATIVE 1 8 711¾ 5   21½ (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 123 1.60 48% 1.10 1.10 W
SHAKY PANTS 8 1 5 4¾   12½ (sharp joe)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 14% 5.90 6.70 P
CAPONE 7 2 4¾ 2nk   33(dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 5% 19.00 6.00 S
BEZOS 2 6 6 6   6412 (fisher l)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 30.00 56.00  
DAUFUSKIE ISLAND 6 5 2nk 3.2   5513¼ (rodriguez r)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 16% 5.40 2.45  
LEDDY 4 7 812¾ 8   79 613½ (goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00 55.75  
KOOL KATHMANDU 3 3 1nk 1nk   44 713¾ (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 10.70  
PAY ZONE 5 4 3.2 7   8820 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 26.00  
 
BAQ-8   10/22/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Carle Place Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
:222 :454 :58     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  NINETYPRCENTMADDIE 4 1 4 45   31 1¼ (reid e)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 15% 5.70 1.85 W
JUST BEAT THE ODDS 1 4 3 3   1nk 2¼ (sacco d)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 6.00  
11  SUPER CHOW 3 2 2½ 11   2nk 3(delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 122 1.80 59% 0.70 0.85 S
10  SIR LANCELOT 2 3 1½ 21   49 436¼ (stidham michael)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 4.80  
SCR  LISTENTOTHEMUSIC               (gargan danny)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
SCR  SON OF A BIRCH               (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
SCR  SOUZAK (FR)               (motion graham)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
SCR  TAPPIN JOSIE               (de horacio)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
SCR  GASLIGHT DANCER               (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
SCR  VACATION DANCE               (kimmel c)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
SCR  BAL A KAZOO               (gorham m)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00    
SCR  ACOUSTIC AVE               (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
SCR  FREEDOM ROAD               (sacco gregory )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 30.00    
 
BAQ-9   10/22/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 4:54
:231 :471 1:123     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOLOMITE 2 6 4 31   11(brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 39% 1.60 0.40 W
MUNNY GRAB 7 3 3 43   36 2(de horac)RIVERA R 114 10.00 7% 12.70 19.90 P
CAROL T 3 4 2½ 2nk   2312¼ (jimenez l)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 8.60  
MISS LAO 8 8 7 6   511 414¾ (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 8.60  
SCARLET'S DREAM 9 1 63 56   612 516¼ (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00 30.00  
MEL'S BABY SISTER 5 9 99 8   713 616¾ (giddings m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00 27.00  
MIA NIPOTINA 4 5 85 9   816½ 718¾ (sells rachel)HARKIE K 119 20.00 5% 18.00 41.50  
COLLECT THE DATA 1 7 1½ 1nk   410 819¾ (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 27% 2.70 7.40  
LOVE THYSELF 6 2 52 7   917 922¾ (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00 30.75  
SCR  EMPIRE MAGIC               (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
SCR  NEW YORK BEACH               (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries will win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.