Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BAQ-1   Win (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-2   Win (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-3   Win (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-4   Win (3/2/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-5   Win (12/13/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-6   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BAQ-7   Win (1/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BAQ-8   Win (11/13) 2 $2.00 $4.00
BAQ-9   Win (2/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BAQ-1   10/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDFIRE         (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 21% 3.80    
ROB THE BANK Oct04 Aug24       (brown bruce )RIVERA R 114 4.00 10% 8.90    
ICE THE KICKER Jul16         (giddings mela)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY Sep17         (paragallo jennif)LUZZI J 119 6.00    
SCR  CHARLES J         (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
SWEPT May28         (chapman james )CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
RETAIL MAN Oct04         (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.00 48% 1.10    
 
BAQ-2   10/22/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHER QUALITY Sep21 Sep08 Jul22 Jun24 Jun16 (chatterp)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 6.00    
SCR  INVISIBLE WAR Sep21 Sep03 Aug03 Jul14 Jun17 (barrera oscar )CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
SIX PERCENT Sep21 Jun11 Apr14 Mar11 Jan29 (kantarmaci mert)SILVERA RUBEN 124 3.50    
BOLD VICTORY Oct12 Jul13 Jun13 Apr12 Feb26 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00    
TOMMY BEE Aug25 Jul27 May11 Aug06 Jul02 (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 12.00 22% 3.50    
JUST CALL RAY Sep21 Aug25 Aug02 Jul22 Jun25 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
SCR  TREASURE TROVE Oct13 Jul27 Jun18 Apr06 Mar25 (ginter ray)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.50    
 
BAQ-3   10/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON'S HOPE Sep28 Aug04 May28 Apr02 Mar05 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 23% 3.30    
ENSIGN PARKER Sep28 Aug19 Jul16 May28 May14 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50    
SCR  WINNING DRIVE Sep28 Aug30 Aug05 Jun24 May26 (kantarmaci mert)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00    
MR PHIL Sep30 Jul16 Jun22 May13 Apr20 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 18% 4.70    
BLAKE B. Jun24 May27 Apr01 Mar12 Feb10 (romero jesus)RIVERA R 116 30.00    
SCR  PRINCE JAMES Sep16 Jul22 Jun24 May26 Mar30 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
MISTER J T Sep28 Sep13 Aug20 Jul29 Jun28 (levine bruce)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 28% 2.50    
QUICKFLASH Oct14 Sep16 Aug19 Jul12 Jun05 (reynolds p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
STRIKING SPEED Sep28 Aug04 Jul14 May26 Apr20 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 123 12.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMO Sep28 Aug24 Jul28 Jan04 Nov30 (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 14% 6.20    
BOLT D'PLATA Sep28 Aug23 Aug10     (terranova p)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 25% 3.10    
DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Oct05 Aug25 Aug05 Jul14 Jun11 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 33% 2.00    
COLLECT FROM IKE Sep04 Jul02 May26 Apr14   (pregman j)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00    
FIRE BARON Aug31 Aug04 Jul28 Jul09 Jun15 (paragallo jennif)LUZZI J 120 30.00    
THE ELUSIVE DRWONG Sep28 Aug23       (kimmel john )RIVERA R 115 10.00    
BRAGGADOCIOUS Sep14 Aug11 Jun22 May02 Apr15 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 124 4.00    
ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE Aug17 Nov11       (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
SIXWILLBERICH Aug23 Jul28 Jun18 Feb24 Dec10 (giddings mela)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 6% 14.90    
 
BAQ-5   10/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ADELIESE'S SMILE Jul08 Jun23 Feb04 Jan05 Dec18 (jimenez l)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00    
SCR  STEPHANIE'S CHARM Sep16 Sep01 Jul14 Jun22 May13 (jimenez l)SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00    
2B  THOUGHT EXPERIMENT Sep15         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 14% 6.10    
SCR  STARTUP MENTALITY (IRE) Jul22         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
SISTER BRIDGET (IRE) Sep22 Aug24 Jul26 Jul04 May26 (johnson cleveland)DAVIS KATIE 124 30.00    
SCR  IN TIME (FR)         (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00    
SCR  ALLURING ANGEL (GB) Apr14 Nov27 Oct01 Sep13 Aug04 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
SCR  RHIANNON Sep16 Aug18       (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60    
LISA'S VISION Aug27 Jul19 Jun10 Apr22 Oct23 (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
SCR  FEATHERS (IRE) Oct06 Sep14 Mar18 Nov12 Oct15 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 30.00    
SCR  SWOOP TO FINISH Sep01 Jul04 Jun16 Oct29 Sep11 (mott i)ORTIZ L 124 15.00    
SCR  DIAMOND HANDS Jul29 Jul01 Jun03 Apr13 Feb26 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 5.00    
11  ROYAL DAME Sep03 Jul22 Jun30 Jun03 May14 (ward dan)RIVERA R 115 20.00    
12  LIBBAN Jul09 May21       (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 30% 2.30    
13  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE Aug25 Jul29 Jul20 Jun01 May04 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 25% 2.90    
 
BAQ-6   10/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOWZYOURCASHFLOW Sep15 Mar03 Jan12     (rodriguez ru)RIVERA R 115 4.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  TRY IT AGAIN Oct06 Jul27 Jun22 Jun16 May21 (rodriguez r)RUIZ ELISEO 118 4.00    
EVERLYS GIRL Aug10 Jul28 Jun23 Jun02 Apr02 (jacobson david)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.00 17% 4.70    
SOLIB Sep24 Aug12 Jul15 Jun10 May18 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00    
DIAMOND COLLECTOR Oct08 Sep22 Aug31 Aug11 Mar18 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 123 12.00    
PROUD FOOT Sep22 Aug31 Aug16 Jul19 Jun10 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 12% 7.60    
ROJA LIGERA Sep22 Aug06 Jun24 May19 Mar24 (follett norman)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
SCR  WESTERN LANE Aug18 Jul19 Jun22 May28 Feb10 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50    
CUPIDS GIRL Oct07 Jun23 Apr22 Mar31 Mar11 (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00    
SCR  KISSES FOR EMILY Oct02 Sep05 Jul17 Jun19 May22 (linder louis )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME NATIVE Sep02 Jul27 May21 Apr07 Feb19 (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 123 1.60 48% 1.10    
BEZOS Sep16 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May06 (fisher l)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 30.00    
KOOL KATHMANDU Sep16 Feb11 Dec16 Nov06   (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
LEDDY Oct07 Sep16 Jul23 Jul08 Jun04 (goberdh)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00    
PAY ZONE Sep15 Aug17 Aug10 Jul21 May25 (kantarmaci mert)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Sep02 Aug19 Jul22 Jun22 May29 (rodriguez r)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 16% 5.40    
CAPONE Sep16 Sep17 Aug13 Jul01 Jun02 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHAKY PANTS Sep17 Aug20 Sep24     (sharp joe)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 14% 5.90    
 
BAQ-8   10/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Carle Place Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ACOUSTIC AVE Aug26 Jul16 Jun26 Nov25 Oct17 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
SCR  GASLIGHT DANCER Sep30 Sep02 Aug13 May13 Apr16 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
SCR  SON OF A BIRCH Aug13 May20 May05 Jul30 Jul01 (morley thomas)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
SCR  SOUZAK (FR) Feb04 Jan07       (motion graham)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
SCR  LISTENTOTHEMUSIC Jan11 Oct13 Sep01     (gargan danny)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
SCR  FREEDOM ROAD Oct08 Aug05 Jul16 Jun21 May21 (sacco gregory )CASTILLO ISAAC 120 30.00    
SCR  BAL A KAZOO Oct08 Aug19 Jul08 Jun20 May28 (gorham m)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00    
SCR  VACATION DANCE Sep01 Aug17 Jul20 Jun18 May20 (kimmel c)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
JUST BEAT THE ODDS Sep09 Aug18 Jul22 Jul02 Jun11 (sacco d)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
10  SIR LANCELOT Sep23 Aug26 Aug06 Jul16 Oct29 (stidham michael)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
11  SUPER CHOW Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 May20 Mar18 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 122 1.80 59% 0.70    
SCR  TAPPIN JOSIE Sep28 Sep16 Aug05 Jun26 Jun02 (de horacio)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
13  NINETYPRCENTMADDIE Sep23 Aug22 Jun26 May13 Apr15 (reid e)RIDER TBA 122 3.00 15% 5.70    
 
BAQ-9   10/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 4:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLECT THE DATA         (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 27% 2.70    
DOLOMITE Sep01         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 39% 1.60    
CAROL T Sep23 Sep01       (jimenez l)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
MIA NIPOTINA Oct01         (sells rachel)HARKIE K 119 20.00 5% 18.00    
MEL'S BABY SISTER         (giddings m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00    
LOVE THYSELF Aug27 Jul26       (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00    
MUNNY GRAB Sep01         (de horac)RIVERA R 114 10.00 7% 12.70    
MISS LAO         (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
SCARLET'S DREAM         (reynolds patrick )DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  EMPIRE MAGIC         (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
SCR  NEW YORK BEACH         (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 119 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.