Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont At The Big A
Sunday - October 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BAQ-1   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2)-(6/5)-(7/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
BAQ-2   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(7/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(7/1/4)-(3/2/1/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-3   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/4)-(7/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(3/2/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4)-(3/2/1/9)-(12/13/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-4   WIN (3/2/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/9)-(3/2/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/9)-(3/2/1/9)-(3/2/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/1/9)-(12/13/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/9)-(12/13/2)-(1/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-5   WIN (12/13/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (12/13/2)-(12/13/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (12/13/2)-(12/13/2)-(12/13/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (12/13/2)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (12/13/2)-(1/2/5)-(1/6/8/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
BAQ-6   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(1/6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(1/6/8/7)-(11/13) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
BAQ-7   WIN (1/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/7)-(1/6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/7)-(1/6/8/7)-(1/6/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/8/7)-(11/13) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/6/8/7)-(11/13)-(2/1/7/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
BAQ-8   WIN (11/13) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (11/13)-(11/13) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (11/13)-(2/1/7/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
BAQ-9   WIN (2/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4)-(2/1/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BAQ-1   10/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDFIRE         (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MY GOLDEN GIRL by UNBRIDLED)
2  ROB THE BANK Oct04 Aug24       (brown bruc)RIVERA R 114 4.00 10% 8.90    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of NATURAL MIST by EMCEE)
3  ICE THE KICKER Jul16         (giddings me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of NICOLE'S MISS EL by ELTISH)
4  DUNEDIN CAUSEWAY Sep17         (paragallo jenn)LUZZI J 119 6.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of CHARMING EMMY by SKY MESA)
SCR  CHARLES J         (lee joseph)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of LAUGHING GIRL by CITY ZIP)
6  SWEPT May28         (chapman jame)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of SAICHI SWEEPIN by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
7  RETAIL MAN Oct04         (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 119 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by LEOFRIC out of NEVER MISS A TRICK by ANASHEED)
 
BAQ-2   10/22/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HIGHER QUALITY Sep21 Sep08 Jul22 Jun24 Jun16 (chatte)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 6.00    
SCR  INVISIBLE WAR Sep21 Sep03 Aug03 Jul14 Jun17 (barrera osca)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
3  SIX PERCENT Sep21 Jun11 Apr14 Mar11 Jan29 (kantarmaci me)SILVERA RUBEN 124 3.50    
4  BOLD VICTORY Oct12 Jul13 Jun13 Apr12 Feb26 (miceli michael)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00    
5  TOMMY BEE Aug25 Jul27 May11 Aug06 Jul02 (noda orlando)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 12.00 22% 3.50    
6  JUST CALL RAY Sep21 Aug25 Aug02 Jul22 Jun25 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
SCR  TREASURE TROVE Oct13 Jul27 Jun18 Apr06 Mar25 (ginter r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.50    
 
BAQ-3   10/22/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON'S HOPE Sep28 Aug04 May28 Apr02 Mar05 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 4.50 23% 3.30    
2  ENSIGN PARKER Sep28 Aug19 Jul16 May28 May14 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50    
SCR  WINNING DRIVE Sep28 Aug30 Aug05 Jun24 May26 (kantarmaci me)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00    
4  MR PHIL Sep30 Jul16 Jun22 May13 Apr20 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.00 18% 4.70    
5  BLAKE B. Jun24 May27 Apr01 Mar12 Feb10 (romero jes)RIVERA R 116 30.00    
SCR  PRINCE JAMES Sep16 Jul22 Jun24 May26 Mar30 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00    
7  MISTER J T Sep28 Sep13 Aug20 Jul29 Jun28 (levine bruce)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 28% 2.50    
8  QUICKFLASH Oct14 Sep16 Aug19 Jul12 Jun05 (reynolds)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
9  STRIKING SPEED Sep28 Aug04 Jul14 May26 Apr20 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 123 12.00    
 
BAQ-4   10/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMO Sep28 Aug24 Jul28 Jan04 Nov30 (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 124 8.00 14% 6.20    
2  BOLT D'PLATA Sep28 Aug23 Aug10     (terranova john)ORTIZ L 120 3.00 25% 3.10    
3  DUKE OF GLOUCESTER Oct05 Aug25 Aug05 Jul14 Jun11 (potts wayne)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 4.50 33% 2.00    
4  COLLECT FROM IKE Sep04 Jul02 May26 Apr14   (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00    
5  FIRE BARON Aug31 Aug04 Jul28 Jul09 Jun15 (paragallo jenn)LUZZI J 120 30.00    
6  THE ELUSIVE DRWONG Sep28 Aug23       (kimmel joh)RIVERA R 115 10.00    
7  BRAGGADOCIOUS Sep14 Aug11 Jun22 May02 Apr15 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 124 4.00    
8  ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE Aug17 Nov11       (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
9  SIXWILLBERICH Aug23 Jul28 Jun18 Feb24 Dec10 (giddings me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 6% 14.90    
 
BAQ-5   10/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ADELIESE'S SMILE Jul08 Jun23 Feb04 Jan05 Dec18 (jimenez l)LEZCANO JOSE 120 20.00    
SCR  STEPHANIE'S CHARM Sep16 Sep01 Jul14 Jun22 May13 (jimenez jose )SILVERA RUBEN 120 20.00    
2B  THOUGHT EXPERIMENT Sep15         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.50 14% 6.10    
SCR  STARTUP MENTALITY (IRE) Jul22         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50    
3  SISTER BRIDGET (IRE) Sep22 Aug24 Jul26 Jul04 May26 (johnson clevela)DAVIS KATIE 124 30.00    
SCR  IN TIME (FR)         (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00    
SCR  ALLURING ANGEL (GB) Apr14 Nov27 Oct01 Sep13 Aug04 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 10.00    
SCR  RHIANNON Sep16 Aug18       (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 120 1.60    
7  LISA'S VISION Aug27 Jul19 Jun10 Apr22 Oct23 (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 124 12.00    
SCR  FEATHERS (IRE) Oct06 Sep14 Mar18 Nov12 Oct15 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 122 30.00    
SCR  SWOOP TO FINISH Sep01 Jul04 Jun16 Oct29 Sep11 (mott i)ORTIZ L 124 15.00    
SCR  DIAMOND HANDS Jul29 Jul01 Jun03 Apr13 Feb26 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 124 5.00    
11  ROYAL DAME Sep03 Jul22 Jun30 Jun03 May14 (ward dan)RIVERA R 115 20.00    
12  LIBBAN Jul09 May21       (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 30% 2.30    
13  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE Aug25 Jul29 Jul20 Jun01 May04 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 25% 2.90    
 
BAQ-6   10/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOWZYOURCASHFLOW Sep15 Mar03 Jan12     (rodriguez )RIVERA R 115 4.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  TRY IT AGAIN Oct06 Jul27 Jun22 Jun16 May21 (rodriguez rudy )RUIZ ELISEO 118 4.00    
2  EVERLYS GIRL Aug10 Jul28 Jun23 Jun02 Apr02 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 4.00 17% 4.70    
3  SOLIB Sep24 Aug12 Jul15 Jun10 May18 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 123 5.00    
4  DIAMOND COLLECTOR Oct08 Sep22 Aug31 Aug11 Mar18 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 123 12.00    
5  PROUD FOOT Sep22 Aug31 Aug16 Jul19 Jun10 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 12% 7.60    
6  ROJA LIGERA Sep22 Aug06 Jun24 May19 Mar24 (follett norma)SILVERA RUBEN 120 30.00    
SCR  WESTERN LANE Aug18 Jul19 Jun22 May28 Feb10 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50    
8  CUPIDS GIRL Oct07 Jun23 Apr22 Mar31 Mar11 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 123 5.00    
SCR  KISSES FOR EMILY Oct02 Sep05 Jul17 Jun19 May22 (linder loui)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 12.00    
 
BAQ-7   10/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME NATIVE Sep02 Jul27 May21 Apr07 Feb19 (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 123 1.60 48% 1.10    
2  BEZOS Sep16 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May06 (fisher)MARAGH RAMSAY 123 30.00    
3  KOOL KATHMANDU Sep16 Feb11 Dec16 Nov06   (baker charlton)LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00    
4  LEDDY Oct07 Sep16 Jul23 Jul08 Jun04 (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 121 30.00    
5  PAY ZONE Sep15 Aug17 Aug10 Jul21 May25 (kantarmaci me)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
6  DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Sep02 Aug19 Jul22 Jun22 May29 (rodriguez rudy)ORTIZ L 123 2.00 16% 5.40    
7  CAPONE Sep16 Sep17 Aug13 Jul01 Jun02 (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  SHAKY PANTS Sep17 Aug20 Sep24     (sharp joe)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 14% 5.90    
 
BAQ-8   10/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Carle Place Purse ($125K) 3 ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ACOUSTIC AVE Aug26 Jul16 Jun26 Nov25 Oct17 (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 118 12.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ROCK AVE. ROAD by STREET BOSS)
SCR  GASLIGHT DANCER Sep30 Sep02 Aug13 May13 Apr16 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of RAINDROPS DROPTOPS by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  SON OF A BIRCH Aug13 May20 May05 Jul30 Jul01 (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of URQUIA by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  SOUZAK (FR) Feb04 Jan07       (motion graham)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
  (by KODIAC out of SOUNAYA by NAYEF)
SCR  LISTENTOTHEMUSIC Jan11 Oct13 Sep01     (gargan dann)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 8.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of CLEOPATRA'S FINEST by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  FREEDOM ROAD Oct08 Aug05 Jul16 Jun21 May21 (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 120 30.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of LOVABLE LADY by NOT FOR LOVE)
SCR  BAL A KAZOO Oct08 Aug19 Jul08 Jun20 May28 (gorham robert)ORTIZ JR 120 5.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of GOLDEN SKY by SEA THE STARS)
SCR  VACATION DANCE Sep01 Aug17 Jul20 Jun18 May20 (kimmel john )CASTELLANO J 118 8.00    
  (by THE LIEUTENANT out of MATINEE EXPRESS by ZENSATIONAL)
9  JUST BEAT THE ODDS Sep09 Aug18 Jul22 Jul02 Jun11 (sacco gregory )LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of BELLA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
10  SIR LANCELOT Sep23 Aug26 Aug06 Jul16 Oct29 (stidham michae)ORTIZ L 120 5.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MADAME X SKI by POLISH NUMBERS)
11  SUPER CHOW Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 May20 Mar18 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 122 1.80 59% 0.70    
  (by LORD NELSON out of BONITA MIA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
SCR  TAPPIN JOSIE Sep28 Sep16 Aug05 Jun26 Jun02 (de horacio)RIDER TBA 122 8.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of HOMEMAKER by AFTERNOON DEELITES)
13  NINETYPRCENTMADDIE Sep23 Aug22 Jun26 May13 Apr15 (reid e)RIDER TBA 122 3.00 15% 5.70    
  (by WEIGELIA out of AMBLIN EASY by PRIVATE INTERVIEW)
 
BAQ-9   10/22/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLECT THE DATA         (brown c)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 27% 2.70    
  (by UPSTART out of DISCREET LADY by RIVOTIOUS)
2  DOLOMITE Sep01         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.00 39% 1.60    
  (by UNIFIED out of SUNSET RIDGE by ALGORITHMS)
3  CAROL T Sep23 Sep01       (jimenez l)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
  (by FROSTED out of STAGE LUCK by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  MIA NIPOTINA Oct01         (sells rachel)HARKIE K 119 20.00 5% 18.00    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of YOUNG ANNA LEE by POSSE)
5  MEL'S BABY SISTER         (giddings)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 10.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of CHILDHOOD DREAM by FREUD)
6  LOVE THYSELF Aug27 Jul26       (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 119 30.00    
  (by SOLOMINI out of MISS NARCISSIST by FREUD)
7  MUNNY GRAB Sep01         (de hor)RIVERA R 114 10.00 7% 12.70    
  (by MUNNINGS out of ANOTHER WORLD by CARR DE NASKRA)
8  MISS LAO         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of MISS NANCY by ARCH)
9  SCARLET'S DREAM         (reynolds patric)DAVIS DYLAN 119 15.00    
  (by MITOLE out of CLOUD JUMPER by SLEW'S ROYALTY)
SCR  EMPIRE MAGIC         (gargan danny)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MAJESTIC HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
SCR  NEW YORK BEACH         (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 119 15.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of BEACH by TRICKY CREEK)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.