Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - September 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-2   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $5.48 $1.48 37%
CD-5   WIN (12/8/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $8.58 $0.58 7%
CD-6   DD (12/8/10/6)-(3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-3 $16.44 $4.44 37%
CD-7   EXA (5/6/7/8)-(5/6/7/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-8 $32.52 $8.52 36%
    TRI (5/6/7/8)-(5/6/7/8)-(5/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-8-7 $45.43 $33.43 279%
    SFT (5/6/7/8)-(5/6/7/8)-(5/6/7/8)-(5/6/7/8) 24 $0.10 $2.40  5-8-7-6 $47.35 $44.95 1873%
CD-8   EXA (7/11/9/6)-(7/11/9/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-6 $37.50 $13.50 56%
CD-9   EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00  5-4 $15.24 $3.24 27%
CD-11   WIN (6/8/11/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $17.72 $7.72 77%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJOR FED   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 28% 2.60 0.55 W
2  THE HONORABLE ONE   (engler jeff)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 12.00 30.84  
3  COUSIN LARRY   (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 19.22  
5  SHORTLIST   (van tho)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 26% 2.90 7.64  
4  TREASURY   (forster t)GRAHAM J 122 5.00 12% 7.50 5.68  
8  COOL RAGS   (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 122 4.50 11% 7.80 9.37  
6  BOISE   (habeeb donald )SAEZ GABRIEL 122 20.00 22.48  
7  WHAT A COUNTRY   (shirer m)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 11.01  
 
CD-2   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:17
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SPARKLE OF HOPE   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 20% 4.00 1.74 W
1  MAGNA MASSA   (irion heat)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 3.29  
2  PILLBOX   (joseph saffi)GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.00 51% 1.00 1.96 S
6  MOTOWN MIKA   (o'connor robe)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 14.35  
4  HARMONICA   (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 3.68  
SCR  DEAR LADY   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.80    
SCR  TERRANOVA   (williamso)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00    
 
CD-3   09/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:47
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  UNINVITED GUEST   (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00 3.01  
4  TRES SOLES   (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 7% 13.30 5.09 P
8  COASTAL DEFENSE   (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 5.00 18% 4.70 6.57 S
6  DOCTOR NASH   (tomlinson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 7.51  
7  TAKE THE CHARGE   (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 9.41  
9  NULLARBOR   (manley st)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 6.00 16.15  
5  TEPEU   (walsh br)SANTANA JR 122 3.00 50% 1.00 1.53  
SCR  G T FIVE HUNDRED   (mason ingr)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00    
SCR  ROYAL ACT   (diodoro r)TORRES A 122 4.00    
 
CD-4   09/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 2 ALL PT- 2:17
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WOODCOURT   (walsh bre)TORRES A 120 5.00 11.59  
6  LEGAL TITAN   (ewing michael)CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00 8.72  
3  COPPER MISSILE   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.50 33% 2.00 0.98 S
2  VALUE ENGINEER   (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 117 3.00 19% 4.20 3.57  
9  STEELER MISCHIEF   (gutierrez )CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 9% 10.20 13.32  
8  SAVE THE KING   (davis christopher)GRAHAM J 122 15.00 24.92  
5  HAM SANDWICH   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 16% 5.10 8.58  
1  STRIKING SPARKS   (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 120 15.00 32.73  
7  DUMBSTRUCK   (wilson s)SANTANA JR 122 8.00 14.23  
SCR  THE PROCESS   (devaux ch)TORRES A 120 2.00    
 
CD-5   09/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PURSUIT OF LIBERTY   (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 23% 3.30 3.29 W
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MEDIA MADNESS by EMPIRE MAKER)
12  LADY MOSCATO   (lukas wayn)TORRES A 114 3.00 50% 1.00 2.47 P
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of THEYCALLMELADYLUCK by DIXIE UNION)
3  NORISKIT NOBISCUIT   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 9.12  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of CHATEAU HOPE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
2  CALLE REINA   (beckman whit)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 44.03  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ETCHING by PAYNTER)
10  MY FAVORITE GIRL   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 7% 13.70 3.59  
  (by CONNECT out of REMEMBER LUCY by TALE OF EKATI)
9  MURPHY'S GIFT   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00 10.32  
  (by STREET SENSE out of CALI THIRTY SEVEN by ESKENDEREYA)
4  SPEAK UP   (arnold george )CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00 67.65  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of NO FAULT by BLAME)
5  THORNY   (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 7.03  
  (by VIOLENCE out of BOULE by EXCHANGE RATE)
7  STARINA   (catalano )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 ★ 26.25  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of REBRIDLED DREAMS by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  HONOR CAT   (diodoro r)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 22.13  
  (by HONOR CODE out of SENSE OF WAR by STREET SENSE)
1  BUMP IN THE NIGHT   (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 119 15.00 28.24  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of MAJESTIC RIVER by IRISH RIVER (FR))
11  PRETTY GIRLS UNION   (leonard georg)TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00 82.66  
  (by UNION RAGS out of HOLLYWOOD GLORY by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
 
CD-6   09/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FIGHTERTOWN   (amoss thomas )GILLIGAN JACK 118 3.00 34% 2.00 2.23 W
7  SINGLE RULER   (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50 3.93  
6  CARNIVORE   (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 17% 4.80 4.58 S
4  BUCKTOWN   (west etha)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 9.55  
1  IMPULSIVENESS   (irion heat)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00 10.52  
2  LAST COOKIE   (urieta johan)TORRES A 113 15.00 13.03  
5  LOVE SPELL   (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 19% 4.20 2.72  
SCR  TIMELY PROSPECT   (mckeever andr)CANNON DECLAN 122 6.00    
 
CD-7   09/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  YOUR SO SILLEA   (sims phili)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50 41% 1.40 1.42 W
8  KANTEX   (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00 7% 12.40 8.84 P
7  LEELOO   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 10.00 8% 11.00 9.09 S
6  ALTERED SHOT   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 15% 5.80 4.54  
3  MY KENTUCKY GIRL   (engler jeff)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 121 15.00 16.30  
9  FOUR DAWN   (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00 5.50  
10  FAST AND FEMININE   (snipes randy)STEVENS C 116 20.00 45.76  
2  ROCK STAR PARKING   (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 8.00 8.88  
11  MERCY WARREN   (o'connor rober)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 10.78  
SCR  MEGAN'S CLARA   (casse no)SANTANA JR 121 4.00    
SCR  SLACK TIDE   (forster grant)MORALES EDGAR 121 30.00    
 
CD-8   09/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Jefferson Cup Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 4:25
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MORE THAN LOOKS   (devaux ch)TORRES A 120 2.50 53% 0.90 1.63 W
  (by MORE THAN READY out of LADIES' PRIVILEGE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  SMOKEY MANDATE   (maker j)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.32 P
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of EVEN FOREST by EVEN THE SCORE)
3  WORTHINGTON   (maker mic)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00 25.94  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of REVA by MONARCHOS)
1  OCEAN POINTE   (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 118 6.00 6.05  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of WEST PALM BEACH by SCAT DADDY)
4  NOISES OFF   (lobo paulo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 3.68  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of UZZIEL by HARLINGTON)
9  OCEAN VISION (IRE)   (delgado gus)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 6% 14.70 5.92  
  (by U S NAVY FLAG out of BALAAGHA by MR. GREELEY)
11  GASLIGHT DANCER   (maker michae)TORRES A 118 6.00 15% 5.70 5.69  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of RAINDROPS DROPTOPS by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
2  TIVERTON (GB)   (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 35.59  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of MRS HOWELL by ALTERNATION)
5  MIDNIGHT WEST   (medina tomas)MOJICA O 118 30.00 82.23  
  (by GET STORMY out of CUPIDS GALLOP by VICTORY GALLOP)
SCR  DESERT DUKE   (hartman chri)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DESERT DUCHESS by HARD SPUN)
SCR  ENDPOINT   (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of VENTURINI by BERNARDINI)
 
CD-9   09/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC12 FAST Ack Ack Purse ($400K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ZOZOS   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.20 48% 1.10 0.77 W
  (by MUNNINGS out of PAPA'S FOREST by FORESTRY)
4  STAGE RAIDER   (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 8% 12.20 6.70 P
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of STAGE MAGIC by LAOMEDONTE)
3  THREE TECHNIQUE   (cook b)BEJARANO R 121 3.00 4.25  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of NITE IN ROME by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
2  O BESOS   (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50 4.11  
  (by ORB out of SNUGGS AND KISSES by SOTO (VEN))
7  CADDO RIVER   (lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00 24.25  
  (by HARD SPUN out of PANGBURN by CONGRATS)
1  SEIZE THE NIGHT   (cunningham jade)COURT K 121 12.00 22.81  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of CANDLE MAKER by TAPIT)
6  SKYRO   (lynch a)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 19% 4.20 18.91  
  (by VERRAZANO out of TIZ RO by HARD SPUN)
 
CD-10   09/30/2023 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Lukas Classic Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CLAPTON   (summers c)TORRES A 123 6.00 8.16  
  (by BRETHREN out of ALEXANDRA RYLEE by AFLEET ALEX)
5  TRADEMARK   (oliver victor)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00 7.80  
  (by UPSTART out of CREATIVE TRICK by CREATIVE CAUSE)
6  BLUE DEVIL   (hiles je)SANTANA JR 121 20.00 14.63  
  (by UNCLE MO out of APOLOGIZE by JUMRON (GB))
4  RATTLE N ROLL   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 123 1.40 22% 3.60 1.30  
  (by CONNECT out of JAZZ TUNE by JOHANNESBURG)
1  HAPPY AMERICAN   (pessin l)GRAHAM J 123 8.00 9% 10.20 8.66  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of QUEEN OF AMERICA by QUIET AMERICAN)
9  AMERICANREVOLUTION   (pletcher t)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 35% 1.90 2.47  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of POLLY FREEZE by SUPER SAVER)
7  WHELEN SPRINGS   (schultz lindsay)FERRER C 123 12.00 18.92  
  (by STREET SENSE out of HOLY NOVA by PURE PRIZE)
8  FIVE STAR GENERAL   (forster t)LANERIE J 121 15.00 10% 8.70 18.69  
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of PARTY OF INTEREST by BERNARDINI)
SCR  WARRANT   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of WHISPER NUMBER by FIRST SAMURAI)
 
CD-11   09/30/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BRIGADE COMMANDER   (stewart dall)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50 6% 14.60 7.86 W
  (by HARD SPUN out of INSPEIGHT OF US by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
1  ATHENS MOON   (stall alber)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 8.84  
  (by NYQUIST out of GASP by TINAJERO)
10  MISSIONAIRE   (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 10.00 20.52  
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of DIVINITE by MR. SIDNEY)
12  NOW THAT ICAN ROCK   (michael brian)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00 34.22  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of WESTSIDE SINGER by GONE WEST)
2  ROYAL SALUTE   (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 9% 10.00 12.24  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of ELOQUENTLY by DANSILI)
9  GIVEN TO FLY (IRE)   (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00 5.72  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of MAGIC AMERICA by HIGH YIELD)
3  ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN   (pletcher t)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 31.82  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of LETCHWORTH by TIZNOW)
6  ELEGANT TRIP   (arnold george)GARCIA MARTIN 120 4.00 27% 2.70 3.07  
  (by TOURIST out of NATIVE TALENT by A.P. INDY)
4  HOGSLAYERS R I P   (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 15.00 17.32  
  (by UNION RAGS out of SCATTER GUN by SCAT DADDY)
11  ROYAL SANDRIN   (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00 10% 8.90 7.09  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of GENEROSIDADE by NEDAWI)
5  ORBI ONE   (ortiz jo)SANTANA JR 120 8.00 8.17  
  (by ORB out of HONEY LAKE by HONEYLAND)
8  METALLURGIC   (maker michae)GEROUX FLORENT 120 5.00 25% 3.10 6.35  
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of DIFFER by PULPIT)
SCR  AUDEN   (mott i)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of FILIMBI by MIZZEN MAST)
SCR  PILKINGTON   (diodoro r)TORRES A 120 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of STORMIN ELLE by STORMELLO)
SCR  PROVISIONAL   (matejka pavel)BEJARANO R 120 20.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BUBBLER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  WE WILL CONQUER   (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of ASPIRING by SEEKING THE GOLD)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.