Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Churchill Downs
Saturday - September 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
CD-1   Win (1/5/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-2   Win (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-3   Win (5/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-4   Win (3/2/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-5   Win (12/8/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-6   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-7   Win (5/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-8   Win (7/11/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-9   Win (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-10   Win (9/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-11   Win (6/8/11/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
CD-1   09/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAJOR FED Jul23 Jun22 May27 Nov13 Oct20 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 1.60 28% 2.60    
2  THE HONORABLE ONE May22 Apr19 Feb28 Feb09 Dec30 (engler jeff)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 12.00    
3  COUSIN LARRY Sep11 Jul19 May28 May11 Mar26 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
4  TREASURY Jul19 Jul01 Mar25 Feb11 Jan14 (forster t)GRAHAM J 122 5.00 12% 7.50    
5  SHORTLIST Sep12 Aug11 Jun25 Jun02 Apr16 (van thoma)GEROUX FLORENT 122 6.00 26% 2.90    
6  BOISE Sep02 Jun04 May19 May04 Feb24 (habeeb j)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 20.00    
7  WHAT A COUNTRY Sep14 Jul20 Jul02 May26 Mar31 (shirer mat)SANTANA JR 122 8.00    
8  COOL RAGS Sep14 Aug06 Jul02 Jun01 Apr27 (foster eric)ACHARD ALEX 122 4.50 11% 7.80    
 
CD-2   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($66K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNA MASSA Sep04 Aug06 Jul12 Jun22 May27 (irion heathe)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
2  PILLBOX Mar26 Mar01 Feb01 Apr28   (joseph saffie )GEROUX FLORENT 121 2.00 51% 1.00    
3  SPARKLE OF HOPE Aug27 Jun11 Sep23 Jul03 Jun08 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 20% 4.00    
4  HARMONICA Aug10 May29 Jan11 Nov26 Oct12 (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00    
SCR  DEAR LADY Sep01 Jul22 Feb11 Jan20 Dec31 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.80    
6  MOTOWN MIKA Sep15 Aug01 Jun15 Apr26 Mar31 (o'connor robert)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  TERRANOVA Aug08 Jul03 May19 Jan16 Dec22 (williamson )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 121 8.00    
 
CD-3   09/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  G T FIVE HUNDRED Aug30 Jul13 May28 May04 Apr16 (mason ingrid)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00    
2  UNINVITED GUEST Jul02 May11 Apr23 Feb11 Jan15 (mcgee paul)TALAMO JOSEPH 122 8.00    
SCR  ROYAL ACT May06 Mar31 Mar03 Jan28 Dec31 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 122 4.00    
4  TRES SOLES Aug27 Jul02 Jun16 May12 Apr16 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00 7% 13.30    
5  TEPEU Aug04 Jun22 May13 Apr15 Oct01 (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
6  DOCTOR NASH Sep02 Jan29 Dec11 Nov06 Sep30 (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 122 8.00    
7  TAKE THE CHARGE Aug13 Jul13 Jun10 Dec19 Nov20 (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00    
8  COASTAL DEFENSE Sep20 Aug06 Jun22 May06 Mar04 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 5.00 18% 4.70    
9  NULLARBOR Sep16 Aug20 Jul30 Jul08 Jun15 (manley stev)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 6.00    
 
CD-4   09/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 2 ALL PT- 2:17
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIKING SPARKS Jul29 Jul12       (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 120 15.00    
2  VALUE ENGINEER Sep10 Aug19 Aug03     (maker michael )TORRES A 117 3.00 19% 4.20    
3  COPPER MISSILE Aug31 Jul15       (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
4  WOODCOURT Sep09 Aug12 Jun17 Apr20   (walsh brend)TORRES A 120 5.00    
5  HAM SANDWICH Aug31 Aug13 Jul15 Jun10   (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 16% 5.10    
6  LEGAL TITAN Sep10 Jul14 Jun10 Apr20   (ewing a)CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00    
7  DUMBSTRUCK Aug21 Jul04       (wilson sha)SANTANA JR 122 8.00    
8  SAVE THE KING Aug27 Aug11       (davis christopher)GRAHAM J 122 15.00    
9  STEELER MISCHIEF Sep03         (gutierrez fa)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  THE PROCESS Aug27         (devaux cher)TORRES A 120 2.00    
 
CD-5   09/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUMP IN THE NIGHT         (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 119 15.00    
2  CALLE REINA Aug13 Jul01 May20     (beckman whitwo)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
3  NORISKIT NOBISCUIT Sep03 Aug06       (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00    
4  SPEAK UP         (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00    
5  THORNY         (mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00    
6  HONOR CAT Jun29 May19       (diodoro rob)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  STARINA         (catalano way)MICHEL MICKAELLE 119 10.00 ★    
8  PURSUIT OF LIBERTY Aug18         (cox h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
9  MURPHY'S GIFT         (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 12.00    
10  MY FAVORITE GIRL Sep14         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00 7% 13.70    
11  PRETTY GIRLS UNION         (leonard george )TALAMO JOSEPH 119 30.00    
12  LADY MOSCATO Sep03 Aug06 Jul13 Jun16   (lukas wayne)TORRES A 114 3.00 50% 1.00    
 
CD-6   09/30/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPULSIVENESS Aug30 Jul08 Jun14 May11 Apr23 (irion heathe)CORRALES GERARDO 122 15.00    
2  LAST COOKIE Aug29 Aug15 Jul26 Jul10 Jun24 (urieta johanna)TORRES A 113 15.00    
3  FIGHTERTOWN Aug06 Jun15 May21 Feb26 Jan21 (amoss m)GILLIGAN JACK 118 3.00 34% 2.00    
4  BUCKTOWN Jul24 Jul06 May04 Mar17 Feb11 (west ethan )HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
5  LOVE SPELL Jul22 Jun25 Jun03 Feb26 Jan14 (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 19% 4.20    
6  CARNIVORE Sep10 Aug19 Jul16 Jun02 May05 (shorter aaron)BEJARANO R 122 6.00 17% 4.80    
7  SINGLE RULER Sep03 Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 Jun11 (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 118 2.50    
SCR  TIMELY PROSPECT Aug23 Jul18 Jun15 May25 Apr27 (mckeever andrew)CANNON DECLAN 122 6.00    
 
CD-7   09/30/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MEGAN'S CLARA Jul15 Jun03 Mar25 Feb26 May30 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 121 4.00    
2  ROCK STAR PARKING Aug01 Jun23 Jan14 Jan01 Dec21 (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 8.00    
3  MY KENTUCKY GIRL Aug28 Aug06 Jun11 May13 Apr15 (engler jeff)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 121 15.00    
SCR  SLACK TIDE Jul23 Jun25 Jun04 Apr29 Apr02 (forster t)MORALES EDGAR 121 30.00    
5  YOUR SO SILLEA Jun30 May13 Apr15 Mar16 Feb23 (sims philip )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.50 41% 1.40    
6  ALTERED SHOT Aug06 Jun22 May12 Mar17 Feb24 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.00 15% 5.80    
7  LEELOO Aug26 Mar18 Feb24 Jan27 Dec09 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 10.00 8% 11.00    
8  KANTEX Aug28 Jun23 May04 Apr22 Mar19 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00 7% 12.40    
9  FOUR DAWN Aug12 Jul16 Nov09 Oct10 Sep15 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 123 6.00    
10  FAST AND FEMININE Sep09 Aug01 Jul08 Jun21 Apr22 (snipes randy)STEVENS C 116 20.00    
11  MERCY WARREN Aug28 Jul23 Jun30 Feb25 Jan01 (o'connor robert )MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00    
 
CD-8   09/30/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Jefferson Cup Purse ($200K) 3 ALL PT- 4:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OCEAN POINTE Sep17 Aug04 Jul19 Jun17 May17 (estvanko richa)RAMOS D 118 6.00    
2  TIVERTON (GB)         (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
3  WORTHINGTON Aug05 Jun21 May17 Mar25 Feb11 (maker micha)LEPAROUX R 118 20.00    
4  NOISES OFF Aug31 Jul23 Jun22 May14 Mar25 (lobo h)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
5  MIDNIGHT WEST Sep14 Aug28 Aug02 Jun14 May29 (medina tomas)MOJICA O 118 30.00    
6  SMOKEY MANDATE Sep02 Jul07 May06 Mar25 Mar11 (maker j)GRAHAM J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MORE THAN LOOKS Aug11 Jul07 Jun17 Apr28 Mar31 (devaux cher)TORRES A 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
SCR  DESERT DUKE Aug05 Jul01 Jun03 May06 Apr15 (hartman chris)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
9  OCEAN VISION (IRE) Aug11         (delgado gusta)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 5.00 6% 14.70    
SCR  ENDPOINT Aug04 Jul07 Dec31 Nov26 Oct20 (lobo h)CORRALES GERARDO 118 30.00    
11  GASLIGHT DANCER Sep02 Aug13 May13 Apr16 Nov04 (maker michael )TORRES A 118 6.00 15% 5.70    
 
CD-9   09/30/2023 5280ft DIRT RC12 FAST Ack Ack Purse ($400K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEIZE THE NIGHT Aug13 Jul02 Jun11 Apr22 Apr07 (cunningham jade)COURT K 121 12.00    
2  O BESOS Jul22 Nov05 Oct01 Apr09 Feb19 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 3.50    
3  THREE TECHNIQUE Jul01 May27 May06 Apr08 Nov05 (cook b)BEJARANO R 121 3.00    
4  STAGE RAIDER Aug13 Jun15 Apr16 Jul23 May28 (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 8% 12.20    
5  ZOZOS Aug19 Jul02 May06 Mar02 Jan21 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 1.20 48% 1.10    
6  SKYRO Jan28 Dec15 Oct23 Sep01 Jul04 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 19% 4.20    
7  CADDO RIVER Jun01 May06 Apr01 Feb25 Jan21 (lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00    
 
CD-10   09/30/2023 5940ft DIRT RC13 FAST Lukas Classic Purse ($500K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAPPY AMERICAN Jul01 Jun03 Apr22 Mar25 Feb18 (pessin l)GRAHAM J 123 8.00 9% 10.20    
2  CLAPTON Sep02 Jul08 May19 Apr01 Mar12 (summers cha)TORRES A 123 6.00    
SCR  WARRANT Aug18 Jul08 Jun10 May03 Apr02 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00    
4  RATTLE N ROLL Sep02 Jul01 Jun03 May19 Apr22 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 123 1.40 22% 3.60    
5  TRADEMARK Aug19 Jul08 Jun17 Jun01 Apr22 (oliver victoria)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00    
6  BLUE DEVIL Aug18 Jul14 Jun24 Jun01 Feb17 (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 121 20.00    
7  WHELEN SPRINGS Aug19 Jul22 Jun17 May05 Mar17 (schultz lindsay)FERRER C 123 12.00    
8  FIVE STAR GENERAL Aug13 Jul08 Apr08 Mar02 Dec26 (forster t)LANERIE J 121 15.00 10% 8.70    
9  AMERICANREVOLUTION Aug11 Sep03 Jul02 Jun04   (pletcher tod)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.50 35% 1.90    
 
CD-11   09/30/2023 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATHENS MOON Sep09 Jul07 May21     (stall albert )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00    
2  ROYAL SALUTE Aug27 Jul23 Jun22 Dec10 Oct15 (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 9% 10.00    
3  ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN Aug26         (pletcher tod)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00    
4  HOGSLAYERS R I P Aug31 Jul23 Jan22     (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 15.00    
5  ORBI ONE Aug27 Jul23 Jun22 May25 May11 (ortiz john)SANTANA JR 120 8.00    
6  ELEGANT TRIP Sep02 Aug12       (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
7  BRIGADE COMMANDER Sep09 Jul23 Jun22 May14 Apr16 (stewart dallas)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50 6% 14.60    
8  METALLURGIC Aug31 Aug04 Jul15     (maker michael )GEROUX FLORENT 120 5.00 25% 3.10    
9  GIVEN TO FLY (IRE)         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
10  MISSIONAIRE Sep03 Apr27 Mar18 Jan28   (diodoro rob)TORRES A 120 10.00    
11  ROYAL SANDRIN Mar10 Feb24 Jan20     (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00 10% 8.90    
12  NOW THAT ICAN ROCK Aug27 Jun22 May21 Apr20 Mar25 (michael brian)MORALES EDGAR 120 15.00    
SCR  WE WILL CONQUER May29         (medina robert)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
SCR  PROVISIONAL Aug26         (matejka pavel)BEJARANO R 120 20.00    
SCR  AUDEN Sep09         (mott i)GRAHAM J 120 6.00    
SCR  PILKINGTON Sep09 Jul28       (diodoro rob)TORRES A 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.