Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Emerald Downs
Sunday - July 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-4 $7.30 $1.30 22%
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-4-3 $6.40 $3.40 113%
EMD-2   DD (2/4/3)-(3/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-6 $16.40 $4.40 37%
EMD-3   WIN (5/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $14.00 $6.00 75%
    EXA (5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-7 $21.10 $9.10 76%
    DD (3/1/6/2)-(5/7/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  6-4 $19.70 $3.70 23%
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(3/1/6/2)-(5/7/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00  2-6-4 $36.55 $12.55 52%
EMD-4   WIN (6/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $30.00 $22.00 275%
    EXA (6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-6 $45.70 $33.70 281%
    DD (5/7/4/1)-(6/7/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-3 $138.60 $122.60 766%
    PK3 (3/1/6/2)-(5/7/4/1)-(6/7/3/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00  6-4-3 $142.55 $110.55 345%
    PK4 (2/4/3)-(3/1/6/2)-(5/7/4/1)-(6/7/3/5) 192 $0.50 $96.00  2-6/8-4-3 $504.50 $408.50 426%
EMD-5   TRI (1/7/6/2)-(1/7/6/2)-(1/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-7-2 $18.15 $6.15 51%
    DD (6/7/3/5)-(1/7/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-1 $27.20 $11.20 70%
    PK3 (5/7/4/1)-(6/7/3/5)-(1/7/6/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00  4-3-1 $117.65 $85.65 268%

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   07/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:112 1:244   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTERN DREAM 2 4 45 57 4 2nk 1 (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 123 1.80 32% 2.10 1.90 W
CAMDEN HIGH 4 3 3 3 3 1nk 2 (morris michael )BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.00 29% 2.50 3.20 P
GET MY POINT 3 2 22 2 11 3½ 3 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 2.50 18% 4.40 1.50 S
LUVAHAPPYENDING 1 5 56 4 52 4 411¾ (mccanna tim)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.50 5.90  
A LITTLE GRACE 5 1 12 1 21 5 520 (dronen sam)RADKE K 119 6.00 10.60  
SCR  LUCINDA RELLA               (harwood m)MONTALVO C 123 8.00    
 
EMD-2   07/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 2 ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:221 :453       :582   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARKER'S FIFTEEN 6 3 2½ 1   13 1 (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 117 2.50 15% 5.50 1.30 W
SHILSHOLE BAY 4 2 32 2   23 2 (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 117 6.00 6.70  
LUCCA'S LEGACY 1 1 1½ 3   34 3 (cryderman candi)BOWEN ROCCO 120 3.50 18% 4.50 2.50 S
TERNI VALENTINO 7 4 44 4   47 4 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 120 8.00 12.20  
MIRRORED 3 7 6 54   5 511 (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 120 4.50 18% 4.40 5.60  
DERBY BOY 2 5 54 6   6 613 (gibson vince)MATIAS J 120 6.00 14% 6.10 11.40  
FLY PARKER FLY 5 6 7 7   7 713 (martinez b)ZUNINO L 117 15.00 17.80  
SCR  CHINOOK BEND               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 120 8.00    
 
EMD-3   07/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:22 :441 1:10     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AVANTI LEAH 4 4 7 45   2 1¼ (cooper kay)VALDES ALEXIS 121 6.00 13% 6.90 6.00 W
  (by LEA out of COURTING DELILAH by FLOWER ALLEY)
STAY SASSY 7 1 1nk 22   1 2¼ (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 2.50 13% 6.50 1.70 P
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of PIPPA BOU PEEP by HARBOR THE GOLD)
SQUARE FUN 2 2 32 35   44 3 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.50 4.70  
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of FUNNY BELLE by SHARP HUMOR)
NATION'S BELLE 6 5 2nk 12   33 410½ (cooper kay)OROZCO E 121 4.50 9.00  
  (by NATIONHOOD out of BELLTOWN BEAUTY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
PLATINUM PHANTOM 3 3 5 68   57 512 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 12.00 13.20  
  (by MOHAYMEN out of JOY'S JAGUAR by KITTEN'S JOY)
SHE HAD A SECRET 1 7 6 7   68 614¾ (roberson don)RADKE K 125 15.00 5% 19.00 14.70  
  (by HE'S HAD ENOUGH out of CARMEN'S SECRET by DISTINCTION)
CHAMP OF PAGNE 5 6 43 57   79 719 (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 121 3.00 52% 0.90 2.50  
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of CHAMPAGNE EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
EMD-4   07/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Washington State Legislators Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:22 :442 1:09     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR LYLA GRACE 3 5 53 5   4¾ 1¼ (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 119 8.00 17% 4.80 14.00 W
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of DARLING GRACE by NAYEF)
BLAZINGBELLABLU 6 3 6 4   1½ 2¼ (essex charles)CRUZ M 123 2.00 39% 1.60 1.70 P
  (by GRAZEN out of BELLOMESA by SKY MESA)
TIZ A MACHO GIRL 1 7 7 7   6 3 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50 2.80  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of COURTIZANNA by TIZNOW)
CAUSE SHE'S A LADY 5 2 11 1nk   2½ 42 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 119 10.00 5% 19.00 11.10  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of WARRIORSCMOUTOPLAY by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
SLACK TIDE 7 1 4 31   3½ 5 (wright blaine)NEGRON LUIS 119 3.00 19% 4.30 2.70  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of IMPEACHED by PETESKI)
YOUNG LIFE LAURA 4 4 31 2nk   5¾ 66 (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 116 30.00 24.80  
  (by MR. RANCHO VISTA out of CHEDOODLEJO by LIBERTY GOLD)
ZIPPIN SEVENZ 2 6 21 6   7 713½ (bozell alan)RADKE K 119 4.00 8.20  
  (by COAST GUARD out of GO JACKIE GO by MATTY G)
 
EMD-5   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
See original race card.
:221 :451 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER CLASSIC 1 6 5 42   21 1¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 1.60 55% 0.80 0.80 W
SUMMANUS 6 2 1nk 2½   11 2¾ (cooper kay)RADKE K 123 3.00 23% 3.30 2.20 P
ATTORNEY LOUIS 2 4 2nk 1½   3 3 (toye joe)ANAYA V 125 12.00 5% 19.00 35.10 S
NORTHERN BLEND 7 3 3.2 3   4 48 (dronen sam)BOWEN ROCCO 123 20.00 27.50  
PERFECT ONE 3 5 6 5   55 58 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 123 4.50 5.40  
TAP THE BANK 4 7 7 7   6 6 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 125 15.00 33.50  
RAMPATIOUS 5 1 4¾ 6   7 713½ (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 125 8.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
SCR  HOLLYWOOD AS USUAL               (chattong vi)ORTIZ A 123 6.00    
 
EMD-6   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:11
See original race card.
:214 :443 :563     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE CALABRESE KID 2 4 2 22   11 1 (perez hi)AMADOR RUIZ 125 10.00 21.50  
D K'S CROWN 4 1 34 44   3 2 (silva-martinez )BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.00 22% 3.50 5.80 P
EL CHAVO DEL OCHO 5 5 5 5   4 3 (gibson vince)MATIAS J 125 1.80 44% 1.30 2.20 S
ROUSING RUBBLE 1 2 1 12   21 4 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 123 2.50 14% 6.20 0.70  
R B EYE 3 6 6 6   67 5 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 123 12.00 18.40  
SIX BLESSINGS 6 3 46 34   5 6 (wright blaine)VALDES ALEXIS 123 6.00 14.80  
SCR  PICK YOUR BID               (chattong vi)ORTIZ A 123 8.00    
 
EMD-7   07/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:223 :443 1:082     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP EXECUTIVE 1 4 6 31   2nk 1 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 123 5.00 39% 1.60 1.60 W
ARMA D'ORO 4 6 52 5   4¾ 2 (markle dan)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.00 22% 3.60 1.80 P
LUCKY LAD 5 2 2½ 2nk   1nk 32 (gabriel lu)ORANTES R 120 6.00 5.50  
EXCLUSIVE SPEAKER 3 5 4 6   5 4 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 3.50 7.90  
EL ALTO HOMBRE 2 1 1½ 1nk   3.2 5 (kowalski liz)MONTALVO C 123 20.00 16.30  
MISSED THE BOAT 6 3 3½ 4   6 6 (cryderman s)RADKE K 123 4.50 16% 5.30 6.10  
SCR  DIRT ROAD RED               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.00    
SCR  HARD TO DENY               (allen marshall)ZUNINO L 123 30.00    
 
EMD-8   07/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Governor's Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:22
See original race card.
:214 :44 1:081     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLEW'S TIZ WHIZ 5 2 6 6   31 1 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 120 2.50 19% 4.20 1.80 W
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of ROS'S GIRL by ROSBERG)
BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR 4 4 2½ 1nk   11 2 (troiani niccol)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 39% 1.60 2.80 P
  (by FULLBRIDLED out of NEARLYCOCKTAILTIME by THISNEARLYWASMINE)
10  ZESTFUL 10 9 5 5   21 3 (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00 5.10  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SWEET RELISH by SMOKE GLACKEN)
SMILING GOODBYE 3 6 42 4   4 4 (peery debbie)NEGRON LUIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00 9.40  
  (by SMILING TIGER out of QUICKLY GONE by MUQTARIB)
COASTAL KID 7 3 7 8   6 5 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 120 6.00 19% 4.40 6.10  
  (by COAST GUARD out of CREME by SOMERSHAM)
A MAN'S MAN 9 8 3 31   53 6 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 120 8.00 12.60  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of LONGING by LYPHARD'S WISH (FR))
YOU'RE THE CAUSE 1 10 1012 10   10 7 (van debbie)MATIAS J 120 20.00 36.90  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of TIZ ATLANTIS by TIZNOW)
ITSALLABOUTTHERIDE 8 1 98 7   7 8 (jenne bo)AMADOR RUIZ 120 15.00 5% 19.00 25.30  
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of HOLY ROSE by TOUCH GOLD)
MUNCEY 6 7 8 9   8 910 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 120 15.00 49.50  
  (by MUNNINGS out of CAMILLE C by ROMAN DANCER)
POLACCO 2 5 1½ 2nk   9 1021½ (soranno jill)RADKE K 120 15.00 39.80  
  (by BLUEGRASS CAT out of PENNY N MITZI by MORE THAN READY)
 
EMD-9   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:51
See original race card.
:214 :443 :562     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHATWASITHINKING 5 4 11 1   1 1 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.20 32% 2.10 0.90 W
DEMOCRAT 4 3 4 3   2 2 (crowe shelly)CRUZ M 125 4.50 9% 9.80 6.30 P
GOLD RUSH CANDY 1 2 5 4   45 3 (lawrence heath)BOWEN ROCCO 125 3.50 31% 2.20 2.70 S
IDIDNTSEETHATCOMIN 6 1 21 2   34 4 (jenne bo)AMADOR RUIZ 125 6.00 9.10  
STREET DEMAND 7 6 6 5   5 58 (bean rober)ORANTES R 125 20.00 32.30  
PRINCE OF LUCK 2 5 31 6   6 6 (freeman v)RADKE K 125 10.00 7% 13.70 7.80  
KINGSTEN'S GOLD 3 7 711¼ 7   711½ 716½ (martinez b)ZUNINO L 125 15.00 24.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.