Handicappers' Racing Form

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Emerald Downs
Sunday - July 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EMD-1   Win (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-2   Win (3/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
EMD-3   Win (5/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
EMD-4   Win (6/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
EMD-5   Win (1/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
EMD-6   Win (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-7   Win (1/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-8   Win (4/5/7/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
EMD-9   Win (5/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
EMD-1   07/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUVAHAPPYENDING Jul03 Oct16 Oct10 Sep18 Sep10 (mccanna tim)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.50    
WESTERN DREAM Jun11 May14 Jul24     (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 123 1.80 32% 2.10    
GET MY POINT Jul14 Jun18 Apr30 Apr22 Apr07 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 2.50 18% 4.40    
CAMDEN HIGH Jul07 Jun16 May29 May13 Apr01 (morris l)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.00 29% 2.50    
A LITTLE GRACE Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 May14 Feb10 (dronen sam)RADKE K 119 6.00    
SCR  LUCINDA RELLA Jun24 May29 May13 Aug28 Jul10 (harwood m)MONTALVO C 123 8.00    
 
EMD-2   07/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 2 ALL PT- 5:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCCA'S LEGACY Jun25 May14       (cryderman candice)BOWEN ROCCO 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
DERBY BOY         (gibson vince)MATIAS J 120 6.00 14% 6.10    
MIRRORED         (lucarelli fran)OROZCO E 120 4.50 18% 4.40    
SHILSHOLE BAY         (martinez d)AMADOR RUIZ 117 6.00    
FLY PARKER FLY Jul08         (martinez b)ZUNINO L 117 15.00    
PARKER'S FIFTEEN Jul09         (cryderman candice)CRUZ M 117 2.50 15% 5.50    
TERNI VALENTINO Jul09         (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 120 8.00    
SCR  CHINOOK BEND Jul09         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 120 8.00    
 
EMD-3   07/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHE HAD A SECRET Jul03 May21 Apr29 Apr16 Mar28 (roberson don)RADKE K 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
SQUARE FUN Jun25 Jun11 May28 May05 Apr07 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.50    
PLATINUM PHANTOM Jul03 Jun16 May29     (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 12.00    
AVANTI LEAH Jul03 Jun16       (cooper kay)VALDES ALEXIS 121 6.00 13% 6.90    
CHAMP OF PAGNE Jul03         (martinez d)AMADOR RUIZ 121 3.00 52% 0.90    
NATION'S BELLE May20 Sep17       (cooper kay)OROZCO E 121 4.50    
STAY SASSY Jul03 Sep17       (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 2.50 13% 6.50    
 
EMD-4   07/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Washington State Legislators Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ A MACHO GIRL Jun10 May27 Mar05 Feb11 Jan23 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50    
ZIPPIN SEVENZ Jun04 Sep18 Aug14 Jul03 Jun12 (bozell alan)RADKE K 119 4.00    
OUR LYLA GRACE Jul09 Jun17 May27 Sep18 Aug14 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 119 8.00 17% 4.80    
YOUNG LIFE LAURA Jul08 Jul01 Jun25 Jun10 May28 (perez hilario)ORTIZ A 116 30.00    
CAUSE SHE'S A LADY Jun25 May27 Dec30 Dec10 Nov04 (wright bla)AMADOR RUIZ 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
BLAZINGBELLABLU Jun25 Jan23 Dec21 Nov26 Nov05 (essex charles)CRUZ M 123 2.00 39% 1.60    
SLACK TIDE Jun25 Jun04 Apr29 Apr02 Aug14 (wright blaine)NEGRON LUIS 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
 
EMD-5   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPER CLASSIC Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 May28 Dec30 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 1.60 55% 0.80    
ATTORNEY LOUIS Jun11 Jun04 May13 Apr17 Apr08 (toye joe)ANAYA V 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
PERFECT ONE Jul03 Jun17 Sep10 Aug14 Jul30 (lucarelli frank)VALDES ALEXIS 123 4.50    
TAP THE BANK Jul08 Jun11 May29 Mar12 Feb19 (garcia valenti)OROZCO E 125 15.00    
SCR  HOLLYWOOD AS USUAL Jul14 Jun25 May28 May21 Apr13 (chattong vich)ORTIZ A 123 6.00    
RAMPATIOUS Jul08 Jun23 Jun11 May28 May21 (cryderman candice)CRUZ M 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SUMMANUS Jul09 Jun25 Jun03 May13 Sep02 (cooper kay)RADKE K 123 3.00 23% 3.30    
NORTHERN BLEND Jul03 Jun11 May27 Sep04 Aug21 (dronen sam)BOWEN ROCCO 123 20.00    
 
EMD-6   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:11
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROUSING RUBBLE Jul08 Jun24 May28 Apr22 Mar28 (cruz pearm)CRUZ M 123 2.50 14% 6.20    
THE CALABRESE KID Jul03 Jun23 May28 Apr08 Mar18 (perez hila)AMADOR RUIZ 125 10.00    
R B EYE Jun23 May29 May14 Sep17 Aug28 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 123 12.00    
D K'S CROWN Jul03 Jun16 May29 May14 May01 (silva-martinez al)BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
EL CHAVO DEL OCHO Jul03 Jun16 May29 May14 Feb26 (gibson vince)MATIAS J 125 1.80 44% 1.30    
SCR  PICK YOUR BID Jul09 Jun25 Jun18 Jun09 May20 (chattong vich)ORTIZ A 123 8.00    
SIX BLESSINGS Jul02 Jun10 Sep09 Aug28 Aug12 (wright blaine)VALDES ALEXIS 123 6.00    
 
EMD-7   07/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOP EXECUTIVE Jun16 May19 Apr23 Sep04 Aug14 (wright bla)AMADOR RUIZ 123 5.00 39% 1.60    
EL ALTO HOMBRE Jul09 Jun17 Sep04 Aug14 Jul30 (kowalski liz)MONTALVO C 123 20.00    
EXCLUSIVE SPEAKER Jul02 Jun23 May13 Apr23 Apr02 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 3.50    
SCR  DIRT ROAD RED Jul08 Jun23 Jun10 May21 May06 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.00    
ARMA D'ORO Jul09 Jun17 Feb26 Feb03 Jan02 (markle dan)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  HARD TO DENY Aug14 Jul02 Mar14 Jan05   (allen marshall)ZUNINO L 123 30.00    
LUCKY LAD Jul02 May13 Apr23 Apr02 Mar12 (gabriel luci)ORANTES R 120 6.00    
MISSED THE BOAT Jun25 Jun17 Sep09 Aug26 Aug07 (cryderman s)RADKE K 123 4.50 16% 5.30    
 
EMD-8   07/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Governor's Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU'RE THE CAUSE Jul09 Jun25 May29 May06 Mar28 (van debbie)MATIAS J 120 20.00    
POLACCO Jul02 May28 May06 Mar09 Jan22 (soranno jill)RADKE K 120 15.00    
SMILING GOODBYE Jun25 May28 Mar14 Feb28 Jan07 (peery debbie)NEGRON LUIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR Jun25 May28 Apr03 Mar07 Jan28 (troiani niccolo)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
SLEW'S TIZ WHIZ Jun25 Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 Jul24 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
MUNCEY Jul02 Jun23 Jun09 May20 Sep17 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 120 15.00    
COASTAL KID Jun25 May27 Apr24 Mar20 Mar05 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 120 6.00 19% 4.40    
ITSALLABOUTTHERIDE Jun25 Jun10 Sep03 Aug14 Jul17 (jenne bonn)AMADOR RUIZ 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
A MAN'S MAN Jun25 Dec10 Nov05 Oct16 Sep24 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 120 8.00    
10  ZESTFUL Jun25 Apr15 Apr02 Mar11 Feb27 (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00    
 
EMD-9   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:51
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD RUSH CANDY Jul08 Jun18 May29 May21 Apr04 (lawrence heath)BOWEN ROCCO 125 3.50 31% 2.20    
PRINCE OF LUCK Sep17 Sep03 Aug26 Aug07 Jul23 (freeman v)RADKE K 125 10.00 7% 13.70    
KINGSTEN'S GOLD Jun17 May28 May22 Apr01 Mar16 (martinez b)ZUNINO L 125 15.00    
DEMOCRAT Jun24 Jun09 May14 Mar12 Feb14 (crowe shelly)CRUZ M 125 4.50 9% 9.80    
WHATWASITHINKING May29 Oct23 Oct01 Aug28 Jul02 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.20 32% 2.10    
IDIDNTSEETHATCOMIN Jul08 Jun23 May20 Sep10 Aug27 (jenne bonn)AMADOR RUIZ 125 6.00    
STREET DEMAND Jul15 Jul03 Jun24 Jun03 Oct16 (bean a)ORTIZ A 125 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.