Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - July 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(3/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(3/1/6/2)-(5/7/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-2   WIN (3/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/2)-(3/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/2)-(3/1/6/2)-(3/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/2)-(5/7/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6/2)-(5/7/4/1)-(6/7/3/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-3   WIN (5/7/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1)-(5/7/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/1)-(6/7/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/1)-(6/7/3/5)-(1/7/6/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-4   WIN (6/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5)-(6/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/3/5)-(1/7/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/5)-(1/7/6/2)-(5/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-5   WIN (1/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/2)-(1/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/2)-(1/7/6/2)-(1/7/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/6/2)-(5/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6/2)-(5/4/1)-(1/5/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
EMD-6   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1)-(5/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(1/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(1/5/8)-(4/5/7/3/8) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
EMD-7   WIN (1/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/8)-(1/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/8)-(1/5/8)-(1/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/8)-(4/5/7/3/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/5/8)-(4/5/7/3/8)-(5/1/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
EMD-8   WIN (4/5/7/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/3/8)-(4/5/7/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/3/8)-(4/5/7/3/8)-(4/5/7/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/7/3/8)-(5/1/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EMD-9   WIN (5/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   07/23/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUVAHAPPYENDING Jul03 Oct16 Oct10 Sep18 Sep10 (mccanna tim)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.50    
2  WESTERN DREAM Jun11 May14 Jul24     (cooper kay)ENRIQUEZ D 123 1.80 32% 2.10    
3  GET MY POINT Jul14 Jun18 Apr30 Apr22 Apr07 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 2.50 18% 4.40    
4  CAMDEN HIGH Jul07 Jun16 May29 May13 Apr01 (morris michael )BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.00 29% 2.50    
5  A LITTLE GRACE Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 May14 Feb10 (dronen sam)RADKE K 119 6.00    
SCR  LUCINDA RELLA Jun24 May29 May13 Aug28 Jul10 (harwood m)MONTALVO C 123 8.00    
 
EMD-2   07/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 2 ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCCA'S LEGACY Jun25 May14       (cryderman candi)BOWEN ROCCO 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
2  DERBY BOY         (gibson vince)MATIAS J 120 6.00 14% 6.10    
3  MIRRORED         (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 120 4.50 18% 4.40    
4  SHILSHOLE BAY         (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 117 6.00    
5  FLY PARKER FLY Jul08         (martinez b)ZUNINO L 117 15.00    
6  PARKER'S FIFTEEN Jul09         (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 117 2.50 15% 5.50    
7  TERNI VALENTINO Jul09         (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 120 8.00    
SCR  CHINOOK BEND Jul09         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 120 8.00    
 
EMD-3   07/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE HAD A SECRET Jul03 May21 Apr29 Apr16 Mar28 (roberson don)RADKE K 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HE'S HAD ENOUGH out of CARMEN'S SECRET by DISTINCTION)
2  SQUARE FUN Jun25 Jun11 May28 May05 Apr07 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.50    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of FUNNY BELLE by SHARP HUMOR)
3  PLATINUM PHANTOM Jul03 Jun16 May29     (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 12.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of JOY'S JAGUAR by KITTEN'S JOY)
4  AVANTI LEAH Jul03 Jun16       (cooper kay)VALDES ALEXIS 121 6.00 13% 6.90    
  (by LEA out of COURTING DELILAH by FLOWER ALLEY)
5  CHAMP OF PAGNE Jul03         (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 121 3.00 52% 0.90    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of CHAMPAGNE EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
6  NATION'S BELLE May20 Sep17       (cooper kay)OROZCO E 121 4.50    
  (by NATIONHOOD out of BELLTOWN BEAUTY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  STAY SASSY Jul03 Sep17       (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 2.50 13% 6.50    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of PIPPA BOU PEEP by HARBOR THE GOLD)
 
EMD-4   07/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Washington State Legislators Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ A MACHO GIRL Jun10 May27 Mar05 Feb11 Jan23 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 121 3.50    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of COURTIZANNA by TIZNOW)
2  ZIPPIN SEVENZ Jun04 Sep18 Aug14 Jul03 Jun12 (bozell alan)RADKE K 119 4.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of GO JACKIE GO by MATTY G)
3  OUR LYLA GRACE Jul09 Jun17 May27 Sep18 Aug14 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 119 8.00 17% 4.80    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of DARLING GRACE by NAYEF)
4  YOUNG LIFE LAURA Jul08 Jul01 Jun25 Jun10 May28 (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 116 30.00    
  (by MR. RANCHO VISTA out of CHEDOODLEJO by LIBERTY GOLD)
5  CAUSE SHE'S A LADY Jun25 May27 Dec30 Dec10 Nov04 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of WARRIORSCMOUTOPLAY by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
6  BLAZINGBELLABLU Jun25 Jan23 Dec21 Nov26 Nov05 (essex charles)CRUZ M 123 2.00 39% 1.60    
  (by GRAZEN out of BELLOMESA by SKY MESA)
7  SLACK TIDE Jun25 Jun04 Apr29 Apr02 Aug14 (wright blaine)NEGRON LUIS 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of IMPEACHED by PETESKI)
 
EMD-5   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER CLASSIC Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 May28 Dec30 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 1.60 55% 0.80    
2  ATTORNEY LOUIS Jun11 Jun04 May13 Apr17 Apr08 (toye joe)ANAYA V 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  PERFECT ONE Jul03 Jun17 Sep10 Aug14 Jul30 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 123 4.50    
4  TAP THE BANK Jul08 Jun11 May29 Mar12 Feb19 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 125 15.00    
SCR  HOLLYWOOD AS USUAL Jul14 Jun25 May28 May21 Apr13 (chattong vi)ORTIZ A 123 6.00    
6  RAMPATIOUS Jul08 Jun23 Jun11 May28 May21 (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  SUMMANUS Jul09 Jun25 Jun03 May13 Sep02 (cooper kay)RADKE K 123 3.00 23% 3.30    
8  NORTHERN BLEND Jul03 Jun11 May27 Sep04 Aug21 (dronen sam)BOWEN ROCCO 123 20.00    
 
EMD-6   07/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROUSING RUBBLE Jul08 Jun24 May28 Apr22 Mar28 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 123 2.50 14% 6.20    
2  THE CALABRESE KID Jul03 Jun23 May28 Apr08 Mar18 (perez hi)AMADOR RUIZ 125 10.00    
3  R B EYE Jun23 May29 May14 Sep17 Aug28 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 123 12.00    
4  D K'S CROWN Jul03 Jun16 May29 May14 May01 (silva-martinez )BOWEN ROCCO 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
5  EL CHAVO DEL OCHO Jul03 Jun16 May29 May14 Feb26 (gibson vince)MATIAS J 125 1.80 44% 1.30    
SCR  PICK YOUR BID Jul09 Jun25 Jun18 Jun09 May20 (chattong vi)ORTIZ A 123 8.00    
7  SIX BLESSINGS Jul02 Jun10 Sep09 Aug28 Aug12 (wright blaine)VALDES ALEXIS 123 6.00    
 
EMD-7   07/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOP EXECUTIVE Jun16 May19 Apr23 Sep04 Aug14 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 123 5.00 39% 1.60    
2  EL ALTO HOMBRE Jul09 Jun17 Sep04 Aug14 Jul30 (kowalski liz)MONTALVO C 123 20.00    
3  EXCLUSIVE SPEAKER Jul02 Jun23 May13 Apr23 Apr02 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 3.50    
SCR  DIRT ROAD RED Jul08 Jun23 Jun10 May21 May06 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.00    
5  ARMA D'ORO Jul09 Jun17 Feb26 Feb03 Jan02 (markle dan)BOWEN ROCCO 125 4.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  HARD TO DENY Aug14 Jul02 Mar14 Jan05   (allen marshall)ZUNINO L 123 30.00    
7  LUCKY LAD Jul02 May13 Apr23 Apr02 Mar12 (gabriel lu)ORANTES R 120 6.00    
8  MISSED THE BOAT Jun25 Jun17 Sep09 Aug26 Aug07 (cryderman s)RADKE K 123 4.50 16% 5.30    
 
EMD-8   07/23/2023 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Governor's Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU'RE THE CAUSE Jul09 Jun25 May29 May06 Mar28 (van debbie)MATIAS J 120 20.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of TIZ ATLANTIS by TIZNOW)
2  POLACCO Jul02 May28 May06 Mar09 Jan22 (soranno jill)RADKE K 120 15.00    
  (by BLUEGRASS CAT out of PENNY N MITZI by MORE THAN READY)
3  SMILING GOODBYE Jun25 May28 Mar14 Feb28 Jan07 (peery debbie)NEGRON LUIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of QUICKLY GONE by MUQTARIB)
4  BRIDLEUPTOTHEBAR Jun25 May28 Apr03 Mar07 Jan28 (troiani niccol)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by FULLBRIDLED out of NEARLYCOCKTAILTIME by THISNEARLYWASMINE)
5  SLEW'S TIZ WHIZ Jun25 Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 Jul24 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of ROS'S GIRL by ROSBERG)
6  MUNCEY Jul02 Jun23 Jun09 May20 Sep17 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 120 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of CAMILLE C by ROMAN DANCER)
7  COASTAL KID Jun25 May27 Apr24 Mar20 Mar05 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 120 6.00 19% 4.40    
  (by COAST GUARD out of CREME by SOMERSHAM)
8  ITSALLABOUTTHERIDE Jun25 Jun10 Sep03 Aug14 Jul17 (jenne bo)AMADOR RUIZ 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of HOLY ROSE by TOUCH GOLD)
9  A MAN'S MAN Jun25 Dec10 Nov05 Oct16 Sep24 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 120 8.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of LONGING by LYPHARD'S WISH (FR))
10  ZESTFUL Jun25 Apr15 Apr02 Mar11 Feb27 (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 124 5.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SWEET RELISH by SMOKE GLACKEN)
 
EMD-9   07/23/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD RUSH CANDY Jul08 Jun18 May29 May21 Apr04 (lawrence heath)BOWEN ROCCO 125 3.50 31% 2.20    
2  PRINCE OF LUCK Sep17 Sep03 Aug26 Aug07 Jul23 (freeman v)RADKE K 125 10.00 7% 13.70    
3  KINGSTEN'S GOLD Jun17 May28 May22 Apr01 Mar16 (martinez b)ZUNINO L 125 15.00    
4  DEMOCRAT Jun24 Jun09 May14 Mar12 Feb14 (crowe shelly)CRUZ M 125 4.50 9% 9.80    
5  WHATWASITHINKING May29 Oct23 Oct01 Aug28 Jul02 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.20 32% 2.10    
6  IDIDNTSEETHATCOMIN Jul08 Jun23 May20 Sep10 Aug27 (jenne bo)AMADOR RUIZ 125 6.00    
7  STREET DEMAND Jul15 Jul03 Jun24 Jun03 Oct16 (bean robert)ORTIZ A 125 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.