Handicappers' Race Results

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Emerald Downs
Saturday - May 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EMD-1   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 1.00
EMD-2   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $10.60  
EMD-3   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
EMD-4   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 0.20
EMD-5   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 5 1 1 $3.60 $3.60 1.60
EMD-6   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $9.80  
EMD-7   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 5.20

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:244 :481 1:12 1:242   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINTAGE KITTEN 1 4 44 4 3 2nk 1 (nunnally jennifer)RADKE K 124 4.00 31% 2.20 1.50 W
RUNAWAY KRISTIN 4 3 33 1nk 2nk 1nk 2 (medina pa)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 2.50  
COMMAND SGT MAJOR 2 2 2½ 33 4 4 3 (martinez d)AMADOR RUIZ 124 5.00 26% 2.90 2.20 S
PROUD LION 3 1 1½ 2nk 1nk 3.2 44 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 124 3.50 3.60  
SCR  EROTIC               (gibson vince)CRUZ M 124 1.80    
 
EMD-2   05/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:221 :451       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONFIDENCE BUILDER 5 1 32 2nk   1½ 12 (martinez d)AMADOR RUIZ 120 6.00 4.30  
KEEPINMYPROMISE 1 4 12 1nk   2½ 22 (pierce michael )VALDES ALEXIS 120 2.00 26% 2.90 2.90 P
FOGGY BOTTOM 4 3 4 4   43 3 (simkins rosie)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.50 4.40  
YOUONLYLIVETWICE 3 2 22 3   32 4 (silva-martinez alexis)RADKE K 123 1.80 35% 1.80 1.10  
SASSY EINSTEIN 2 5 5 5   53 5 (pierce l)MONTALVO C 123 5.00 9% 9.90 8.30  
 
EMD-3   05/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
See original race card.
:221 :45       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVIL'S OFF DUTY 3 2 31 31   2nk 1 (peery debbie)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 34% 1.90 1.20 W
TEACHERSBUGSAROO 2 1 2½ 2nk   3.2 2 (lowe nick)RADKE K 124 4.50 3.40  
BIG GALUTE 1 3 1½ 1nk   1nk 3 (simkins rosie)OROZCO E 124 3.50 12% 7.50 4.80 S
VALIDATE 6 6 54 55   4 4 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 124 6.00 27.80  
SUN AND SURF 5 5 66 67   5 5 (cryderman candice)CRUZ M 121 1.80 32% 2.10 2.60  
TWENTY TWO DEAL 4 4 4 44   6 616 (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 121 12.00 23.60  
 
EMD-4   05/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:214 :434 :561     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE PERFECTION 3 2 2 22   21 12 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 17% 5.00 1.10 W
EYE CANDY RANDY 2 1 1 12   11 22 (birdwell tena)OROZCO E 124 4.00 1.70 P
WESTERN RULE 5 4 4 35   3 3 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 8.00 18.20  
MILEYS BLUECAT 4 3 3 4   44 4 (perez hilario)NEGRON LUIS 121 1.80 4.60  
ROCKED 1 5 5 5   56 5 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 3.50 55% 0.80 6.20  
 
EMD-5   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:101 1:222   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATOMIC CANDY 5 2 2 21 21 1nk 1¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.60 69% 0.40 0.80 W
PROVOST 6 4 1 11 11 2nk 2¼ (alvarez sergio)MONTALVO C 121 5.00 11.30 P
BABY FRANKIE 4 6 58 4 35 35 3 (medina pascua)RADKE K 121 6.00 7.40  
HEY SEQUOIA 1 3 3 35 45 4 4 (nunnally jennifer)CRUZ M 121 4.00 4.40  
SIERRA MELODY 2 1 47 5 5 57 5 (wright bla)AMADOR RUIZ 121 2.50 3.90  
ALPINE HYPNOSIS 3 5 6 67 6 6 68 (pierce michael )VALDES ALEXIS 121 12.00 12.70  
 
EMD-6   05/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:223 :441 1:081     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POLACCO 2 1 1 12   1 1hd (soranno jill)RADKE K 121 3.00 3.90  
DIRT ROAD RED 4 6 3 3   2 2hd (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.50 42% 1.40 1.50 P
MOSQUITO FLEET 1 2 2 22   32 3 (pierce l)CRUZ M 124 3.50 21% 3.80 3.30 S
YOU'RE THE CAUSE 6 5 68 56   4 4 (van debbie)MATIAS J 121 4.00 7.10  
AFFIRM CHIEF 3 3 4 4   54 5 (medina l)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 121 10.00 14.70  
PISTOL POWER 5 4 55 67   66 6 (velasquez rigo)OROZCO E 121 5.00 7% 13.10 4.40  
 
EMD-7   05/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:31
See original race card.
:222 :452 :581     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G G RULES 1 6 3 23   21 1 (bean a)RADKE K 120 3.50 60% 0.70 3.60 W
TED'S CANDY GIRL 3 4 55 3   3 2 (gibson vin)AMADOR RUIZ 123 4.50 2.40 P
CHEATER'S WALTZ 2 3 1 13   11 3 (medina l)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 123 10.00 13% 6.90 2.60 S
BOSSY PEGASUS 7 2 4 57   5 3 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 123 2.50 4.10 DH
FLORA 5 5 68 67   4 5 (cryderman s)MATIAS J 123 4.00 15.40  
NOMI LACKEE 6 1 2 45   65 6 (medina pa)NEGRON LUIS 120 6.00 7.60  
ZARAGOZA 4 7 710½ 711   79 7 (baz)RODRIGUEZ MARIA 115 12.00 23.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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