Handicappers' Racing Form

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Emerald Downs
Saturday - May 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EMD-1   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
EMD-2   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-3   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-4   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
EMD-5   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00
EMD-6   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-7   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
EMD-1   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINTAGE KITTEN Feb02 Jan18 Jan09 Dec20 Nov29 (nunnally jennifer)RADKE K 124 4.00 31% 2.20    
COMMAND SGT MAJOR Dec26 Nov19 Sep03 Aug21 Jul29 (martinez d)AMADOR RUIZ 124 5.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  EROTIC Mar04 Feb13 Feb02 Jan18 Dec26 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 124 1.80    
PROUD LION Sep11 Aug21 Aug13 Jul22 Jun24 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 124 3.50    
RUNAWAY KRISTIN Apr15 Mar25 Mar04 Feb12 Jan22 (medina pa)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50    
 
EMD-2   05/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEPINMYPROMISE Feb25 Jan18 Dec19 Dec01 Nov19 (pierce michael )VALDES ALEXIS 120 2.00 26% 2.90    
SASSY EINSTEIN Apr12 Mar13 Feb20 Feb01 Jan12 (pierce l)MONTALVO C 123 5.00 9% 9.90    
YOUONLYLIVETWICE Apr12 Mar29 Mar14 Mar05 Feb11 (silva-martinez alexis)RADKE K 123 1.80 35% 1.80    
FOGGY BOTTOM Nov11 Oct21 Oct01 Sep10 Jul23 (simkins rosie)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.50    
CONFIDENCE BUILDER Sep18 Sep03 Aug12 Jul08 Jun17 (martinez d)AMADOR RUIZ 120 6.00    
 
EMD-3   05/06/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG GALUTE Sep11 Aug26       (simkins rosie)OROZCO E 124 3.50 12% 7.50    
TEACHERSBUGSAROO Sep18 Sep09 Aug26 Jul23 Jul02 (lowe nick)RADKE K 124 4.50    
DEVIL'S OFF DUTY Mar19 Feb08 Jan28 Jan10 Dec20 (peery debbie)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
TWENTY TWO DEAL Aug20         (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 121 12.00    
SUN AND SURF Jan29 Dec30 Dec11 Nov20 Oct29 (cryderman candice)CRUZ M 121 1.80 32% 2.10    
VALIDATE Sep17 Aug28 Aug05 Jul16 Jun18 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 124 6.00    
 
EMD-4   05/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKED Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb19 Feb11 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 124 3.50 55% 0.80    
EYE CANDY RANDY Mar20 Mar05 Feb13 Jan08 Oct28 (birdwell tena)OROZCO E 124 4.00    
DOUBLE PERFECTION Mar18 Mar05 Feb11 Jan19   (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 17% 5.00    
MILEYS BLUECAT Apr08 Mar18 Feb24 Oct16 Oct07 (perez hilario)NEGRON LUIS 121 1.80    
WESTERN RULE Sep17 Sep11 Aug12 Jul23 Jul08 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 8.00    
 
EMD-5   05/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY SEQUOIA Feb22 Feb06 Jan18 Dec19 Dec08 (nunnally jennifer)CRUZ M 121 4.00    
SIERRA MELODY Apr15 Mar26 Mar19 Dec10 Nov19 (wright bla)AMADOR RUIZ 121 2.50    
ALPINE HYPNOSIS Feb14 Jan23 Nov29 Nov16 Sep04 (pierce michael )VALDES ALEXIS 121 12.00    
BABY FRANKIE Apr02 Mar09 Jul01 May13   (medina pascua)RADKE K 121 6.00    
ATOMIC CANDY Apr01 Mar18 Feb21 Feb02 Jan19 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.60 69% 0.40    
PROVOST Apr10 Mar07 Feb19 Jan31 Dec10 (alvarez sergio)MONTALVO C 121 5.00    
 
EMD-6   05/06/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOSQUITO FLEET Apr11 Mar08 Feb15 Jan19 Dec20 (pierce l)CRUZ M 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
POLACCO Mar09 Jan22 Jan07 Dec11 Oct29 (soranno jill)RADKE K 121 3.00    
AFFIRM CHIEF Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb20 Jan29 (medina l)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 121 10.00    
DIRT ROAD RED Apr15 Mar12 Jan10 Nov22 Nov07 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
PISTOL POWER Mar25 Feb22 Feb13 Jan30 Jan12 (velasquez rigo)OROZCO E 121 5.00 7% 13.10    
YOU'RE THE CAUSE Mar28 Feb26 Feb11 Jan30 Oct16 (van debbie)MATIAS J 121 4.00    
 
EMD-7   05/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G G RULES Mar04 Feb19 Feb04 Jan22   (bean a)RADKE K 120 3.50 60% 0.70    
CHEATER'S WALTZ Apr09 Mar25 Mar09     (medina l)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 123 10.00 13% 6.90    
TED'S CANDY GIRL Mar15 Feb16 Jan25 Jan11 Dec19 (gibson vin)AMADOR RUIZ 123 4.50    
ZARAGOZA Apr04 Mar17 Feb25 Jan16   (baz)RODRIGUEZ MARIA 115 12.00    
FLORA Apr05 Mar22 Sep28 Sep16 Sep02 (cryderman s)MATIAS J 123 4.00    
NOMI LACKEE Apr16 Apr09 Mar04 Sep02   (medina pa)NEGRON LUIS 120 6.00    
BOSSY PEGASUS Apr07 Mar25 Mar04 Feb25 Feb10 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 123 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.