Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Emerald Downs
Sunday - July 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-4 $6.50 $0.50 8%
EMD-3   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $6.80 $0.80 13%
EMD-4   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $12.60 $6.60 110%
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-5 $58.70 $52.70 878%
    DD (4/3/6)-(3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-6 $28.70 $19.70 219%
EMD-5   EXA (7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-4 $12.90 $0.90 8%
    TRI (7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-4-7 $15.40 $3.40 28%
    SFT (7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5)-(7/1/4/5) 24 $0.10 $2.40  1-4-7-5 $14.27 $11.87 495%
    DD (3/6/5)-(7/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-1 $24.40 $12.40 103%
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(3/6/5)-(7/1/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-6-1 $37.65 $19.65 109%
EMD-6   DD (7/1/4/5)-(5/4/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-4 $23.50 $7.50 47%
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(7/1/4/5)-(5/4/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00  6-1-4 $75.10 $51.10 213%
    PK4 (4/3/6)-(3/6/5)-(7/1/4/5)-(5/4/8/1) 144 $0.50 $72.00  3-6-1-4 $257.80 $185.80 258%

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   07/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:231 :454 1:102 1:232   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCE LADY 5 2 22 1nk 12 13 1 (pierce michael )NEGRON LUIS 125 4.00 37% 1.70 2.40 W
HEART RIVER 4 4 5 34 4 33 2 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 125 1.60 37% 1.70 1.20 P
JACANA 3 3 69 5 5 44 35 (navarro jose)MONTALVO C 125 5.00 7.50  
PARTY POLICE 6 1 12 2nk 22 23 46 (kereluk edward)RADKE K 125 10.00 5% 19.00 10.00  
CONFIDENCE BUILDER 2 6 4 4 3 55 511½ (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 125 2.50 4.00  
FLY PATTI FLY 1 5 3 6 6 613 628¾ (martinez dav)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 20.00 21.20  
 
EMD-2   07/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:41
See original race card.
:244 :474 1:11 1:23   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JEDI KNIGHT 5 1 11 1½ 1½ 11 1 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 123 6.00 12.20  
AFFIRM CHIEF 4 4 32 5 42 32 2 (gabriel )AMADOR RUIZ 123 4.50 8% 11.20 3.70 P
NEW EAGLE 2 2 21 32 31 21 3 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 123 1.20 58% 0.70 0.80 S
SPROSTON 1 5 42 2½ 2½ 4 4 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 123 6.00 13% 6.60 2.50  
SIX BLESSINGS 3 3 5 43 55 5 512¾ (wright blaine)VALDES ALEXIS 123 8.00 13.20  
SCR  AMERICAN GRIT               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.00    
 
EMD-3   07/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT- 6:07
See original race card.
:22 :441 :561     1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DADS ESTRELLA 3 3 4 31   2nk 1 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 119 2.50 21% 3.90 2.40 W
YOGYA 2 5 3 4   3½ 2 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 119 8.00 8.20  
STEPUP 4 1 11 1nk   1nk 3 (navarro jose)CRUZ M 121 1.80 46% 1.20 1.60 S
ME GUSTA LUNA 6 2 21 2nk   4 4 (velasque)AMADOR RUIZ 119 3.50 12% 7.20 3.20  
MS FLASHY HARBOR 1 6 6 5   5 5 (bullock steve)RADKE K 119 5.00 7.90  
RAINBOW STEW 5 4 54 6   612½ 623¾ (toye joe)NEGRON LUIS 119 12.00 13.00  
 
EMD-4   07/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:47
See original race card.
:23 :45 1:082 1:212   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXCLUSIVE SPEAKER 6 6 55 58 58 44 11 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 123 3.00 11% 8.00 5.30 W
MUNCEY 5 3 4 47 3 3 21 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 123 8.00 5% 19.00 17.40 P
LUCKY LAD 1 4 2 2 2 1nk 3 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 123 5.00 2.30  
POLACCO 2 1 1 1 1 2nk 44 (soranno jill)RADKE K 123 4.00 9.10  
LIMONITE 3 2 32 3 6 67 5 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 2.00 59% 0.70 1.20  
BAROSSA 4 5 65 68 48 55 6 (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 125 3.50 5.60  
 
EMD-5   07/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:093     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VORPAL 1 7 5 31   2nk 1¼ (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 121 3.50 13% 6.70 2.30 W
  (by BIRD SONG out of HUMOR HER ALONG by DISTORTED HUMOR)
ITS KRAKEN TIME 4 1 11 1nk   1nk 2¼ (wisdom anne)RADKE K 121 10.00 5% 19.00 5.80 P
  (by RUNNING TAP out of ITS DIVA TIME by YOU AND I)
A SKIP IN THE PARK 7 6 65 5   3 3 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 121 1.60 60% 0.70 1.80 S
  (by PROSPECT PARK out of YOU ME AND EMA B by YOU AND I)
TIGER TOO 5 3 21 2nk   42 4 (essex charles)CRUZ M 121 8.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
  (by SMILING TIGER out of LIMITLESS ALEX by AFLEET ALEX)
MY DAD IS THIRSTY 2 4 77 7   7 57 (perez hilario)ANAYA V 121 8.00 11.70  
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of HAWK'S JOURNEY by GOOD JOURNEY)
CROWN COUNCIL 3 5 4 6   5 6 (gilker robert)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00 5.70  
  (by LENT out of SCREAM QUEEN by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
LUCKY CODE 6 2 31 4   64 79 (freeman )AMADOR RUIZ 121 15.00 12.10  
  (by HONOR CODE out of LUCKY NANCY E. by DISCO RICO)
 
EMD-6   07/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
See original race card.
:22 :444 :564     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REIGN OF FIRE 3 3 2nk 1½   1 1 (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 123 8.00 25% 3.00 2.60 W
PEARL RIVER DELTA 5 4 31 4   3 2 (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 123 2.50 2.20  
MS LYNN 1 6 6 5   55 36 (bullock stev)OROZCO E 123 8.00 6% 14.50 6.20 S
YOUR ROYAL COIL 6 5 4 31   2 4 (perez hilario)MONTALVO C 125 5.00 7% 14.30 7.60  
BRILLIANT BIRD 2 1 1nk 2½   44 5 (bean a)CRUZ M 123 5.00 8.50  
CLASSIC LEAH 4 2 5 64   67 610 (lucarelli frank)NEGRON LUIS 123 3.50 27% 2.60 2.90  
SCR  HEART ON THE RUN               (nunnally)AMADOR RUIZ 123 6.00    
SCR  HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS               (toye joe)RADKE K 123 12.00    
 
EMD-7   07/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:19
See original race card.
:214 :442 :563     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JIN TONG 2 8 8 6   2 1½ (toye joe)ANAYA V 119 6.00 8.80  
POVERTY BAY 8 2 2½ 1nk   1 2½ (toye joe)RADKE K 125 2.50 45% 1.20 3.10 P
J C'S A LEGEND 4 6 6 5   3 31 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.00 6% 14.80 4.60 S
FIREWALKER 1 5 5 4   6 44 (belvoir howar)VALDES ALEXIS 123 8.00 5.40  
JOSE JOSE 6 4 41 3½   4 5 (gilker robert)CRUZ M 125 8.00 2.40  
ICE NEEDS WHISKEY 3 3 1½ 2nk   5 6 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 123 3.50 28% 2.50 7.60  
HARBOR OUTLAW 5 7 7 7   7 7 (jenne bo)AMADOR RUIZ 123 6.00 11.50  
CONTEJAS 7 1 3½ 8   813¼ 824½ (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00 26.20  
 
EMD-8   07/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:46
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SETTLER'S COVE 6 8 3 2nk   1½ 1½ (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 6.00 5.20  
VANDULIE 1 5 4 6   5 2½ (bullock steve)RADKE K 121 3.50 4.40  
BIKINI NATION 4 7 64 4   3 32 (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 121 1.80 34% 2.00 1.30 S
ZEVA DEE 5 2 2 3½   2½ 4 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 121 5.00 19% 4.10 5.00  
SENSUOUS KITTY 3 4 5 52   42 54 (essex charle)OROZCO E 125 8.00 5% 19.00 10.80  
DEBBI'S TALON 2 6 88 7   64 6 (boyd preston)ZACHERLE LOUIS 125 15.00 12% 7.30 24.60  
A STORM TOO SOON 9 3 1 1nk   76 710¾ (gibson vinc)ORTIZ A 121 20.00 27.40  
CHEDOODLE RYLEE 8 1 75 8   86 820½ (martinez dav)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 15.00 28.20  
IN PLAIN SIGHT 7 9 912 914½   99 923¾ (velasquez rig)VALDES ALEXIS 121 8.00 11% 8.40 16.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.