Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - July 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-2   WIN (5/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $11.20 $3.20 40%
    EXA (5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-5 $21.00 $9.00 75%
    DD (1/2/3)-(5/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-2 $12.70 $0.70 6%
EMD-3   TRI (4/7/1/3)-(4/7/1/3)-(4/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-7-4 $15.65 $3.65 30%
    DD (5/2/1/3)-(4/7/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00  2-1 $49.30 $33.30 208%
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(5/2/1/3)-(4/7/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00  2-2-1/2 $35.35 $11.35 47%
EMD-4   WIN (2/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $10.40 $2.40 30%
    EXA (2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-2 $17.80 $5.80 48%
    DD (4/7/1/3)-(2/1/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00  1-7 $31.40 $15.40 96%
    PK3 (5/2/1/3)-(4/7/1/3)-(2/1/7/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00  2-1/2-7 $126.95 $94.95 297%
    PK4 (1/2/3)-(5/2/1/3)-(4/7/1/3)-(2/1/7/8) 192 $0.50 $96.00  2-2-1/2-7 $205.25 $109.25 114%
EMD-8   WIN (1/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $15.60 $7.60 95%
    EXA (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-7 $45.40 $33.40 278%
    TRI (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-7-1 $58.00 $46.00 383%
Simulator Race results
 
EMD-1   07/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:093 1:231   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  OUTRIGHT 2 5 68½ 64¾ 53½ 21 1¼ (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 1.80 26% 2.80 0.90 W
4  HEY SEQUOIA 4 4 58½ 54½ 42½ 11 2¼ (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 123 3.50 4.00  
1  SPROSTON 1 6 46 42 32 53 37¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50 52% 0.90 3.30 S
5  WEAR THE CROWN 5 2 12 11½ 12 31 47¼ (toye joe)RADKE K 123 8.00 8.20  
3  PROUD LION 3 1 35½ 32 22 42½ 57¾ (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 123 15.00 5% 19.00 23.50  
6  BESAME MUCHO 6 3 22 21½ 64 67 617 (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 125 5.00 9.40  
 
EMD-2   07/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 2 ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:221 :461       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BEER BEGONE 2 1 1nk 11   13 11¼ (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 120 4.00 16% 5.20 4.60 W
5  WELL IMAGINE THAT 5 8 76¾ 74¼   33 21¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.00 34% 2.00 3.30 P
8  VICTOR ALY 8 5 52¼ 21   23 32 (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 120 4.50 7.60  
6  CHESHIRE KID 6 3 63¾ 63¾   45 43 (wisdom anne)OROZCO E 120 10.00 5.10  
7  TERNI VALENTINO 7 6 88¾ 86¼   56 54 (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 120 6.00 11.40  
3  CONRAD MEADOWS 3 2 2nk 53¼   77 65 (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 120 12.00 7% 14.30 14.60  
4  CONNECTER 4 4 42 43   66½ 75 (gibson vince)BOWEN ROCCO 120 8.00 20.50  
1  CHINOOK BEND 1 7 31½ 31   88 88¾ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 120 4.00 11% 7.80 2.10  
 
EMD-3   07/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:52
See original race card.
:22 :452 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOR YOU ONLY 1 4 2½ 31   31 1¼ (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 123 10.00 15% 5.60 2.10 W
7  AWESOME DAZE 6 1 32 21   11 2¼ (jenne bo)AMADOR RUIZ 123 5.00 18% 4.70 3.00 P
4  PURPLE NIGHT 3 5 64 54   54½ 34 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.50 26% 2.80 4.00 S
6  MISS MENSA 5 3 43½ 42   42½ 45½ (metz jeffrey)RADKE K 123 2.50 3.70  
8  SHESALILRUNAWAY 7 2 1½ 11   21 55½ (gibson vince)MATIAS J 121 10.00 19.70  
3  CALYPSO PRINCESS 2 7 54 64½   67½ 69¾ (essex charles)CRUZ M 119 8.00 11% 8.00 5.70  
5  LONSDALEITE 4 6 79 78½   78½ 714¼ (bean robert)STRAIGHT ANGELA 123 20.00 49.00  
SCR  LADY BRETT               (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 123 3.50    
 
EMD-4   07/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
See original race card.
:214 :443 :571     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LIE AND DENY 7 6 52½ 51¼   2½ 11¼ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 8.00 5% 19.00 4.20 W
2  SUMMANUS 2 3 21 1nk   1½ 21¼ (cooper kay)RADKE K 123 3.00 46% 1.20 2.80 P
5  VALIDATE 5 8 810 84¾   51½ 31¼ (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 125 5.00 8.80  
3  ROYAL CANDY 3 7 75 4¾   3½ 43¾ (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.50 3.50  
8  DANNY ZUKO 8 5 63 62¼   62 55 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 123 8.00 5% 19.00 18.40  
1  PREDICATION 1 2 11 2nk   41 66¾ (gibson f)CRUZ M 125 6.00 30% 2.40 5.80  
4  DIRT ROAD DOLLARS 4 4 42 72¾   72½ 79¾ (pierce michae)VALDES ALEXIS 123 3.50 5.50  
6  PHILIPIE FAST 6 1 32 3½   84½ 812½ (garcia v)AMADOR RUIZ 123 12.00 13.80  
 
EMD-5   07/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:22 :441 1:09     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEPRINO 1 7 43 21   11½ 11 (peery de)AMADOR RUIZ 123 10.00 5.60  
2  GABBY HAYES 2 8 64½ 75¾   54 21 (markle dan)BOWEN ROCCO 125 8.00 14% 6.00 4.50 P
9  HUNTERS GHOST 8 6 74¾ 63¾   43½ 33¼ (van debbie)MATIAS J 125 6.00 8.40  
6  YOU SPLIT TENS 6 4 53 52¼   33½ 44¼ (evans justin)CRUZ M 125 3.00 24% 3.10 2.70  
3  PROVOST 3 5 2½ 11   21½ 56¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.00 30% 2.40 1.90  
8  PICK YOUR BID 7 1 86¾ 85¾   87½ 69 (chattong vic)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 20.00 42.20  
4  BOSS NINE 4 2 1½ 31   76½ 79 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 15.00 19.60  
5  MOSQUITO FLEET 5 3 32 42   66 89½ (pierce michae)VALDES ALEXIS 125 12.00 11% 8.20 12.20  
SCR  THE GREEN CRUSADER               (troiani niccol)DEONAUTH P 125 6.00    
 
EMD-6   07/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Angie Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 7:26
See original race card.
:214 :444 :572     1:041   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  APPEAL FACTOR 6 1 32 3.2   11 12½ (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 118 5.00 4.10  
  (by THE FACTOR out of KARULA by COLONEL JOHN)
7  MOCKTAILS ANYONE 7 2 2½ 2nk   31 22½ (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 118 3.00 20% 3.90 2.20 P
  (by MOHAYMEN out of PATH TO POWER by POLITICAL FORCE)
1  BOURBON TIGER 1 7 1½ 1nk   21 33½ (wright blaine)VALDES ALEXIS 120 2.50 36% 1.80 2.40 S
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SPRING AGAIN by SKY MESA)
3  BRING A SMILE 3 5 63 53¾   43½ 45 (wright blaine)RADKE K 118 4.50 3.60  
  (by MITOLE out of THUNDERINA by CURLIN)
2  PARKER'S FIFTEEN 2 3 42½ 43¾   54 57¼ (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 118 6.00 16.00  
  (by GOLD RUSH DANCER out of FREE OF HEART by FREE AT LAST (GB))
5  NEISSA 5 6 73¼ 74½   66 68¼ (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 118 8.00 5% 19.00 20.60  
  (by GOLD RUSH DANCER out of AMONG THE STARS by AFLEETKNOWSASECRET)
4  DREWY 4 4 52½ 64¼   710 716¾ (wright blaine)CRUZ M 118 8.00 20% 4.00 12.00  
  (by TAPIZAR out of RACY RASCAL by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
EMD-7   07/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:22 :442 1:091     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  YOU GO GIRL 5 2 21 2nk   1nk 1¼ (bullock stev)OROZCO E 123 4.00 4.10  
1  MS PARKSIDE 1 4 11 1nk   2nk 2¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.60 37% 1.70 1.90 P
3  OUR LYLA GRACE 3 6 42½ 51¼   41¾ 31½ (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 123 3.00 36% 1.80 1.70 DQ↓4
6  IN THE VAULT 6 3 52¾ 41¼   31½ 41½ (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 123 10.00 5% 19.00 26.70 S
4  FRISCO FRILLS 4 5 62¾ 31   51¾ 53¼ (balcom cliff)BOWEN ROCCO 123 5.00 14.80  
2  CHIC SAMARAI 2 7 75¾ 74¼   66¾ 610½ (wright blaine)CRUZ M 123 8.00 6.20  
7  PEPPER MILL 7 1 32½ 63¼   77 712½ (kereluk edward)RADKE K 121 12.00 5% 19.00 17.20  
 
EMD-8   07/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST King County Express Purse ($50K) 2 C/G PT- 8:30
See original race card.
:22 :452 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WHISKEY HARBOR 6 1 1nk 11   12½ 14¼ (harwood m)RADKE K 120 5.00 15% 5.60 6.80 W
  (by RISE UP out of RUBY ROMANCE by GRINDSTONE)
7  FREIGHTLINE 7 2 2nk 31   32½ 24¼ (bullock steve)CRUZ M 118 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20 P
  (by COAST GUARD out of KNIGHT RAIDER by TOUGH KNIGHT)
1  BOURBON DANCER 1 7 41¾ 21   22½ 34¾ (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 120 2.50 62% 0.60 1.30 S
  (by BAYERN out of BAUHAUS BOURBON by BEHRENS)
3  MOKKI 3 4 51¾ 41½   42¾ 45½ (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 118 12.00 15.30  
  (by GOLD RUSH DANCER out of HETTY by CAHILL ROAD)
4  MR. EXECUTIVE 4 5 31½ 53   54¾ 58½ (wright blaine)VALDES ALEXIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
  (by GRAZEN out of CHARMER LO by GIROLAMO)
8  GOLDEN AFFAIR 8 3 77¼ 86½   65¾ 69½ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 118 8.00 7.10  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of PADEN AFFAIR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
5  SIR ARGENTO 5 8 87½ 74½   76¼ 711¼ (cryderman candi)BOWEN ROCCO 118 12.00 24.10  
  (by RACE DAY out of PACKED POWDER by THE WHITE FOX)
2  DIGITAL SOLDIER 2 6 62¼ 64   88¼ 815½ (wright blain)OROZCO E 118 8.00 3.80  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SPECIFICATION by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  K R RULES               (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 118 4.00    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of MISS GINGER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
EMD-9   07/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
See original race card.
:22 :434 1:08     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ARMA D'ORO 4 5 78½ 65¾   32½ 11¼ (markle dan)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00 3.90  
8  PRAYER OF JABEZ 8 1 11½ 13½   12½ 21¼ (kereluk edward)MONTALVO C 125 20.00 5% 19.00 10.00 P
6  YOU'RE THE CAUSE 6 9 910 86¾   64¾ 32¾ (van debbie)MATIAS J 123 20.00 15.50  
3  EL ALTO HOMBRE 3 4 43 34½   42¾ 43 (kowalski liz)ZUNINO L 123 20.00 5% 19.00 36.40  
1  NAVAL ESCORT 1 7 88½ 76¼   54¾ 53¼ (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 123 10.00 5% 19.00 12.80  
9  BRADY BOY 9 2 21½ 23½   22½ 64 (wright blaine)RADKE K 125 3.00 43% 1.30 2.60  
11  HIJO GALANTE 10 10 1010½ 98¾   78¾ 77½ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 20.00 28.80  
7  NINE ONE ONE 7 8 32 44½   811¾ 813½ (gilker robert)CRUZ M 123 6.00 31% 2.20 3.50  
2  SAVILE ROW 2 6 66½ 109¾   1012½ 913¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.50 4.10  
5  SMOKEN SHADOW 5 3 54½ 54¾   912¼ 1016¼ (peery debbie)VALDES ALEXIS 123 30.00 47.30  
SCR  TAX CODE               (crowe shelly)CRUZ M 125 2.50    
 
EMD-10   07/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:27
See original race card.
:22 :443 :563     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME MOVE 1 5 52¼ 21   1nk 11¼ (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 125 2.50 39% 1.60 2.70 W
2  THEUNTOUCHABLEONE 2 4 11½ 11   2nk 21¼ (wright blaine)CRUZ M 121 3.50 37% 1.70 1.50 P
3  TREASURE'S REALITY 3 1 21½ 43   33½ 38 (metz jef)AMADOR RUIZ 125 12.00 20.80  
6  SEVENTH HOUSE 6 8 87¼ 77   57 49 (essex charles)BOWEN ROCCO 121 8.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
7  BIG GALUTE 7 2 32 32½   45½ 511¾ (simkins rosi)OROZCO E 125 4.00 4.50  
4  FOYT 4 7 75¾ 56   610 614¾ (pierce micha)SARMIENTO RIGO 125 5.00 4.60  
8  POWERS WAR DOG 8 3 63¾ 87   714 720 (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 125 12.00 24.20  
5  CRAWLINGBACKTOYOU 5 6 42 66½   819 828 (bean a)ANAYA V 121 15.00 5% 19.00 36.40  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.