Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Sunday - July 09, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(5/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(5/2/1/3)-(4/7/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-2   WIN (5/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3)-(5/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/1/3)-(4/7/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1/3)-(4/7/1/3)-(2/1/7/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-3   WIN (4/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/3)-(4/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/3)-(4/7/1/3)-(4/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/3)-(2/1/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/3)-(2/1/7/8)-(3/6/2/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-4   WIN (2/1/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8)-(2/1/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/8)-(3/6/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/8)-(3/6/2/5)-(1/7/4/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-5   WIN (3/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/2/5)-(1/7/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/5)-(1/7/4/5)-(1/3/6/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-6   WIN (1/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5)-(1/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/4/5)-(1/3/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4/5)-(1/3/6/7)-(1/6/7/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-7   WIN (1/3/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7)-(1/3/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/6/7)-(1/6/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/7)-(1/6/7/4)-(9/7/1/3/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
EMD-8   WIN (1/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/7/4)-(9/7/1/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/6/7/4)-(9/7/1/3/8)-(1/2/6/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
EMD-9   WIN (9/7/1/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/1/3/8)-(9/7/1/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/1/3/8)-(9/7/1/3/8)-(9/7/1/3/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/7/1/3/8)-(1/2/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EMD-10   WIN (1/2/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/5)-(1/2/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/5)-(1/2/6/5)-(1/2/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   07/09/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPROSTON Jul02 Jun23 May29 May21 Mar26 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50 52% 0.90    
2  OUTRIGHT Jun10 May28 May20 Mar03 Feb05 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 1.80 26% 2.80    
3  PROUD LION Jul01 May06 Sep11 Aug21 Aug13 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  HEY SEQUOIA Jun23 Jun10 May29 May06 Feb22 (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 123 3.50    
5  WEAR THE CROWN Jul01 Jun18 May28 May13 Apr11 (toye joe)RADKE K 123 8.00    
6  BESAME MUCHO Jul01 Jun04 May20 Mar19 Mar06 (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 125 5.00    
 
EMD-2   07/09/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 2 ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHINOOK BEND         (evans justin)RADKE K 120 4.00 11% 7.80    
2  BEER BEGONE Jun25         (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 120 4.00 16% 5.20    
3  CONRAD MEADOWS         (navarr)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 120 12.00 7% 14.30    
4  CONNECTER Jun25         (gibson vince)BOWEN ROCCO 120 8.00    
5  WELL IMAGINE THAT         (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 120 3.00 34% 2.00    
6  CHESHIRE KID Jun18         (wisdom anne)OROZCO E 120 10.00    
7  TERNI VALENTINO         (lucarelli fra)VALDES ALEXIS 120 6.00    
8  VICTOR ALY         (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 120 4.50    
 
EMD-3   07/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOR YOU ONLY Jun25 Jun10 May29 May14 Jun19 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 123 10.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  LADY BRETT Nov04 Oct21 Sep23 Sep04 Jul10 (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 123 3.50    
3  CALYPSO PRINCESS Jun17 Jun03 May14 Aug22 Jun18 (essex charles)CRUZ M 119 8.00 11% 8.00    
4  PURPLE NIGHT Jul01 Jun18 May29 Feb25 Jan22 (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.50 26% 2.80    
5  LONSDALEITE Jun18 Oct15 Oct08 Sep03 Aug20 (bean robert)STRAIGHT ANGELA 123 20.00    
6  MISS MENSA Jun16 Jun04 May21 Jan24 Dec22 (metz jeffrey)RADKE K 123 2.50    
7  AWESOME DAZE Jul01 Jun17 May29 Sep09 Aug19 (jenne bo)AMADOR RUIZ 123 5.00 18% 4.70    
8  SHESALILRUNAWAY Jul01 Jun11 May13 Aug19 Jul02 (gibson vince)MATIAS J 121 10.00    
 
EMD-4   07/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PREDICATION Jun25 Jun03 May20 Sep11 Aug20 (gibson f)CRUZ M 125 6.00 30% 2.40    
2  SUMMANUS Jun25 Jun03 May13 Sep02 Aug14 (cooper kay)RADKE K 123 3.00 46% 1.20    
3  ROYAL CANDY Jun24 Jun04 May27 Nov30   (metz jeffrey)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.50    
4  DIRT ROAD DOLLARS Jun04 Dec22 Nov14 Oct22 Sep10 (pierce michae)VALDES ALEXIS 123 3.50    
5  VALIDATE Jun25 Jun17 Jun04 May20 May06 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 125 5.00    
6  PHILIPIE FAST Jun11 May28 Apr03 Mar06 Feb21 (garcia v)AMADOR RUIZ 123 12.00    
7  LIE AND DENY Jan24 Dec22 Nov09 Sep11 Aug12 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  DANNY ZUKO May27 May13 Apr04 Mar05 Feb19 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-5   07/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEPRINO Jun23 Jun09 Jan26 Dec09 Nov24 (peery de)AMADOR RUIZ 123 10.00    
2  GABBY HAYES Jun23 Apr30 Apr09 Mar11 Feb19 (markle dan)BOWEN ROCCO 125 8.00 14% 6.00    
3  PROVOST Jun23 Jun09 May28 May06 Apr10 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.00 30% 2.40    
4  BOSS NINE May29 Apr25 Mar26 Mar06 Dec17 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 15.00    
5  MOSQUITO FLEET Jun23 May29 May06 Apr11 Mar08 (pierce michae)VALDES ALEXIS 125 12.00 11% 8.20    
6  YOU SPLIT TENS Jun23 Jun10 May21 Apr15 Mar26 (evans justin)CRUZ M 125 3.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  THE GREEN CRUSADER May05 Mar28 Mar12 Feb02 Jan09 (troiani niccol)DEONAUTH P 125 6.00    
8  PICK YOUR BID Jun25 Jun18 Jun09 May20 Nov23 (chattong vic)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 20.00    
9  HUNTERS GHOST Jun25 May21 Apr15 Mar26 Feb20 (van debbie)MATIAS J 125 6.00    
 
EMD-6   07/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Angie Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 7:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON TIGER Jun17         (wright blaine)VALDES ALEXIS 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SPRING AGAIN by SKY MESA)
2  PARKER'S FIFTEEN         (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 118 6.00    
  (by GOLD RUSH DANCER out of FREE OF HEART by FREE AT LAST (GB))
3  BRING A SMILE         (wright blaine)RADKE K 118 4.50    
  (by MITOLE out of THUNDERINA by CURLIN)
4  DREWY Jun17         (wright blaine)CRUZ M 118 8.00 20% 4.00    
  (by TAPIZAR out of RACY RASCAL by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  NEISSA         (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLD RUSH DANCER out of AMONG THE STARS by AFLEETKNOWSASECRET)
6  APPEAL FACTOR         (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 118 5.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of KARULA by COLONEL JOHN)
7  MOCKTAILS ANYONE Jun17         (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 118 3.00 20% 3.90    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of PATH TO POWER by POLITICAL FORCE)
 
EMD-7   07/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MS PARKSIDE Jun09 May20 Apr10 Mar04 Feb07 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.60 37% 1.70    
2  CHIC SAMARAI Jun17 May20 Apr10 Mar11   (wright blaine)CRUZ M 123 8.00    
3  OUR LYLA GRACE Jun17 May27 Sep18 Aug14 Jul03 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 123 3.00 36% 1.80    
4  FRISCO FRILLS Jun17 Jun04 May20 Sep18 Aug19 (balcom cliff)BOWEN ROCCO 123 5.00    
5  YOU GO GIRL Jun25 Jun04 May20 Sep18 Aug27 (bullock stev)OROZCO E 123 4.00    
6  IN THE VAULT Jun04 May06 Apr17 Mar14 Feb07 (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  PEPPER MILL Jun18 May28 Apr24 Apr04 Mar19 (kereluk edward)RADKE K 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-8   07/09/2023 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST King County Express Purse ($50K) 2 C/G PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON DANCER Jun18         (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 120 2.50 62% 0.60    
  (by BAYERN out of BAUHAUS BOURBON by BEHRENS)
2  DIGITAL SOLDIER         (wright blain)OROZCO E 118 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SPECIFICATION by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  MOKKI Jun25         (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 118 12.00    
  (by GOLD RUSH DANCER out of HETTY by CAHILL ROAD)
4  MR. EXECUTIVE Jun18         (wright blaine)VALDES ALEXIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of CHARMER LO by GIROLAMO)
5  SIR ARGENTO         (cryderman candi)BOWEN ROCCO 118 12.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of PACKED POWDER by THE WHITE FOX)
6  WHISKEY HARBOR Jun25         (harwood m)RADKE K 120 5.00 15% 5.60    
  (by RISE UP out of RUBY ROMANCE by GRINDSTONE)
7  FREIGHTLINE Jun18         (bullock steve)CRUZ M 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COAST GUARD out of KNIGHT RAIDER by TOUGH KNIGHT)
8  GOLDEN AFFAIR         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 118 8.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of PADEN AFFAIR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
SCR  K R RULES Jun18         (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 118 4.00    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of MISS GINGER by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
EMD-9   07/09/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAVAL ESCORT May27 Sep18 Sep02 Aug14 Jul31 (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  SAVILE ROW Apr09 Feb17 Jan22 Dec17 Nov26 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.50    
3  EL ALTO HOMBRE Jun17 Sep04 Aug14 Jul30 Jul10 (kowalski liz)ZUNINO L 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  ARMA D'ORO Jun17 Feb26 Feb03 Jan02 Dec10 (markle dan)BOWEN ROCCO 123 8.00    
5  SMOKEN SHADOW Jan07 Dec14 Aug14 Jul31 Jul17 (peery debbie)VALDES ALEXIS 123 30.00    
6  YOU'RE THE CAUSE Jun25 May29 May06 Mar28 Feb26 (van debbie)MATIAS J 123 20.00    
7  NINE ONE ONE Aug22 Jul30 Jul09 May15   (gilker robert)ANAYA V 123 6.00 31% 2.20    
8  PRAYER OF JABEZ Jun25 May28 Apr26 Apr15 Mar26 (kereluk edward)MONTALVO C 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  BRADY BOY May29 Apr17 Sep03 Aug21 Jul24 (wright blaine)RADKE K 125 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  TAX CODE Jun17 May27 May13 Sep03 Jun18 (crowe shelly)CRUZ M 125 2.50    
11  HIJO GALANTE Mar20 Feb19 Jan10 Dec20 Nov21 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 20.00    
 
EMD-10   07/09/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME MOVE Dec03 Oct30       (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 125 2.50 39% 1.60    
2  THEUNTOUCHABLEONE Jun16 May27 May13 Apr16 Dec03 (wright blaine)CRUZ M 121 3.50 37% 1.70    
3  TREASURE'S REALITY Jun23         (metz jef)AMADOR RUIZ 125 12.00    
4  FOYT May19 Apr08       (pierce micha)SARMIENTO RIGO 125 5.00    
5  CRAWLINGBACKTOYOU Jun24 Jun11 May20 Apr01 Mar12 (bean a)ANAYA V 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SEVENTH HOUSE Jun23 Sep18 Aug21     (essex charles)BOWEN ROCCO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  BIG GALUTE Jun16 May28 May06 Sep11 Aug26 (simkins rosi)OROZCO E 125 4.00    
8  POWERS WAR DOG Jun16         (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 125 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.