The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Emerald Downs
Friday - June 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EMD-1   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $4.20 -4.00
    Exacta (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 4-2 2 0 $11.40 -2.00
    Trifecta NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 4-2-5 3 0 $13.10 0.00
EMD-2   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $15.20 -6.00
    Exacta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-5 2 0 $19.90 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 4-5-2 3 0 $24.85 -3.00
    Daily Double (2/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 4-4 2 0 $17.70 -6.00
EMD-3   Win (2/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 1.00
    Exacta (2/4/5/8)-(2/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-3 2 0 $33.30 -12.00
    Trifecta (2/4/5/8)-(2/4/5/8)-(2/4/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 4-3-8 3 0 $159.45 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/3/5)-(2/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-4 2 0 $52.30 -12.00
    Pick Three (2/5)-(1/3/5)-(2/4/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 3/4-4-4 3 0 $40.30 -12.00
EMD-4   Win (1/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $7.60 -8.00
    Exacta (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 5-4 2 0 $10.70 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 5-4-7 3 0 $34.45 -12.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5/8)-(1/2/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 4-5 2 0 $16.50 -16.00
    Pick Three (1/3/5)-(2/4/5/8)-(1/2/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 4-4-5 3 0 $81.65 -24.00
EMD-5   Win (3/4/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $33.60 -8.00
    Exacta (3/4/5/8)-(3/4/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-2 2 0 $246.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (3/4/5/8)-(3/4/5/8)-(3/4/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 7-2-5 3 0 $128.75 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/2/4/6)-(3/4/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 5-7 2 0 $121.20 -16.00
    Pick Three (2/4/5/8)-(1/2/4/6)-(3/4/5/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 4-5-7 3 0 $424.85 -32.00
EMD-6   Win (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
    Exacta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-4 2 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
    Trifecta (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 3-4-6 3 1 $4.90 $4.90 1.90
    Daily Double (3/4/5/8)-(3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-3 2 0 $30.10 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/2/4/6)-(3/4/5/8)-(3/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 5-7-3/5 3 0 $139.40 -24.00

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:00
:221 :444 :563     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO CONNELLY 3 1 2 1nk   12 1(metz jeffr)AMADOR RUIZ 125 2.50 1.10  
DANCE LADY 2 4 3 32   32(pierce l)CRUZ M 123 10.00 5% 19.00 8.60 P
FLYIN BY 4 2 1 2nk   22 3(johnston kimberley)RADKE K 125 3.50 11% 8.00 3.80 S
RED PANTY NIGHT 1 3 44 44   44(bullene michael)MONTALVO C 125 2.50 1.30  
SCR  JANERO ROSE               (pierce l)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.80 64% 0.60    
 
EMD-2   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-10:50
:22 :443 :563     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW EVERY MORNING 4 2 11 1nk   1nk 1¾ (gibson vince)RADKE K 123 3.50 6.60  
EL CHAVO DEL OCHO 5 6 53 2nk   2nk 2¾ (gibson vince)MATIAS J 123 2.00 43% 1.30 1.50 P
D K'S CROWN 2 4 43 4   333 (silva-martinez al)CRUZ M 123 4.00 2.70  
CROOKED FINGER RAY 3 5 32 3   43 4(wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 123 2.50 28% 2.50 3.30  
MAMACALLMEBOO 1 3 21 5   56 5(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 5.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
FREESTONE 6 1 6 6   66(garcia valenti)OROZCO E 123 15.00 24.40  
 
EMD-3   06/16/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:18
:22 :451 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITHEE 4 3 2nk 1½   12 1(bullock steve)CRUZ M 121 4.00 20% 3.90 3.50 W
AIN'T NO SISSY 3 1 1nk 31   32(essex charles)NEGRON LUIS 125 6.00 8.00  
NIGHT TO REMEMBER 8 8 8 54   43(patino faustino)MONTALVO C 125 6.00 14% 6.10 14.50 S
THEUNTOUCHABLEONE 5 2 6 75   56 4(wright blaine)RADKE K 121 2.50 24% 3.20 2.60  
BIG GALUTE 7 4 3½ 2½   22 5(simkins rosie)OROZCO E 125 3.50 2.90  
EXIT STAGE LEFT 1 5 4 43   68 6(bullock steve)VALDES ALEXIS 121 12.00 25.10  
PEDAL TO THE METAL 6 6 5 6   79 7(boyd preston)ZACHERLE LOUIS 125 10.00 5.00  
POWERS WAR DOG 2 7 7 87   811 8(cryderman s)MATIAS J 125 8.00 16% 5.40 15.00  
 
EMD-4   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT-12:08
:22 :444 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOGYA 5 3 31 2nk   1½ 1¾ (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 121 3.50 2.80  
FANNY BAY ALI 4 7 711¾ 7   42 2¾ (gilker robert)RADKE K 121 2.50 67% 0.50 1.80 P
AVANTI LEAH 7 6 6 42   32 3(cooper kay)VALDES ALEXIS 121 4.50 9.90  
SECRET HOTTIE 1 2 2nk 3½   2½ 4(jenne bonnie)ZUNINO L 121 10.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
PLATINUM PHANTOM 6 5 5 5   65(lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
STARRY BEACH 2 4 4 6   568 (metz jeffr)AMADOR RUIZ 121 8.00 5% 17.60 5.60  
SAILING IN 3 1 1nk 1nk   7710 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 125 3.00 5.30  
 
EMD-5   06/16/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:36
:233 :463 1:112 1:234   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONTFORGETHESUGAR 7 8 6 6 32 21 1¼ (cryderman cand)OROZCO E 123 10.00 15.80  
LA POPIS 2 2 42 32 21 11 2¼ (troiani niccolo)ANAYA V 123 8.00 14.20  
CAMDEN HIGH 5 7 5 53 42 43(pierce l)ENRIQUEZ D 123 2.50 43% 1.30 2.40 S
MISS MENSA 1 1 11 11 11 34(metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 123 4.50 1.50  
MUNNINGS TALE 4 5 7 7 74 510½ 513 (essex charles)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.50 16% 5.30 6.90  
EASY DOES IT 6 4 8 810½ 86 617½ 619 (koler stev)AMADOR RUIZ 123 6.00 18.40  
GUNNHILD 8 3 32 4 63 717½ 719¼ (crowe shelly)RADKE K 121 5.00 17% 5.00 5.10  
FLY PATTI FLY 3 6 21 21 5 818½ 821½ (martinez david)SARMIENTO RIGO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 19.90  
 
EMD-6   06/16/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:16
:243 :471 1:11 1:232   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHESAHEATWAVE 3 1 21 1½ 11 12 1(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 1.20 39% 1.60 0.90 W
HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS 4 4 3 32 21 22 2(cryderman s)RADKE K 123 4.50 15% 5.70 2.20 P
HEART RIVER 5 5 54 5 4 35 3(metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 123 3.00 26% 2.90 6.90 S
LAFONDA 1 2 11 2½ 32 47 411½ (harwood m)MATIAS J 123 8.00 6.50  
TWITTERATI 2 3 4 4 54 58 513½ (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 123 6.00 8.10  
SCR  BOSSY PEGASUS               (metz jeffrey)MONTALVO C 123 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.