Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Emerald Downs
Friday - June 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-3   WIN (5/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $9.00 $1.00 13%
EMD-6   TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-4-6 $4.90 $1.90 63%

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:00
See original race card.
:221 :444 :563     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO CONNELLY 3 1 2 1nk   12 1 (metz jef)AMADOR RUIZ 125 2.50 1.10  
DANCE LADY 2 4 3 32   3 2 (pierce michael )CRUZ M 123 10.00 5% 19.00 8.60 P
FLYIN BY 4 2 1 2nk   22 3 (johnston kimberley)RADKE K 125 3.50 11% 8.00 3.80 S
RED PANTY NIGHT 1 3 44 44   4 4 (bullene michael)MONTALVO C 125 2.50 1.30  
SCR  JANERO ROSE               (pierce michael )NEGRON LUIS 125 1.80 64% 0.60    
 
EMD-2   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-10:50
See original race card.
:22 :443 :563     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW EVERY MORNING 4 2 11 1nk   1nk 1¾ (gibson vince)RADKE K 123 3.50 6.60  
EL CHAVO DEL OCHO 5 6 53 2nk   2nk 2¾ (gibson vince)MATIAS J 123 2.00 43% 1.30 1.50 P
D K'S CROWN 2 4 43 4   3 33 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 123 4.00 2.70  
CROOKED FINGER RAY 3 5 32 3   43 4 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 123 2.50 28% 2.50 3.30  
MAMACALLMEBOO 1 3 21 5   56 5 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 5.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
FREESTONE 6 1 6 6   6 6 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 123 15.00 24.40  
 
EMD-3   06/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:18
See original race card.
:22 :451 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WITHEE 4 3 2nk 1½   12 1 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 121 4.00 20% 3.90 3.50 W
AIN'T NO SISSY 3 1 1nk 31   3 2 (essex charles)NEGRON LUIS 125 6.00 8.00  
NIGHT TO REMEMBER 8 8 8 54   4 3 (patino faustino)MONTALVO C 125 6.00 14% 6.10 14.50 S
THEUNTOUCHABLEONE 5 2 6 75   56 4 (wright blaine)RADKE K 121 2.50 24% 3.20 2.60  
BIG GALUTE 7 4 3½ 2½   22 5 (simkins rosi)OROZCO E 125 3.50 2.90  
EXIT STAGE LEFT 1 5 4 43   68 6 (bullock steve)VALDES ALEXIS 121 12.00 25.10  
PEDAL TO THE METAL 6 6 5 6   79 7 (boyd preston)ZACHERLE LOUIS 125 10.00 5.00  
POWERS WAR DOG 2 7 7 87   811 8 (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 125 8.00 16% 5.40 15.00  
 
EMD-4   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT-12:08
See original race card.
:22 :444 :57     1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOGYA 5 3 31 2nk   1½ 1¾ (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 121 3.50 2.80  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of CHAMPAGNEANDCAVIAR by VAN NISTELROOY)
FANNY BAY ALI 4 7 711¾ 7   42 2¾ (gilker robert)RADKE K 121 2.50 67% 0.50 1.80 P
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of CHILLI CHINES by KATOWICE)
AVANTI LEAH 7 6 6 42   32 3 (cooper kay)VALDES ALEXIS 121 4.50 9.90  
  (by LEA out of COURTING DELILAH by FLOWER ALLEY)
SECRET HOTTIE 1 2 2nk 3½   2½ 4 (jenne bonnie)ZUNINO L 121 10.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
  (by RAISED A SECRET out of JADELET by SKIP AWAY)
PLATINUM PHANTOM 6 5 5 5   6 5 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
  (by MOHAYMEN out of JOY'S JAGUAR by KITTEN'S JOY)
STARRY BEACH 2 4 4 6   5 68 (metz jef)AMADOR RUIZ 121 8.00 5% 17.60 5.60  
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of HIT A STAR by IHTIMAM)
SAILING IN 3 1 1nk 1nk   7 710 (cooper kay)OROZCO E 125 3.00 5.30  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of PEACEFUL NATION by NATIONHOOD)
 
EMD-5   06/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:36
See original race card.
:233 :463 1:112 1:234   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DONTFORGETHESUGAR 7 8 6 6 32 21 1¼ (cryderman ca)OROZCO E 123 10.00 15.80  
LA POPIS 2 2 42 32 21 11 2¼ (troiani niccol)ANAYA V 123 8.00 14.20  
CAMDEN HIGH 5 7 5 53 42 4 3 (pierce michael)ENRIQUEZ D 123 2.50 43% 1.30 2.40 S
MISS MENSA 1 1 11 11 11 3 4 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 123 4.50 1.50  
MUNNINGS TALE 4 5 7 7 74 510½ 513 (essex charles)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.50 16% 5.30 6.90  
EASY DOES IT 6 4 8 810½ 86 617½ 619 (koler st)AMADOR RUIZ 123 6.00 18.40  
GUNNHILD 8 3 32 4 63 717½ 719¼ (crowe shelly)RADKE K 121 5.00 17% 5.00 5.10  
FLY PATTI FLY 3 6 21 21 5 818½ 821½ (martinez dav)SARMIENTO RIGO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 19.90  
 
EMD-6   06/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:16
See original race card.
:243 :471 1:11 1:232   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHESAHEATWAVE 3 1 21 1½ 11 12 1 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 1.20 39% 1.60 0.90 W
HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS 4 4 3 32 21 22 2 (cryderman s)RADKE K 123 4.50 15% 5.70 2.20 P
HEART RIVER 5 5 54 5 4 35 3 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 123 3.00 26% 2.90 6.90 S
LAFONDA 1 2 11 2½ 32 47 411½ (harwood m)MATIAS J 123 8.00 6.50  
TWITTERATI 2 3 4 4 54 58 513½ (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 123 6.00 8.10  
SCR  BOSSY PEGASUS               (metz jeffrey)MONTALVO C 123 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.