Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Friday - June 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(5/3/1)-(5/4/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
EMD-2   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(5/4/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(5/4/2/8)-(4/2/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-3   WIN (5/4/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/8)-(5/4/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/8)-(5/4/2/8)-(5/4/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/2/8)-(4/2/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/8)-(4/2/1/6)-(5/8/4/3) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-4   WIN (4/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/6)-(4/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/6)-(4/2/1/6)-(4/2/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/1/6)-(5/8/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1/6)-(5/8/4/3)-(3/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-5   WIN (5/8/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/3)-(5/8/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/3)-(5/8/4/3)-(5/8/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/4/3)-(3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/4/3)-(3/6/4)-(1/4/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-6   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(1/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EMD-7   WIN (1/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2)-(1/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED PANTY NIGHT Jun03 May21 May06 Apr15 Apr01 (bullene michael)MONTALVO C 125 2.50    
2  DANCE LADY Jun03 May21 Apr24 Mar31 Mar09 (pierce michael )CRUZ M 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JANERO ROSE May27 May02 Apr01 Mar06 Feb18 (pierce michael )NEGRON LUIS 125 1.80 64% 0.60    
4  MO CONNELLY Jun04 May28 Mar06 Feb18 Jan31 (metz jef)AMADOR RUIZ 125 2.50    
5  FLYIN BY May21 Apr05 Feb25 Feb06 Jan24 (johnston kimberley)RADKE K 125 3.50 11% 8.00    
 
EMD-2   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-10:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMACALLMEBOO Jun09 May29 May14 Sep17 Sep03 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 5.00 5% 19.00    
2  D K'S CROWN May29 May14 May01 Apr04 Mar25 (silva-martinez )CRUZ M 123 4.00    
3  CROOKED FINGER RAY Aug28 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun04 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 123 2.50 28% 2.50    
4  NEW EVERY MORNING May29 May14 Feb26 Feb09 Jan26 (gibson vince)RADKE K 123 3.50    
5  EL CHAVO DEL OCHO May29 May14 Feb26 Feb02 Jan18 (gibson vince)MATIAS J 123 2.00 43% 1.30    
6  FREESTONE May29 Apr03 Mar08 Feb13 Sep11 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 123 15.00    
 
EMD-3   06/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXIT STAGE LEFT Sep10 Aug13 Jul17     (bullock steve)VALDES ALEXIS 121 12.00    
2  POWERS WAR DOG         (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 125 8.00 16% 5.40    
3  AIN'T NO SISSY Sep02 Jun25 Jun10     (essex charles)NEGRON LUIS 125 6.00    
4  WITHEE May27 May13 Sep10 Aug28 Aug13 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 121 4.00 20% 3.90    
5  THEUNTOUCHABLEONE May27 May13 Apr16 Dec03 Oct22 (wright blaine)RADKE K 121 2.50 24% 3.20    
6  PEDAL TO THE METAL Sep02         (boyd preston)ZACHERLE LOUIS 125 10.00    
7  BIG GALUTE May28 May06 Sep11 Aug26   (simkins rosi)OROZCO E 125 3.50    
8  NIGHT TO REMEMBER         (patino faustino)MONTALVO C 125 6.00 14% 6.10    
 
EMD-4   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT-12:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECRET HOTTIE May29 May14       (jenne bonnie)ZUNINO L 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RAISED A SECRET out of JADELET by SKIP AWAY)
2  STARRY BEACH Jun03 May14 Aug19 Aug07 Jul23 (metz jef)AMADOR RUIZ 121 8.00 5% 17.60    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of HIT A STAR by IHTIMAM)
3  SAILING IN May29 Jun19 Jun04     (cooper kay)OROZCO E 125 3.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of PEACEFUL NATION by NATIONHOOD)
4  FANNY BAY ALI May22         (gilker robert)RADKE K 121 2.50 67% 0.50    
  (by COUNTERFORCE out of CHILLI CHINES by KATOWICE)
5  YOGYA May29 Sep02 Jul17     (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 121 3.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of CHAMPAGNEANDCAVIAR by VAN NISTELROOY)
6  PLATINUM PHANTOM May29         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of JOY'S JAGUAR by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  AVANTI LEAH         (cooper kay)VALDES ALEXIS 121 4.50    
  (by LEA out of COURTING DELILAH by FLOWER ALLEY)
 
EMD-5   06/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS MENSA Jun04 May21 Jan24 Dec22 Nov09 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 123 4.50    
2  LA POPIS May29 Sep10 Aug20 Jul30 Jul16 (troiani niccol)ANAYA V 123 8.00    
3  FLY PATTI FLY May27 May14 Jul09 Jun25   (martinez dav)SARMIENTO RIGO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  MUNNINGS TALE May13 Mar20 Feb14 Jan31 Jan17 (essex charles)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.50 16% 5.30    
5  CAMDEN HIGH May29 May13 Apr01 Mar13 Feb27 (pierce michael)ENRIQUEZ D 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
6  EASY DOES IT Apr25 Apr01 Feb20 Feb01 Jan12 (koler st)AMADOR RUIZ 123 6.00    
7  DONTFORGETHESUGAR Jun03 May13 Sep10 Aug28 Aug06 (cryderman ca)OROZCO E 123 10.00    
8  GUNNHILD May29 May13 Sep17 Aug19 Aug06 (crowe shelly)RADKE K 121 5.00 17% 5.00    
 
EMD-6   06/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAFONDA May28 May14 Aug27 Aug12 Jul30 (harwood m)MATIAS J 123 8.00    
2  TWITTERATI Jun04 May06 Apr05 Mar13 Feb16 (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 123 6.00    
3  SHESAHEATWAVE Jun03 May05 Apr18 Apr08 Feb21 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 1.20 39% 1.60    
4  HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS Jun04 May21 Apr01 Feb22 Jan11 (cryderman s)RADKE K 123 4.50 15% 5.70    
SCR  BOSSY PEGASUS May29 May21 May06 Apr07 Mar25 (metz jeffrey)MONTALVO C 123 30.00    
6  HEART RIVER Apr18 Mar19 Feb16 May21 Apr20 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 123 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
EMD-7   06/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZEVA DEE Jun03 May13 Jul02     (gibson vince)CRUZ M 121 3.50 40% 1.50    
2  NOMI LACKEE May06 Apr16 Apr09 Mar04 Sep02 (gabriel luc)ORTIZ A 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  MANY MEMORIES May28 May14       (balcom cliff)ZACHERLE LOUIS 121 15.00    
4  LUVAHAPPYENDING Oct16 Oct10 Sep18 Sep10 Jul24 (mccanna tim)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50 25% 3.10    
5  DANCING TO GOLD May28 Sep17       (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 121 12.00    
6  OUR GIRL ASHLEY Jun03 May13       (cryderman s)RADKE K 121 8.00    
7  TED'S CANDY GIRL May29 May21 May06 Mar15 Feb16 (gibson v)AMADOR RUIZ 125 1.80 13% 6.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.