The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - May 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $3.20 $0.00 -4.00
    Exacta (2/6)-(1/2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 5-4 2 0 $11.00 $0.00 -4.00
    Trifecta (2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 5-4-2 3 0 $20.50 $0.00 -2.00
TUP-3   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
    Exacta (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-3 2 1 $3.50 $3.50 -2.50
    Trifecta (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-3-4 3 0 $3.75 $0.00 -3.00
    Daily Double (2/6)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-2 2 0 $4.10 $0.00 -6.00
TUP-4   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 5 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 2.60
    Exacta (5)-(2/5/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 5-2 2 1 $9.30 $9.30 7.30
    Trifecta (5)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 2 $0.50 $1.00 5-2-6 3 1 $9.45 $9.45 8.45
    Daily Double (2/3/5)-(5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 2-5 2 1 $6.00 $6.00 3.00
    Pick Three (2/6)-(2/3/5)-(5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 5-2-5/8 3 0 $3.00 $0.00 -3.00
TUP-5   Win (1/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $12.20 $0.00 -8.00
    Exacta (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 4-3 2 0 $34.30 $0.00 -16.00
    Trifecta (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/3/5/8)-(1/2/3/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 4-3-5 3 0 $77.15 $0.00 -24.00
    Daily Double (5)-(1/2/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 5-4 2 0 $19.50 $0.00 -4.00
    Pick Three (2/3/5)-(5)-(1/2/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 2-5/8-4 3 0 $18.50 $0.00 -6.00
TUP-6   Win (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -0.60
    Exacta (6/7/8)-(2/6/7/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 6-2 2 1 $15.40 $15.40 6.40
    Trifecta (6/7/8)-(2/6/7/8)-(2/6/7/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 6-2-8 3 1 $12.45 $12.45 3.45
    Daily Double (1/2/3/5)-(6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 4-6 2 0 $24.40 $0.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (5)-(1/2/3/5)-(6/7/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 5/8-4-6 3 0 $31.50 $0.00 -6.00
TUP-7   Win (1/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $80.40 $0.00 -8.00
    Exacta (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 8-3 2 0 $146.20 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 8-3-7 3 0 $273.30 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (6/7/8)-(1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-8 2 0 $139.10 $0.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/2/3/5)-(6/7/8)-(1/3/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 4-6-8 3 0 $798.45 $0.00 -24.00
TUP-8   Win (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 1.20
    Exacta (1/3)-(1/2/3/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 3-1 2 1 $9.60 $9.60 3.60
    Trifecta (1/3)-(1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 3-1-2 3 1 $8.70 $8.70 2.70
    Daily Double (1/3/4/5)-(1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 8-3 2 0 $150.90 $0.00 -8.00
    Pick Three (6/7/8)-(1/3/4/5)-(1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 6-8-3 3 0 $387.20 $0.00 -12.00

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   05/02/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:52
:221 :451 :561     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JANERO ROSE 5 2 22 2   2nk 1(pers)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50 0.60  
J T'S LA NENA 4 1 12 1   1nk 2(torres-c)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 10.00 9.50  
DOZO 2 5 32 3   33(christian billy)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 2.50 17% 4.80 5.90 S
APART OF MY CHARM 3 6 54 46   56 4(fales matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 4.40  
KEBA LUCKY DAY 6 3 4 5   45(kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 54% 0.90 4.10  
MY CRAFTY GAL 1 4 6 610   66(leon priscilla)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00 17.10  
 
TUP-3   05/02/2023 5280ft TURF FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:20
:241 :464 1:103 1:232   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIPLOMATICA 2 1 12 12 11 11 1¾ (martinez este)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 17% 4.90 1.20 W
GYPSY WIFE 3 6 5 56 46 32¾ (eikl)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50 20% 4.10 1.00 P
INDY'S STAR 4 2 22 22 21 21 3(belvoir )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 3.50 7.70  
IF YOU WANT IT 5 4 68 68 5 48 4(belvoir vann)ZUNINO L 122 4.00 28% 2.60 17.70  
PRANCE 6 5 4 46 6 613 513½ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00 7.50  
THE GINGER QUEEN (IRE) 1 3 3 3 3 511½ 613¾ (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 24.30  
 
TUP-4   05/02/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
:221 :443 1:091     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN SUN DROPS 5 3 31 1nk   11(vitali j)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.50 16% 5.20 1.30 W
KIRA FEVER 2 5 42 5   43 2(kenney ryan)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 4.50 3.40 P
ENSLEYS DREAM 6 4 5 4   532 (brown jared)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 1.70 S
DREAMER GIRL 4 2 21 32   34(barraza s)ANAYA V 122 12.00 13.90  
LOTSA LACE 3 1 11 2nk   255 (cuccia susan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 7.80  
FOREST ACCLAMATION 1 6 6 6   614½ 621¾ (fearon johnathon)HARVEY B 118 15.00 38.10  
K P HARRY KITTY 7 7 710½ 725¾   728½ 736¼ (mart)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00 24.90  
SCR  HIGH GUNNER               (gleason )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 4.00 63% 0.60    
 
TUP-5   05/02/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
:22 :442 :564     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EZ GUESS 4 2 1nk 1nk   11(guerrero orla)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 5.10  
GONE SOMEWHERE 3 3 3 34   22(morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 40% 1.50 3.70 P
MO GEE 5 1 2nk 2nk   33 3(matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 5% 18.50 2.90 S
FLY BUDDY FLY 6 4 4 45   446 (torres-c)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 15.00 48.70  
STALKING SHADOW 2 8 7 6   57 57 (matt l)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 27% 2.70 6.30  
REDACTION 9 5 88 8   67 6(silv)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 1.70  
GOT EVEN SMARTER 8 7 910 7   77(fulmer drew)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00 19.70  
HARROVIAN 1 6 5 58   88(christian billy)DEONAUTH P 124 5.00 5% 18.90 20.20  
NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST 7 9 6 910   912¾ 914¾ (perkinson cc)HARVEY B 124 15.00 40.20  
 
TUP-6   05/02/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
:222 :451 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON AND WATER 4 3 3 3   21¼ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.50 23% 3.40 1.70 W
SEAFARING WILDCAT 1 4 11 1   12¼ (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00 2.90 P
BALI STAR 6 2 4 4   32 3½ (breashear bil)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.60 48% 1.10 1.20 S
MUSICAL GEM 5 1 21 2   44 46 (torres-casas a)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 5.00 8% 12.00 5.50  
IMISSBAYMEADOWS 2 6 6 5   67 5(fearon johnathon)DEONAUTH P 124 12.00 33.20  
MYBESTISYETTOCOME 3 5 55 6   56(simpson shannon)ANAYA V 124 12.00 34.70  
SCR  BIG CANDY               (rollins scott)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 15.00    
SCR  KAI'S STATEMENT               (barraza sos)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
 
TUP-7   05/02/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:18
:224 :453 :581     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAGING LADY 7 4 42 22   2½ 1½ (torres-casas )MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00 39.20  
AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN 3 1 1½ 12   1½ 2½ (evans justin)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 9% 10.20 0.60 P
BETTY'S BAR 6 3 31 32   33 3(martinez esteban)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 5.20  
HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY 4 6 5 6   55 4(christian billy)ZUNINO L 124 10.00 8% 12.30 8.50  
MISTY MATT 1 5 6 5   43 5(matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 16% 5.10 6.00  
ATLANTIC PRINCESS 2 7 7 76   67 6(axmaker w)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 33.70  
BOUNTY OF GOLD 5 2 2½ 4   7716¼ (silva jo)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 4.50 46% 1.20 4.20  
SCR  V BUCKS               (hernandez migue)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00    
 
TUP-8   05/02/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 ALL PT- 7:47
:221 :443 :56     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATAR 3 2 11 11   13 1(owens kory)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 2.50 48% 1.10 1.60 W
JUSTIN AZTECA 1 6 54 35   34 2(story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 3.50 26% 2.90 4.70 P
HI YAH 2 4 21 21   23 37 (williams)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 4.50 1.00 S
BIG JACK 4 1 33 56   59 4(mart)DA FAUSTO 121 15.00 31.00  
MY KACEJJ 5 5 66 6   47 510 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 12.80  
PROSPECT OF RAIN 7 7 710½ 711   614 616¼ (story chad)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 15.00 33.60  
COASTAL FOG 6 3 43 4   714½ 721¾ (sepich f)ZUNINO L 121 5.00 10.70  
SCR  FLEET OF FLAGS               (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00    
SCR  RECONCILING FORCE               (hernandez migue)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.