Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - May 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-4   WIN (8/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00  5 $4.60 $0.60 15%
    EXA (8/5)-(8/5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-2 $9.30 $3.30 55%
    TRI (8/5)-(8/5/2/6)-(8/5/2/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00  5-2-6 $9.45 $3.45 58%
TUP-6   EXA (8/6/7)-(8/6/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-2 $15.40 $6.40 71%
    TRI (8/6/7)-(8/6/7/2)-(8/6/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00  6-2-8 $12.45 $3.45 38%
    SFT (8/6/7)-(8/6/7/2)-(8/6/7/2)-(8/6/7/2) 18 $0.10 $1.80  6-2-8-7 $3.69 $1.89 105%
TUP-8   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $5.20 $1.20 30%
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/2/5/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00  3-1 $9.60 $1.60 20%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-2   05/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:221 :451 :561     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JANERO ROSE 5 2 22 22½   2nk 12¾ (pe)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50 0.60  
4  J T'S LA NENA 4 1 12 12½   1nk 22¾ (torres)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 10.00 9.50  
2  DOZO 2 5 32 33½   32½ 36¼ (christian bil)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 2.50 17% 4.80 5.90 S
3  APART OF MY CHARM 3 6 54 46   56 46½ (fales matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 4.40  
6  KEBA LUCKY DAY 6 3 43½ 56½   45½ 57½ (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 54% 0.90 4.10  
1  MY CRAFTY GAL 1 4 66½ 610   67½ 67½ (leon priscill)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00 ★ 17.10  
 
TUP-3   05/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:241 :464 1:103 1:232   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DIPLOMATICA 2 1 12 12 11 11 1¾ (martinez es)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 17% 4.90 1.20 W
3  GYPSY WIFE 3 6 56½ 56 46 34½ 2¾ (ei)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50 20% 4.10 1.00 P
4  INDY'S STAR 4 2 22 22 21 21 31¼ (belvoi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 3.50 7.70  
5  IF YOU WANT IT 5 4 68 68 58½ 48 45½ (belvoir vann)ZUNINO L 122 4.00 28% 2.60 17.70  
6  PRANCE 6 5 46½ 46 68½ 613 513½ (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00 7.50  
1  THE GINGER QUEEN (IRE) 1 3 34½ 34½ 34½ 511½ 613¾ (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 24.30  
 
TUP-4   05/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:221 :443 1:091     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GOLDEN SUN DROPS 5 3 31 1nk   11½ 11¾ (vitali marcus)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.50 16% 5.20 1.30 W
2  KIRA FEVER 2 5 42 53¾   43 21¾ (kenney ryan)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 4.50 ★ 3.40 P
6  ENSLEYS DREAM 6 4 53½ 43½   53½ 32 (brown jared)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 ★ 1.70 S
4  DREAMER GIRL 4 2 21 32   31½ 42¾ (barraza rafael)ANAYA V 122 12.00 13.90  
3  LOTSA LACE 3 1 11 2nk   21½ 55 (cuccia susan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00 7.80  
1  FOREST ACCLAMATION 1 6 64½ 67¾   614½ 621¾ (fearon johnathon)HARVEY B 118 15.00 38.10  
7  K P HARRY KITTY 7 7 710½ 725¾   728½ 736¼ (ma)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00 24.90  
SCR  HIGH GUNNER               (gleaso)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 4.00 63% 0.60    
 
TUP-5   05/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:22 :442 :564     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EZ GUESS 4 2 1nk 1nk   11½ 11¾ (guerrero or)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00 5.10  
3  GONE SOMEWHERE 3 3 35½ 34   21½ 21¾ (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 40% 1.50 3.70 P
5  MO GEE 5 1 2nk 2nk   33 34¼ (matt wendel)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 5% 18.50 2.90 S
6  FLY BUDDY FLY 6 4 45¾ 45   45½ 46 (torres)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 15.00 48.70  
2  STALKING SHADOW 2 8 77¾ 68¼   57 57 (matt l)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 27% 2.70 6.30  
9  REDACTION 9 5 88 88½   67 67¼ (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 1.70  
8  GOT EVEN SMARTER 8 7 910 78¼   77¼ 78½ (fulmer drew)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00 ★ 19.70  
1  HARROVIAN 1 6 57¼ 58   88¾ 89¾ (christian bill)DEONAUTH P 124 5.00 5% 18.90 20.20  
7  NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST 7 9 67¾ 910   912¾ 914¾ (perkinson cc)HARVEY B 124 15.00 40.20  
 
TUP-6   05/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:222 :451 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  BOURBON AND WATER 4 3 32½ 31½   21½ 1¼ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.50 23% 3.40 1.70 W
2  SEAFARING WILDCAT 1 4 11 11½   11½ 2¼ (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00 ★ 2.90 P
8  BALI STAR 6 2 42½ 41¾   32 3½ (breashear b)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.60 48% 1.10 1.20 S
7  MUSICAL GEM 5 1 21 21½   44 46 (torres-casas)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 5.00 8% 12.00 5.50  
3  IMISSBAYMEADOWS 2 6 67½ 54¾   67 58½ (fearon johnath)DEONAUTH P 124 12.00 33.20  
5  MYBESTISYETTOCOME 3 5 55 65¼   56½ 69¼ (simpson shanno)ANAYA V 124 12.00 34.70  
SCR  BIG CANDY               (rollins scott)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 15.00    
SCR  KAI'S STATEMENT               (barraza s)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
 
TUP-7   05/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:224 :453 :581     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RAGING LADY 7 4 42 22   2½ 1½ (torres-casa)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00 39.20  
3  AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN 3 1 1½ 12   1½ 2½ (evans justi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 9% 10.20 0.60 P
7  BETTY'S BAR 6 3 31 32   33 33½ (martinez esteba)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50 5.20  
4  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY 4 6 53½ 65½   55 45¼ (christian billy)ZUNINO L 124 10.00 8% 12.30 8.50  
1  MISTY MATT 1 5 63½ 53½   43 55½ (matt wendel)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 16% 5.10 6.00  
2  ATLANTIC PRINCESS 2 7 75½ 76   67 65¾ (axmaker cody )ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 33.70  
5  BOUNTY OF GOLD 5 2 2½ 42½   79½ 716¼ (silva )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 4.50 46% 1.20 4.20  
SCR  V BUCKS               (hernandez mig)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00    
 
TUP-8   05/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 ALL PT- 7:47
See original race card.
:221 :443 :56     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  KATAR 3 2 11 11   13 15¾ (owens kor)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 2.50 48% 1.10 1.60 W
1  JUSTIN AZTECA 1 6 54 35   34 25¾ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 3.50 26% 2.90 4.70 P
2  HI YAH 2 4 21 21   23 37 (willia)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 4.50 ★ 1.00 S
4  BIG JACK 4 1 33 56   59 49¾ (ma)DA FAUSTO 121 15.00 31.00  
7  MY KACEJJ 5 5 66 67½   47 510 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00 12.80  
9  PROSPECT OF RAIN 7 7 710½ 711   614 616¼ (story chad)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 15.00 33.60  
8  COASTAL FOG 6 3 43 45½   714½ 721¾ (sepich f)ZUNINO L 121 5.00 ★ 10.70  
SCR  FLEET OF FLAGS               (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  RECONCILING FORCE               (hernandez mig)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.