Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - May 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-2   Win (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-3   Win (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-4   Win (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TUP-5   Win (3/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-6   Win (8/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-7   Win (5/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-8   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-2   05/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY CRAFTY GAL Apr01 Aug11 Jul17 May26 Apr21 (leon priscilla)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 8.00 ★    
2  DOZO Apr08 Mar06 Feb07 Jan11 Dec14 (christian billy)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 2.50 17% 4.80    
3  APART OF MY CHARM Mar29 Mar04 Feb11 Jan24 Jan11 (fales matt)VALENZUELA A 122 5.00    
4  J T'S LA NENA Apr22 Apr10 Mar18 Mar08 Feb16 (torres-c)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 10.00    
5  JANERO ROSE Apr01 Mar06 Feb18 Jan11 Dec15 (pers)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50    
6  KEBA LUCKY DAY Apr08 Mar21 Mar04 Feb16 Jan30 (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 54% 0.90    
 
TUP-3   05/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE GINGER QUEEN (IRE) Apr08 Mar26 Feb14 Jan28 Jan10 (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00    
2  DIPLOMATICA Apr19 Apr01 Mar14 Feb21 Feb01 (martinez este)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 17% 4.90    
3  GYPSY WIFE Apr19 Mar26 Mar08 Feb20 Jan18 (eikl)DA FAUSTO 124 2.50 20% 4.10    
4  INDY'S STAR Apr19 Mar29 Mar14 Feb08 Jan04 (belvoir )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 3.50    
5  IF YOU WANT IT Mar29 Mar08 Feb08 Jan18 Dec14 (belvoir vann)ZUNINO L 122 4.00 28% 2.60    
6  PRANCE Apr10 Mar14 Feb26 Jan18 Dec26 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
 
TUP-4   05/02/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREST ACCLAMATION Apr19 Apr04 Mar05 Feb13 Jan16 (fearon johnathon)HARVEY B 118 15.00    
2  KIRA FEVER Apr19 Mar11       (kenney ryan)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 4.50 ★    
3  LOTSA LACE Apr19 Mar28 Feb20 Jan17 Dec20 (cuccia susan)LOPEZ KARLO 122 6.00    
4  DREAMER GIRL Apr04 Mar11 Feb16 Jan26 Jan10 (barraza s)ANAYA V 122 12.00    
5  GOLDEN SUN DROPS Mar26 Feb28 Feb07 Jan23 Jan09 (vitali j)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
6  ENSLEYS DREAM Apr10 Mar28 Mar03 Dec17 Oct28 (brown jared)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 ★    
7  K P HARRY KITTY Apr10 Mar15 Mar07 Jan28 Dec13 (mart)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00    
SCR  HIGH GUNNER Mar27 Mar11 Feb14 Jan23 Dec14 (gleason )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 4.00 63% 0.60    
 
TUP-5   05/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARROVIAN Apr11 Mar18 Feb26 Feb06 Sep17 (christian billy)DEONAUTH P 124 5.00 5% 18.90    
2  STALKING SHADOW Mar27 Mar13 Feb16 Jan23 Dec22 (matt l)ZUNINO L 124 6.00 27% 2.70    
3  GONE SOMEWHERE Apr01 Feb19 Dec26 Nov30 Oct14 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.00 40% 1.50    
4  EZ GUESS Apr11 Mar25 Mar12 Feb21 Aug26 (guerrero orla)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 8.00    
5  MO GEE Apr08 Mar25 Mar01 Feb11 Jan18 (matt wendell )HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 5% 18.50    
6  FLY BUDDY FLY Apr08 Mar12 Mar06 Feb26 Feb14 (torres-c)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 15.00    
7  NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST Mar12 Feb04 Jan28 Jan19 Dec20 (perkinson cc)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 15.00    
8  GOT EVEN SMARTER Apr11 Mar25 Feb26 Feb04 Jan12 (fulmer drew)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00 ★    
9  REDACTION Apr25 Apr08 Mar28 Feb13 Feb04 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00    
 
TUP-6   05/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KAI'S STATEMENT Apr17 Apr08 Feb28 Jan28 Jan07 (barraza sos)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
2  SEAFARING WILDCAT Apr10 Mar05 Feb13 Dec20 Nov12 (gleason m)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00 ★    
3  IMISSBAYMEADOWS Apr08 Mar28 Feb28 Feb11 Jan18 (fearon johnathon)DEONAUTH P 124 12.00    
SCR  BIG CANDY Sep16 Aug27 Aug19     (rollins scott)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 15.00    
5  MYBESTISYETTOCOME Jan17 Jan02 Dec08 Nov14 Jun25 (simpson shannon)ANAYA V 124 12.00    
6  BOURBON AND WATER Apr17 Mar19 Feb18 Jan28 Jan10 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
7  MUSICAL GEM Apr17 Mar26 Feb18 Feb05 Jan17 (torres-casas a)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 5.00 8% 12.00    
8  BALI STAR Apr08 Mar25 Feb28 Feb11 Jan05 (breashear bil)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.60 48% 1.10    
 
TUP-7   05/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTY MATT Apr03 Mar19 Mar01 Feb16 Jan24 (matt wendell )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.00 16% 5.10    
2  ATLANTIC PRINCESS Apr08 Feb15 Jan31 Dec17 Nov15 (axmaker cod)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
3  AIN'T SHE DAHRLIN Apr18 Apr03 Mar19 Feb22 Feb07 (evans justin)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.50 9% 10.20    
4  HAPPY HAPPY HAPPY Jan31 Jan18 Dec14 Nov30 Nov14 (christian billy)ZUNINO L 124 10.00 8% 12.30    
5  BOUNTY OF GOLD Mar29 Feb09 Jun11 May19 May07 (silva jo)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 4.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  V BUCKS Mar14 Feb16 Jan12 Dec27 Nov21 (hernandez migue)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00    
7  BETTY'S BAR Apr19 Apr10 Mar13 Feb27 Feb15 (martinez esteban)LOPEZ KARLO 124 2.50    
8  RAGING LADY Apr22 Apr03 Mar21 Mar12 Feb27 (torres-casas )MARTI ALEXANDER 124 8.00    
 
TUP-8   05/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($21.4K) 3 ALL PT- 7:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUSTIN AZTECA Apr17 Mar14 Feb27 Jan28 Nov07 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 3.50 26% 2.90    
2  HI YAH Apr17 Feb13 Dec21 Dec08   (williams)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 4.50 ★    
3  KATAR Apr04 Mar14 Feb27 Feb13 Dec21 (owens kory)MARTI ALEXANDER 121 2.50 48% 1.10    
4  BIG JACK Mar06 Feb14 Feb02 Jan14 Dec08 (mart)DA FAUSTO 121 15.00    
SCR  FLEET OF FLAGS Jan29 Dec21 Nov22 Sep18 Aug20 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  RECONCILING FORCE Apr17 Mar18       (hernandez migue)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 12.00    
7  MY KACEJJ Apr17 Mar18 Feb26 Feb07   (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 121 8.00    
8  COASTAL FOG Apr11 Feb28       (sepich f)ZUNINO L 121 5.00 ★    
9  PROSPECT OF RAIN Apr17 Mar03 Feb18 Feb05 Jan28 (story chad)YBARRA MICHAEL 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.