Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Emerald Downs
Saturday - May 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  1-4-5 $5.55 $2.55 85%
EMD-6   WIN (7/6/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $9.60 $1.60 20%
    EXA (7/6/5/1)-(7/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-5 $30.00 $18.00 150%
    TRI (7/6/5/1)-(7/6/5/1)-(7/6/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-5-6 $137.60 $125.60 1047%
    DD (5/3/2)-(7/6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-1 $22.50 $10.50 88%
EMD-7   EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/8/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-8 $11.20 $2.20 24%
    DD (7/6/5/1)-(2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  1-2 $14.60 $2.60 22%
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(7/6/5/1)-(2/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  5-1-2 $25.55 $7.55 42%

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   05/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:214 :451 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMEROFTHESAMURAI 1 3 46 3   31 12 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 120 4.00 19% 4.20 1.30 W
JANERO ROSE 3 2 2 2   2½ 22 (pierce l)MONTALVO C 123 1.40 58% 0.70 1.00 P
LOW DOSE 4 1 1 1   1½ 32 (bullene michael)CRUZ M 123 4.50 5% 19.00 6.80 S
CONFIDENCE BUILDER 2 5 5 56   4 4 (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 120 10.00 11.40  
PARTY POLICE 5 4 3 45   5 5 (kereluk edward)NEGRON LUIS 123 8.00 14.60  
SCR  MISS AGGIE BLING               (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 120 3.50    
 
EMD-2   05/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:47
See original race card.
:223 :451 :572     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVIL'S OFF DUTY 2 3 1½ 1   14 15 (peery debbie)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 30% 2.30 1.30 W
DANNY ZUKO 4 1 2½ 2   24 25 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 121 10.00 6.80  
HADLEES HONOR 5 2 42 44   36 3 (van debbie)MATIAS J 118 5.00 13% 6.40 4.70 S
THIRSTY KISS 3 4 5 56   510 411 (gibson v)AMADOR RUIZ 121 3.50 30% 2.30 2.60  
NORTHERN BLEND 1 5 3 3   48 514¼ (dronen sam)RADKE K 121 8.00 3.90  
SCR  IGOTTABOOBOO               (simkins rosie)CRUZ M 121 1.80    
 
EMD-3   05/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16.5K) 3 ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:221 :45 :571     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LANGSTON ROAD 1 4 11 11   12 1 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 122 2.50 19% 4.30 1.20 W
UNCLE PETE 2 5 3 33   34 2 (bullock stev)OROZCO E 122 4.00 10% 8.80 2.90 P
TIME 'ER TOO 3 3 21 21   22 3 (cooper kay)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 8.00 8.60  
WITHEE 4 1 43 5   46 4 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 122 6.00 13.00  
THEUNTOUCHABLEONE 6 2 5 65   67 5 (wright blaine)RADKE K 122 4.00 17% 4.90 4.20  
QUALITY GRANDSON 7 6 7 710   79 610½ (navarro jose)MONTALVO C 122 15.00 24.80  
ROYAL CANDY 5 7 6 44   5 712½ (metz jeffrey)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.50 30% 2.40 10.80  
 
EMD-4   05/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:222 :452 :573     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TABLE BAY 3 6 32 31   1nk 1nk (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 121 8.00 4.30  
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of CAPE GRACE by ABRAAJ)
J C'S A LEGEND 5 3 21 2½   2nk 2nk (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 4.00 21% 3.70 2.70 P
  (by LEA out of LOVE'S ILLUSION by MAZEL TRICK)
SUPERMAX 4 5 53 42   4 35 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 121 5.00 4.70  
  (by ALTERNATION out of CAMANA BAY by CONGRATS)
AMARA MIKE 2 1 11 1½   3 4 (martinez david )CRUZ M 124 3.50 5.20  
  (by ABRAAJ out of ILA VEIW by RALLYING CRY)
MANGIA PANE 8 7 811 6   5 5 (patino faustino)MATIAS J 121 12.00 18.10  
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of GHOST TREE by CAHILL ROAD)
ALL THE KING'S MEN 6 2 4 5   6 612½ (martinez dav)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 6.00 14.30  
  (by LORD LOCHINVAR out of ANDIAMO DEB by PARKER'S STORM CAT)
THE GOLDEN EGG 7 4 65 7   710½ 715¾ (essex charles)RADKE K 121 5.00 19% 4.20 5.00  
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of LIGHT MY DUCKS by BASKET WEAVE)
TAVERNELLE 1 8 78 810½   822½ 835¾ (essex charles)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.00 35% 1.90 7.00  
  (by BERNARDINI out of APOLOGY ACCEPTED by CANDY RIDE)
 
EMD-5   05/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
See original race card.
:214 :451 :572     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR LYLA GRACE 5 5 4 3½   1½ 1 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 120 2.50 49% 1.00 1.60 W
CAUSE SHE'S A LADY 4 2 31 2nk   2½ 2 (wright blaine)RADKE K 120 3.00 2.60  
MISS BELLA 3 3 1½ 1nk   3½ 3 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 120 3.50 13% 6.70 3.40 S
BRILLIANT BIRD 2 4 2½ 4¾   41 4 (bean a)CRUZ M 120 4.50 13% 6.90 15.80  
PRESKITT 6 1 53 5   54 5 (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 120 8.00 4.30  
EMERALD SEA 1 6 68 6   611 614 (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 120 5.00 12.20  
 
EMD-6   05/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($22K) 3 ALL PT- 7:50
See original race card.
:22 :443 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL HALO 1 2 2nk 1nk   1 1 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 4.00 6% 16.70 3.80 W
MISTER MIDAS 5 1 1nk 2nk   2 2 (cryderman candi)NEGRON LUIS 119 3.50 6% 15.60 5.70 P
DESHAMBEAU 6 3 31 42   3 35 (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 119 4.50 18% 4.60 8.40 S
ICE TOWER 2 5 6 53   5 48 (gibson vince)MATIAS J 119 10.00 8.30  
BEAU MISCHIEF 3 6 5 6   6 59 (wright blain)OROZCO E 122 6.00 6.10  
SECRET SAGA 7 4 4 31   43 6 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 122 2.50 49% 1.00 1.30  
MISTER MAFIOSO 4 7 7 7   7 714¼ (patino faustino)CRUZ M 122 12.00 14.20  
 
EMD-7   05/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:20
See original race card.
:213 :442 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAX CODE 2 2 3 32   1 1 (crowe shelly)RADKE K 121 2.50 49% 1.10 1.10 W
NAVAL ESCORT 8 4 54 4   2 2 (martinez)AMADOR RUIZ 121 5.00 9.20 P
FIREWALKER 7 3 6 6   4 3 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 12.00 14.80  
PESO 6 7 44 54   54 4 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 3.50 5% 19.00 5.80  
NAPOLETANO 5 6 7 7   64 5 (patino faustino)MATIAS J 121 15.00 17.10  
MIDNIGHT MOJO 3 8 8 87   77 6 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 121 8.00 7.40  
TIG 1 1 11 11   33 711½ (simkins rosi)OROZCO E 121 10.00 11.50  
PRIME EXAMPLE 4 5 21 21   8 811¾ (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 124 3.00 21% 3.90 4.80  
 
EMD-8   05/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3 F PT- 8:47
See original race card.
:221 :451 :574     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABOVE THE STARS 4 1 1nk 1   12 1¾ (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 121 2.00 33% 2.00 1.20 W
MISS ACCELERATE 5 2 3.2 2   22 2¾ (wright blaine)RADKE K 121 3.00 29% 2.40 6.60 P
SCATALICIOUS 3 3 4 4   4 3 (metz jeffrey)NEGRON LUIS 121 8.00 6.90  
G G RULES 6 5 5 5   35 45 (bean a)MONTALVO C 121 10.00 16.30  
FLY PATTI FLY 2 6 6 6   5 5 (martinez dav)SARMIENTO RIGO 118 12.00 25.50  
DRINKUP BUTTERCUP 1 4 2nk 3   68 612¼ (cryderman candi)CRUZ M 121 4.00 2.80  
STICKINITTOTHEMAN 7 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (lucarell)AMADOR RUIZ 118 3.50 13% 6.70 5.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.