Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Emerald Downs
Sunday - May 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-4   DD (5/1/2)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00  1-4 $11.70 $2.70 30%
EMD-8   DD (3/4/1)-(2/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-1 $22.80 $10.80 90%
EMD-9   TRI (3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-4-6 $22.80 $10.80 90%

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   05/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3 ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:213 :45       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALTITUDE 4 2 24 22   2nk 1 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 4.00 5.80  
ZACCHEUS 2 1 14 12   1nk 2 (rosales jorge)RADKE K 119 2.50 2.90 P
REGULATION DAZED 5 3 4 33   32 3 (evans justin)ENRIQUEZ D 122 1.60 74% 0.40 1.60 S
RAAJIN RIBBON 1 5 34 4   44 47 (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 119 3.00 1.80  
OAKDALE ROAD 3 4 5 5   510 514 (baze robert)ANAYA V 116 12.00 17.10  
 
EMD-2   05/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:214 :442 :564     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EYE CANDY RANDY 2 1 13 14   15 15 (birdwell ten)OROZCO E 124 1.20 58% 0.70 0.30 W
WESTERN RULE 5 5 3 35   25 25 (belvoir howard)WHITAKER J 121 2.50 9% 10.30 3.90 P
SILENT DECLARATION 3 2 23 24   35 3 (pierce michae)VALDES ALEXIS 124 3.50 12% 7.20 6.80 S
CONTINUE ON VICTOR 4 4 4 4   4 4 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 121 8.00 13.40  
LARSEN BAY 1 3 5 511½   5 510 (belvoir howard)MONTALVO C 121 6.00 13.70  
 
EMD-3   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:221 :443 :562     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIRT ROAD RED 1 4 4 2nk   12 14 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 121 1.80 21% 3.80 0.90 W
HOLIDAY HUSTLE 2 3 1½ 1nk   22 24 (mccanna tim)CRUZ M 121 2.00 16% 5.30 3.20 P
MIRROR IMAGE 3 1 2½ 3   35 39 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 121 10.00 18.30  
SPROSTON 4 5 5 4   47 411¼ (evans )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 121 5.00 19.80  
GOLD RUSH CANDY 5 2 31 5   59 515½ (velasquez rig)VALDES ALEXIS 124 2.50 38% 1.70 1.80  
 
EMD-4   05/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:32
See original race card.
:221 :453 :573     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLICE OF PIE 4 2 1nk 1nk   1½ 1hd (cryderman candice )MATIAS J 120 1.80 28% 2.60 1.30 W
NAN ELIZABETH 2 5 65 4   2½ 2hd (medina)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 120 2.50 1.40  
TYCHE AWAITS YOU 5 3 53 5   4 3 (crowe shelly)CRUZ M 120 3.50 11.80  
MISS MENSA 6 1 2nk 2nk   3 4 (metz jeffrey)NEGRON LUIS 120 10.00 7.70  
LILY PAD LAKE 1 4 3½ 3.2   53 511¼ (van debbie)MONTALVO C 120 5.00 21% 3.70 16.30  
BANDON BRIDGE 3 6 4 6   65 614 (pierce michae)VALDES ALEXIS 120 6.00 15% 5.80 7.60  
 
EMD-5   05/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:03
See original race card.
:241 :464 1:111 1:243   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAHALA 4 6 3 37 23 1½ 1 (martinez david )CRUZ M 121 20.00 18.80  
  (by BROKEN VOW out of KARULA by COLONEL JOHN)
MY DAD IS THIRSTY 3 4 22 26 34 3 2 (perez hilario)VALDES ALEXIS 121 15.00 11.60  
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of HAWK'S JOURNEY by GOOD JOURNEY)
WESTERBERG 1 3 4 48 45 43 35 (alvarez serg)OROZCO E 121 6.00 7% 13.00 12.80 S
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of WEDDING DRESS by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
RAMPATIOUS 5 5 12 16 13 2½ 4 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.80 27% 2.70 0.90  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of INDY DREAMING by A.P. INDY)
AFRICAN PRINCE 6 1 6 59 5 57 511¾ (medina luciano)ANAYA V 124 5.00 11.90  
  (by DADDY NOSE BEST out of SO. AFRICAN QUEEN by UNACCOUNTED FOR)
CHARLIE'S MAN 2 2 55 610½ 610½ 612 622½ (alvarez sergio)RADKE K 121 1.20 42% 1.40 1.50  
  (by EZ EFFORT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
EMD-6   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
See original race card.
:221 :444 :57     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED PANTY NIGHT 4 2 21 2nk   1nk 11 (bullene michael)MONTALVO C 123 12.00 7.70  
FLYIN BY 5 4 11 1nk   2nk 21 (metz jeffrey)RADKE K 123 4.50 28% 2.60 2.30 P
DODROPIN 2 1 32 3   32 3 (toye joe)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 8.00 8.70  
JACANA 7 6 5 6   5 4 (navarro jose)CRUZ M 123 8.00 7.00  
BADGER GAL 6 5 42 4   6 5 (cryderman ca)OROZCO E 123 12.00 21.50  
DANCE LADY 3 7 75 7   7 69 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 1.20 45% 1.20 1.20  
NOUMEA 1 3 6 5   46 7 (rosales jorge)VALDES ALEXIS 123 5.00 13.20  
SCR  YELLEN               (toye joe)ANAYA V 123 20.00 7% 13.90    
 
EMD-7   05/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:07
See original race card.
:221 :45 :57     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU SPLIT TENS 5 4 32 21   11 1 (evans justin)CRUZ M 124 3.50 4.70 DQ↓6
TRY TO CAPTURE 1 3 1½ 11   21 2 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 22% 3.60 1.80 DQ↓7
STAND TO 3 7 6 5   3 3 (velasquez rigo)ENRIQUEZ D 121 3.00 28% 2.50 2.00 W
MAHI MAHI 6 1 42 42   53 4 (garcia valen)OROZCO E 121 6.00 6.00  
UPPER ROOM 4 5 5 6   4 57 (toye joe)RADKE K 121 4.50 22% 3.50 12.50 S
QUIET CHARM 7 2 2½ 31   64 69 (perez hi)AMADOR RUIZ 121 8.00 10.90  
HOLLYWOOD AS USUAL 2 6 7 7   77 713 (chattong vichie)RUIZ G 121 20.00 27.30  
 
EMD-8   05/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:35
See original race card.
:22 :45 :572     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC LEAH 1 4 2½ 2nk   1nk 1½ (gibson vince)NEGRON LUIS 120 4.50 22% 3.50 3.20 W
YOUR ROYAL COIL 3 5 44 42   3 2½ (perez hi)AMADOR RUIZ 120 8.00 10.40  
HEART ON THE RUN 5 1 1½ 1nk   2nk 3¾ (nunnally jennife)MONTALVO C 120 6.00 12.30  
QUEEN BREEZY 4 6 5 5   54 4 (velasquez rig)VALDES ALEXIS 120 2.50 13% 6.50 1.20  
SMILING THUNDER 6 2 3 3   4 5 (nunnally jennifer)RADKE K 123 3.00 15% 5.60 5.30  
HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS 2 7 76 7   7 6 (cruz pea)CRUZ M 123 4.00 23% 3.40 5.60  
KERRALIA 7 3 6 6   65 7 (wisdom anne)MATIAS J 120 12.00 27.80  
 
EMD-9   05/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:03
See original race card.
:221 :452 :58     1:042   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAREDEVIL PRINCESS 3 4 21 2nk   1 1 (mccanna tim)RADKE K 123 3.00 24% 3.30 1.00 W
TED'S CANDY GIRL 4 7 7 5   5 2 (gibson v)AMADOR RUIZ 123 2.50 14% 6.00 5.10 P
MISCHIEF MAME 6 1 11 1nk   2 3 (alvarez sergio)MONTALVO C 120 8.00 12% 7.60 9.00 S
SENSUOUS KITTY 1 2 31 32   4 4 (essex charle)OROZCO E 123 12.00 8.30  
CHEATER'S WALTZ 2 3 4 4   3 5 (medina luciano )NEGRON LUIS 123 4.50 23% 3.40 3.80  
BOSSY PEGASUS 7 6 5 6   6 610½ (metz jeffrey)CRUZ M 123 4.00 12.80  
ZARAGOZA 5 5 67 7   7 714¼ (baze robert)VALDES ALEXIS 120 20.00 44.30  
TAMA SETS DA PACE 8 8 8 810¼   812¾ 818½ (b)RODRIGUEZ MARIA 115 15.00 31.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.