Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Tuesday - April 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-4   EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-4 $7.60 $1.60 27%
TUP-5   TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/3/1)-(6/5/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00  6-5-1 $12.75 $3.75 42%
TUP-7   EXA (3/7/8)-(3/7/8/4/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-4 $15.60 $3.60 30%
    TRI (3/7/8)-(3/7/8/4/9)-(3/7/8/4/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-4-7 $47.95 $29.95 166%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-2   04/25/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:121     1:32   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SWEET SAVANT 2 4 512 59½   42¼ 13½ (belvoir vann)ZUNINO L 122 2.50 ★ 1.80  
3  BOSS NINE 3 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 23½ (peacock shane)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.50 6.50  
1  AMERICAN GRIT 1 1 1nk 1nk   1nk 33¾ (evans )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 3.00 2.90  
5  GUEST CHECK 5 3 34 33½   3.2 44¾ (perkinson c)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 51% 0.90 1.30  
4  AIR JOCK 4 5 48 46   53¾ 57¼ (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 116 5.00 27% 2.80 8.00  
SCR  MACCHIATO D'ORO               (campo sta)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
 
TUP-3   04/25/2023 1320ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:211         :211   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GOOD BYE CHARLIE 3 2       1nk 1¼ (valerio ray)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 43% 1.30 0.90 W
6  KIND OF GALLANT 6 3       2nk 2¼ (peacock shane)VALDES ALEXIS 122 3.50 4.30  
2  NOEL'S ANGEL 2 1       3.2 31 (silva rodriguez)LOPEZ KARLO 117 4.00 7.50  
1  LEEDSLIMIT 1 6       41¾ 42½ (figueroa juan)DIAZ VALENTIN 122 12.00 ★ 11.40  
5  DANNYBOB 5 5       53¼ 53¼ (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 117 3.00 34% 1.90 2.70  
4  MADIGAN SQUEEZE 4 7       63¼ 63¾ (wolf ashlee)DEONAUTH P 117 8.00 ★ 21.00  
7  AUTISM CAN DO 7 4       74¼ 74¼ (wolf ashlee)OSUNA MARTIN 122 15.00 24.80  
 
TUP-4   04/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:251 :494 1:141 1:264   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FLIPLIT 2 5 31 51½ 41¼ 21½ 13¼ (rollins s)VALENZUELA A 124 2.00 10% 8.90 1.60 W
4  LADY CREATIVE 3 2 2½ 2½ 1nk 11½ 23¼ (axmaker w)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 46% 1.20 1.00 P
5  UPTOWN RHAPSODY 4 3 42 31 52¾ 44½ 34 (perkins fran)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.50 3.70  
6  EASY DOES IT 5 4 53 41½ 31 33 44¾ (gangidino l)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 21% 3.70 6.80  
1  SHES A KILLA QUEEN 1 1 1½ 1½ 2nk 58 523¾ (williams dewey)ANAYA V 118 8.00 14.20  
SCR  GIROLAMO LUCY               (dennis clifton)DEONAUTH P 124 12.00    
 
TUP-5   04/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:501 1:172     1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SANTALUZ DREAMIN 6 2 21½ 1nk 1½ 12½ 13½ (valenzuel)VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 58% 0.70 0.50 W
5  TACOFLAVOREDKISSES 5 5 43 2nk 2½ 22½ 23½ (brown r)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 9% 9.90 3.10 P
1  KING LEBRON 1 1 11½ 4¾ 41½ 32½ 33¾ (warren kayla)LOPEZ KARLO 122 15.00 5% 19.00 24.20 S
4  REDACTION 4 7 64 73¼ 64½ 56¼ 46 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50 9.80  
7  RANCHER 7 8 74½ 61¼ 31½ 46 58¾ (esquibel ma)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 65.40  
2  FINAL ROSE 2 3 32 51¼ 53 66¾ 613¼ (mccartney jack)ANAYA V 122 12.00 50.40  
3  SPIRE 3 4 84¾ 84¼ 87½ 79¾ 713¼ (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.00 ★ 6.60  
8  CHEF 8 6 53 3½ 75½ 811¼ 816¼ (tate mary)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 5.00 15.50  
 
TUP-6   04/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
See original race card.
:234 :462 1:104     1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MR. WHO 4 1 1½ 11 1½ 1nk 1¼ (si)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50 11% 8.30 3.00 DQ↓2
4  CONVENTION (IRE) 3 4 46 34 2½ 2nk 2¼ (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50 ★ 2.80  
2  OVIATT CLASS 2 3 35 44½ 31½ 32 33 (cerin vladimir)ZUNINO L 122 4.50 1.20  
1  TERRACOTTA SOLDIER 1 5 510 59½ 56 45½ 47½ (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00 8.60  
7  FATHER O'FLAHERTY 5 2 2½ 21 43 57 510 (brown r)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 5% 19.00 4.00  
SCR  DIRT ROAD RED               (evans )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 8.00    
SCR  TWO GUNS               (silva pa)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 4.00 52% 0.90    
 
TUP-7   04/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:18
See original race card.
:21 :503         :503   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AWESOME BID 2 1 11     12½ 11½ (belvoi)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 5.00 51% 1.00 1.50 W
4  DARKSABER 3 2 21     22½ 21½ (metz jeffre)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 ★ 6.20 P
7  ROCKY JACK 6 4 32     42¾ 31½ (leon priscill)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 26% 2.90 10.60 S
5  LIMITED OFFER 4 3 44½     32½ 42½ (hop mike)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00 31.40  
9  FASCINATED 8 9 66½     65¾ 53¼ (ei)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00 ★ 1.50  
8  LIVING VICARIOUSLY 7 7 54½     55¼ 63¾ (as)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 4.50 5% 19.00 7.60  
2  DIAMOND WILLOW 1 6 76¾     75¾ 74¾ (silva-mar)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00 17.90  
6  SHELBY R. 5 5 99¾     89¾ 87¼ (cruz omar)BAZAN ANTONIO 119 20.00 71.20  
10  PLATINUM EQUITY 9 8 89¾     914¾ 916 (magrady rona)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00 22.70  
SCR  NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST               (perkinson cc)ELLIS DEVON 124 20.00    
SCR  SO CAL MEMORY               (monteverde a)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 10.00    
SCR  SOLEROCKER               (breashear bill)ZUNINO L 124 8.00    
 
TUP-8   04/25/2023 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:47
See original race card.
:50 1:15     1:333   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LILA'S LUCKY LADY 4 2 31½ 4¾   2½ 1¼ (asprin)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 5.00 7% 14.10 2.50 W
9  CINNTE WINNTE (IRE) 6 1 2½ 1nk   1½ 2¼ (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 29% 2.50 1.60 P
1  MS SALLY 1 5 52½ 52¼   33½ 33½ (o'brien deb)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 2.80  
8  TALES OF MAKENNA 5 4 42½ 3½   55½ 46¼ (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 21% 3.70 2.80  
4  PARTY POLICE 3 3 1½ 2nk   45 57¾ (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00 18.80  
2  ALL NATIVE 2 6 66½ 66¾   67 68¼ (martinez a)ANAYA V 122 10.00 31.40  
SCR  DEL MAR FLASH               (si)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00 ★    
SCR  RED VENUS               (vitali marcus)VALDES ALEXIS 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  WORKIN NINETOFIVE               (gutierrez jua)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.