Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Tuesday - April 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-3   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-4   Win (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-5   Win (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-6   Win (6/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-7   Win (3/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-8   Win (9/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-2   04/25/2023 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN GRIT Mar27 Mar12 Mar01 Dec31   (evans ju)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 3.00    
SWEET SAVANT Mar27 Feb28 Jan30 Jan07 Dec17 (belvoir vann)ZUNINO L 122 2.50    
BOSS NINE Mar26 Mar06 Dec17 Nov09 Aug27 (peacock shane)VALDES ALEXIS 124 4.50    
AIR JOCK Mar06 Feb14 Jan05     (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 116 5.00 27% 2.80    
GUEST CHECK Apr05 Mar13 Feb19 Jan24 Dec27 (perkinson cc)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.00 51% 0.90    
SCR  MACCHIATO D'ORO Apr11 Apr04 Mar14 Feb08 Dec20 (campo stacy)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
 
TUP-3   04/25/2023 1320ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEEDSLIMIT Apr04 Mar12       (figueroa juan)DIAZ VALENTIN 122 12.00    
NOEL'S ANGEL Apr04 Dec15 Nov23 Sep10 Aug28 (silva g)LOPEZ KARLO 117 4.00    
GOOD BYE CHARLIE Mar27 Mar08 Jan31 Jan18 Jan01 (valerio raymo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
MADIGAN SQUEEZE Apr04 Mar29 Feb09 Nov14 Sep17 (wolf ashlee)DEONAUTH P 117 8.00    
DANNYBOB Mar18 Apr16       (hone bart)VALENZUELA A 117 3.00 34% 1.90    
KIND OF GALLANT Apr04 Mar08 Jan31 Dec19 Jun11 (peacock shane)VALDES ALEXIS 122 3.50    
AUTISM CAN DO Feb09 Dec22 Sep17 Aug22 Aug06 (wolf ashlee)OSUNA MARTIN 122 15.00    
 
TUP-4   04/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHES A KILLA QUEEN Apr10 Mar18 Mar05 Feb04 Dec14 (williams dewey)ANAYA V 118 8.00    
FLIPLIT Mar24 Feb24 Feb17 Jan14 Dec09 (rollins sco)VALENZUELA A 124 2.00 10% 8.90    
SCR  GIROLAMO LUCY Apr10 Mar13 Feb20 Feb13 Jan26 (dennis g)DEONAUTH P 124 12.00    
LADY CREATIVE Apr01 Mar13 Feb20 Feb01 Jan12 (axmaker w)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
UPTOWN RHAPSODY Apr01 Mar12 Feb19 Feb02 Jan10 (perkins france)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 4.50    
EASY DOES IT Apr01 Feb20 Feb01 Jan12 Nov12 (gangidino lis)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 21% 3.70    
 
TUP-5   04/25/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING LEBRON Apr01 Feb26 Feb19 Feb02 Aug29 (warren kayla)LOPEZ KARLO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
FINAL ROSE Mar27 Mar06 Feb19 Feb02 Jan17 (mccartney jack)ANAYA V 122 12.00    
SPIRE Apr10 Mar13 Mar04 Feb19 Feb09 (hernandez migue)VALDES ALEXIS 122 4.00    
REDACTION Apr08 Mar28 Feb13 Feb04 Sep17 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 4.50    
TACOFLAVOREDKISSES Apr15 Jan12 Dec22 Dec13 Nov05 (brown r)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 9% 9.90    
SANTALUZ DREAMIN Apr15 Mar19 Feb04 Jan17 Dec13 (valenzuela )VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 58% 0.70    
RANCHER Apr11 Mar04 Feb14 Feb02 Jan12 (esquibel mark)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00    
CHEF Apr10 Mar11 Feb22 Feb14 Jan25 (tate mary)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 5.00    
 
TUP-6   04/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($23.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TERRACOTTA SOLDIER Mar28 Mar06 Feb19 Apr20 Apr01 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 6.00    
OVIATT CLASS Jan01         (cerin vladimir)ZUNINO L 122 4.50    
SCR  DIRT ROAD RED Apr15 Mar12 Jan10 Nov22 Nov07 (evans ju)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 8.00    
CONVENTION (IRE) Mar20 Mar12 Feb27 Jan23 Jan03 (silva jr)LOPEZ KARLO 122 2.50    
SCR  TWO GUNS Apr02 Mar04 Feb25 Feb15 Jan19 (silva pabl)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 4.00 52% 0.90    
MR. WHO Mar28 Feb25 Feb09 Jan23 Dec08 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 3.50 11% 8.30    
FATHER O'FLAHERTY Mar11 Feb21 Feb13 Dec08 Oct29 (brown r)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-7   04/25/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOLEROCKER Mar25 Feb06 Jan14 Dec22 Nov29 (breashear bill)ZUNINO L 124 8.00    
DIAMOND WILLOW Apr04 Mar25 Mar08 Feb20 Jan24 (silva-marti)VALENZUELA A 124 10.00    
AWESOME BID Mar25 Feb21 Jan19 Nov07 Oct12 (belvoir )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 119 5.00 51% 1.00    
DARKSABER Mar26 Mar11 Feb19 Feb05 Jan20 (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
LIMITED OFFER Feb06 Jan18 Dec27 Sep18 Aug28 (hop mike)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 20.00    
SHELBY R. Mar25 Mar11 Feb26 Feb18 Feb04 (cruz omar)BAZAN ANTONIO 119 20.00    
ROCKY JACK Apr02 Feb19 Feb13 Jan12 Dec27 (leon priscilla)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00 26% 2.90    
LIVING VICARIOUSLY Apr04 Mar13 Mar01 Nov05 Oct09 (aspr)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
FASCINATED Apr03 Mar08 Feb27 Jan25 Dec15 (eikl)DA FAUSTO 124 4.00    
10  PLATINUM EQUITY Apr01 Jan19 Jan05 Nov23 Nov12 (magrady ronald)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 15.00    
SCR  SO CAL MEMORY Jan22 Nov08 Oct25 Aug03 Apr24 (monteverde alv)SERRANO KEIVAN 124 10.00    
SCR  NORTHRNDANCRSGHOST Mar12 Feb04 Jan28 Jan19 Dec20 (perkinson cc)ELLIS DEVON 124 20.00    
 
TUP-8   04/25/2023 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:47
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS SALLY Apr11 Mar29 Mar04 Jan18 Jan03 (o'brien debbi)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50    
ALL NATIVE Feb26 Feb07 Jan24 Dec14 Nov30 (martinez a)ANAYA V 122 10.00    
SCR  WORKIN NINETOFIVE Apr15 Apr01 Mar05 Feb14 Jan26 (gutierrez juan )LARA EZEQUIEL 124 15.00    
PARTY POLICE Apr12 Mar29 Mar05 Feb14 Feb01 (kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
LILA'S LUCKY LADY Apr11 Mar29 Mar14 Mar04 Feb21 (asprino )BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 117 5.00 7% 14.10    
SCR  DEL MAR FLASH Apr15 Apr01 Mar13 Feb11 Jan06 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 10.00    
SCR  RED VENUS Apr03 Mar19 Feb26 Feb07 Jan24 (vitali j)VALDES ALEXIS 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
TALES OF MAKENNA Feb20 Jan14 Jan04 Dec26 Oct19 (hone bart)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
CINNTE WINNTE (IRE) Mar29 Mar14 Feb16 Feb01 Nov14 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.