Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Saturday - April 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-3   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
TUP-4   Win (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $12.60  
TUP-5   Win (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $29.80  
TUP-6   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $2.20 $2.20  
TUP-7   Win (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 1 1 0 $22.00  
TUP-8   Win (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
TUP-9   Win (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.60 $5.60  

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-3   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Joanne Dye Breeders' Oaks Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:221 :444 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEYOND AWESOME 3 2 2nk 2nk   1 15 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 0.80 58% 0.70 0.30 W
ARIZONA KALEI 2 3 43 3   3 25 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 122 2.00 19% 4.40 2.20 P
UNRIVALED QUEEN 5 1 3 4   4 37 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 10.30  
TIZ THE PROSPECT 1 4 1nk 1nk   2 411 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 10.00 10.20  
PRINCESS JAYLEEN 4 5 5 5   5 518 (torres-casas al)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 15.00 23.30  
 
TUP-4   04/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:222 :452 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIRSTY TIGER 4 3 36 36   2nk 1 (grissom w)ZUNINO L 126 5.00 5% 18.10 2.10 DQ↓3
LEFT THE BAR 3 1 1 1   1nk 2 (perren lymo)VALENZUELA A 115 3.00 5.30  
JOHN'S KID 2 2 2 2   3 32 (silva pablo)NEGRON LUIS 121 1.20 41% 1.40 0.40 P
DISRUPTOR MAN 1 4 4 412   4 4 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 10.00 8.30  
SCR  ARIZONA MADE               (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 4.00 27% 2.70    
 
TUP-5   04/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:224 :46 :581     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST COAST ANDY 5 4 4 32   3.2 11 (torres-c)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 6.00 13.90  
ROCKSIE HARTBRAKER 4 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 21 (mccartney jack)ZUNINO L 126 2.00 46% 1.20 1.80 P
MISCHIEF MAME 2 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 3 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 118 1.20 23% 3.40 1.00 S
LEGAL MISCHIEF 1 3 32 4   4 4 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 126 4.00 7.10  
LA DELHOMME'S SHOW 3 5 5 5   5 5 (zimmerman j)VALENZUELA A 126 5.00 9% 9.80 3.30  
 
TUP-6   04/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Gene Fleming Breeders' Derby Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:122 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARIZONA ANDREW 3 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 1 1½ (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 124 0.60 57% 0.70 0.10 W
CHARLIE'S MAN 4 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 2 2½ (alvarez sergio)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00 16% 5.30 4.80 P
PANZER PRIDE 2 2 3 35 35 34 34 (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 7.60 S
THRILL TOWN 1 4 419½ 423 425 426 450 (mccartney jack)ZUNINO L 120 10.00 11.70  
SCR  ARIZONA STEPHEN               (eikleberry ke)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00    
 
TUP-7   04/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Dwight Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:222 :474 1:393     1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR NAVIGATOR 1 4 5 57 31 1nk 11 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 3.00 10.00  
FIRST CALL 4 2 22 2 21 2nk 21 (owens kory)VERGARA P 120 2.00 71% 0.40 2.50 P
MR LOVE MUFFIN 5 3 45 4 5 4 3 (mccartney jack)ZUNINO L 120 8.00 5.40  
MARICOPA COUNTY 3 6 69 613 68 5 4 (grissom w)CORBETT W 120 6.00 21.40  
ARIZONA JEREMY 6 5 34 34 42 3 55 (laufenberg )VALENZUELA A 120 4.00 0.60  
MOONLITE GRAHAM 2 1 12 1 11 6 612½ (barraza s)LOPEZ KARLO 120 3.50 10.30  
 
TUP-8   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lyman Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:29
See original race card.
:22 :442 :561     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAMBLIN' MAN 6 5 44 32   33 1 (owens kory)VERGARA P 124 1.80 24% 3.10 1.50 W
TACTICAL ATTACK 2 2 1nk 1nk   13 2 (sepich f)CORBETT W 120 3.50 5.40  
RENEW 4 6 7 69   6 3 (oberholtzer kevin)ZUNINO L 120 12.00 29.20  
ANNIE'S BOY 7 1 2nk 2nk   23 4 (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 46% 1.20 1.00  
PHOENICIAN GHOST 1 4 6 5   5 5 (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 120 10.00 31.30  
BRAZEN NOW 3 3 33 4   44 67 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 124 4.50 8.90  
ROUSING RUBBLE 5 7 5 710½   711¾ 716½ (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
 
TUP-9   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ann Owens Distaff Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:59
See original race card.
:214 :45       1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALBERTA SUN 2 4 2½ 1   14 1 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 120 2.50 28% 2.50 1.80 W
REIGN OF FIRE 3 6 67 6   3 2 (toye joe)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 8.00 10% 8.80 6.00 P
OUTSIDE THE LAW 6 1 3 2   24 3 (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 1.00 37% 1.70 0.50 S
RAGING LADY 4 5 5 5   48 4 (torres-c)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 120 20.00 33.10  
BAKERSFIELD BABE 5 2 4 45   511½ 516½ (simpson shann)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 20.00 21.20  
J T'S LA NENA 1 3 1½ 3   615 626 (torres-casas alex)NEGRON LUIS 120 10.00 20.70  
SCR  BIG HEAT               (owens kory)CORBETT W 120 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.