Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Saturday - April 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-9   EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-3 $22.80 $13.80 153%
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-3-7 $13.10 $4.10 46%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-3   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Joanne Dye Breeders' Oaks Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:221 :444 :564     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BEYOND AWESOME 3 2 2nk 2nk   11½ 15 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 0.80 58% 0.70 0.30 W
  (by BOOS out of CAMILLE by ROCKY BAR)
2  ARIZONA KALEI 2 3 43 32½   31½ 25 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 122 2.00 19% 4.40 2.20 P
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of JACKSONVILLE by BENTON CREEK)
5  UNRIVALED QUEEN 5 1 31½ 42¾   43½ 37 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 10.30  
  (by EDDINGTON out of ANGIE'S GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
1  TIZ THE PROSPECT 1 4 1nk 1nk   21½ 411 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 10.00 ★ 10.20  
  (by PROSPECT PARK out of TIZ MI HAINA by TIZDEJAVU)
4  PRINCESS JAYLEEN 4 5 56½ 57¼   59½ 518 (torres-casas )LARA EZEQUIEL 122 15.00 23.30  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SPINNING STEEL by HARD SPUN)
 
TUP-4   04/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
See original race card.
:222 :452 :58     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  THIRSTY TIGER 4 3 36 36   2nk 11½ (grissom roberta )ZUNINO L 126 5.00 5% 18.10 2.10 DQ↓3
3  LEFT THE BAR 3 1 13½ 12½   1nk 21½ (perren ly)VALENZUELA A 115 3.00 5.30  
2  JOHN'S KID 2 2 23½ 22½   31½ 32 (silva pabl)NEGRON LUIS 121 1.20 41% 1.40 0.40 P
1  DISRUPTOR MAN 1 4 48½ 412   48½ 49½ (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 10.00 8.30  
SCR  ARIZONA MADE               (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 4.00 27% 2.70    
 
TUP-5   04/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:224 :46 :581     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  WEST COAST ANDY 5 4 42¼ 32   3.2 11 (torres)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 6.00 13.90  
4  ROCKSIE HARTBRAKER 4 1 2nk 2nk   1nk 21 (mccartney jack)ZUNINO L 126 2.00 46% 1.20 1.80 P
2  MISCHIEF MAME 2 2 1nk 1nk   2nk 32¾ (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 118 1.20 23% 3.40 1.00 S
1  LEGAL MISCHIEF 1 3 32 42¼   42¼ 42¾ (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 126 4.00 7.10  
3  LA DELHOMME'S SHOW 3 5 57¼ 57¼   58¼ 54¾ (zimmerman)VALENZUELA A 126 5.00 9% 9.80 3.30  
 
TUP-6   04/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Gene Fleming Breeders' Derby Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:244 :483 1:122 1:382   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ARIZONA ANDREW 3 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 11½ 1½ (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 124 0.60 57% 0.70 0.10 W
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of TOPPISME by SAINT BALLADO)
5  CHARLIE'S MAN 4 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 21½ 2½ (alvarez sergi)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00 16% 5.30 4.80 P
  (by EZ EFFORT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  PANZER PRIDE 2 2 35½ 35 35 34 34 (eikleberry ke)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 ★ 7.60 S
  (by TIZ A MINISTER out of PROSPECTING PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
1  THRILL TOWN 1 4 419½ 423 425 426 450 (mccartney jack)ZUNINO L 120 10.00 11.70  
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of THRILL ME NOW by FABULOUS CHAMP)
SCR  ARIZONA STEPHEN               (eikleberry )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SMARTY B by SMARTY JONES)
 
TUP-7   04/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Dwight Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:222 :474 1:393     1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR NAVIGATOR 1 4 57½ 57 31 1nk 11 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 3.00 10.00  
  (by UH OH BANGO out of JUNGLE GIRL by FOREST CAMP)
4  FIRST CALL 4 2 22 21½ 21 2nk 21 (owens kory)VERGARA P 120 2.00 71% 0.40 2.50 P
  (by UH OH BANGO out of MYSTERY ME by BWANA CHARLIE)
5  MR LOVE MUFFIN 5 3 45 46½ 54½ 44¾ 32½ (mccartney jack)ZUNINO L 120 8.00 5.40  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of CASHMERE MUFFIN by PURE PRIZE)
3  MARICOPA COUNTY 3 6 69 613 68 56¼ 42¾ (grissom roberta)CORBETT W 120 6.00 21.40  
  (by TRIBAL RULE out of BEAR'S TIGERETTE by TIGER TRAP)
6  ARIZONA JEREMY 6 5 34 34 42 34½ 55 (laufenber)VALENZUELA A 120 4.00 ★ 0.60  
  (by EZ EFFORT out of GLASSFORD HILL by BENTON CREEK)
2  MOONLITE GRAHAM 2 1 12 11½ 11 68¾ 612½ (barraza rafael )LOPEZ KARLO 120 3.50 ★ 10.30  
  (by UH OH BANGO out of SHESHIMAINTENANCE by INSTAGRAND)
 
TUP-8   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lyman Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:29
See original race card.
:22 :442 :561     1:09   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  RAMBLIN' MAN 6 5 44 32   33 11½ (owens kory)VERGARA P 124 1.80 24% 3.10 1.50 W
  (by UH OH BANGO out of DOUBLE PUNCH by TWO PUNCH)
2  TACTICAL ATTACK 2 2 1nk 1nk   13 21½ (sepich f)CORBETT W 120 3.50 5.40  
  (by EZ DREAMER out of HOLLYWOOD HOTTIE by CITY ZIP)
4  RENEW 4 6 77¼ 69   65¾ 34¼ (oberholtzer kevi)ZUNINO L 120 12.00 29.20  
  (by TOP HIT out of DARING DRACO by ROCKY BAR)
7  ANNIE'S BOY 7 1 2nk 2nk   23 44¾ (barraza r)VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 46% 1.20 1.00  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of AWESOME EFFORT by AWESOME AGAIN)
1  PHOENICIAN GHOST 1 4 64¼ 57½   54¼ 56¼ (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 120 10.00 31.30  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of SMILINGSUNDAE by SIGHTSEEING)
3  BRAZEN NOW 3 3 33 45½   44 67 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 124 4.50 ★ 8.90  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SAINT'S CROWN by TIZNOW)
5  ROUSING RUBBLE 5 7 54¼ 710½   711¾ 716½ (metz jeffrey)LARA EZEQUIEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00 15.60  
  (by ROUSING SERMON out of NADINE by GHAZI)
 
TUP-9   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ann Owens Distaff Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:59
See original race card.
:214 :45       1:093   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ALBERTA SUN 2 4 2½ 12½   14 13¼ (diodoro roberti)LOPEZ KARLO 120 2.50 28% 2.50 1.80 W
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of DRIFA by TABASCO CAT)
3  REIGN OF FIRE 3 6 67 66¾   35½ 23¼ (toye joe)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 8.00 10% 8.80 6.00 P
  (by VRONSKY out of RED HOT RENEE by ROAR)
7  OUTSIDE THE LAW 6 1 31½ 22½   24 33½ (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 122 1.00 37% 1.70 0.50 S
  (by MACHO UNO out of AGAINST THE LAW by OFFICER)
4  RAGING LADY 4 5 56½ 55¼   48 49¼ (torres)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 120 20.00 33.10  
  (by TOP HIT out of ROADRAGEOUS by ADVENTURE ROAD)
6  BAKERSFIELD BABE 5 2 42½ 45   511½ 516½ (simpson sha)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 20.00 21.20  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of NEWBURG by SKY MESA)
1  J T'S LA NENA 1 3 1½ 32½   615 626 (torres-casas al)NEGRON LUIS 120 10.00 20.70  
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of SMOKY CREEK by BENTON CREEK)
SCR  BIG HEAT               (owens kory)CORBETT W 120 3.50 ★    
  (by MR. BIG out of CALIFORNIA HEAT by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.