Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Saturday - April 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-3   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-4   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-5   Win (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-6   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TUP-7   Win (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00
TUP-8   Win (7/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-9   Win (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-3   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Joanne Dye Breeders' Oaks Purse ($60K) 3 F PT- 4:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ THE PROSPECT Mar12 Jan23 Dec20     (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 122 10.00 ★    
2  ARIZONA KALEI Mar25 Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 Dec10 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 122 2.00 19% 4.40    
3  BEYOND AWESOME Mar25 Mar11 Feb26 Jan28 Jan07 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 0.80 58% 0.70    
4  PRINCESS JAYLEEN Mar27 Mar12 Feb20 Jan28 Jan17 (torres-casas al)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 15.00    
5  UNRIVALED QUEEN Mar11 Feb26 Feb06 Jan12 Dec21 (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00    
 
TUP-4   04/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISRUPTOR MAN Apr11         (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 10.00    
2  JOHN'S KID Apr11 Mar29 Mar25 Mar20 Mar07 (silva pablo)NEGRON LUIS 121 1.20 41% 1.40    
3  LEFT THE BAR Apr05 Feb28 Feb07     (perren lymo)VALENZUELA A 115 3.00    
4  THIRSTY TIGER Mar19 Feb18 Feb06     (grissom w)ZUNINO L 126 5.00 5% 18.10    
SCR  ARIZONA MADE         (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 121 4.00 27% 2.70    
 
TUP-5   04/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($16.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEGAL MISCHIEF Feb25 Feb04 Jan17 Dec22 Sep17 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 126 4.00    
2  MISCHIEF MAME Apr01 Mar12       (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 118 1.20 23% 3.40    
3  LA DELHOMME'S SHOW         (zimmerman j)VALENZUELA A 126 5.00 9% 9.80    
4  ROCKSIE HARTBRAKER Apr12 Mar28 Feb24 Feb15   (mccartney jack)ZUNINO L 126 2.00 46% 1.20    
5  WEST COAST ANDY Apr12 Apr01 Mar12 Feb25 Feb11 (torres-c)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 116 6.00    
 
TUP-6   04/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Gene Fleming Breeders' Derby Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 6:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THRILL TOWN Apr10 Mar25       (mccartney jack)ZUNINO L 120 10.00    
2  PANZER PRIDE Mar20 Feb20 Dec10 Nov12 Sep19 (eikleberry kevi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 ★    
3  ARIZONA ANDREW Mar25 Mar11 Feb18 Jan28 Dec10 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 124 0.60 57% 0.70    
SCR  ARIZONA STEPHEN Nov15 Oct04 Aug30     (eikleberry ke)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00    
5  CHARLIE'S MAN Mar29 Mar06 Feb14 Jan28 Dec10 (alvarez sergio)LARA EZEQUIEL 124 6.00 16% 5.30    
 
TUP-7   04/22/2023 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Dwight Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR NAVIGATOR Mar11 Feb21 Jan29 Jan15 Dec16 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 3.00    
2  MOONLITE GRAHAM Apr12 Mar29 Feb25 Feb09 Dec14 (barraza s)LOPEZ KARLO 120 3.50 ★    
3  MARICOPA COUNTY Mar06 Feb25 Dec13 May06 Apr21 (grissom w)CORBETT W 120 6.00    
4  FIRST CALL Mar21 Feb25 May03 Apr01 Mar02 (owens kory)VERGARA P 120 2.00 71% 0.40    
5  MR LOVE MUFFIN Apr12 Apr03 Mar07 Feb18 Feb06 (mccartney jack)ZUNINO L 120 8.00    
6  ARIZONA JEREMY Apr15 Mar25 Feb13 Feb01 Apr25 (laufenberg jo)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 4.00 ★    
 
TUP-8   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lyman Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHOENICIAN GHOST Mar19 Feb27 Mar11 Jan28   (campo stacy)CONNING CRYSTAL 120 10.00    
2  TACTICAL ATTACK Mar18 Mar07 Feb25 Jan28 Jan07 (sepich f)CORBETT W 120 3.50    
3  BRAZEN NOW Feb25 Feb04 Dec21 Oct04 Sep19 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 124 4.50 ★    
4  RENEW Apr05 Mar27 Feb22 Jan10 Dec20 (oberholtzer kevin)ZUNINO L 120 12.00    
5  ROUSING RUBBLE Mar28 Mar08 Feb06 Jan18 Jan07 (metz jeffrey)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  RAMBLIN' MAN Feb25 Jan28 Dec21 Nov04 Sep19 (owens kory)VERGARA P 124 1.80 24% 3.10    
7  ANNIE'S BOY Apr03 Feb25 Feb04 Apr21 Mar11 (barraza raf)VALENZUELA A 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
TUP-9   04/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ann Owens Distaff Purse ($60K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:59
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J T'S LA NENA Apr10 Mar18 Mar08 Feb16 Feb04 (torres-casas alex)NEGRON LUIS 120 10.00    
2  ALBERTA SUN Mar18 Feb25 Feb04 Nov15 Aug03 (diodoro robertino)LOPEZ KARLO 120 2.50 28% 2.50    
3  REIGN OF FIRE Apr01 Mar08 Feb18 Feb09 Jan31 (toye joe)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 8.00 10% 8.80    
4  RAGING LADY Apr03 Mar21 Mar12 Feb27 Feb09 (torres-c)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 120 20.00    
SCR  BIG HEAT Feb25 Jan25 Aug20 Jul11 Apr21 (owens kory)CORBETT W 120 3.50 ★    
6  BAKERSFIELD BABE Apr01 Mar27 Mar12 Feb25 Feb14 (simpson shann)MORALES ALLYSSA 120 20.00    
7  OUTSIDE THE LAW Feb25 Jan26 Jan08 Dec21 Nov05 (campo stacy)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 1.00 37% 1.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.