Handicappers' Race Results
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Emerald Downs
Saturday - July 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
EMD-1   Win (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
EMD-2   Win (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $5.00 $5.00  
EMD-3   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 3.00
EMD-4   Win (4/8/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $12.00  
EMD-5   Win (8/9/5/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $20.80 $20.80 10.80
EMD-6   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
EMD-7   Win (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $7.60  
Simulator Race results
 
EMD-1   07/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:111 1:24   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HEART RIVER 4 4 34 33½ 21 1½ 11¾ (nunnally jennifer)CRUZ M 125 2.50 69% 0.50 1.90 W
3  PARTY POLICE 3 2 12 11½ 11 2½ 21¾ (kereluk edward)RADKE K 125 3.00 2.30  
1  TYCHE AWAITS YOU 1 5 22 21½ 31½ 31½ 32 (crowe shelly)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.50 3.40  
6  JACANA 5 3 56 57½ 55 43½ 43¾ (navarro jose)MONTALVO C 125 4.00 4.80  
2  MISCHIEF MAMA 2 1 45 43½ 43 55 56¾ (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 125 6.00 5% 19.00 5.10  
SCR  FOGGY BOTTOM               (simkins rosie)OROZCO E 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-2   07/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:36
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:11 1:363   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOCAL RED 1 5 31 1nk 1nk 11 12¾ (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 2.50 31% 2.20 1.50 W
6  REGULATION DAZED 6 1 2nk 2nk 2nk 21 22¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 119 1.80 44% 1.30 1.70 P
4  FORTY SMOOCHES 4 4 41½ 42 31½ 32½ 33½ (cooper kay)OROZCO E 123 3.00 2.80  
5  WARRIORS HERO 5 6 64¾ 65½ 53¾ 43½ 44¾ (pierce michael)SARMIENTO RIGO 123 4.00 6.90  
2  MARKSMAN ON TARGET 2 2 1nk 3½ 43½ 53½ 57½ (bean rober)AMADOR RUIZ 123 12.00 33.40  
3  STREET DEMAND 3 3 51¾ 53½ 65¾ 69½ 624¾ (bean a)RADKE K 123 15.00 5% 19.00 31.70  
 
EMD-3   07/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
See original race card.
:233 :461 1:10 1:221   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DESHAMBEAU 3 1 21 21 11 12½ 16¼ (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 119 5.00 45% 1.20 2.50 W
4  KAHALA 4 3 32½ 43½ 43 34 26¼ (martinez b)CRUZ M 121 4.00 2.60  
1  RHODESIA 1 4 42½ 32 31 22½ 36½ (soranno jill)NEGRON LUIS 123 15.00 14.50  
2  TABLE BAY 2 2 11 11 21 46 415¼ (martinez d)AMADOR RUIZ 119 3.50 31% 2.20 0.70  
SCR  MIDNIGHT MOJO               (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 123 0.80    
 
EMD-4   07/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24K) 2 F PT- 9:28
See original race card.
:222 :454       :58   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SHE'S A KRAKEN 2 2 11 1½   12½ 15½ (cooper kay)VALDES ALEXIS 119 5.00 5.00  
4  FAR FAR AWAY 3 6 41½ 31   22½ 25½ (wright blaine)OROZCO E 119 2.50 36% 1.80 2.10 P
7  ROCKIT A DAY 6 4 21 2½   32½ 37½ (martinez d)AMADOR RUIZ 119 4.00 3.90  
5  MADAM PRESIDENT 4 3 52 64½   44½ 49 (rodriguez saul)ANAYA V 119 15.00 5% 19.00 31.90  
8  UNBRIDLED VIOLET 7 1 31 41   54¾ 510¾ (gibson vince)ORTIZ A 119 3.50 22% 3.50 2.20  
1  ALWAYS GALLANT 1 7 77¼ 78½   79¼ 615 (martinez david)SARMIENTO RIGO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 26.10  
6  SOLO UN BESO 5 5 62¼ 51½   66¼ 715¼ (velasquez rigobe)ENRIQUEZ D 119 8.00 6.30  
SCR  COASTAL GIRL               (bullock steve)CRUZ M 119 5.00    
 
EMD-5   07/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:54
See original race card.
:22 :441 1:092     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TRIBAL IMPACT 4 8 77 62¼   4¼ 1nk (garcia jesus)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 6% 16.60 9.40 W
4  FRANKS FIX IT 3 5 32 31   1nk 2nk (cruz pearm)CRUZ M 122 8.00 2.90  
7  CANDIED LUTE 6 2 53½ 41½   2nk 33½ (simkins rosie)OROZCO E 122 6.00 6% 17.10 6.60 S
9  FAMOUS ROCK STAR 8 6 21 1nk   3.2 44 (rosales jorge)MONTALVO C 122 6.00 17% 4.90 7.40  
1  STEPHEN JAMES 1 4 42½ 51¾   62¼ 55 (pirone mar)AMADOR RUIZ 122 20.00 4.30  
6  OUR EMPIRE 5 1 89½ 74¼   75¼ 66 (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 125 6.00 23.70  
8  J T'S A. T. M. 7 3 11 2nk   5¾ 76¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 1.80 50% 1.00 2.20  
2  UNBRIDLED TIGER 2 7 64½ 84¼   89¼ 813 (peery debbie)VALDES ALEXIS 122 15.00 14.20  
SCR  DENNARD               (essex charles)RADKE K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-6   07/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:23
See original race card.
:221 :443 :562     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  EXECUTIVE CHEF 3 3 32 31½   2½ 1hd (wright bla)AMADOR RUIZ 125 2.50 41% 1.40 0.70 W
5  PESO 5 2 21 2nk   1½ 2hd (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.00 16% 5.20 6.40 P
4  FIREWALKER 4 4 64 53   42 33 (belvoir howard)VALDES ALEXIS 125 3.50 8.90  
1  BEAU MISCHIEF 1 5 11 1nk   32 45 (wright blaine)OROZCO E 121 3.50 8% 11.00 3.10  
6  MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY 6 1 42½ 42   54 58½ (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 125 10.00 22.60  
2  TIG 2 6 53½ 64½   68 612¾ (simkins rosie)RADKE K 125 8.00 9.30  
 
EMD-7   07/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:51
See original race card.
:222 :453 :573     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MR. BUGS 6 3 33½ 21   2½ 12¾ (boyd preston)RUIZ G 125 5.00 22% 3.50 3.00 DQ↓3
1  TEACHERSBUGSAROO 1 6 22½ 31½   31 22¾ (lowe nick)RADKE K 125 2.50 2.80  
2  LET GEORGE DO IT 2 4 12½ 11   1½ 33 (gabriel lucia)ORTIZ A 125 1.80 25% 3.00 0.90 P
4  CRAWLINGBACKTOYOU 4 2 55 43   43½ 46¾ (bean a)SARMIENTO RIGO 121 20.00 28.20  
5  OUR HY ROLLER 5 1 45 53½   55½ 510 (baze robert)ANAYA V 125 15.00 26.10  
3  COLE'S DYNAMITE 3 5 66 66½   68 610¾ (freeman v)NEGRON LUIS 121 8.00 21% 3.70 10.50  
SCR  SPARKS FLYIN               (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.