Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Emerald Downs
Sunday - August 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $13.40 $7.40 123%
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-3 $31.40 $25.40 423%
EMD-2   EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-2 $6.60 $0.60 10%
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  5-2-6 $6.05 $3.05 102%
    DD (2/3/5)-(5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-5 $11.70 $2.70 30%
EMD-3   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.80 $1.80 30%
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(5/6/2)-(6/2/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50  5-5-6 $25.50 $12.00 89%
EMD-11   EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-3 $8.60 $2.60 43%
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  4-3-5 $11.00 $8.00 267%

Simulator Race results

 
EMD-1   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISTINCTIVE DEB 5 1 3½ 31   2½ 11 (boyd preston)RADKE K 121 5.00 5% 19.00 5.70 W
I AM YOURS 3 3 43 4   31 21 (dronen sam)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.00 5% 19.00 4.50 P
LUCINDA RELLA 1 4 1nk 11   1½ 32 (harwood m)MONTALVO C 123 3.00 1.40  
MISS ACCELERATE 2 2 2nk 21   42 4 (pierce michael )CRUZ M 121 2.00 66% 0.50 2.50  
OUT OF STARS 4 5 5 5   5 5 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.50 5.00  
 
EMD-2   08/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:43
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:111     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANIELLE'S SECRET 5 1 1 14   15 15 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 1.40 50% 1.00 0.30 W
SASSY EINSTEIN 2 6 5 47   25 25 (morris l)MONTALVO C 125 4.50 13% 6.50 10.40 P
FOGGY BOTTOM 6 2 2 3   4 3 (simkins rosie)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.80 14% 6.30 4.20 S
SPARKLES AND SPURS 4 4 44 24   3 4 (jenne bo)AMADOR RUIZ 121 6.00 15.00  
EASY DOES IT 3 3 67 58   58 59 (koler steve)OROZCO E 123 12.00 22.10  
CARDS N COFFEE 1 5 33 6   613 622½ (freeman v)NEGRON LUIS 123 15.00 21.30  
 
EMD-3   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:221 :453 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRON ROB 6 1 43 31   2½ 1¼ (nunnally jennif)BOWEN ROCCO 122 3.50 52% 0.90 2.90 W
WARFRONT FIGHTER 3 3 2 1nk   1½ 2¼ (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 122 3.00 2.50  
RIVER ROSE 5 6 6 54   43 3½ (rosales jorg)OROZCO E 122 6.00 11% 8.00 5.30 S
MILEYS BLUECAT 2 4 5 6   33 4 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 2.50 12% 7.60 3.30  
LOCHNESS 1 2 32 4   5 5 (essex charles)RADKE K 122 10.00 6.20  
UNBRIDLED TIGER 4 5 1 2nk   6 612¼ (peery debbie)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.50 6.60  
 
EMD-4   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:46
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:104 1:242   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOWDOYALIKEMENOW 4 3 35 49 47 33 1½ (bozell alan)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.00 11.10  
RHODESIA 2 6 46 35 33 21 2½ (soranno jill)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50 46% 1.20 2.60 P
MISTER MAFIOSO 5 2 11 12 12 11 3¾ (patino f)AMADOR RUIZ 121 4.50 3.40  
SARGENT KLINE 3 4 5 513 511 56 4 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 3.00 10% 9.50 4.20  
SHE SAID MY WAY 6 1 610½ 617 613 68 55 (johnston kimb)VALDES ALEXIS 120 8.00 11.70  
ICE NEEDS WHISKEY 1 5 21 22 22 43 6 (cooper kay)CRUZ M 123 5.00 13% 6.50 1.90  
 
EMD-5   08/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Emerald Distaff Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:16
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:103 1:37   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ A MACHO GIRL 4 4 3 2 1 12 1 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 122 2.00 1.20  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of COURTIZANNA by TIZNOW)
BLAZINGBELLABLU 2 6 4 4 2 22 2 (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 1.60 40% 1.50 1.40 P
  (by GRAZEN out of BELLOMESA by SKY MESA)
DAFFODIL SWEET 7 2 5 5 3 32 3 (allen marshall)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 32% 2.10 12.80 S
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of EASY ON MY HEART by LION HEART)
OUR LYLA GRACE 5 5 6 6 6 4 4 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 6.20  
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of DARLING GRACE by NAYEF)
NAN ELIZABETH 1 7 7 7 7 6 5 (gabriel luci)OROZCO E 120 10.00 5% 19.00 11.80  
  (by FLAT OUT out of MARYNEILL by BELONG TO ME)
IN THE RED 6 1 1nk 1 5 7 613 (pierce michael )NEGRON LUIS 120 30.00 5% 19.00 29.70  
  (by UNKNOWN out of PAMPHLET by NOTEBOOK)
BRILLIANT BIRD 3 3 2nk 3 4 5 715½ (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 120 30.00 41.50  
  (by UNKNOWN out of CLEVER BIRD by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
EMD-6   08/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Muckleshoot Derby Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 7:48
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:103 1:36   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE ABU DHABI 3 6 77 55 43 1nk 1 (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 1.40 28% 2.50 0.60 W
  (by PALACE MALICE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
DESHAMBEAU 8 1 4 4 3 2nk 2 (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 123 5.00 11.00  
  (by LEA out of ALIQUIPPA by NATIVE ALLIANCE)
J C'S A LEGEND 9 2 810 88 54 4 37 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 12.00 5% 19.00 23.70 S
  (by LEA out of LOVE'S ILLUSION by MAZEL TRICK)
KAHALA 5 9 913 911 67 5 48 (martinez davi)VALDES ALEXIS 123 30.00 55.70  
  (by BROKEN VOW out of KARULA by COLONEL JOHN)
LLOYDS LOGIC 2 7 2½ 1½ 11 3 5 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 123 2.50 42% 1.40 2.70  
  (by THE FACTOR out of LA GRANGE by CURLIN)
LANGSTON ROAD 4 5 32 32 21 6 614 (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 123 12.00 21.10  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of STORMY BELOW by STORMY ATLANTIC)
ROYAL HALO 6 4 6 67 711 7 720½ (lucarelli fr)OROZCO E 123 15.00 5% 19.00 36.30  
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of SUNPENNY by GOOD REWARD)
OWHATARUSH 7 3 1½ 2½ 814 824¾ 849¼ (wisdom anne)BOWEN ROCCO 123 30.00 5% 19.00 28.80  
  (by GOLD RUSH DANCER out of OWHATABLAST by OLMODAVOR)
MANGIA PANE 1 8 5 78 917 927¾ 955 (patino faustino)NEGRON LUIS 123 50.00 50.50  
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of GHOST TREE by CAHILL ROAD)
10  JIN TONG 10 10 10100 10100 10100 10100 10100 (toye joe)ANAYA V 123 8.00 27.70  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of EVER ADORED by FOREST WILDCAT)
 
EMD-7   08/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Washington Oaks Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 8:20
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:103 1:381   1:45   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMIES INHERITANCE 1 6 9 8 5 11 17 (essex charles)ZUNINO L 121 15.00 23.80  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of BETH ANN'S KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
AVANTI LEAH 6 10 10 9 7 64 27 (cooper kay)VALDES ALEXIS 121 20.00 39.10  
  (by LEA out of COURTING DELILAH by FLOWER ALLEY)
PEPPER MILL 9 1 32 22 1nk 21 3 (kereluk edward)RADKE K 121 12.00 47.00  
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of A P PEPPER by A. P. WARRIOR)
CARMEL BY THE SEA 7 8 53 5 4 3 4 (wright bla)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.50 17% 5.00 3.30  
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of SEASIDE ESCAPE by BERNARDINI)
DADS ESTRELLA 4 5 6 4 3 52 5 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 121 10.00 6% 15.30 9.10  
  (by DADS CAPS out of LA STRADA by STREET SENSE)
DRIVEWAY 8 9 8 1011¼ 10 76 6 (navarro jose)CRUZ M 121 30.00 67.20  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of PRIVATE FORTUNE by PRIVATE GOLD)
ALOHA BREEZE 3 2 1½ 12 2nk 42 716 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 121 1.20 41% 1.40 0.40  
  (by THE FACTOR out of FLASHY DOLL by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
YOGYA 5 7 7 7 9 9 821½ (wenzel t)AMADOR RUIZ 121 10.00 5% 17.50 25.30  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of CHAMPAGNEANDCAVIAR by VAN NISTELROOY)
STEPUP 2 4 2½ 6 8 8 921¾ (navarro jose)BOWEN ROCCO 121 12.00 11% 8.40 26.70  
  (by UPSTART out of PARK IN BACK by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
10  YOUNG LIFE LAURA 10 3 43 3 6 1011¾ 1027¾ (perez hilar)ORTIZ A 121 20.00 62.70  
  (by MR. RANCHO VISTA out of CHEDOODLEJO by LIBERTY GOLD)
 
EMD-8   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Longacres Mile Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:093 1:22   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIVE STAR GENERAL 7 1 22 2 11 12 1 (forster t)BRAVO J 124 2.00 13% 6.90 2.00 W
  (by DISTORTED HUMOR out of PARTY OF INTEREST by BERNARDINI)
IL BELLATOR 6 2 5 45 3 22 2 (bautista jo)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 118 6.00 12% 7.30 4.10 P
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of KAILI by GRAND SLAM)
SLEW'S TIZ WHIZ 9 3 910¾ 810 6 55 3 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 124 1.80 42% 1.40 2.40 S
  (by SLEW'S TIZNOW out of ROS'S GIRL by ROSBERG)
ARMA D'ORO 2 4 6 78 4 44 4 (markle dan)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 20.00 16.80  
  (by VIOLENCE out of GOLD DUST LADY by CHAPEL ROYAL)
A MAN'S MAN 1 5 12 1 21 3 5 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 118 20.00 27.20  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of LONGING by LYPHARD'S WISH (FR))
TOP EXECUTIVE 8 9 7 56 5 6 612¼ (wright b)AMADOR RUIZ 118 15.00 6% 16.50 15.90  
  (by STREET BOSS out of SEVERN SHORE by PURE PRIZE)
ZESTFUL 3 6 4 6 78 7 713½ (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 124 12.00 7% 12.90 12.80  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SWEET RELISH by SMOKE GLACKEN)
YOU'RE THE CAUSE 4 7 1012¼ 1013½ 811 811½ 814½ (van debbie)MATIAS J 118 30.00 57.60  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of TIZ ATLANTIS by TIZNOW)
10  EXCLUSIVE SPEAKER 10 10 8 910½ 911¼ 913½ 917½ (rosales jorg)OROZCO E 118 20.00 44.60  
  (by MR SPEAKER out of TEMUKA by QUALITY ROAD)
SEATTLE BOLD 5 8 32 33 10100 10100 10100 (markle dan)BOWEN ROCCO 118 8.00 8.10  
  (by BOLD CHIEFTAIN out of ROMAN WILD by ROMAN RULER)
 
EMD-9   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:31
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:104 1:241   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOSQUITO FLEET 7 1 2nk 1nk 1½ 1½ 1¼ (evans justin)CRUZ M 125 2.50 39% 1.60 1.40 DQ↓4
MARCH ON LINCH 1 6 5 5 5 5 2¼ (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 125 12.00 10.00  
COOLCROSS 5 3 31 3 4 3½ 31 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 6.00 5% 19.00 5.10 P
HUNTERS GHOST 3 4 4 4 3 2½ 4 (van debbie)MATIAS J 125 4.00 23% 3.40 3.90 S
BLAME IT ON KITTY 6 2 7 711¼ 710½ 6 5 (metz jeffrey)RADKE K 123 3.00 12% 7.00 10.10  
Y VEE R 2 5 1nk 2nk 2½ 4 66 (gilker robert)BOWEN ROCCO 125 5.00 7.50  
CLAYTON DELANEY 4 7 6 6 6 710 718¼ (kereluk edwar)VALDES ALEXIS 123 10.00 6.90  
 
EMD-10   08/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:57
See original race card.
:22 :451 :564     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIE AND DENY 5 5 4 2½   1 1 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 3.50 3.70  
WITHEE 6 6 65 42   33 2 (bullock steve)BOWEN ROCCO 121 5.00 5% 19.00 8.00 P
PRIME EXAMPLE 2 3 11 1½   2 3 (birdwell ten)OROZCO E 125 1.80 61% 0.60 0.40 S
CRAZY ABOUT YOU 1 4 32 52   5 410½ (raudales jose)MONTALVO C 120 8.00 13% 6.50 8.40  
THE THIRD RING 3 2 21 31   44 511¼ (perez hi)AMADOR RUIZ 123 10.00 24.00  
TRIBUNAL LOVE 4 1 5 67   612½ 630¼ (baze robert)RADKE K 123 20.00 43.00  
SCR  SUPER CLASSIC               (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.00    
 
EMD-11   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:23
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROLINGA 4 1 42 31   1½ 1 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 2.50 29% 2.50 1.90 W
MEAN SHARON 3 2 3½ 4   41 2 (gibson vince)BOWEN ROCCO 125 8.00 21% 3.80 1.50 P
BELLS AND WHISTLES 5 4 1½ 2nk   3½ 3 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 123 1.40 29% 2.50 2.10 S
YELLEN 2 3 2½ 1nk   2½ 4 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 125 8.00 7.80  
LAKER JET 1 5 53 5   52 59 (bean rob)AMADOR RUIZ 118 8.00 22.70  
SCR  ANTECEDENCE               (rosales jorg)OROZCO E 123 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.