Handicappers' Racing Form

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Emerald Downs
Sunday - August 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EMD-1   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-2   Win (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-3   Win (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-4   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-5   Win (2/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
EMD-6   Win (2/3/9/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
EMD-7   Win (3/7/2/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
EMD-8   Win (9/7/6/3/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
EMD-9   Win (7/3/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
EMD-10   Win (2/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
EMD-11   Win (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
EMD-1   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCINDA RELLA Jun24 May29 May13 Aug28 Jul10 (harwood m)MONTALVO C 123 3.00    
MISS ACCELERATE Jul21 Jul08 Jun24 May27 May14 (pierce l)CRUZ M 121 2.00 66% 0.50    
I AM YOURS Jul21 Jun24 Jun03 Jul30 Jul16 (dronen sam)NEGRON LUIS 123 4.00 5% 19.00    
OUT OF STARS Jul21 Sep17 Aug28 Jul31 Jul17 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 121 2.50    
DISTINCTIVE DEB Aug05 Jul14 Jun24 Jul17   (boyd preston)RADKE K 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-2   08/13/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARDS N COFFEE Jun26 May29       (freeman v)NEGRON LUIS 123 15.00    
SASSY EINSTEIN Jul29 Jul01 Jun24 Jun03 May06 (morris l)MONTALVO C 125 4.50 13% 6.50    
EASY DOES IT Aug04 Jul07 Jun16 Apr25 Apr01 (koler steve)OROZCO E 123 12.00    
SPARKLES AND SPURS Jul30 Jul14 Jun03 May20 Aug06 (jenne bonn)AMADOR RUIZ 121 6.00    
DANIELLE'S SECRET Jul21 Jun18 May13 Apr08 Feb19 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 1.40 50% 1.00    
FOGGY BOTTOM Jul29 Jun18 May06 Nov11 Oct21 (simkins rosie)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.80 14% 6.30    
 
EMD-3   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOCHNESS Aug05 Jul22 Jun25 Sep17 Aug19 (essex charles)RADKE K 122 10.00    
MILEYS BLUECAT Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 Jun09 May29 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 2.50 12% 7.60    
WARFRONT FIGHTER Aug06 Jul22 Jul03 Jun17 May28 (bean rober)AMADOR RUIZ 122 3.00    
UNBRIDLED TIGER Jul15 Jul03 Jun23 Jan24 Jan02 (peery debbie)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.50    
RIVER ROSE Jul28 May29 Apr15 Mar25 Mar01 (rosales jorge)OROZCO E 122 6.00 11% 8.00    
IRON ROB Jul28 Jul14 Jul03 Jun18 May29 (nunnally jennifer)BOWEN ROCCO 122 3.50 52% 0.90    
 
EMD-4   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE NEEDS WHISKEY Jul21 Jul02 May13 Jun04   (cooper kay)CRUZ M 123 5.00 13% 6.50    
RHODESIA Jul15 Jun25 May28 Dec16   (soranno jill)NEGRON LUIS 125 2.50 46% 1.20    
SARGENT KLINE Jul21 Jul03 Jun11 May28 May13 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 123 3.00 10% 9.50    
HOWDOYALIKEMENOW Aug04 Jul21 Jul03 Jun23 Jun03 (bozell alan)BOWEN ROCCO 121 4.00    
MISTER MAFIOSO Jul21 Jul03 Jun17 May27 Apr03 (patino fau)AMADOR RUIZ 121 4.50    
SHE SAID MY WAY Jul14 Jun24 Mar27 Feb04 Dec22 (johnston kimber)VALDES ALEXIS 120 8.00    
 
EMD-5   08/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Emerald Distaff Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAN ELIZABETH Aug04 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May21 (gabriel lucian)OROZCO E 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
BLAZINGBELLABLU Jul23 Jun25 Jan23 Dec21 Nov26 (essex charles)CRUZ M 124 1.60 40% 1.50    
BRILLIANT BIRD Aug04 Jul21 Jul02 Jun17 May27 (bean rober)AMADOR RUIZ 120 30.00    
TIZ A MACHO GIRL Jul23 Jun10 May27 Mar05 Feb11 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 122 2.00    
OUR LYLA GRACE Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 May27 Sep18 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 124 3.50    
IN THE RED Jul21 Jul03 May20 Mar29 Mar11 (pierce l)NEGRON LUIS 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
DAFFODIL SWEET Jul30 Jun25 Jun26 Jun12 Mar11 (allen marshall)ENRIQUEZ D 122 6.00 32% 2.10    
 
EMD-6   08/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Muckleshoot Derby Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 7:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANGIA PANE Jul30 Jun24 Jun11 May27   (patino faustino)NEGRON LUIS 123 50.00    
LLOYDS LOGIC Jul16 Jun18 Sep18 Aug14 Jul31 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 123 2.50 42% 1.40    
PRINCE ABU DHABI Jul08 May28 Apr29 Mar31 Feb11 (wright blain)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 1.40 28% 2.50    
LANGSTON ROAD Jul16 Jun25 May27 May14 Jan02 (wright bla)AMADOR RUIZ 123 12.00    
KAHALA Jul15 Jun25 May21 Aug14 Jul17 (martinez david )VALDES ALEXIS 123 30.00    
ROYAL HALO Jul16 Jun18 May27 May14 Mar25 (lucarelli fran)OROZCO E 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
OWHATARUSH Jul22 Jun23 Jun04 May13   (wisdom anne)BOWEN ROCCO 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
DESHAMBEAU Jul15 Jun25 May27 Sep18 Aug07 (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 123 5.00    
J C'S A LEGEND Jul02 Jun11 May27 Apr26 Sep18 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  JIN TONG Jul16 Jul02 Jun10 Jan01 Dec02 (toye joe)ANAYA V 123 8.00    
 
EMD-7   08/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Washington Oaks Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 8:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAMIES INHERITANCE Jul16 Jun18 May28 May14 Apr28 (essex charles)ZUNINO L 121 15.00    
STEPUP Jul30 Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 May28 (navarro jose)ANAYA V 121 12.00 11% 8.40    
ALOHA BREEZE Jul16 Jun18 May13 Dec21 Aug07 (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 121 1.20 41% 1.40    
DADS ESTRELLA Jul16 Jul02 Jun11 May20 Apr22 (alvarez sergio)ENRIQUEZ D 121 10.00 6% 15.30    
YOGYA Jul29 Jul02 Jun16 May29 Sep02 (wenzel tom)AMADOR RUIZ 121 10.00 5% 17.50    
AVANTI LEAH Jul23 Jul03 Jun16     (cooper kay)VALDES ALEXIS 121 20.00    
CARMEL BY THE SEA Jun30 May21 Apr22 Mar18 Feb19 (wright blain)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 2.50 17% 5.00    
DRIVEWAY Jul29 Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 May28 (navarro jose)CRUZ M 121 30.00    
PEPPER MILL Jul09 Jun18 May28 Apr24 Apr04 (kereluk edward)RADKE K 121 12.00    
10  YOUNG LIFE LAURA Jul23 Jul08 Jul01 Jun25 Jun10 (perez hilario)ORTIZ A 121 20.00    
 
EMD-8   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Longacres Mile Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A MAN'S MAN Jul23 Jun25 Dec10 Nov05 Oct16 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 118 20.00    
ARMA D'ORO Jul23 Jul09 Jun17 Feb26 Feb03 (markle dan)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 20.00    
ZESTFUL Jul23 Jun25 Apr15 Apr02 Mar11 (evans justin)VALDES ALEXIS 124 12.00 7% 12.90    
YOU'RE THE CAUSE Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 May29 May06 (van debbie)MATIAS J 118 30.00    
SEATTLE BOLD Jul28 Jul01 Jun03 May12 Apr08 (markle dan)BOWEN ROCCO 118 8.00    
IL BELLATOR Jul09 May29 Apr29 Sep03 Aug13 (bautista jose)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 118 6.00 12% 7.30    
FIVE STAR GENERAL Jul08 Apr08 Mar02 Dec26 Nov11 (forster t)BRAVO J 124 2.00 13% 6.90    
TOP EXECUTIVE Jul23 Jun16 May19 Apr23 Sep04 (wright bla)AMADOR RUIZ 118 15.00 6% 16.50    
SLEW'S TIZ WHIZ Jul23 Jun25 Sep18 Sep04 Aug14 (wenzel tom)ZUNINO L 124 1.80 42% 1.40    
10  EXCLUSIVE SPEAKER Jul23 Jul02 Jun23 May13 Apr23 (rosales jorge)OROZCO E 118 20.00    
 
EMD-9   08/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARCH ON LINCH Jul29 Jul14 Jun24 Jun09 May13 (bozell alan)ORTIZ A 125 12.00    
Y VEE R Jul28 Jun18 May27 May14 Oct22 (gilker robert)BOWEN ROCCO 125 5.00    
HUNTERS GHOST Jul29 Jul09 Jun25 May21 Apr15 (van debbie)MATIAS J 125 4.00 23% 3.40    
CLAYTON DELANEY Jul14 Jun23 Jun09 May20 Apr08 (kereluk edward)VALDES ALEXIS 123 10.00    
COOLCROSS Jun17 May13 Apr23 Jan29 Jan14 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
BLAME IT ON KITTY Jan23 Jan04 Dec19 Oct15 Aug13 (metz jeffrey)RADKE K 123 3.00 12% 7.00    
MOSQUITO FLEET Jul30 Jul09 Jun23 May29 May06 (evans justin)CRUZ M 125 2.50 39% 1.60    
 
EMD-10   08/13/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAZY ABOUT YOU Jul16 Jul01 Jun18 May28 Apr05 (raudales jose)MONTALVO C 120 8.00 13% 6.50    
PRIME EXAMPLE Jul01 Jun03 May27 Apr12 Mar26 (birdwell tena)OROZCO E 125 1.80 61% 0.60    
THE THIRD RING Aug04 Jul22 Jul14 Jun24 Jun17 (perez hilario)ORTIZ A 123 10.00    
SCR  SUPER CLASSIC Jul23 Jul08 Jun25 Jun11 May28 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 125 3.00    
TRIBUNAL LOVE Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 (baze robert)ANAYA V 123 20.00    
LIE AND DENY Jul09 Jan24 Dec22 Nov09 Sep11 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 125 3.50    
WITHEE Aug04 Jul03 Jun16 May27 May13 (bullock steve)BOWEN ROCCO 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-11   08/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:23
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAKER JET Aug06 Jun24 Jun11 Oct15 Sep18 (bean robert )ORANTES R 118 8.00    
YELLEN Aug05 Jul07 Jun24 May13 Apr24 (toye joe)ANAYA V 125 8.00    
MEAN SHARON Aug05 Jul22 Jul07 Jun18 Jun04 (gibson vince)BOWEN ROCCO 125 8.00 21% 3.80    
ROLINGA Jul21 Jun18 Apr29 Apr03 Mar05 (gibson vince)CRUZ M 125 2.50 29% 2.50    
BELLS AND WHISTLES Jul21 Jun24 Jun18 May14 Apr18 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 123 1.40 29% 2.50    
SCR  ANTECEDENCE Jul29 Jun25 Jun17 Sep18 Sep03 (rosales jorge)OROZCO E 123 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.