The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Arapahoe Park
Saturday - July 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ARP-4   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $7.00 -6.00
    Exacta (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 2-5 2 0 $12.40 -12.00
ARP-5   Win (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.60 $5.60 -0.40
    Exacta (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-3 2 0 $12.60 -12.00
ARP-6   Win (1/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -5.20
    Exacta (1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 4-2 2 1 $48.80 $48.80 24.80
    Trifecta (1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8)-(1/2/4/8) 24 $2.00 $48.00 4-2-1 3 1 $137.40 $137.40 89.40
    Pick Three (1/3/5)-(1/5/6)-(1/2/4/8) 36 $2.00 $72.00 2-6-4 3 0 $25.60 -72.00
ARP-7   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $4.40 -6.00
    Exacta (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 1-2 2 0 $6.00 -12.00
    Pick Three (1/5/6)-(1/2/4/8)-(2/4/5) 36 $2.00 $72.00 6-4-1 3 0 $19.80 -72.00
ARP-8   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 -0.20
    Exacta (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-3 2 1 $12.80 $12.80 0.80
    Trifecta (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 6-3-5 3 0 $20.60 -12.00
    Daily Double (2/4/5)-(1/3/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 1-6 2 0 $11.20 -18.00
    Pick Three (1/2/4/8)-(2/4/5)-(1/3/6) 36 $2.00 $72.00 4-1-6 3 0 $19.80 -72.00

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-4   07/01/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
:224 :47 1:003     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS BUMBLEBEE 4 2 1½ 11   1nk 1hd (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 15.00 13% 6.80 1.20 DQ↓2
CHASING DIVINITY 2 1 2½ 21   2nk 2hd (parsons riley)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.50 2.50  
TUDIE LU 1 4 3 3   34 3(martinez a)WALES T 120 4.50 39% 1.60 2.50 S
SHADOWINTHECLOUDS 3 3 4 4   412 427¼ (kemper kerry)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 20% 4.00 3.10  
SCR  PIZZA GIRL               (burns dale)RAMOS B 120 20.00    
 
ARP-5   07/01/2023 2970ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:222 :452       :513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOST AMUSING 5 1 2nk     1nk 1(hibdon n)WALES T 124 4.50 20% 4.00 1.80 W
EZ GUESS 2 3 1nk     2nk 2(quezada zac)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 1.30  
HOT ARTIE 1 5 35     36 39 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.00 56% 0.80 3.10 S
TIGER THE MAN 4 2 5     58 411 (young a)RAMOS B 124 10.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
TOTHEMOONANDBACK 3 4 46     47 514 (lavanway dayson)MCNEIL BRYAN 119 3.50 6.20  
SCR  ITS A DEAL               (rushton templ)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00    
 
ARP-6   07/01/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:223 :47 :592     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELY LOLA 4 2 2nk 2nk   1½ 1(ortega joe)WALES T 124 2.50 46% 1.20 0.40 W
ANGIE'S REVRAC 2 4 4 42   3½ 2(muckey john)MARTIN A 124 15.00 5% 19.00 29.50 P
EXTRA SAUCE 1 3 1nk 1nk   2½ 39 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 27% 2.80 3.10 S
NOBLE PRESENT 6 1 31 31   42 411 (chavez vero)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 13.50  
CRIMSON T. 7 5 5 5   5513¾ (young a)TORRES J 124 12.00 13.80  
PRAIRIE FIREBALL 3 7 75 7   63 614¼ (lemburg mark)RAMEY CASH 119 12.00 32.40  
TALLANDLONG 5 8 64 65   74 715¼ (burns dale)RAMOS B 124 10.00 29.40  
WEST COAST ANDY 8 6 86 87   812 841¾ (torres-casas alex)HAAR NATHAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 15.30  
 
ARP-7   07/01/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Arapahoe Park Sprint Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
:222 :451 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLUSIONIST 1 3 2 2½   11 1(martinez a)WALES T 124 0.80 1.20  
TRUTH SEEKER 2 2 32 4   21 2(barraza s)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.00 68% 0.50 1.30 P
RAMBLIN' MAN 5 5 53 31   33(kenney dan)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.00 10% 8.90 7.30 S
PRIME EXAMPLE 3 1 1 1½   42 413¼ (birdwell te)MEDINA ANGEL 124 5.00 4.80  
WAGER NO MO 4 4 4 5   57 518½ (deisley gale)RAMOS B 124 20.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
 
ARP-8   07/01/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
:241 :472 1:131     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZZEN MILLIONS 6 1 2nk 2½   2nk 1¾ (garrett j)TORRES J 124 4.50 10% 8.90 1.90 W
CREATING MEMORIES 3 3 1nk 1½   1nk 2¾ (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 2.50 24% 3.10 1.60 P
LIP'S OF WINE 5 6 6 5   43(villamar candelario)WALES T 124 6.00 1.80  
POPS GIRL ALEXA 1 5 5 33   34 410¾ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 43% 1.30 11.40  
PASSION RIDE 2 4 3 4   5526¼ (young a)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 23.90  
SMART ACT 4 2 43 6   6628½ (young a)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00 29.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.