Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Arapahoe Park
Saturday - July 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ARP-6   EXA (4/1/8/2)-(4/1/8/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-2 $48.80 $24.80 103%
    TRI (4/1/8/2)-(4/1/8/2)-(4/1/8/2) 24 $2.00 $48.00  4-2-1 $137.40 $89.40 186%
ARP-8   EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-3 $12.80 $0.80 7%

Simulator Race results

 
ARP-4   07/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:224 :47 1:003     1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS BUMBLEBEE 4 2 1½ 11   1nk 1hd (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 15.00 13% 6.80 1.20 DQ↓2
  (by ARMY MULE out of FINE LOOKIN LADY by E DUBAI)
CHASING DIVINITY 2 1 2½ 21   2nk 2hd (parsons ril)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.50 2.50  
  (by ZIP QUIK out of ISN'T SHE DIVINE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
TUDIE LU 1 4 3 3   34 3 (martinez a)WALES T 120 4.50 39% 1.60 2.50 S
  (by OUTLASH out of PROVINCIAL NATIVE by BENCHMARK)
SHADOWINTHECLOUDS 3 3 4 4   412 427¼ (kemper kerr)MORALES ROBERTO 124 6.00 20% 4.00 3.10  
  (by OUTLASH out of MY DADDY'S AWESOME by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  PIZZA GIRL               (burns dale)RAMOS B 120 20.00    
  (by DELHOMME out of PIZZA by BUDDHA)
 
ARP-5   07/01/2023 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:222 :452       :513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOST AMUSING 5 1 2nk     1nk 1 (hibdon n)WALES T 124 4.50 20% 4.00 1.80 W
EZ GUESS 2 3 1nk     2nk 2 (quezada z)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 1.30  
HOT ARTIE 1 5 35     36 39 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.00 56% 0.80 3.10 S
TIGER THE MAN 4 2 5     58 411 (young a)RAMOS B 124 10.00 5% 19.00 11.20  
TOTHEMOONANDBACK 3 4 46     47 514 (lavanway dayso)MCNEIL BRYAN 119 3.50 6.20  
SCR  ITS A DEAL               (rushton tem)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00    
 
ARP-6   07/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:223 :47 :592     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELY LOLA 4 2 2nk 2nk   1½ 1 (ortega joe)WALES T 124 2.50 46% 1.20 0.40 W
ANGIE'S REVRAC 2 4 4 42   3½ 2 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 15.00 5% 19.00 29.50 P
EXTRA SAUCE 1 3 1nk 1nk   2½ 39 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 27% 2.80 3.10 S
NOBLE PRESENT 6 1 31 31   42 411 (chavez ve)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 13.50  
CRIMSON T. 7 5 5 5   5 513¾ (young a)TORRES J 124 12.00 13.80  
PRAIRIE FIREBALL 3 7 75 7   63 614¼ (lemburg mark)RAMEY CASH 119 12.00 32.40  
TALLANDLONG 5 8 64 65   74 715¼ (burns dale)RAMOS B 124 10.00 29.40  
WEST COAST ANDY 8 6 86 87   812 841¾ (torres-casas al)HAAR NATHAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 15.30  
 
ARP-7   07/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Arapahoe Park Sprint Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:222 :451 :572     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COLLUSIONIST 1 3 2 2½   11 1 (martinez a)WALES T 124 0.80 1.20  
  (by EZ EFFORT out of PRETTY AMAZING by BENCHMARK)
TRUTH SEEKER 2 2 32 4   21 2 (barraza rafael )HAAR NATHAN 124 3.00 68% 0.50 1.30 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FOR ROYALTY by NOT FOR LOVE)
RAMBLIN' MAN 5 5 53 31   3 3 (kenney dan)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.00 10% 8.90 7.30 S
  (by UH OH BANGO out of DOUBLE PUNCH by TWO PUNCH)
PRIME EXAMPLE 3 1 1 1½   42 413¼ (birdwell )MEDINA ANGEL 124 5.00 4.80  
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MINT CONDITION by ALL GONE)
WAGER NO MO 4 4 4 5   57 518½ (deisley gale)RAMOS B 124 20.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
  (by MO TOM out of ZIPPY WAGER by CITY ZIP)
 
ARP-8   07/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:131     1:263   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZZEN MILLIONS 6 1 2nk 2½   2nk 1¾ (garrett j)TORRES J 124 4.50 10% 8.90 1.90 W
CREATING MEMORIES 3 3 1nk 1½   1nk 2¾ (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 2.50 24% 3.10 1.60 P
LIP'S OF WINE 5 6 6 5   4 3 (villamar candelario)WALES T 124 6.00 1.80  
POPS GIRL ALEXA 1 5 5 33   34 410¾ (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 43% 1.30 11.40  
PASSION RIDE 2 4 3 4   5 526¼ (young don )GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 23.90  
SMART ACT 4 2 43 6   6 628½ (young don)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00 29.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.