Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - July 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-4   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(1/6/5)-(4/1/8/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-5   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(4/1/8/2)-(2/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-6   WIN (4/1/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/2)-(4/1/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/2)-(4/1/8/2)-(4/1/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8/2)-(2/5/4)-(1/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-7   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ARP-8   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-4   07/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($10.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TUDIE LU Sep25 Sep11       (martinez a)WALES T 120 4.50 39% 1.60    
  (by OUTLASH out of PROVINCIAL NATIVE by BENCHMARK)
2  CHASING DIVINITY Sep26 Sep04 Aug01 Jul17   (parsons ril)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 2.50    
  (by ZIP QUIK out of ISN'T SHE DIVINE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
3  SHADOWINTHECLOUDS         (kemper kerry)CARDOSO DAVID 124 6.00 20% 4.00    
  (by OUTLASH out of MY DADDY'S AWESOME by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  PIZZA GIRL May14 Apr21 Mar25 Feb25 Feb11 (burns dale)RAMOS B 120 20.00    
  (by DELHOMME out of PIZZA by BUDDHA)
5  MS BUMBLEBEE Jun17 Sep25 Sep11 Aug21 Aug07 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 15.00 13% 6.80    
  (by ARMY MULE out of FINE LOOKIN LADY by E DUBAI)
 
ARP-5   07/01/2023 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($3.5K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT ARTIE Jun18 Jun03 May21 Apr29 Apr07 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.00 56% 0.80    
SCR  ITS A DEAL Jun25 Oct01 Sep19 Aug29 Aug02 (rushton tem)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 6.00    
3  EZ GUESS Jun17 May02 Apr11 Mar25 Mar12 (quezada z)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50    
4  TOTHEMOONANDBACK Jun18 May13 Apr01 Mar25 Mar04 (lavanway dayso)MCNEIL BRYAN 119 3.50    
5  TIGER THE MAN Jun17 May20 May06 Apr22 Apr07 (young a)RAMOS B 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MOST AMUSING Jun18 Jun04 May27 May20 Apr29 (hibdon n)WALES T 124 4.50 20% 4.00    
 
ARP-6   07/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXTRA SAUCE May05 Apr12 Mar27 Feb25 Jan30 (story chad)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 4.50 27% 2.80    
2  ANGIE'S REVRAC Jun17 May19 May05 Mar24 Mar11 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  PRAIRIE FIREBALL Jun17 May14 May05 Mar24 Mar11 (lemburg mark)RAMEY CASH 119 12.00    
4  LOVELY LOLA Jun17 May06 Apr18 Apr02 Feb27 (ortega joe)WALES T 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
5  TALLANDLONG Jun17 May14 Apr30 Apr16 Apr07 (burns dale)RAMOS B 124 10.00    
6  NOBLE PRESENT May19 May14 Apr02 Mar25 Mar18 (chavez ve)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50    
7  CRIMSON T. Jun17 May14 Apr30 Mar26 Mar07 (young a)TORRES J 124 12.00    
8  WEST COAST ANDY Jun17 Apr22 Apr12 Apr01 Mar12 (torres-casas al)HAAR NATHAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-7   07/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Arapahoe Park Sprint Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLUSIONIST Jun19 Nov04 Oct04 Sep04 Aug21 (martinez a)WALES T 124 0.80    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of PRETTY AMAZING by BENCHMARK)
2  TRUTH SEEKER May06 Apr08 Mar26 Mar11 Feb18 (barraza rafael )HAAR NATHAN 124 3.00 68% 0.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FOR ROYALTY by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  PRIME EXAMPLE Jun03 May27 Apr12 Mar26   (birdwell )MEDINA ANGEL 124 5.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MINT CONDITION by ALL GONE)
4  WAGER NO MO May06 Apr15 Apr01 Mar10 Mar04 (deisley gale)RAMOS B 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOM out of ZIPPY WAGER by CITY ZIP)
5  RAMBLIN' MAN Apr22 Feb25 Jan28 Dec21 Nov04 (kenney dan)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.00 10% 8.90    
  (by UH OH BANGO out of DOUBLE PUNCH by TWO PUNCH)
 
ARP-8   07/01/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POPS GIRL ALEXA Jun17 May14 May05 Apr23 Apr16 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
2  PASSION RIDE Mar28 Jan31       (young don )GONZALEZ V 124 20.00    
3  CREATING MEMORIES Jun17 May05 Apr09 Apr01 Mar12 (barraza s)RAMOS B 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
4  SMART ACT Jun17 May20 May06 Apr22 Apr01 (young don)MEDINA ANGEL 124 10.00    
5  LIP'S OF WINE May05 Apr05 Feb27 Jan30 Dec15 (villamar candelario)WALES T 124 6.00    
6  MIZZEN MILLIONS Jun18 Mar26 Feb21 Jan15 Dec16 (garrett j)TORRES J 124 4.50 10% 8.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.