The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Fonner Park
Saturday - April 15, 2023

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FON-1   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
:234 :48 1:01     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SLUSHY 2 2 52 31   1nk 1(martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 20% 4.10 1.50 W
TRICKY MOM 3 5 4 42   4¼ 2(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 11% 8.10 2.20 P
HOT CAVIAR 5 1 2nk 2½   2nk 3(lemburg mark)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00 8.90  
CHAOS MAGIC 1 3 1nk 1½   3.2 4(hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 40% 1.50 3.90  
T R'S FIRST 4 6 68 6   555 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 125 10.00 5.95  
TOURIST LIKE ME 6 4 31 5   6614¼ (jones f)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00 13.15  
 
FON-2   04/15/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
:224 :35       :463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLIE THE MAN 2 5 22     21½ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 11% 7.70 1.40 W
JONO 1 1 12     12½ (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.50 21% 3.70 4.15 P
MYSTERIOUS TALE 3 6 56     432 (lemburg mark)FACKLER CHRIS 125 3.50 26% 2.80 7.10 S
BLUEGRASS BREEZE 5 2 4     542 (black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 3.50  
HOLIDAY TICKET 4 3 34     357 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.50 3.75  
CIRCLE BACK 6 4 69     6612 (ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 125 8.00 13.75  
 
FON-3   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
:24 :473 1:001     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOOTER'S BOY 5 1 65 43   33 1¼ (ecoffey gilbert )MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00 17% 4.90 7.00 W
GRAND DESIGN 6 3 3 21   22 2¼ (condon schu)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 17% 4.80 2.40 P
HULEN 2 4 21 11   12 3¾ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 19% 4.20 1.75 S
PREACHER 7 6 53 54   56 4(rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 125 12.00 16% 5.40 6.05  
LOVER BOY 1 2 11 3   46 5(donlin d)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 8.70  
SMART BATTLE 3 5 42 65   610 612¾ (black marissa)RAMOS B 125 12.00 16.00  
CREATIVE LETTERS 4 7 75 78   714 715½ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 8.00 6.00  
 
FON-4   04/15/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
:231 :352       :47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURTIN'S UP 2 6 1½     1½ 1nk (gonzalez is)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00 9% 10.00 2.60 DQ↓2
BETA CAPO SONG 1 1 2½     2½ 2nk (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.00 57% 0.80 1.60 W
LUCKY BREAK 6 4 4     43(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 3.60  
SOUTHERN MOJO 5 2 3     34(crabtree jason)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 8.00 7.55  
NAME THE PRICE 7 3 6     55(dieter dalton)RAMOS B 125 6.00 8.45  
PICTURE ME CLASSY 3 5 5     66(lambert joanna)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 16.10  
JUST ASK JOEL 4 7 713½     77(suter c)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00 6% 16.60 13.65  
 
FON-5   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
:241 :481 1:01     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMS TIME 5 6 3 1nk   11 1(martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 8% 11.00 4.40 W
RECORDER 6 7 4 2nk   21 2(gonzalez isai)MORALES ROBERTO 125 15.00 11.00  
SUBSCRIPTION 7 5 11 3   35 39 (thompson grady)MARTINEZ R 125 4.50 9.50  
JUST RIGHT MIKE 2 1 21 4   47 410 (anderson da)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 29% 2.50 2.60  
YOUNG PHILLIP 3 3 76 65   59 512¾ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 10.00 16% 5.40 8.00  
KLIMCO 1 4 5 54   69 613¼ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 4.50  
CAPTAIN DON 4 2 6 77   710½ 714 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.00 18% 4.60 2.30  
SCR  CHERUBIM               (radford raymond )ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
 
FON-6   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
:242 :48 1:01     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOEY'S VALENTINE 6 3 21 2   1nk 1(rivera gregorio)CARDOSO DAVID 125 6.00 13% 6.50 4.70 W
TOO LATE 4 2 11 1   2nk 2(martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 12.00 9% 10.50 6.30 P
KNIGHTED 7 5 5 33   32 33 (muckey john)MARTINEZ R 125 5.00 25% 3.10 5.40 S
OREGON COUNTY 1 1 42 4   44(condon schu)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00 9.90  
I SEE CLEARLY NOW 5 7 7 6   555 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 121 1.00 32% 2.20 1.05  
NEW STRIPE 3 4 6 77   66(dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.50 6.95  
WEBCAM 2 6 32 5   710¾ 717¾ (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 17.45  
 
FON-7   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Fonner Park Special Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 5:24
:244 :50 1:032     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANK'S GAL 1 2 11 1½   1½ 12 (anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.00 24% 3.10 1.40 W
JOCOTE 5 5 32 2½   2½ 22 (anderson da)MEDINA ANGEL 118 2.00 29% 2.50 2.60 P
SHES STEEL DREAMIN 6 4 5 4   33(anderson davi)MORALES ROBERTO 118 12.00 5.60  
JUDGE JENNINGS 3 6 4 3   44(hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 116 6.00 23% 3.40 6.00  
JOSIES SCORE 4 3 7 7   65(bliss dean)FACKLER CHRIS 116 5.00 7.70  
WHAT'S THE SCORE 2 1 21 5   56(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 116 8.00 15.60  
HOLY CANNOLI 7 7 6 6   713½ 722¾ (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ A 116 12.00 12.30  
SCR  MAY B BETTER               (hoffman robert)MCNEIL BRYAN 116 10.00    
 
FON-8   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
:234 :471 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OURBESTFRIEND D L 6 1 3 11   11 1(anderson da)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 8% 12.10 4.80 W
STEPHEN'S ANSWER 8 4 54 21   21 2(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 33% 2.10 1.95 P
WAGER NO MO 7 6 6 43   332 (deisley gale)RAMOS B 125 5.00 3.20  
DOUBLE THUNDER 4 8 811 7   545 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 10.00 3.50  
WYOMING CONQUEST 5 2 22 32   45(chavez veronica)CARDOSO DAVID 125 15.00 17.60  
RICKEY B 3 3 12 5   6610¾ (donlin d)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00 18.05  
PARALISSFRMANALYSS 2 7 7 8   813½ 712¼ (martinez kell)MORALES ROBERTO 125 10.00 24.30  
WRATH 1 5 43 6   712½ 812¾ (ecoffey gilbert )MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.00 37% 1.70 8.30  
 
FON-9   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
:242 :482 1:014     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MY TRUE REWARD 9 5 54 3   2nk 1¾ (hawley joe)MARTINEZ A 125 15.00 19.10  
DANCE FOR RANSOM 8 4 3 2½   1nk 2¾ (ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 125 15.00 17.90  
DEBONNAIRE DUDE 4 9 9 5   43(hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 5.00 4.60  
MOST AMUSING 5 1 4 1½   3½ 43 (anderson da)MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 10% 8.90 4.30  
KING OF ANYTHING 3 6 76 6   52 5(compton jesse)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00 28% 2.50 3.80  
TALE OF A STORM 1 2 1½ 4   66(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 22% 3.60 3.30  
MR. WALSH 6 7 64 8   77(rushton stacy)RAMOS B 125 6.00 4.10  
GIO SAMMY 2 3 2½ 7   888 (castillo sali)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00 12.90  
BANJO BILL 7 8 88 910¼   910¾ 914 (ibanez alberto)CARDOSO DAVID 125 12.00 17.80  
SCR  ACCOUSTICAL               (rushton temple)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 8.00 17% 5.10    
 
FON-10   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
:242 :491 1:161 1:304   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD BEAR 8 9 7 7 5 3½ 1nk (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00 5.30  
10  SPEEDY FELLAR 10 6 4 54 4 41 2nk (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 53% 0.90 1.45 P
RECKLESSNESS 1 4 6 4 11 2nk 3.15 (dunlap shon)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00 8.40  
ZCAT'S CHATAIN 6 2 1nk 2½ 31 1nk 43 (coughlin chris)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 16.20  
BIG HEARTED FACTOR 3 5 5 6 21 55(arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 10% 8.80 12.65  
ALARM SYSTEM 5 7 10 911¾ 86 66(lambert joanna)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00 22.95  
WANT TO BE COWBOY 4 3 2nk 1½ 6 7714¾ (dieter dalton)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00 14% 6.00 8.90  
FINDING SILVER 2 8 8 8 99 914 820¼ (ecoffey gilbert )LUARK T 125 6.00 13.80  
RANDOM AFFAIR 7 1 3 3 7 812½ 920¼ (burns dale)RAMOS B 125 12.00 4.55  
GIMME SPACE 9 10 9 1012¼ 10100 10100 10100 (childs g)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00 27.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.