Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Saturday - April 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(3/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FON-2   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(2/6/5/7)-(1/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-3   WIN (2/6/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-4   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/5)-(1/2/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FON-5   WIN (2/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5)-(2/4/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3/5)-(5/7/6/4)-(5/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FON-6   WIN (5/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-7   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3/4)-(5/1/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FON-8   WIN (1/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/6)-(1/8/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/8/6)-(1/8/6/3)-(1/8/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/8/6)-(3/1/5)-(10/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FON-9   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(10/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
FON-10   WIN (10/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/4/3)-(10/4/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/4/3)-(10/4/3/6/2)-(10/4/3/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAOS MAGIC Apr02 Mar19 Mar11 Feb17 Jan19 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 40% 1.50    
2  SLUSHY Feb24 Feb10 Sep23 Sep04 Aug13 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 20% 4.10    
3  TRICKY MOM Mar26 Mar05 Feb09 Jan25 Dec02 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 11% 8.10    
4  T R'S FIRST Apr08 Mar12 Feb15 Feb02 Jan19 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
5  HOT CAVIAR Mar26 Mar05 Feb25 Feb10 Sep19 (lemburg mark)MARTINEZ R 125 6.00    
6  TOURIST LIKE ME Sep25 Sep11 Aug30 Jul26 Jul11 (jones anthony)FACKLER CHRIS 125 15.00    
 
FON-2   04/15/2023 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JONO Apr01 Mar10 Aug29 Aug08 Jul18 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.50 21% 3.70    
2  WILLIE THE MAN Mar18 Mar04 Feb24 Feb15 Jan20 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 11% 7.70    
3  MYSTERIOUS TALE Apr01 Mar18 Mar04     (lemburg mark)FACKLER CHRIS 125 3.50 26% 2.80    
4  HOLIDAY TICKET Nov22 Nov14 Oct24 Sep21 Mar24 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 4.50    
5  BLUEGRASS BREEZE Mar21 Mar04 Feb18 Dec14 Dec01 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00    
6  CIRCLE BACK Sep26 Sep13 Aug28 Aug02 Jul19 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 125 8.00    
 
FON-3   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($8.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVER BOY Mar26 Mar12 Mar04 Feb18 Apr24 (donlin d)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00    
2  HULEN Apr02 Mar11 Mar04 Feb11 Jan05 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 19% 4.20    
3  SMART BATTLE Mar04 Feb11 Dec01 Nov08 Oct20 (black marissa)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
4  CREATIVE LETTERS Mar11 Feb11 Jan04 Nov18 Oct22 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 8.00    
5  SCOOTER'S BOY Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 Feb11 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 6.00 17% 4.90    
6  GRAND DESIGN Apr01 Mar18 Mar12 Feb25 Dec19 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 17% 4.80    
7  PREACHER Mar18 Mar04 Feb11 Oct01 Sep20 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 125 12.00 16% 5.40    
 
FON-4   04/15/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($7.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETA CAPO SONG Mar04 Feb18 Feb11 Aug09 Aug02 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.00 57% 0.80    
2  CURTIN'S UP Feb16 Jan21 Jan04 Dec02 Nov12 (gonzalez )MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00 9% 10.00    
3  PICTURE ME CLASSY Mar19 Mar11 Jun27     (lambert joanna)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00    
4  JUST ASK JOEL Sep15 Aug17 Jul27 Jul17 Jun11 (suter milton )FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00 6% 16.60    
5  SOUTHERN MOJO Mar03 Feb25 Feb11 Sep19 Aug29 (crabtree jason)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 8.00 ★    
6  LUCKY BREAK Mar12 Feb11 Jan18 Dec21 Dec08 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50    
7  NAME THE PRICE Mar18 Mar05 Feb17 Apr30 Mar26 (dieter dalton)RAMOS B 125 6.00    
 
FON-5   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KLIMCO Apr08 Mar18 Mar10 Jan21 Jan06 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50    
2  JUST RIGHT MIKE Apr01 Mar18 Feb25 Feb11 Dec30 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 29% 2.50    
3  YOUNG PHILLIP Apr01 Oct03 Sep20 Sep05 Aug01 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 125 10.00 16% 5.40    
4  CAPTAIN DON Apr01 Mar04 Feb18 Oct02 Sep11 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.00 18% 4.60    
5  SAMS TIME Apr02 Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 Aug13 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 8% 11.00    
6  RECORDER Mar18 Feb25 Sep24 Jul23 Jun27 (gonzalez is)MORALES ROBERTO 125 15.00    
7  SUBSCRIPTION Mar26 Mar11 Feb19 Jun12 May28 (thompson grady)MARTINEZ R 125 4.50    
SCR  CHERUBIM Mar11 Feb25 Oct04 Oct01 Aug29 (radford raymon)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
 
FON-6   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($9.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OREGON COUNTY Apr01 Mar26 Mar10 Feb24 Feb10 (condon sc)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00    
2  WEBCAM Apr01 Mar04 Aug29 Aug09 Jul25 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00    
3  NEW STRIPE Apr01 Mar04 Feb18 Sep18 Aug27 (dieter dalton)ROMAN KEVIN 125 4.50    
4  TOO LATE Apr01 Feb18 Sep11 Aug26 Jul29 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 12.00 9% 10.50    
5  I SEE CLEARLY NOW Apr01 Mar10 Feb22 Feb03 Jan12 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 121 1.00 32% 2.20    
6  JOEY'S VALENTINE Apr01 Mar04 Feb18 Jun11 Apr09 (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 6.00 13% 6.50    
7  KNIGHTED Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Oct02 Sep20 (muckey john)MARTINEZ R 125 5.00 25% 3.10    
 
FON-7   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Fonner Park Special Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HANK'S GAL Apr01 Mar12       (anderson david )HAAR NATHAN 120 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by EL CABALLO out of HATTIES CONFESSION by CONGAREE)
2  WHAT'S THE SCORE Mar24 Mar10       (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 116 8.00    
  (by I WILL SCORE out of MABLOOM by BLUMIN AFFAIR)
3  JUDGE JENNINGS Apr08 Mar24       (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 116 6.00 23% 3.40    
  (by JUDGE BILL out of LIMEFUHR by LIMEHOUSE)
4  JOSIES SCORE Mar24 Feb24 Feb10 Sep25   (bliss dean)FACKLER CHRIS 116 5.00 ★    
  (by I WILL SCORE out of REEL DEDICATED by REEL ON REEL)
5  JOCOTE Mar24 Mar12 Feb24     (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 118 2.00 29% 2.50    
  (by I WILL SCORE out of MAD JOEY by SALT LAKE)
6  SHES STEEL DREAMIN Apr01 Mar19 Mar10 Feb24 Feb10 (anderson da)MORALES ROBERTO 118 12.00    
  (by WOKE UP DREAMIN out of COMMANDER SUE by MASTER COMMAND)
7  HOLY CANNOLI Mar24         (dieter dalton)MARTINEZ A 116 12.00    
  (by MY ITALIAN EX out of ELAINE'S CREAMPUFF by SILVER POET)
SCR  MAY B BETTER Mar10 Feb24       (hoffman robert)MCNEIL BRYAN 116 10.00    
  (by MONHOCRACY out of PRINCESS PATTY B by ALPHABET SOUP)
 
FON-8   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($9.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WRATH Apr02 Mar18 Aug08 Jul18 Jul03 (ecoffey gilber)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.00 37% 1.70    
2  PARALISSFRMANALYSS Mar18 Feb25 Jan06 Oct14 Sep11 (martinez ke)MORALES ROBERTO 125 10.00    
3  RICKEY B Mar18 Mar04 Feb18 Aug20 Jul13 (donlin d)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00 ★    
4  DOUBLE THUNDER Dec03 Nov04 Oct26 Sep24 Aug26 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 10.00    
5  WYOMING CONQUEST Apr01 Mar18 Oct04 Sep10 Aug01 (chavez veroni)CARDOSO DAVID 125 15.00    
6  OURBESTFRIEND D L Mar25 Feb18 Aug21 Jul24 Jul04 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 8% 12.10    
7  WAGER NO MO Apr01 Mar10 Mar04 Apr09 Feb25 (deisley gale)RAMOS B 125 5.00    
8  STEPHEN'S ANSWER Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb17 Jan25 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 33% 2.10    
 
FON-9   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALE OF A STORM Mar04 Feb17 Dec02 Nov12 Oct22 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.50 22% 3.60    
2  GIO SAMMY Jan23 Jan03 Dec21 Nov19 Nov02 (castillo sa)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00    
3  KING OF ANYTHING Apr01 Mar19 Jul25 Jul03 Jun10 (compton jesse)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00 28% 2.50    
4  DEBONNAIRE DUDE Apr07 Feb26 Feb01 Jan11 Dec28 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 5.00    
5  MOST AMUSING Apr07 Mar24 Mar11 Feb18 Oct01 (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 125 6.00 10% 8.90    
6  MR. WALSH Mar11 Feb24 Feb10 Jan27 Nov30 (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 125 6.00 ★    
SCR  ACCOUSTICAL Apr23 Mar26 Mar05     (rushton temple)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 8.00 17% 5.10    
8  BANJO BILL Nov08 Oct02 Sep11 Aug07 Jul26 (ibanez albert)CARDOSO DAVID 125 12.00    
9  DANCE FOR RANSOM Apr01 Mar12 Mar04 Feb11 Sep09 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 125 15.00    
10  MY TRUE REWARD Apr01 Oct01 Sep20 Aug08 Jul25 (hawley joe)MARTINEZ A 125 15.00    
 
FON-10   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RECKLESSNESS Apr08 Mar26 Mar07 Jan08 Oct22 (dunlap sh)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00    
2  FINDING SILVER Mar25 Mar04 Feb11 Dec16 Dec03 (ecoffey gilber)LUARK T 125 6.00 ★    
3  BIG HEARTED FACTOR Mar25 Mar10 Feb24 Sep19 Aug19 (arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 10% 8.80    
4  WANT TO BE COWBOY Apr01 Mar18 Mar05 Feb17 Apr30 (dieter dalton)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00 14% 6.00    
5  ALARM SYSTEM Feb18 Nov02 Oct19 Jul19 Jun27 (lambert joanna)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
6  ZCAT'S CHATAIN Apr02 Mar19 Oct01 Sep19 Sep05 (coughlin chris)HAAR NATHAN 125 15.00 ★    
7  RANDOM AFFAIR Apr07 Mar24 Sep25 Sep11 Aug28 (burns dale)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
8  GOLD BEAR Mar25 Mar19 Feb11 Jan19 Dec03 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 4.00    
9  GIMME SPACE Apr07 Mar17 Mar03 Feb12 Oct01 (childs g)MARTINEZ R 125 12.00    
10  SPEEDY FELLAR Mar24 Feb10 Jan11 Dec21 Nov16 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.60 53% 0.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.