The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Fonner Park
Friday - March 10, 2023

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FON-1   03/10/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3 F PT- 4:00
:234 :352       :481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHES STEEL DREAMIN 4 1 1     12 1(anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 122 1.60 19% 4.30 1.10 W
MAY B BETTER 1 2 2     22 2(hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 122 6.00 4.70 P
WHAT'S THE SCORE 3 3 4     49 3(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 122 1.80 36% 1.80 1.70 S
CHAMPAGNE CHANNEL 2 4 3     38 410 (anderson da)MEDINA ANGEL 122 2.00 24% 3.10 3.50  
 
FON-2   03/10/2023 2640ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($4.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
:231 :354       :47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GENES FEATHER 4 1 13     14 1(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00 7% 13.60 2.30 W
TOMMY TSUNAMI 3 3 23     24 2(black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125 2.00 36% 1.70 1.05 P
BER MIS BOY 1 2 4     43(bethke a)BETHKE A 125 8.00 7% 14.40 7.30 S
DANUBE 6 5 3     349 (chavez juan)MARTINEZ A 121 10.00 7.60  
WHISKEYSPENT 5 6 5     5512¾ (thomsen paula)HAAR NATHAN 125 10.00 13% 6.70 8.95  
R DEJA VOO 2 4 6     6614¾ (rivera gregorio)CARDOSO DAVID 125 4.50 17% 4.80 8.40  
 
FON-3   03/10/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($4.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
:244 :492 1:031     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RANCHO BARGO 2 4 44 4   31(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.50 3.50  
MAFIA DON 3 6 68 5   22 2(martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 8.00 10% 8.50 4.40 P
BIG HEARTED FACTOR 1 5 56 6   53(lemburg )FLETCHER D 125 4.00 23% 3.30 4.70 S
FRIENDOFTHECOURT 5 2 12 12   12 4(dunlap m)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.00 1.40  
DREAM BABY DREAM 4 1 22 32   43 5(sorensen mike)BETHKE A 125 4.50 45% 1.20 7.25  
FERRARI ROAD 6 3 3 22   65 6(muckey john)MARTINEZ R 125 5.00 8.15  
 
FON-4   03/10/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
:234 :474 1:02     1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAGER NO MO 6 6 610 5   3½ 1¾ (deisley gale)RAMOS B 125 10.00 9.70  
I SEE CLEARLY NOW 5 4 5 712   72¾ (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 121 1.60 30% 2.40 1.00 P
OREGON COUNTY 7 3 4 4   41 3(condon schu)MEDINA ANGEL 125 8.00 4.80 S
NO LIMITATION 3 7 710½ 67   64(martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 3.40  
FIFTY TWO PICKUP 4 1 23 21   2nk 5(martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 3.50 13% 6.60 7.20  
JONO 1 2 13 11   1nk 6(rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 125 5.00 27% 2.60 15.10  
MO SUMMER 2 5 35 34   579 (anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 121 12.00 8% 11.60 12.50  
SCR  HALO'S LADDIE               (thompson grady)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 8.00    
 
FON-5   03/10/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($9.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:40
:241 :49 1:031     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R ONE WINE 5 7 7 4   1nk 1¾ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 36% 1.70 0.70 W
TAPIT'S LADY 4 1 67 2   3½ 2¾ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 5.00 3.60 P
PRESLEY'S ARTWORK 1 3 11 1   2nk 3(lemburg mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.00 7.50  
DONNA'S HOPE 6 5 56 6   44(condon s)FLETCHER D 125 10.00 19.20  
UNPLUCKED GEM 2 4 21 32   56 5(rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 125 10.00 13% 6.50 5.80  
KNOCKON 3 2 4 5   6610 (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00 18.10  
KULTHUM 7 6 3 7100   7100 7100 (rushton temple)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.00 25% 3.00 10.00  
SCR  ROLLIN BLACKOUT               (thompson grady)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FON-6   03/10/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:05
:243 :49 1:014     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIVE UP 1 6 11 1½   12 1(wise jason)MEDINA ANGEL 125 10.00 2.30  
BOLD LEGEND 3 2 33 3   32(arceo salvador)MARTINEZ A 125 15.00 11.40  
SHEZA SAVAGE 2 3 7 68   57 3(anderson c)HAAR NATHAN 125 4.50 24% 3.20 5.40 S
GUAPA CHICA 8 7 65 57   43 4(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 3.10  
OUR PETUNIA 4 1 21 2½   22 5(hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 5.00 28% 2.60 15.90  
STAYTHIRSTYMYAMIGO 7 8 811½ 814   813 69 (mitzner ronald)BETHKE A 125 6.00 6% 16.50 7.60  
AUNT IRENE 5 4 4 4   69 7(hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 20% 4.00 3.40  
OVER EXPOSED 6 5 54 79   710 810¼ (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 125 15.00 24.20  
SCR  MIZZANNA               (thompson grady)MARTINEZ R 125 10.00    
SCR  UNHERDOF               (thomsen )FLETCHER D 125 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.