Handicappers' Race Results

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Fonner Park
Friday - March 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FON-1   Win (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 0.40
FON-2   Win (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
FON-3   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
FON-4   Win (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $4.80  
FON-5   Win (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $12.60  
FON-6   Win (9/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $6.60 $6.60  

Simulator Race results

 
FON-1   03/17/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:224 :354       :473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
R SERENGETI 1 3 38     36 1¼ (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 32% 2.10 1.20 W
EXOTIC GENTLEMAN 3 2 12     12 2¼ (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.20 41% 1.40 1.45 P
R VOO'S TABOO 5 1 22     22 3½ (rivera gregorio)CARDOSO DAVID 125 6.00 4.60 S
JAMAICA MISTAICA 2 5 511     411 4 (smith r)RAMOS B 125 10.00 10.25  
AFTER BURN 4 4 49     512½ 510¾ (womochil jeff)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00 8.40  
 
FON-2   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
See original race card.
1:422         1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NASTY EXAGGERATOR 2 2 32 3 1nk 13 1 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 0.60 35% 1.90 0.70 W
STREET N SOUR 4 1 1 12 2nk 23 2 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 2.50 P
PETE AND REPETE 1 4 4 46 46 313 321¾ (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 125 4.00 25% 3.00 3.70 S
GIMME SPACE 3 3 2 22 35 418 429¼ (childs g)RAMOS B 125 15.00 6% 16.50 5.90  
SCR  RECKLESSNESS               (dunlap m)MORALES ROBERTO 125 6.00    
 
FON-3   03/17/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3 F PT- 4:54
See original race card.
:24 :371       :481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN TRINITY 5 1 13     15 1 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 122 0.80 65% 0.50 0.90 W
FOOLISH INTENT 3 4 23     25 2 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 122 10.00 4.85 P
BROWN LIAISON 1 5 35     311 310½ (anderson da)MEDINA ANGEL 122 5.00 7% 13.00 5.70 S
SUNNY AND CLEAR 4 3 46     411½ 413¾ (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.00 2.80  
MORE THAN LIKELY 2 6 68     512½ 514 (childs g)MARTINEZ R 122 10.00 11.70  
A C'S OLIVIA ROSE 6 2 57     616½ 624 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 122 15.00 21.00  
 
FON-4   03/17/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
See original race card.
:232 :354       :472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY TO GET LOUD 1 6 1     11 1 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50 1.40  
AFLEET OKIE 2 5 66     46 2 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 6.55 P
OUR PETUNIA 5 1 2     21 3 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 8.00 5.30  
CANDY ANNE 3 4 4     34 4 (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 125 10.00 10.20  
JAGGED ARROW 7 2 3     57 5 (donlin d)CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.00 33% 2.00 7.55  
HIGH COST OF LIVIN 6 3 54     68 68 (black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50 35% 1.90 3.10  
STERN 4 7 710     712 711¼ (ecoffey w)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00 9% 10.00 12.95  
 
FON-5   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:021     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIM CHIM GEMINI 5 3 35 25   23 1 (black maris)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 5.30  
OLIVIAN 2 2 1nk 15   13 2 (hibdon n)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 31% 2.20 2.40 P
CARRY ON 7 7 711 6   56 33 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 19% 4.20 3.85 S
CYCLONE SORORITY 6 6 59 3   45 4 (gonzalez isai )BETHKE A 125 12.00 19% 4.40 2.75  
JAVISTHA 4 5 610 79   78 5 (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00 14.95  
CYBER SNEAKER 3 4 48 58   34 6 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 4.85  
CELTICS WILDCAT 1 1 2nk 47   6 712¼ (donlin d)CARDOSO DAVID 125 12.00 13.90  
 
FON-6   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:023     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ BRIGHTER 9 1 1 1nk   1nk 1¼ (rivera gregorio)CARDOSO DAVID 125 2.50 31% 2.20 2.30 W
J PS HARLEY GLIDER 2 4 2 2nk   2nk 2¼ (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 121 3.50 10% 8.50 3.60 P
LITTLEBIT DON 7 6 4 34   4 3 (rivera p)RAMOS B 125 12.00 22.05  
LUCKWOULDHAVEIT 8 9 6 4   34 4 (thomsen paula)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 31% 2.20 2.95  
THUNDERSTORMACOMIN 6 7 7 6   610¼ 512¾ (becker h)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00 19.70  
SMILIN JOSIE 3 3 8 8   711¼ 614 (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 120 4.00 12.55  
LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT 1 5 5 5   5 714¾ (lemburg mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 15.00 7.05  
WHISKEYSPENT 5 2 3 7   815¼ 824½ (thomsen paula)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00 9.30  
PLAYER ONE READY 4 8 910¾ 911¼   915¼ 925¾ (sorensen mike)BETHKE A 121 10.00 6% 15.70 13.95  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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