Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fonner Park
Friday - March 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FON-1   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/5/2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    DD (3/1)-(2/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
FON-2   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FON-3   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/2/3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/2/3/4)-(5/1/2/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FON-4   WIN (6/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/4)-(6/7/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/4)-(6/7/4/2/1)-(6/7/4/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/7/4)-(2/7/6)-(9/8/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FON-5   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/6/3/5)-(2/7/6/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/7/6)-(9/8/2/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
FON-6   WIN (9/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/2/4)-(9/8/2/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/8/2/4)-(9/8/2/4/3)-(9/8/2/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FON-1   03/17/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R SERENGETI Feb17 Sep24 Aug22 Jun17 Jun03 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.00 32% 2.10    
  (by FLAT OUT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  JAMAICA MISTAICA Sep14 Aug24       (smith r)RAMOS B 125 10.00 ★    
  (by SAPHIRE SANDY out of ENCHANTING IMPACT by WAR CHANT)
3  EXOTIC GENTLEMAN Mar03 Jan26 Jan04 Dec15 Dec01 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 125 1.20 41% 1.40    
  (by YANKEE GENTLEMAN out of SIN TOWN by OUT OF PLACE)
4  AFTER BURN Nov11 Oct28 Oct05     (womochil jeff)MARTINEZ R 125 8.00 ★    
  (by AFFIRMATIF out of MS J J R by KANTHAROS)
5  R VOO'S TABOO Mar03 Sep08 Aug18 Jul27 Jul13 (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 6.00 ★    
  (by SHADOW HAWK out of R VOOVOO AFFAIR by BLUMIN AFFAIR)
 
FON-2   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PETE AND REPETE Feb17 Jun11 May28 Apr29 Apr09 (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 125 4.00 25% 3.00    
2  NASTY EXAGGERATOR Mar03 Feb12 Jan06 Dec14 Nov16 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 0.60 35% 1.90    
3  GIMME SPACE Mar03 Feb12 Oct01 Sep19 Aug08 (childs g)RAMOS B 125 15.00 6% 16.50    
4  STREET N SOUR Mar04 Feb18 Aug27 Aug02 Jul19 (thompson grady)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 ★    
SCR  RECKLESSNESS Mar07 Jan08 Oct22 Sep29 Sep14 (dunlap shon)MORALES ROBERTO 125 6.00 ★    
 
FON-3   03/17/2023 2640ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7.6K) 3 F PT- 4:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROWN LIAISON         (anderson )MEDINA ANGEL 122 5.00 7% 13.00    
  (by LIAISON out of OUR OWN FLAG by MR. NIGHTLINGER)
2  MORE THAN LIKELY         (childs russell)MCNEIL BRYAN 122 10.00 ★    
  (by UNDER CAUTION out of SORA by CROWD PLEASER)
3  FOOLISH INTENT         (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 122 10.00 ★    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of FOOLISH WAYS by DANEHILL DANCER)
4  SUNNY AND CLEAR Feb24 Jan26 Jan12 Dec30   (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 122 3.00 ★    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of CLOUDS IN THE SKY by STRAIGHT MAN)
5  CAJUN TRINITY Feb26 Feb03 Jan25 Jan12 Dec09 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 122 0.80 65% 0.50    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of CHEF BERTIE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
6  A C'S OLIVIA ROSE Feb25 Sep25 Sep13 Aug21 Aug07 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 122 15.00    
  (by LIAISON out of UNTAMED BEAUTY by RAHY)
 
FON-4   03/17/2023 2640ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($5.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READY TO GET LOUD Feb26 Feb12 Sep29 Sep16 Sep09 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 2.50 ★    
2  AFLEET OKIE Feb24 Feb10 Dec14 Oct05 Sep14 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 3.50 ★    
3  CANDY ANNE Dec15 Nov12 Sep02 Aug14 Jul04 (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 125 10.00    
4  STERN Feb12 Dec03 Nov13 Oct15 Sep19 (ecoffey gilbert)HAAR NATHAN 125 12.00 9% 10.00    
5  OUR PETUNIA Mar10 Feb26 Jun03 May07 Apr24 (hoffman robert)ZIEGLER ZACK 125 8.00    
6  HIGH COST OF LIVIN Sep14 Aug20 Jul18 Jun20 Jun06 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 4.50 35% 1.90    
7  JAGGED ARROW Feb10 Sep08 Aug03 Jul13 Jul03 (donlin larry )CARDOSO DAVID 125 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
FON-5   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELTICS WILDCAT Sep14 Sep07 Aug20 Jul04 Jun12 (donlin larry )CARDOSO DAVID 125 12.00    
2  OLIVIAN Feb25 Feb03 Jan19 Jan06 Dec07 (hibdon mark)MORALES ROBERTO 125 2.50 31% 2.20    
3  CYBER SNEAKER Feb23 Jan14 Dec19 Nov09 Oct19 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 ★    
4  JAVISTHA Feb25 Sep23 Sep04 Aug15 Aug05 (martinez kelli)MCNEIL BRYAN 125 10.00    
5  CHIM CHIM GEMINI Dec15 Nov30 Nov12 Oct12 Sep21 (black mar)MEDINA ANGEL 125 3.00 ★    
6  CYCLONE SORORITY Dec30 Nov23 Nov02 Oct15 Oct06 (gonzalez isa)BETHKE A 125 12.00 19% 4.40    
7  CARRY ON Dec02 Nov23 Oct21 Oct05 Sep07 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 125 6.00 19% 4.20    
 
FON-6   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY LIQUOR SHOT Feb25 Feb11 Jun17 Jun04 May28 (lemburg mar)MORALES ROBERTO 125 15.00    
  (by LIQUOR CABINET out of GAMBLING LADY LUCK by POPULAR (SAF))
2  J PS HARLEY GLIDER Mar12         (condon schuyler)ROMAN KEVIN 121 3.50 10% 8.50    
  (by SPORTS TALK out of JULIE C by EVEN THE SCORE)
3  SMILIN JOSIE Feb10 Jun17 Jun12 May27 May01 (condon schuyler)MARTINEZ R 120 4.00 ★    
  (by WEST EXPRESS out of MARTHA MARTHA by IDE)
4  PLAYER ONE READY         (sorensen mik)BETHKE A 121 10.00 6% 15.70    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of MEXICALI GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
5  WHISKEYSPENT Mar10         (thomsen paula)FACKLER CHRIS 125 12.00    
  (by I SPENT IT out of SHEZA DIVINE DIVA by DIVINE PARK)
6  THUNDERSTORMACOMIN Feb11 Jun17 Jun04 Feb20   (becker steven )ZIEGLER ZACK 125 15.00    
  (by BLUE LION out of STORMIN COUSINS by FLASHY BULL)
7  LITTLEBIT DON Apr24 Apr03 Mar20     (rivera p)RAMOS B 125 12.00    
  (by HOLIDAY JUSTICE out of JOANIE'S BLUFF by SILENT BLUFF)
8  LUCKWOULDHAVEIT Feb25 Feb11 Jun17     (thomsen paula)HAAR NATHAN 125 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by GOLD FOR CASH out of ALEXIS INSPIRES by AFLEET ALEX)
9  TIZ BRIGHTER Feb25 Jun17 Jun04 May28   (rivera gregor)CARDOSO DAVID 125 2.50 31% 2.20    
  (by TIZNOW MY WAY out of BRIGHT FLAME by NIGHT ABOVE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.